Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, January 12, 2014
New Gold Price Bull Market Cycle Has Started / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
2013 was one of the worst years for gold in a generation and the strangest part of it is that this loss came during a time in what should have been a banner year for gold.
When the Fed launched its QE1 and QE2 programs, gold posted huge gains but with QE3, we only had a brief rally in late 2012, it’s been all downhill for there.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 12, 2014
Gold Price is Going Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Two weeks ago I wrote: “Gold Probably Has Bottomed”, Last Week Gold Has Bottomed”, and this week, “Gold Is Going Higher”. Of course, there must be proof and the proof is in the Charts. Anyone who can predict for more than a few days, I don´t think they know what they are talking about. There is this Harry Dent Service you can subscribe to who says “Gold will go Up then down to $250 an ounce.” He lost my following with that statement forever. Prices do undulate, however, in waves in a Mathematical Rhythm which according to the Elliott Wave Theory. Sometimes the Five Wave Theory works and sometimes it doesn’t then the interpreter covers himself by subwaves, and if this happens and that happens. Well, the Theory seems to work if July 28th,2013 was indeed the bottom and retested in late Decemember 2013 with a confirmation on the last day of the year, December 31, 2013.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 11, 2014
Gold And Silver – There Are Reasons Greater Than Demand For Owning Them / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Here is some very cogent rationale for owning gold and silver. None pertain to the ever-ending reasons that demonstrate great demand. Everyone has been hearing about them in a steady stream for the past year, and the impact on the market has been nil. Often in tandem with the latest news, like record coin sales from...[pick a mint or country], is the lament from PM holders on where the current price of gold is, at lows for the past two + years, making many question the validity of owning PMs.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 11, 2014
Second Greatest Opportunity to Buy Gold: Empire Club Investment Outlook 2014 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Last year, a year that saw gold's greatest decline in 32 years, my book $10,000 Gold was published. How's that for timing.
However, I'm confident that gold's bullish fundamentals are still intact.
Last year the COMEX futures exchange distorted gold prices, and provided investors with the second-greatest opportunity to buy gold since 2002.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 11, 2014
Why Gold Price Suppression Can NOT Continue / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
“Market data provider Nanex in Winnetka, Illinois, tonight produces proof that Monday’s smash down in the gold futures market was not a mistaken ‘fat finger’ trade but the product of a high-frequency algorithm trading program painstakingly designed to take the market down. Nanex’s report, with great charts, is here: http://www.nanex.net/FlashCrash/OngoingResearch.html ” www.gata.org 01/08/2014
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 10, 2014
Silver Price SLV ETF Super Bullish Divergence / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Despite its miserable 2013, latent investor interest in silver remains strong. This manifested in robust worldwide demand for physical silver driven by its lower prices. The hidden strength in silver was also evident in the holdings of its flagship ETF, which held steady in defiance of plummeting silver prices. SLV’s massive bullish divergence reveals big dormant silver investment demand ready to be unleashed.
If there was ever a year to scare investors away from silver, 2013 was it. This white metal plummeted 35.6% last year, its worst calendar-year performance in 32 years! As the general stock markets melted up in response to the Fed’s epic money printing, capital fled alternative investments like precious metals so their prices utterly collapsed. Silver was largely left for dead, with only hardened contrarians remaining.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 10, 2014
Will Gold and Silver Price Increase from Here? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
In our previous article on gold, we examined the situation in the U.S. dollar and the euro as many times in the past they gave us important clues about future precious metals’ moves. At that time we wrote in the summary:
(…) gold's lack of will to really (!) react to positive news, like the dollar's huge intra-day drop, is a bearish piece of information on its own and an indication that gold is likely to move lower in the short run.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 10, 2014
Gold… The Bull vs Bear ; Checkmate or Game On ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
In Keeping with a Theme here at Rambus Chartology lets look in on the complex game being played on the Chess board that is the Precious Metals Market
Tonight I would like to show you some charts from the bull and bear side of the equation for gold. This is called an inflection point where the precious metals complex can move either way and establish some sort of short to intermediate term move. A lot of these charts you have seen before. Lets start with the bearish charts for gold which there are a lot to look at. Before we do I just want to make it perfectly clear that I’m still in the bear camp but as you will see we could have a short to intermediate rally that fits into this scenario that doesn’t change the big picture.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 10, 2014
Banking on Ethanol and High-Tech Fracking / Commodities / Energy Resources
Keith Schaefer, editor and publisher of Oil & Gas Investments Bulletin, has built an impressive track record of foreseeing structural changes in the energy industry. Schaefer knows when to take or refuse opportunities in the volatile ethanol industry, as he demonstrates in this interview with The Energy Report. And he knows how to bide his time while waiting for catalytic moments—the singular events that can make all the difference between survival and extinction for a junior oil and gas company struggling to raise above the fray in the fracking fields.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 09, 2014
Violence Threatens to Thwart Iraqi Crude Oil Resurgence / Commodities / Crude Oil
A wave of violence has swept parts of Iraq at the start of 2014 as the central government fights back against Al-Qaeda aligned militants in Anbar Province. The Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) reportedly took control of Ramadi and Fallujah, bombing police headquarters and killing dozens. On New Year's Day Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki sent in reinforcements to take back control of Anbar Province's two largest cities. The clashes kick off 2014 in much the same way as 2013 ended – a return to violence in a country that had seen important security gains in recent years.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 09, 2014
Will Silver Price Rebound in 2014? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
John Paul Whitefoot writes: The year 2013 was not kind to gold; the yellow metal closed the year down about 28%—its biggest annual drop in three decades. But in spite of the awful year for gold, it wasn’t the worst-performing metal in 2013. That dubious distinction goes to silver.
On the heels of quantitative easing, a devaluation of the dollar, and inflation, safe haven investors were expecting silver prices to trade in the $30.00–$50.00-an-ounce range. Sadly for these investors, that did not come to fruition.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 09, 2014
Index Trackers and Their Effect on Gold and Silver Futures / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
There are two main indices tracked by commodity tracker funds: the S&P-Goldman Sachs Commodities Index and the Dow Jones UBS Commodities Index. According to S&P Indices (which manages both), total assets estimated at $155bn track these two indices, of which $75bn tracks the former, and the balance of $80bn the latter. Both indices are rebalanced in the first two weeks of January starting last Wednesday, and according to an S&P press release, this will lead to $1.1bn extra being invested in gold contracts.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 09, 2014
What 2014 Has in Store for Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: Since September 2013, crude oil prices have come down. This has left many investors question where they are headed next. In September of last year, crude oil prices reached as high as $110.00, and now they trade almost 15% lower, around the $94.00 level. Look at the chart below to get the precise picture.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 09, 2014
Gold and Silver Sentiment Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
We’ve recently written quite a bit about the current technical situation in precious metals as well as the current bear market compared to past bear markets. Thus we’ve neglected sentiment somewhat. This is a good time to examine sentiment as the sector appears to be bottoming or trying to emerge from a bottom.
The first chart shows the speculative position (for Gold & Silver combined) as a percentage of open interest. The black is a price index comprised of Gold and Silver. At the June low speculators were only 4.6% long as a percentage of open interest. That marked a 12 year low. It is currently 11% and was as high as 52.8% in 2012.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 09, 2014
The Lombardi Method of Gold Stocks Investing / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Deflation, inflation and reinflation all play into scenarios for the gold price and precious metals equity markets, as outlined by Paolo Lostritto, former director of mining equity research at National Bank Financial. How to play good defense in this unusual market? Companies with free cash flow top his list, but high-leverage, midtier producers with great management teams can satisfy investors with more appetite for risk, says Lostritto in this interview with The Gold Report.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 08, 2014
23 Reasons to Be Bullish on Gold Price 2014 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
It's been one of the worst years for gold in a generation. A flood of outflows from gold ETFs, endless tax increases on gold imports in India, and the mirage (albeit a convincing one in the eyes of many) of a supposedly improving economy in the US have all contributed to the constant hammering gold took in 2013.
Perhaps worse has been the onslaught of negative press our favorite metal has suffered. It's felt overwhelming at times and has pushed even some die-hard goldbugs to question their beliefs… not a bad thing, by the way.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 08, 2014
Gold Stocks What to Expect in 2014 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
After three years of pain, can gold stocks break their losing streak and see a gain in 2014?
History says chances are good.
The most recent string of losses in the gold mining industry has been brutal, causing many investors to give up on the sector and sell their holdings. Since the beginning of 2011, the NYSE Arca Gold Miners, the FTSE Gold Mines, and the Philadelphia Gold & Silver Indices all declined more than 60 percent.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 07, 2014
Gold, Silver and Stock Market 2014 Trend Change Due / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The year 2013 was a great year for the S&P and a terrible year for silver and gold investors. There are many indications that it is time for a reversal.
If a market moves too far (up or down), too fast, or for too long, expect a reversal. Examples:
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 07, 2014
Gold Price Has Bottomed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Words by different Authors who attempt to “Pump Up” or “Talk Down” an Issue are exactly that, just Words. The ultimate results show up on Technical Charts in relation to Volume and Price Movements and which act as a Function of Mathematical Indicators involving Momentum and Rate of Change as we learned in Algebra II in H.S. and Calculus and Derivatives at U.C. Berkeley. There should be no “Mystery” in making money if these concepts are applied correctly which involve the Net Emotions of Greed and Fear and the Fundamental Values will ultimately take care of themselves. By applying correctly, Have Cash Ready until you see MACD lines crossing Up or Down at ZERO and always use Stops to Limit your losses. If you are an Intraday Trader, use 1min to 15min Charts and look for Peaks and Troughs of %B to Alert you and MACD line Crosses to Effect a Buy or Sell. If a “Long Termer”, which does not exist with Volatile ETFs, use Daily Charts.Follow me and stockcharts.com and you will see. Initially use the format: “chartbook” and scroll to the issues which are of interest specifically to your style of “Investing or Speculation”, and if you wish to make some good Returns for a Change as many of my Followers. Thank you for your interest
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 06, 2014
Gold Price Forecast 2014 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Gold is a nearly perfect form of money. It is one of the few things on planet earth that contains all of the following attributes; beauty, scarcity, virtual indestructability, and is also transferable and divisible. However, even after five thousand years of utility as a store of wealth, gold is still completely misunderstood by most on Wall Street.
Read full article... Read full article...