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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

Gold Market Structure - Little Red Riding Hood / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jesse

We have not seen a market structure like this since the beginning of 2009. It appears to be tilted towards a significant trend change.

Although we have to remember that this structure is on the COMEX, which is becoming a market involved largely in the movement of paper, rather than a mechanism for the efficient discovery of price and the allocation of capital to resources.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

What the Fundamentals Say about Gold Prices! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

We are expanding on the small piece we gave subscribers last week, where we took the gold market over the last two months and adjusted the Demand/Supply numbers in line with the fall in the gold price.

'Bear Raid' with SPDR Gold Sales

After all the fall in the gold price was hard and fast due entirely to the bear raid in the U.S. This started in mid-April after the sales from the SPDR gold ETF had begun more than a month ahead of that. The signal for the bear raid was given when Goldman Sachs issued a recommendation to their clients to go 'short' of gold. The fall was very dramatic and shook the gold world to its roots. The volumes of physical gold that were sold were enormous. Even the Central Bank Gold Agreement limitations on gold sales (when they occurred, pre-2009) were held at 4 - 500 tonnes a year. These sales took place over three months, with the 500 tonne bear raid happening in one week.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

Crude Oil Trend Analysis / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Ed_Carlson

For several months I have been expecting a high in oil as of last Friday. A 34-month cycle (below) was my original suspicion for thinking so. But as you can see, the cycle calls for a high in June, not July. While the closing high in June has, as of last Friday, been exceeded, we won’t know where the closing high in July will be for three more weeks. Friday’s close at 103.22 is dead-on the 61.8% retracement of the 2008 bear market (as well as a declining trendline) giving us the perfect level at which to expect a possible top.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

Why I’m Bullish on Gold Right Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: InvestmentContrarian

Michael Lombardi writes: What we are seeing right now in the gold bullion market is unprecedented. The mainstream media continue to rail against gold as an investment, and prominent pundits have even declared that the precious metal will decline to $1,000 or even lower. But, in my opinion, it looks like these commentators are unable to see past the recent decline in prices.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 09, 2013

Why the Gold Standard is Still Relevant / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Money_Morning

Tony Daltorio writes: This history of the gold standard explains why there's a growing group of advocates calling for its return...

President Herbert Hoover made a statement in 1933 that rang true for centuries and still rings true today for many: "We have gold because we cannot trust governments."

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 09, 2013

Russia’s Gokhran May Resume Gold, Silver Purchases Next Year / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,252.00, EUR 972.58 and GBP 840.95 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,225.50, EUR 954.22 and GBP 822.70 per ounce.

Gold rose $14.80 or 1.21% yesterday and closed at $1,236.50/oz. Silver climbed 1.06% and closed at $19.06.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 09, 2013

Telegraphing the Turnaround in Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jeff_Clark

As of last Friday, gold has now fallen as much 35.4% (based on London PM fix prices) over 96 weeks. But if you're like us, you still recognize that the core reasons for investing in gold haven't changed. People who sold their gold recently made a shortsighted decision. Before too long precious metals will rebound—and probably in a big way.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 09, 2013

The China Asian Giant Stampeding into Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Frank_Holmes

I recently discussed how traders were stampeding out of gold as a result of rising interest rates and the threat of evaporating monetary fluid that was lubricating markets. Hovering around $1,200 at the beginning of July, the gold price has completely disconnected from the precious metal's fundamentals, in my opinion. Prices have fallen too far out of fear, but the drivers for gold are still in place.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, July 09, 2013

Strategies for Success in a Bloody Gold Stocks Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: The_Gold_Report

 

 

With so many junior mining companies going into hibernation, John Kaiser of Kaiser Research Online fears that the entire mining sector could fall dormant. In this interview with The Gold Report, he outlines approaches to discovery and development that smart, nimble companies are deploying to stay alive. Whether precious, base and critical metals, or in jurisdictions as exotic as Morocco and as familiar as Nevada, these are the basics required for survival in today's brutal market.

 

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, July 08, 2013

Gold Bugs Are Still Wrong / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: On Friday, Dr. Mark Skousen wrote an Investment U column titled “In Defense of Gold… and “Gold Bugs.” Skousen is a free-market economist, a former college professor, the 30+-year editor of Forecast & Strategies, the founder of the libertarian conference FreedomFest and the author of more than 20 books. He is also a good friend and colleague.

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Commodities

Monday, July 08, 2013

Gold and Silver Enter "Summer Lull", Will Miss "Commodity Supercycle" Says SocGen / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

The GOLD PRICE ticked higher in London trade Monday morning, rising from its lowest weekly close in three years as Asian stock markets fell but Eurozone shares jumped over 2% higher.
 
Major government bonds ticked higher, easing interest rates down, while the US Dollar held steady after last week's strong gains on the currency market.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, July 08, 2013

Japan 'Insurance' Gold Buying Doubles On Yen Concerns / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,225.50, EUR 954.22 and GBP 822.70 per ounce.
Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,232.75, EUR 957.40 and GBP 822.55 per ounce.

Gold fell $31.20 or 2.49% on Friday and closed at $1,221.70/oz. Silver closed at $18.86 or slid 4.75%.

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Commodities

Monday, July 08, 2013

Porc Fest The Fiat-Free Festival / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Peter_Schiff

Mike Finger writes: June marks the beginning of summer - a season of beach vacations, garden bounties, and general disinterest in the market. It is well-known that precious metals and other commodities typically face malaise at this time of year as speculators unwind their trades and potential buyers spend their spare cash on hotel rooms and recreation.

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Commodities

Monday, July 08, 2013

The Best Reasons to Own Gold NOW! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Money_Morning

Michael Checkan writes: Whether you own gold or have been sitting on the sidelines, you must be wondering whether now is the time to buy more or to finally get in the game.

The answer is one of refreshing clarity in these uncertain times.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, July 08, 2013

Silver the Resilient Commodity Ready for a Big Comeback / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Investment_Contraria

John Paul Whitefoot writes: For many investors, 2013 was supposed to be the year that silver regained its luster. Most economists thought silver would climb as a hedge against inflation and be a devalued dollar on the heels of continued economic turmoil. Or, assuming the economic rebound was in full swing, it would grow due to industrial demand for everything from solar panels to electronics, batteries to the automotive industry.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, July 08, 2013

Silver - The Precious Metals Bellweather? Possibly / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

A shout-out to I M Vronsky and his crew, [Gold-Eagle], for reaching its 475 Millionth view since it began on 1 January 1997. Congrats!

This is a singular look at silver because of its current position on the charts that may be giving our first hint of potential bottoming activity. It is a "fashionable sport" for many to call a bottom, or a top, even though "they" are consistently wrong. No one can tell what has not yet happened, aka the future.

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Commodities

Sunday, July 07, 2013

Gold and Silver Bear Raid as Expected on Non Farm Payrolls Day / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jesse

The expected bear raid showed up right on cue.

Scroll down for intraday commentary on the Non-Farm Payrolls Report and the precious metals action.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, July 06, 2013

In Defense of Gold… and “Gold Bugs” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Investment_U

Mark Skousen writes: “Gold isn’t such a hot inflation hedge.”- Alexander Green

In his July 1 Investment U column, “Why You Still Shouldn’t Listen to Gold Bugs,” Alex Green made the bold statement that gold has been a lousy inflation hedge.

He wrote, “It hit a high of $875 an ounce in January 1980. And even though we experienced double-digit inflation that year, it lost a third of its value by Dec. 31. And it kept dropping for almost 20 years.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 06, 2013

Gold And Silver – Silver Market Sending A Message / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

When the markets “speak,” we “listen.” For all of the non-stop bullish “news” about the unprecedented demand, more for gold than silver, and all of the talk about how useless the COMEX paper market is, it has been the paper market that the forces of supply and demand have been heeding. If it were otherwise, the unprecedented demand for gold would have the price of gold higher than the bogus paper market. Yet, that has not been the case.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, July 06, 2013

Do Rising Long Interest Rates Threaten Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Zeal_LLC

As gold has plunged in the past couple months, yields on benchmark US 10-year Treasury Notes have soared.  Many Wall Street analysts claim these rising long rates are very bearish for gold, and have exacerbated its recent weakness.  Since the metal yields nothing, higher bond yields make investing in gold less attractive.  This thesis certainly sounds logical, but do rising long rates really threaten gold?

Like any market theory, this one is best tested against the record of history and precedent.  If rising or higher bond yields hammered gold prices in the past, then the gold bears’ warnings about their impact this time around are probably justified.  And given the extraordinary surge in 10y Treasury yields in the past couple months, gold investors really need to consider how these yields affected gold historically.

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