Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, March 21, 2016

Crude Oil Price Action & Forecast / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Recently, Light Crude has seen a dramatic 35%+ increase in value.  As the current price continue to flirt with $40 per barrel, the likelihood of a further price rise is on everyone’s mind.  With recent lows near $26 per barrel, what is the possibility that oil will form a base above $30 and attempt a rally?

Historically, the 2009 low price for oil was $33.20.  This level should be viewed as a key level of support for current price action.  The recent price rotation below this level is a sign that oil prices are under extreme pressure in the current economic environment with a supply glut and slower than expected demand.

Monday, March 21, 2016

Silver – A Long-Term Perspective / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

We all know silver is volatile.  When gold rallies, silver usually rallies faster and farther, particularly after the rally has been well established.

Volatility is not a reason to avoid silver.  Instead, now is a time to continue stacking.  Yes, silver almost certainly will correct many times, but examine the big picture.

Over the past 50 years prices for stocks, silver, gold, crude oil, health care, and presidential elections have increased exponentially, mainly due to massive increases in debt (see graph below) and devaluations of currencies.  Expect exponential price increases to continue.

Monday, March 21, 2016

Gold Silver Ratio Says It’s Time to Buy Silver, Sell Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Silver remains undervalued versus gold and the gold silver ratio suggests “selling the former” and “buying the latter” according to a Bloomberg article published today.

Monday, March 21, 2016

Silver Price About to Slump Lower / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Clive_Maund

Whilst silver had a good week last week, outperforming gold and rising to multi-month new high, it looks like that may have been its "swan song" for a while. It looks quite positive at first sight on its latest 6-month chart with the new high and moving averages starting to swing into a more positive alignment, but once you "look under the hood" you quickly realize things are not so good at all.

Monday, March 21, 2016

Gold Price Intermediate Top / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Clive_Maund

All the technical evidence suggests that gold is building out an intermediate top area here, which fits with the fundamental situation where complacency and "risk on" are making a comeback, thanks to the boundless generosity of Central Bankers.

Starting with gold's 6-month chart we see that after its parabolic ramp up in January and early February, it has been struggling to make further progress. The supposed (by some) bull Flag or Pennant turned out to be false and although it has edged ahead a little, the passage of time has resulted in its breaking down from the parabola simply by moving sideways, which has, unknown to many, opened up the risk of a potentially severe drop. The most plausible interpretation of pattern development since the parabolic blowoff spike in early - mid February is that it is a bearish Rising Wedge, which the price broke down from about a week ago, before a backtest of the breakdown point with the big up day last Wednesday when the Fed didn't raise rates, which triggered panic short covering.

Saturday, March 19, 2016

Gold And Silver - Shanghai Exchange Effect On Silver? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_Noonan

The trend for silver remains down, for now, but there is something going on within this market that does not confirm a change in trend but "appears" to be indicting a one. It has been acknowledged that the fundamentals for both silver and gold are overwhelmingly positive, yet price has not responded. More accurately, price has not been allowed to respond by the globalist's manipulation via their central banks, in general, and specifically by the both military and money might of the also manipulated United States, the federal corporate government version.

Saturday, March 19, 2016

Precious Metals Ignore Correction Calls  / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold and gold stocks have refused to correct for more than a few days at a time. Weakness is being bought and quickly. Gold has gained over $200/oz but not corrected by more than 6%. The miners (GDX) have endured three roughly 10% corrections in the past six weeks but nothing greater. A few weeks ago we noted a comparison to the 2008 rally which hinted that miners could correct 20% before moving higher. So far, no dice. Many gold bulls continue to expect a correction while losing sight of the bigger picture: precious metals are in a new bull market.

Saturday, March 19, 2016

The Coming Gold Mania - How to Make 10, 20, Even 50 Times Your Money / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Casey_Research

By Justin Spittler

Regular readers know why I believe the gold price is poised to move from its current level of $1,250 per ounce to $1,500…$2,000…and eventually past $3,000.

Right now, we are exiting the eye of the giant financial hurricane that we entered in 2007, and we’re going into its trailing edge. It’s going to be much more severe, different, and longer lasting than what we saw in 2008 and 2009.

Friday, March 18, 2016

Gold Stocks Tiny Baby Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold stocks have radically outperformed every other sector in the stock markets this year, blasting higher as investors flock back to gold.  This powerful surge is spawning worries that gold stocks’ new bull run is in danger of exhausting itself.  But such fears are totally unfounded.  A longer-term perspective reveals that gold stocks’ baby bull market in 2016 remains tiny in the grand scheme.  This new bull has barely begun.

Successfully buying low and selling high to multiply wealth in the markets demands traders overcome their own innate greed and fear.  These ever-present emotions are constantly warring in traders’ minds, impairing their judgment.  One consequence of heeding these dangerous emotions is the tyranny of the present.  Traders naturally tend to overweight the present and forget the past, which leads to poor decisions.

Friday, March 18, 2016

Silver Price Soars 4%, Gold Consolidates On Federal Reserve / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Silver rose 2% yesterday and has surged 4% this week to over $16 per ounce as the Federal Reserve flip flopped regarding interest rates and lowered its expectations for rate rises this year from four back to two or just one rate rise due to “global risks.”

Friday, March 18, 2016

Comex Gold Rigging – Fact or Myth? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The U.S. gold market is second, after the London gold market, as the most important center for gold trading. Although the U.S. has a well-developed OTC spot market for gold, it primarily trades paper gold, i.e. gold derivatives (futures and options) and ETFs. The first gold futures market was established in Winnipeg, Canada, at the Winnipeg Commodity Exchange in 1972, but when private gold trading again became legal in the U.S. a few years later, Americans jumped at the opportunity and opened their futures markets. In December, 1974, the Commodity Exchange Inc. (Comex), launched gold futures trading and quickly gained a dominant position. Although the volume built up slowly, the trading expanded and Comex launched gold option trading in 1982 (options are on gold futures, not on the bullion itself). In 1994, Comex merged with the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex), officially becoming its division responsible for metal trading. Since 2008, Nymex and Comex have been owned and operated by the CME Group, the largest derivatives marketplace in the world.

Friday, March 18, 2016

Unlocking Value into the Oil Bear / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: The_Energy_Report

The low price of oil has meant that a lot of companies are going broke, but not so with Torchlight Energy. A subsidiary of D.R. Horton is spending $50 million, fully funding the development of Torchlight's Orogrande project over the next 24 months.

Torchlight Energy Resources Inc. (TRCH:NASDAQ) is out with an update that comes roughly 30 days after the company updated venture investors that it had decided to move on from the successful drilling and data capture of its Rich A-11 well, up to that point its primary valuation-driving well in the all-important Orogrande project. This new update is more comprehensive; Torchlight Energy updated investors as to progress being made regarding its Marcelina Creek and Orogrande projects, as well as provided a merger-and-acquisition update regarding its Hunton assets, which are currently being marketed.

Thursday, March 17, 2016

Gold and Silver March Madness / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jesse

"The main thing is that the debt is in dollars. So we can't run out of cash--we print the stuff. Suppose that foreigners decide we're not reliable. How does that drive up interest rates? The Fed controls short-term interest rates, and long-term interest rates reflect expected short rates. How's that supposed to happen?" Paul Krugman, Interview on CNNMoney

Well, at least now we know why gold was knocked down lower in the paper trading earlier this week.

Thursday, March 17, 2016

Fractal Analysis Shows Coming 70s Style Gold Stocks Rally From Even Cheaper Levels / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Hubert_Moolman

In terms of the gold price, gold stocks are currently at better value than at the beginning of the bull market in 2001. In 2001, at the bottom of the gold bull market, the XAU to Gold ratio was around 0.2 compared to 0.05 today. In other words, gold stocks are cheaper than they were in 2001. In fact, they are cheaper than they have been the last 78 years at least.

If you are confident that the gold bull market is about to continue, and trust gold stocks as the best  “vehicle” to take advantage of the gold bull market, then it is probably an ideal time to get into these gold stocks.

Thursday, March 17, 2016

Oil Price Won't Stage A Serious Rebound Until This Happens / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Oil prices have shown signs of life over the past few weeks, as production declines in the U.S. raise expectations that the market is starting to adjust. As a result, Brent crude recently surpassed $40 per barrel for the first time in months.

A growling list of companies are capitulating, announcing production cuts for 2016. Continental Resources, for example, could see output fall by 10 percent. A range of other companies have made similar announcements in recent weeks. The energy world has been speculating about declines from U.S. shale, and the declines are finally starting to show up in the data.

Wednesday, March 16, 2016

Gold and Silver Vultures / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jesse

"We see dimly in the Present what is small and what is great,
Slow of faith how weak an arm may turn the iron helm of fate,
But the soul is still oracular; amid the market's din,
List the ominous stern whisper from the Delphic cave within,—
'They enslave their children's children who make compromise with sin.'

Truth forever on the scaffold, Wrong forever on the throne,—
Yet that scaffold sways the future, and, behind the dim unknown,
Standeth God within the shadow, keeping watch above his own." James Russell Lowell

Wednesday, March 16, 2016

David Morgan: Silver Supply under $16 Is Limited. Serious Backlash Coming If Futures Market Breaks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason, Money Metals Exchange: I'm happy to welcome back our good friend David Morgan of TheMorganReport.com and author of the book The Silver Manifesto . David it's a pleasure to talk to you as always, how are you?

David Morgan, The Morgan Report: I'm doing well, thank you for having me on your show.

Mike Gleason: Well to start out I'll ask you to comment on the market action here in 2016 so far. Now, gold and silver have done quite well, we had gold advancing on weakness and concerns in the equities markets earlier in the year. In March, we've seen it continue to do well even as stocks rebounded from a strong employment report. One would think it's a bullish sign when we get good price action even with supposedly negative news for precious metals coming out. So give us your thoughts on the market action so far this year, David, and specifically why do you think the metals have done so well here in the early part of 2016?

Wednesday, March 16, 2016

Crude Oil Price Due for a Pit Stop / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Ed_Carlson

Crude gained $2.58 last week to close at 38.50 - on the declining trendline and the 50% retracement of the October decline. My bandwidth indicator has turned down indicating that the rally is long-in-the-tooth. On Friday, crude tested 39.00 which makes the February rally equal to 150% of the January rally; a natural stopping point.

Tuesday, March 15, 2016

Zero-Hour for the Precious Metals… - / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Just as the world was breathing a massive and collective sigh of relief that a new bull market in gold and silver had arrived with all the pomp and pageantry of a Royal Wedding, the Barbarians climbed the walls and are now very close to razing the palace, says precious metals expert Michael Ballanger.

Tuesday, March 15, 2016

Gold and Silver Rally Could Have Durability – SWOT Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Gold and silver’s fundamentals look good and the rally in bullion and gold stocks may have durability points out Frank Holmes of U.S. Funds writing in Gold Seek today.

In his weekly SWOT analysis – strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats – of the precious metal markets, Holmes notes that: