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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, July 12, 2013

Gold Bullion and Gold Stocks Potential Upside Price Targets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Obviously, we can't know if the bottom is in but I'll repost a chart which is my best argument for why we can expect a big rebound over the coming months. The chart shows all of the worst bear markets in gold stocks. At the top right I've annotated the ensuing recoveries. As you can see, D (the HUI from its 2011 top to last Friday's close) is extremely close to B and C in terms of depth and duration. B and C occurred in a secular bull market and were followed by 606% and 560% gains. D is also close to E which was followed by a 205% gain in seven months. A, the 2008 collapse was followed by a 324% gain in less than three years.

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Commodities

Friday, July 12, 2013

Gold Sends Signals for Financial System Breakdown on Numerous Fault Lines / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Many are the signals of breakdown, in the financial system and the Gold market. The day is near for release of gold from under the thumb of the criminal bankers. They can no longer operate in the shadows, recently in full view. The best information coming to my desk indicates that three major Western banks are under constant threat of failure overnight, every night, forcing extraordinary measures to avoid failure. They are Deutshe Bank in Germany, Barclays in London, and Citibank in New York. Judging from the ongoing defense from prosecution and cooperation (flipped) with Interpol and distraction of resources, the most likely bank to die next is Deutsche Bank. They are caught with accounting fraud and outright financial fraud over collateral shell games, pertaining to USTreasury Bonds, other sovereign bonds in Southern Europe, and OTC derivatives linked to FOREX currency contracts. D-Bank is a dead man walking.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Leaked IMF Report Shows Dangers For US Economy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dan_Amerman

A confidential internal International Monetary Fund report was recently leaked to the Wall Street Journal, with the contents later being made public by the IMF. The contents of this report have major implications for Europe, but even greater implications for the United States.

Most of the press attention is being paid to the legalities associated with the report, and revolve around what the International Monetary Fund knew, when it knew it, and whether it properly acted within its charter at various points.  However, what is being overlooked is the truly explosive information that comes in the form of what the IMF admitted (in this internal report to itself) when it came to miscalculations about "austerity", and closing budget deficits.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Gold Up Oil Down – Fundamentals Win / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Andrew_McKillop

WTI BRENT ARBITRAGE IS A RELIC
On February 8 this year Reuters reported that east hemisphere benchmark crude Brent commanded a premium of over $23 a barrel against US benchmark WTI. As of 11 July, with WTI prices soaring past $106 a barrel to reach their highest since March 2012, the premium is down 90% to $2.15 a barrel.

 Although it took a while for oil traders to adjust their minds to reality, they did adjust – downwards.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Gold Price Cycles A Low About NOW? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: DeviantInvestor

Background: Gold prices peaked in September 2011 and have dropped over one-third in the past 22 months. Sentiment by almost any measure is currently terrible. Few in the US are interested in gold (although gold is selling well in China), most have lost money (on paper) if they bought in the last two years, and the emotional pain seems considerable. It reminds me of the S&P, gold, and silver crashes in 2008-9.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Gold Jumps Nearly $50, Correction Over? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Mike_Shedlock

Inquiring minds note the interesting action in gold today following the non-news from the FOMC minutes from June 18 that the Bernanke Fed is not quite ready to tighten.

(See FOMC Minutes and Economic Projections: Dissent in Both Directions; Confused?)

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Commodities

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Gold Traders Urged to 'Buy Dips' as Gold Price Eases Back Bernanke Jump / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

WHOLESALE prices for gold retreated from an overnight surge to nearly $1300 per ounce in London trade Thursday morning, while world stock markets ticked higher with major government bonds and commodities.

Gold's earlier 4.0% jump came after Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke confirmed that the US central bank will maintain its "highly accommodative monetary policy for the foreseeable future [because it] is what's needed."

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Commodities

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Gold Major Cycle Turn Today / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The higher retracement in gold prompted me to re-examine the Cycles Model. In doing so, I discovered that the red Master Cycle completed 235 days on June 28. In it were 4 Trading Cycles, averaging 58.5 days each and 5 Primary Cycles, averaging 47 days each. One of the ways to determine whether this is correct is that the lesser cycles will stretch or shrink to fit the Master Cycle, which we can see in the chart.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Gold Surges $50 As Brinks Sees 55% Decline In Gold Inventories / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,280.75, EUR 981.87 and GBP 848.91 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,252.25, EUR 977.02 and GBP 840.78 per ounce.

Gold climbed $2.70 or 0.22% yesterday and closed at $1,251.10/oz. Silver fell $0.07 or 0.36% and closed at $19.15 prior to some sparks that were seen in after hours and Asian trading.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Inside the White Hot Chinese Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jan_Skoyles

In the next part of our on-going look at the global gold market we now turn our attention to the Shanghai Gold Exchange. An exchange which has received more interest of late, than any other in the world of gold and silver.

Previously we have looked at the global gold market, COMEX, and more recently the London Gold Market. The next logical focus of our investigations is the Shanghai Gold Exchange. We also have a great infographic providing you with the top figures.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Crude Oil Myths and Why WTI Is a Short / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EconMatters

The Cushing Myth

"Going along with 'drill, drill, drill' is now 'ship, ship, ship,' " said John Kilduff, energy analyst with Again Capital.” The bottleneck has been addressed in Cushing [Okla]. We're seeing those inventories plunge. We're seeing it from all the rail movement. It's having an impact, as are the pipeline reversals."

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Commodities

Thursday, July 11, 2013

The Switch in Gold Offered Rates / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

Dead for almost a decade, gold offered rates are suddenly headline news...

The Markets in physical gold and silver can look very odd places at first glance. The price drop this year has been so aggressive, it's only making them odder.

Take the market for gold lending, for instance. Few people understand the difference between leasing and forward swaps. Nor should they care, not as a rule. Even if you really haven't got anything better to worry about, the two forms of gold lending look very similar net-net.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Something's Got to Give in the Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: The_Gold_Report

 

These are scary times for precious metal investors. Resource equities are in the tank and, adding insult to injury, the gold price took a precipitous fall just days before summer, notoriously one of the slowest seasons for precious metals. Heiko Ihle, an analyst with Euro Pacific Capital in Connecticut, tells The Gold Report that something has to give. And soon. Ihle sets out a likely scenario and highlights some miners that are able to produce profitably at current metals prices.

 

The Gold Report: Heiko, in late June gold had its biggest weekly drop in two years. What's your take on that?

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

Palladium Showing Great Relative Strength Versus Gold in 2013 / Commodities / Palladium

By: Jeb_Handwerger

Precious metals and oil (DBO) seem to have reversed higher last week on the military coup in Egypt. Bernanke is scheduled to speak and the markets may already be pricing in some dovish statement to alleviate fears of tapering which could cause some short covering and bargain hunting. Prices of platinum (PTM) and palladium (PALL) continue to outperform other metals such as gold (GLD), silver (SLV) and copper (JJC) over the past 9 months. For many months, I have been warning my readers about the growing risks to platinum and palladium supply as labor strikes intensify in South Africa.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

Rising Borrowing Costs Nudge Gold Price Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

WHOLESALE prices for gold rose 1.1% in Asian and London trade Wednesday morning, nearing yesterday's 1-week highs at $1260 per ounce as the rate for leasing and borrowing gold rose further.

Silver prices rose 1.8% from an overnight low at $19.05 per ounce.

Equity markets slipped while commodities rose with major government bond prices, nudging 10-year US Treasury yields further back from Monday's 2.73% – their highest level since August 2011.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

Will Gold Prices Rise or Will the Bear Market Continue? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Money_Morning

Diane Alter writes: Will gold prices rise in 2013, or will the bear market continue in the second half of the year?

The bears have certainly been loud this year, as short-term bets against gold paid off in the first half of 2013. Gold lost 27% in Q1, the worst first-half performance since 1981.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

If You Own Gold, You Must See This Chart… / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: What I'm about to say will challenge even the most steadfast gold bears - or anyone for that matter right now who thinks that gold has seen its better days.

The chart below tells a story - a big story. In fact, I encourage you to forward this email to anyone you know who serious about his money.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

Gold Market Structure - Little Red Riding Hood / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jesse

We have not seen a market structure like this since the beginning of 2009. It appears to be tilted towards a significant trend change.

Although we have to remember that this structure is on the COMEX, which is becoming a market involved largely in the movement of paper, rather than a mechanism for the efficient discovery of price and the allocation of capital to resources.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

What the Fundamentals Say about Gold Prices! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

We are expanding on the small piece we gave subscribers last week, where we took the gold market over the last two months and adjusted the Demand/Supply numbers in line with the fall in the gold price.

'Bear Raid' with SPDR Gold Sales

After all the fall in the gold price was hard and fast due entirely to the bear raid in the U.S. This started in mid-April after the sales from the SPDR gold ETF had begun more than a month ahead of that. The signal for the bear raid was given when Goldman Sachs issued a recommendation to their clients to go 'short' of gold. The fall was very dramatic and shook the gold world to its roots. The volumes of physical gold that were sold were enormous. Even the Central Bank Gold Agreement limitations on gold sales (when they occurred, pre-2009) were held at 4 - 500 tonnes a year. These sales took place over three months, with the 500 tonne bear raid happening in one week.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

Crude Oil Trend Analysis / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Ed_Carlson

For several months I have been expecting a high in oil as of last Friday. A 34-month cycle (below) was my original suspicion for thinking so. But as you can see, the cycle calls for a high in June, not July. While the closing high in June has, as of last Friday, been exceeded, we won’t know where the closing high in July will be for three more weeks. Friday’s close at 103.22 is dead-on the 61.8% retracement of the 2008 bear market (as well as a declining trendline) giving us the perfect level at which to expect a possible top.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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