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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, December 07, 2007

Recovery Rally in Natural Gas / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Mike_Paulenoff

My near-term technical work in the US Natural Gas ETF (AMEX: UNG) argues strongly that Monday's low at 34.68 followed by Tuesday's successful retest --followed by today's strength -- are indicative of a meaningful upturn for at least a recovery rally into the 38.00-38.40 zone. Only a hurdle of 39.00/20 will argue that a very significant low has been established in the UNG.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 06, 2007

Why Junior Mining Stocks are Plummeting Despite Gold and Silver Bull market / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Dudley_Baker

The precious metals markets are killing the prices of many of the junior mining shares. What's happening and why are questions being asked by many individual investors as well as the most experienced analysts. Times like these are somewhat a mystery but yet an opportunity.

The market sentiment is terrible for many stocks and it seems there are few bids and the stocks have plummeted without merit and without regard for the company fundamentals, and the future outlook for the price of gold and silver.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 06, 2007

Russian Government and Investors Aggressively Buying Stakes in the Gold Industry / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold
Gold was down $3.90 to $797.20 per ounce in New York yesterday but silver was up 3 cents to $14.30 per ounce. Gold has drifted downwards in Asian and early European trading and is trading at $786.50/787.00 per ounce at 1200 GMT. Gold also fell in pounds sterling and euro to £389 GBP (down from £394) and €541 EUR (down from €546).

The dollar strengthened to a monthly high against the euro and oil fell sharply to below $87 a barrel and this and technical selling is leading to gold's sell off. The recent lows at $775 per ounce should provide support and there could be range trading consolidation between $775 and $845 prior to a likely challenge of the record 1980 high in the coming weeks.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 06, 2007

Gold Slides as Oil & Bonds Fall, Stocks Rally Ahead of Bush's 'Hope Now' Rescue for US Subprime Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES continued to slide early Thursday, falling more than 1% from Wednesday's New York close to trade at $786 per ounce by the time the Bank of England made the first cut to Pound Sterling interest rates in two years at midday in London .

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Commodities

Thursday, December 06, 2007

Dow Jones-AIG Commodity Index rebalancing Generates Significant Price Movements / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: David_Urban

Every year, the Dow Jones-AIG Commodity Index (DJAIG) rebalances for the upcoming year. This is significant for investors in that the DJAIG is followed by many investors looking to obtain commodity exposure. Exposure can be obtained through various investment vehicles created to mirror the index and rebalancing of the indices can create significant price movement as they occur.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 05, 2007

US Economy Hurting, Days of Cheap Resources Coming To an End / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: David_Vaughn

The well known and respected Gartman Letter remains “steadfastly bullish” on gold. The seasons are bearing down on us. Thanksgiving is now over a week behind us. Christmas is just around the corner and then we have a whole new year to follow these events in repetition. Gold appears to have very strong resistance around 790, but I doubt it will remain in that range for very long. The next major resistance for gold appears to be around 815. And when 815 – 825 is crossed we will probably observe gold making new highs. Always remember its 2 steps forward then 1 step back. I can live with those statistics.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 05, 2007

Why One Ounce of Gold (or Silver or Platinum) Can Cost More, or Less, Than Another… / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Clark

Have you ever noticed that two bullion coins which contain the exact same amount of the same precious metal, can sometimes sell for a different price?

For example, at the time of this writing, the spot price of gold is $787.50 per ounce. Yet, numerous dealers quote a selling price of $830.80 for the one-ounce American Gold Eagle, $826.90 for the one-ounce Canadian Gold Maple Leaf, and $819.00 for the one-ounce South African Gold Krugerrand.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 05, 2007

Gold Trades Above $800; Commodity Bull Market "Still in Early Stages" / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES held above $800 per ounce early Wednesday even as the US Dollar rose on the world's currency markets, while crude oil broke back above $90 per barrel after the Opec oil cartel agreed in Abu Dhabi to keep output quotas unchanged.

The resulting 2% jump in oil prices "spurred late buy-backs in gold" in Tokyo, according to Tatsuo Kageyama at Kanetsu Asset Management, helping the Gold Price on Tocom futures for delivery in Oct. '08 to gain 2% as well.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 05, 2007

Dow Jones Loses Global Purchasing Power Due to Dollar Devaluation / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

The business media keeps telling investors to remain faithful. Paper equities, despite their continuing under performance, are they claim the place to put your wealth. A broken clock is right twice a day, and that seems to beat the record of most of gurus appearing in the business media. We are repeatedly told that the market is just shy of a high, making a high, or consolidating gains. What is important though is not the level of market or the price of an investment.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 04, 2007

Gold Continues to Consolidate Rally From Late August / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold
Gold was up $5.10 to $788.20 per ounce in New York yesterday and silver was up 9 cents to $14.07 per ounce. Gold rallied after the close in the New York Access Market and subsequently was flat in Asia before rallying again in trading in London to $794 per ounce at 1200 GMT.

Gold is trading at £384 GBP (up from £379) and €539 EUR (up from €534).

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 04, 2007

Gold Recovers Overnight Dip as Euro Jumps on Rising Inflation; Subprime Home-Loan Bonds Downgraded / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES recovered an overnight dip by lunchtime in London on Tuesday, trading above $795 per ounce as European stock markets stood 1% lower for the day.

US bond prices held near recent highs while the Euro rose on the currency markets, gaining almost one cent from last night's two-week lows to the Dollar.

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Commodities

Monday, December 03, 2007

Crude OIl and Gas Tumble as DUG UltraShort ETF Rallies / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Mike_Paulenoff

My overall technical work in the ProShares Ultrashort Oil & Gas ETF (AMEX: DUG) treats all of the action from the 10/17 low at 37.17 to the 11/29 high at 46.56 as the first phase of an intermediate-term recovery rally. The plunge from the 11/27 high to Friday's low at 41.40 (so far) represents an intervening pullback that separates two major legs of a recovery phase.

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Commodities

Monday, December 03, 2007

Goldman Sachs Recommendation to Sell Gold Based on Self-interest? / Commodities / Market Manipulation

By: Gold_Investments

Gold
Gold was down $12.10 to $783.10 per ounce in New York on Friday and silver was down 25 cents to $13.98 per ounce. Gold showed strength in early trading in Asia and rallied to $792 but in early European trading it has given up these gains and has traded back down to $783.50 per ounce at 1200 GMT. Gold is trading at £379 GBP (down from £385) and €534 EUR (down from €540).

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Commodities

Monday, December 03, 2007

Gold and Oil Fall as Pressure Builds for European Interest Rate Cuts / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT GOLD MARKET slipped back from an overnight spike early Monday to hit $778 per ounce – a two-week low – just before the US open.

Asian stock markets were little changed, while European bourses began the week lower. Wall Street futures pointed down, capping their four-day rally, and crude oil futures dropped almost a dollar to trade at a one-month low beneath $88 per barrel.

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Commodities

Monday, December 03, 2007

Silver Building Up to Resume Uptrend / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

There are various general points set out in the Gold Market update, relating to the dollar, that are equally applicable to silver, so this Silver Market update will only focus on the detail differences particular to Silver.

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Commodities

Monday, December 03, 2007

US Dollar Rally to Fail Before USD 80, Gold Correcting First Phase of a Major Up / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSome readers may have seen a trades list produced by Goldman Sachs recommending that investors short gold next year. This report has been allocated to the circular filing along with the government inflation statistics.

With the dollar rally predicted on www.clivemaund.com early on Thursday getting underway immediately afterwards, the question is how far this rally will carry, and how much further gold and silver will react as a result.

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Commodities

Monday, December 03, 2007

Gold Short-term Uncertainty But Long-term Bullish / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Well, Friday was five in a row. We had two previous five in a row down days this year. One was followed by a reasonable rally while the other was followed by a lateral move which then morphed into the Aug to Nov rally. Is there a rally ahead?

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Commodities

Monday, December 03, 2007

Crude Oil Headed Down to $70 For Historic Buying Opportunity / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Elliot_H_Gue

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor the first time in more than a year, I'm a near-term bear on oil prices. I suspect that crude could fall to around $70 per barrel in the next three to four months, roughly a 30 percent correction from its recent highs. This move will be a correction of the long-term uptrend in crude, not the end of the bull market. This correction will mark a historic buying opportunity for both oil and oil-related stocks.

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Commodities

Sunday, December 02, 2007

Craze for Biofuel Causes Grain Prices to Soar / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Joseph_Dancy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the dynamic economies of China, India, and Asia continue to expand the size of their middle class – and the population in these areas continues a large scale migration to the major cities – global demand for basic foodstuffs has increased significantly over the last decade. A recent swine virus has adversely impacted Chinese herds, and globally meats and grain inventories are in short supply compared to historical levels.

Meanwhile, biofuels continue to make inroads in the developed countries. The cost of the biofuel feedstock – corn in many cases – has risen with demand. The cost of alternative grains such as wheat and soybeans has also increased. 

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Commodities

Sunday, December 02, 2007

Commodities Price Growth to Slow in 2008 / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Donald_W_Dony

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKEY POINTS:
• CRB Index expected to advance to new highs in 2008, but with slower growth
• Light crude oil finds solid support at $89; no weakness anticipated – target is $108
• Fed rate cut meeting on December 11 will send gold higher and drop the USD; target is US$875
• Weaker copper prices point to stalling economies; $3.80 is solid resistance
• Natural gas pinned under $8.50 resistance; little chance of growth until second half of 2008. Steady LNG supply should keep prices low.

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