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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, January 15, 2016

Gold Price in 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

We all know that gold prices in US dollars have been in a downtrend for about 4.5 years.

We all know that gold prices rise, on average, as the underlying currency declines in value.  Gold in the US was priced under $21 per ounce when the Federal Reserve was established.  Since then the dollar has been devalued and gold has increased in price by a factor of about 50.

It is the same story around the world, whether you evaluate in terms of British pounds, euros, rubles, yen, or any other debt based fiat paper currency.

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Commodities

Friday, January 15, 2016

Gold Bullion Retains “Key Role Of A Major Diversifier” – Dr Gurdgiev / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

- 2015 and start 2016 “worrying” for markets
- Gold’s long term performance strong in all currencies (see table)
- “Improved performance in market for gold coins”
- “Demand for U.S. Mint issued gold coins rose 45.6% y/y in weight terms”
- “2015 the third busiest year over the last ten years”
- Gold has key role of a major diversifier in portfolios

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Commodities

Friday, January 15, 2016

Oil Wars 2016 - US vs Russia vs Saudi Arabia vs Iran / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The oil price collapse is having a devastating impact on ALL of the worlds major oil producers as it's not just a case of what is the break-even price but the price necessary to finance government budgets that are now in deep deficits which has been triggering increasing global instability as the price has slid to $30. In fact the budgets of virtually every major oil producer requires an oil price north of $80 just to break-even. With several such as Russia requiring $100+. Furthermore the oil price slump of 2015 has played a large part in sparking economic mass migration out of African oil producers such as Nigeria whose government requires an oil price of $120 to balance it's budget.

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Commodities

Friday, January 15, 2016

Silver & Gold Stocks Dangerously Close to Breakdown / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The fledgling rebound in the precious metals complex suddenly reversed course. Since the intraday peak last Thursday, gold stocks (GDX and GDXJ) declined about 13% while Gold lost $1100/oz and today (Thursday) $1080/oz. Silver, which did not mount much of a rebound to begin with remains mired below $13/oz. Gold is showing increasing relative strength (as we noted last week) and that is a good thing. However, the poor performance from Silver and sudden sharp reversal in the gold miners signals that the sector is on the cusp of making new lows.

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Commodities

Friday, January 15, 2016

War Between Saudi Arabia And Iran Could Send Oil Prices To $250 / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

The rift between Saudi Arabia and Iran has quickly ballooned into the worst conflict in decades between the two countries.

The back-and-forth escalation quickly turned the simmering tension into an overt struggle for power in the Middle East. First, the execution of a prominent Shiite cleric prompted protestors to set fire to the Saudi embassy in Tehran. Saudi Arabia cut off diplomatic relations and kicked out Iranian diplomatic personnel. Tehran banned Saudi goods from entering Iran. Worst of all, Iran blames Saudi Arabia for an airstrike that landed near its embassy in Yemen.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Gold Price Declined and Simultaneously Rose in 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The U.S. dollar price of gold declined in 2015, but the same year gold advanced in many other currencies. What can we learn from this behavior?

The London spot price of the shiny metal, in U.S. dollars, declined 9.56 percent from $1172 to $1060 last year, marking its fourth full year in a bear market. It also fell from the perspective of the Swiss franc, British pound and Japanese yen. However, gold prices quoted in other major currencies show a different picture.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 14, 2016

UBS Warns Stock Market “Rolling Over” – “Buy Gold” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

UBS has warned that the seven-year cycle in equities is rolling over, we could see a sharp 30% correction in stocks and that as per the headline of their ‘Technical Outlook 2016′, it is time to “buy gold”.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 14, 2016

The Scariest Commodity Market Chart on the Planet / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Rambus_Chartology

Excerpt from Tonight's Wednesday Report

The implications of this 60 year quarterly chart for the CRB index is staggering if it completes this impulse move down which so far has been working out beautifully. Again on this massive time scale you can see an unbalanced H&S top that measures out to just below the major support zone at the bottom of the chart.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 14, 2016

How Precious Metals Investors Can Trump the Establishment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

As the presidential primaries quickly approach, the establishment is in panic mode over the prospect of losing control. It’s not just about Donald Trump. The political class, the “mainstream” media, Wall Street, and the central banking cartel are all losing credibility in the eyes of the public.

2016 is shaping up as the year of “We’re not gonna take it anymore” – in more ways than one. It’s an encouraging development for precious metals investors and sound money advocates.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, January 14, 2016

Crude Oil Price Crash Catastrophe, Independant Scotland Literally Begging to Rejoin the UK / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The oil price collapse of 2015 has continued into 2016 with the price of oil plunging to a 12 year low of $29, less than 1/3rd of just over a year ago at the time of the Scottish Independence mania that surrounded the Independence Referendum on the backs of an oil price of over $100 which had the Scottish Nationalists fantasising of the oil price heading to $120 and beyond, as part of painting a propaganda picture of an Independent Scotland Utopia to be built on tens of billions of free money each year in the form of tax revenues from a perpetually expanding north sea oil industry. Not only were the nationalist convinced of the oil price soaring soaring into the stratosphere but would heavily round on anyone that suggested that oil prices could actually fall as being Unionist propaganda.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

WTIC Crude Oil and Silver Charts / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Gary_Savage

At 63% below the 200 week moving average the price of oil has gone "parabolic" to the downside. Silver is due for an intermediate degree rally. Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

Paper Gold: Utopia for Alchemists / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

John Hathaway, respected authority on the gold market and senior portfolio manager with Tocqueville Asset Management has written an excellent research paper on the fundamentals driving the gold market today.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Peak Bull Crap - How Oil Futures Curve Have Little Predictive Value / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EconMatters

The oil market is the hot market right now from a news generation standpoint. But there are a lot of people writing and even trading in the oil market that frankly don`t have any clue what they are talking about. I have read some real rubbish the last few months regarding the oil market, and with the recent fall in prices, the last few days have been characterized by peak bull crap. Maybe if anything else this is an indication of the bottoming process in oil. Sort of like all those do it yourself Gold Mining shows hitting the reality television scene pretty much nailing the near term top in the gold market.
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Commodities

Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Silver, Silliness, Gold, and Risk / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

The movie “The Big Short” features Michael Burry.  His statement from Zerohedge:

“It seems the world is headed toward negative real interest rates on a global scale.  This is toxic.  Interest rates are used to price risk, and so in the current environment, the risk pricing mechanism is broken.”

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Sales Surge After U.S. Mint Quadruples Silver Eagles Allocation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

American Eagle silver coin sales jumped on Monday after the U.S. Mint said it set the first weekly allocation of 2016 at 4 million ounces, roughly four times the amount rationed in the last five months of 2015, after a surge in demand.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Betrayed By The Gold Silver Ratio ? Gold Bug heresy?  / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Denali_Guide

“ET TU BRUTE ?” “Cuo Bono ?”

         “It's a long time from now to never....” Says 'John Snow' in Game of Thrones. In my opinion, probably as far as from here / now to “It must go back to....” uttered so much in  the worship of the Gold Silver Ratio (GSR).   And yet it doesn't, at least not until you suffer your stops being run and a loss of capital, or worse.  Your Capital was just betrayed at the hands of The GSR.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Here is How You Fix the Oil Market / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EconMatters

The Mining Industry Approach

I hate always being the smartest person in the room, because I end up doing my job and everyone else`s as well. But here is a giant freebie for all those stupid, clueless oil executives out there in North America. What you are currently doing - or not doing by being effectively a deer stuck in headlights - isn`t working. You cannot take a clue from the miserable strategy employed be the mining industry where they are waiting for each other to go out of business, meanwhile the entire industry as a group is sinking like the Titanic.
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, January 11, 2016

Crude Oil Price Closed Week under 2009 Low! / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions (with a stop-loss order at $39.12) are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
On Friday, crude oil lost 1.14% as concerns over a global supply glut, the situation in China and the Middle East continued to weigh on investors sentiment. Thanks to these circumstances, light crude closed the week under the 2009 low. Does it mean that we’ll see a test of the barrier of $30 in the coming weeks?

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Commodities

Monday, January 11, 2016

The “Hanging in There” Game for Oil Producers / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: EconMatters

9.2 Million Barrels

The latest EIA report shows the US Production rate steady and holding at the 9.2 million barrels per day. And although there have been some anecdotal reports out of Canada at the start of the year on this recent down leg in oil prices, that this has triggered them to shut down production, that at these prices it makes no sense to continue operations; the rest of the beleaguered producers in the oil space are continuing to operate and hold on throwing more bad money after bad money.

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Commodities

Monday, January 11, 2016

Must See Presentation: “Wealth” of “Positive Catalysts” for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Grant Williams gave another must see presentation at the Mines and Money Conference in London last month, laying out why he believes the gold price is languishing despite a wealth of what would ordinarily be “positive catalysts.”

Williams’ presentation is titled “Gold: The Unsurance Policy — Love It or Loathe It.” It is 28 minutes long and can be viewed here:

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