Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, October 20, 2016
Gold Bull Market Still Intact, But... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Hubert_Moolman
The gold bull market is still very much intact. In fact, it appears that the all-time high could be taken out real soon.
However, on the chart there is an obstacle that the gold price has to overcome. Another failure at this obstacle, and we could have a bigger drop than the one of a few weeks ago.
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Wednesday, October 19, 2016
Gold doesn’t care who wins the US Election / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Michael_J_Kosares
Founder, USAGOLD and author of The ABCs of Gold Investing – How to Protect and Build Your Wealth with Gold
“Gold prices have enjoyed a hefty climb so far this year as the market continues to guess the pace and timing of the next U.S. interest-rate hike, but the battle for the U.S. presidency is set to take center stage as Election Day nears. And it doesn’t matter if Republican Party nominee Donald Trump or Democratic Party nominee Hillary Clinton moves on to be the next president of the United States—gold is likely to come out a winner, George Milling-Stanley, head of gold investment strategy at State Street Global Advisors.” –– Myra Saefong/MarketWatch/10-19-2016
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Wednesday, October 19, 2016
Attention Please: Phase Two of the Gold and Silver Train Now leaving the Station. All Aboard? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Peter_Degraaf
Phase One began in January 2016, and slowed down from July until early October. (Charts in this commentary are courtesy Stockcharts.com, unless indicated).
Wednesday, October 19, 2016
GDX Gold Stocks Chart of the Day / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Gary_Savage
GDX has now completed a weekly swing barring a complete reversal the rest of the week. This deep into an intermediate decline a swing stacks the odds heavily in favor of the correction being over. The metals should now rally for the next 3-4 months.
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Wednesday, October 19, 2016
How Will the Election Outcome Impact Precious Metals? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: MoneyMetals
By Clint Siegner writes: Metals investors wonder what this presidential election will mean for gold and silver markets. Since Nixon closed the gold window in 1971 and the years of price inflation that followed, presidents have largely ignored gold, the Federal Reserve, and other issues related to sound money. Today, the devaluation of the Federal Reserve Note – the explosion of debt and the eternal deficits which enrich bankers and the political class at the expense of the rest of us – is getting harder to ignore.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Tesla, Apple and Uber Push Lithium Prices Even Higher / Commodities / Lithium
By: OilPrice_Com
After more than tripling in price this year, Lithium is no longer that dull commodity we take for granted in our consumer electronics: It’s the commodity powering the next, undeniable energy revolution. The tight supply picture emerging as electric cars, mega-batteries and massive energy storage solutions become the cornerstones of our lives could be on the edge of turning new lithium explorers into the next barons.
Lithium now appears to be at a crucial moment in time: The moment when profits in the industry begin to elevate market valuations, and when consolidation starts to boost gains for all those junior explorers who have been scooping up land in the world’s lithium sweet spots.
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Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Silver Price Discovery – It’s Still a Fixing / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Absurdities continue in the world of derivative or electronic or paper silver. In what will someday be viewed as the monumental public relations miracle that it is, the silver fix has been transplanted into just another body riddled with cancer.
Below I’ve collected and commented on one of the most prevalent stories characterizing the announcement.
The essence of this is moderately transparent. The banks need to avoid more public relations disasters. They are certainly in for enough as it is.
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Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Silver, Debt, and Deficits – From an Election Year Perspective / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: DeviantInvestor
It is an election year. We should anticipate 8 years of upcoming trauma, following nearly 8 years of “hope and change,” after 8 years of “no nation building,” after 8 years of “I did not have sexual relations with that woman.”
Examine the official US national debt in 8 fiscal year increments (10/1/84 – 9/30/92 etc.) using linear and log scales.
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Monday, October 17, 2016
This Past Week in Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in gold and silver markets, noting COT data is showing signs of a bottom.
Monday, October 17, 2016
December Might Be the Next Buying Opportunity in Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: John_Mauldin
By Jake Weber, Garret/Galland Research
There’s no doubt gold has had a good run in 2016. Its recent selloff has caused it to give up most of its post-Brexit gain. Still, the yellow metal is up nearly 20% on the year. And a new buying opportunity may be on the horizon.
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Monday, October 17, 2016
Gold Prices Set For Further Losses Amid Rising Rate Hike Likelihood / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: AnyOption
After briefly crossing back below the critical $1250 per troy ounce level again on Friday, gold are once again poised to experience an extended period of losses on the back of rate hike speculation. Even though Wall Street was not pleased by the latest jobs figures reported earlier in the month, expectations are for inflation to continue trending higher, adding to the case for the Federal Reserve to raise rates in December. While there are still significant developments that could derail the possibility between now and November, namely another slowdown in US fundamentals, the external risk factors that emerged over the summer have since tapered. The US dollar continues to reflect this sentiment, increasing the probability of tighter monetary policy and improving opportunities in fixed income investments, reducing the value of holding gold as a hedge.
Sunday, October 16, 2016
More Good News For Gold Bugs: The Bottom Is Getting Closer / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: John_Rubino
In the latest gold and silver commitment of traders (COT) report (click here for an explanation of what this report involves), paper players made big strides in bringing the market back into balance — and setting the stage for an eventual rebound.
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Saturday, October 15, 2016
The Gold Manipulators Not Only Will Be Punished, They Have Been Punished / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
I have not gone off the deep end and joined the “community” of boosters, promoters, pompom waving cheering squads and general cult figures who you can just tell not only want you to adore gold, but in some cases need you to act on your adoration and buy gold or gold stocks. Read into that what you will, but the history of investors burned by the pitch, which tugs at peoples’ morals, sense of right and wrong and plain old common sense, is a long and storied one.
Saturday, October 15, 2016
Gold is Oversold on Misplaced Expectations of a 2016 Rate Hike / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jason_Hamlin
Gold investors know that the metal has been under pressure due to expectations of a FED rate hike in 2016. Many believe that an increase in the FED funds rate would support the dollar and send prices for precious metals lower. This has been a key driver of the decline in the gold price to support at $1,250, the 200-day moving average.
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Saturday, October 15, 2016
Gold Stocks Corrections in Bull Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The gold stocks are clearly in correction mode. The large caps (HUI, GDX) have corrected 30% while the juniors (GDXJ) have held up well in comparison by correcting the same amount. Given a number of factors (the size of the previous advance, the recent technical damage, stronger US$ index and rising yields) the gold stocks should continue to correct and consolidate in a larger sense. To gauge a potential path forward we present a new analog chart and compare the current correction to those from past markets.
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Friday, October 14, 2016
Gold Stocks Screaming Buy / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Zeal_LLC
The gold miners’ stocks are suffering from universal and overwhelming bearishness today, with nearly everyone expecting further selling. That’s the natural reaction following this sector’s recent massive correction, which climaxed in one of its biggest daily plummets ever witnessed. But within bull markets, there’s no better time to buy aggressively than deep in a major selloff that’s riddled with great doubt and fear.
The core mission of speculation and investment is so simple even children can easily grasp it, buy low sell high. The great challenges arise not from understanding, but execution. Actually buying low then selling high in real markets is exceedingly unnatural and uncomfortable. It requires traders to overcome their own greed and fear to do the exact opposite of everything their own instincts are screaming to do.
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Friday, October 14, 2016
“Gold Is A Great Hedge Against Politicians” – Goldman Sachs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
Gold has risen another 1.7% in British pound terms this week and is 1.8% higher in euro terms and is again acting as a hedge against currency devaluations, Brexit, eurozone and heightened political and geo-political risk in the UK, EU, U.S. and most of the world.
Gold is marginally higher in dollar terms this week after surging on the open in Asia on Sunday night. Gold quickly rose 1% from $1,251/oz to $1,264/oz as China and the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) began trading again after being closed for the Chinese Golden Week.
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Friday, October 14, 2016
How Could Helicopter Money Affect the Gold Market? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Since the NIRP has not yielded the expected results – it could have actually weakened the condition of the banking sector and its ability to expand lending – a hot debate about the use of another weapon in the central banks’ heroic struggle with the deflationary pressure started. We mean of course helicopter money, also called monetary finance or money-financed fiscal programs. Supporters argue that it is a necessary option to revive economic growth and generate inflation, while opponents consider it a fancy name for printing money and monetizing fiscal deficits. Who is right and what does it imply for the gold market?
Thursday, October 13, 2016
Tiptoeing Back into the Gold Miners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger explains why he sees a "bottom in the cards," and outlines a trading plan to capitalize on the turnaround.
Thursday, October 13, 2016
The Structure and Future of Gold in the Investment and Monetary World / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Julian_DW_Phillips
This article looks at factors that will affect gold and silver prices as we go forward. We have to say they are considerable and will lead to our conclusion that while the gold price has fallen through support below $1,300 and now stand at $1,250, we see the fundamentals taking the price back higher and much higher over time. Indeed we do see it rising through its all time peak in the next year and beyond. We will also highlight the fact that such a rise will occur in all currencies as they weaken against the gold price.