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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, March 28, 2014

Silver Prices Heading Lower As the Bears Tighten Their Grip / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Bob_Kirtley

Every picture tells a story and silver’s story is not a pretty one as the above chart clearly depicts.

I’m not convinced that the June low was the final low for this prolonged bear period that currently exists within this precious metals bull market. A final capitulation could be on the cards and arrive sometime this summer, maybe May/June time.

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Commodities

Thursday, March 27, 2014

Gold and Silver Go From Bearish to More Bearish / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion short speculative positions in gold (half), silver (half) and mining stocks (full) are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

The decline in the precious metals sector continues, as indicated in the previous alerts. Gold, silver and mining stocks have declined once again and appear to be headed lower also today. Did yesterday’s price action change anything? Let’s take a look (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com). Today we will start with silver and mining stocks.

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Commodities

Thursday, March 27, 2014

Global Risks Creating Opportunities in This Precious Metal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DailyGainsLetter

George Leong writes: While the stock market has been struggling this year, under the radar, gold has been moving higher.

The tense stand-off in Crimea is clearly adding some support to gold, as an outbreak there could drive the precious metal much higher in the short term.

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Commodities

Thursday, March 27, 2014

Two More Reasons to Be Bullish on Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DailyGainsLetter

Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: Earlier in the year, gold bullion prices were going higher, and we heard the skeptics say, “They will decline. Don’t buy the precious metal; it’s useless.” They turned out to be very wrong. Now, gold bullion prices are seeing a minute pullback. With this, we are once again hearing the same thing: ditch gold and buy something else has become the mantra.

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Commodities

Thursday, March 27, 2014

Gold and Silver Prices Testing Critical Technical Support Levels / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jason_Hamlin

Gold and silver are testing key technical support levels this week. Some analysts have already flipped their outlook to bearish over the past few days, but I believe the uptrend remains intact as long as current support levels are not breached.

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Commodities

Wednesday, March 26, 2014

April Fools’ drop dead date for the Volcker Rule – what it might mean for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_J_Kosares

It could get to be interesting as we move into the end of the month. The Volcker Rule which limits banks’ speculative investments (including gold) goes into effect April 1, 2014. There has probably already been quite a bit of adjustment to bank portfolios, but those who have held out will need to make their moves before the deadline.

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Commodities

Wednesday, March 26, 2014

Depressed Copper Prices Presenting Perfect Buy-Low, Sell-High Opportunity? / Commodities / Copper

By: DailyGainsLetter

Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: By now, you have probably noticed one phenomenon: the speculations regarding China’s growth are increasing each day. Turning on the TV or flipping through the pages of the newspaper, you’ll likely hear and read all about how the second-biggest economic hub in the global economy will tumble.

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Commodities

Wednesday, March 26, 2014

Gold Price Projection by the Golden Ratio / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Trader_MC

This article shows how Gold has been following the Golden Ratio which predicted all the major turning points with a high degree of accuracy for the past thirty years, and reveals the next possible major turning points. The Golden Ratio 1.618034… (also called the Golden Number, the Golden Section or the Golden Mean) can be found everywhere around us from mathematics to architecture, from nature to our own anatomy. But as you can see in the following analysis, it can also be found in the Gold Metal Charts.

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 25, 2014

Why Nickel May Be Just Beginning a Major Price Breakout Move / Commodities / Nickel

By: Jeb_Handwerger

Governments around the world especially in the emerging economies are now beginning to worry about inflation and currency devaluation.  Turkey and India have taken emergency measures to increase rates and the U.S. is tapering as there are growing concerns about significant declines in their respective fiat currencies.  Even the Russians and Chinese are concerned.  The ruble and yuan are hitting new lows.  Paper currencies may be on the verge of failing.  Eventually, a new currency backed by gold (GLD) or silver (SLV) could be established to restore trust.

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 25, 2014

2014 Year of Commodities (March Update) / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

That 2013 was a year when equities ruled supreme is now well recorded history. Generally speaking, expectations at the end of the year were that 2014 would be more of the same. Among the popularly reported forecasts were the S&P 500 going to 2,000 while $Gold would plunge to $1,050. While the calendar will ultimately decide the wisdom of those forecasts, reality is already casting doubt on them. Perhaps the numbers in those forecasts were inadvertently switched.

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 25, 2014

Crude Oil Price Still Remains Below Important Resistance / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short. Stop-loss orders for crude oil and WTI Crude Oil (CFD): $102.95.

On Friday, crude oil gained 0.95% as concerns about economic sanctions against Russia weighted on the price. In this way, light crude climbed above $100 for the first time since March 11. Despite this increase, crude oil gave up the gains in the following hours and finished the day below this important barrier once again.

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 25, 2014

Gold and Silver Price Breakdown Confirmation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion short speculative positions in silver (half) and mining stocks (full) are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Friday was generally a calm day in the precious metals market and for the currency indices. The initial moves higher (in the early part of the session) were mostly invalidated later on and overall not much changed at the first sight. On second look, the lack of rally confirmed the breakdown in mining stocks. Let's take a look (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com):

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Commodities

Monday, March 24, 2014

Junior Gold Mining Stocks to Beat Previous Highs / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Casey_Research

By Laurynas Vegys, Research Analyst

Despite last week’s pullback, the precious metals market is off to an impressive start in 2014. Gold is up 10.6%, silver 4.3%, and the PHLX Gold/Silver (XAU) 17.1%. Gold, in particular, had a great February, rising above $1,300 for the first time since November 7, 2013.

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Commodities

Monday, March 24, 2014

The Run On U.S. Gold Continues.... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Steve_St_Angelo

So where is China getting all of its gold?  One of the large sources turns out to be the United States.  The U.S. experienced another record year of net gold exports in 2013.  Not only were gold exports at record levels, imports into the U.S. fell nearly half compared to 2010.

If we look at the chart below, U.S. gold exports in 2010 were 383 metric tons (mt), however by 2013, they increased 81% to 692 mt.  In addition, U.S. gold imports fell 48% from 604 mt in 2010 to 313 mt in 2013.

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Commodities

Monday, March 24, 2014

Gold Golden Double Cross and Gold Miner Breadth Oscillator / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Submissions

Denaliguide Summit writes: GOLDENLY DOUBLE CROSSED & "ROYALLY SCREWED"?

Just like one of the hopeless heroines ("Reign", Episode 13) in a TV series I think we the PM Investing Public have been nakedly screwed in front of the entire world, looking on and snickering as we lie there supine and helpless as the KING OF FRAUDS, CRIMEX, IMO, has his way with us. The KING of FRAUDS has been painting a picture for everyone to see, whilst debauching every PM Investor with every price it paints.

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Commodities

Monday, March 24, 2014

Profit from the End of the Secret Gold Price "Fix" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: For nearly 100 years the London gold price fix has been widely used as an industry benchmark.

Its goal was to determine a price for gold that bullion dealers, jewelers, miners, and central banks could use to value their metal.

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Commodities

Monday, March 24, 2014

Gold Golden Cross Is Not Always a Positive Indicator / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Bob_Kirtley

An exciting major event is about to occur in the precious metals arena this very week and you will no doubt see many references to it and that is formation of Golden Cross. Gold bugs including me will be looking for this event to become the ignition for gold to rally to much higher ground.

We will commence with a definition of a Golden Cross as defined by Stockcharts.com: A signal where the shorter moving average moves above the longer moving average. Usually, this term is associated with the 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day moving average.

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Commodities

Monday, March 24, 2014

Inflection Points for Gold, Silver and the U.S. Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Rambus_Chartology

As we all know last week was a tough week in the PM sector. The real question we have to ask is whether this was just a short term correction in the uptrend that started at the December low or is this the end of the three month rally? We’ll look at some charts to see if we can answer this question.

Lets start with the BPGDM chart that I showed you last week which was real close to giving a sell signal. We were just waiting for the 5 dma to cross below the 8 dma to confirm the sell signal. We got that last Friday so it’s officially on a sell signal now. The red circle shows the BPGDM is down to 36.67 with the 5 dma at 39.33 and the 8 dma now the highest at 40. This is the alignment we want to see for a sell signal.

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Commodities

Sunday, March 23, 2014

Gold Price is Likely to Keep Rallying / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Investment_U

Steve McDonald writes: If you have followed me for any amount of time, you know I am all over anything that has to do with food: seed, fertilizers, chemicals, processors. You name it, I like it.

The newest name in this absolutely essential worldwide business is FMC Corp. (NYSE: FMC). They are about to split their company into two segments. The new company will be made up of their fast growing agricultural side. The remaining business will be the more cyclical lithium and soda ash operations.

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Commodities

Saturday, March 22, 2014

Gold and Silver Hunger Games / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jesse

Last night Nick Laird showed me some excellent original data analysis from his site, Sharelynx.com, that demonstrates that a decline in the price of gold during an FOMC week is no sure thing, but more normally distributed. And we have to balance that against a different, and much less statistically robust graph, that was on ZH, and which I also presented here, that clearly showed declines in FOMC weeks, and no similar declines in off weeks, but for a much shorter period of time.

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