Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, February 17, 2013
What Will Happen to Gold and Silver Stocks if the Stock Market Tanks? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013
If this is the best that the Precious Metals sector can do when the broad market is rising, as it has been, then what is likely to happen when the broad market drops? This is the question that is, or should be, exercising the minds of investors or would be investors in the sector right now. Today we are going to address this issue head on.
Before we look at the prospects for the Precious Metals sector itself, we are going to examine the charts for the broad market S&P500 index in an effort to determine its course in the months ahead.
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Sunday, February 17, 2013
Gold: What Goes Up, Goes Down / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
DR. GREENSPAN'S LEGACY
Alan Greenspan is very far from being ashamed, lying low and offering No Comment - he is a great man, he thinks, and some leading mainstream media editorialists also think. Commenting his track record from the standpoint of money in circulation, the gold price, and gold mining company stock, with a look at previous outbreaks of the situation we have today, Mark J. Lundeen said:
Sunday, February 17, 2013
Gold 1550 to 1570 For a Range Trade, If It Gets There / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
This looks like a long consolidation, with a range trade of 1550 to 1800.
If we do get down as low as 1570 one might be inclined to step in and buy, adding to longer term holdings and for a trade, with an eye to that 1550 as a low and an upside target north of 1700.
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Sunday, February 17, 2013
Copper Poised For Breakout While Gold And Silver Falter / Commodities / Copper
One concept to keep in mind when making a trade selection is that of relative
strength. Given the choice of two or more trade candidates to buy, always go
with the strongest performer. When selling, always sell the weakest one. This
is a simple factor that often gets overlooked. Go with proven strength. Go with
anything that is proven or confirmed. The odds are then in your favor.
Saturday, February 16, 2013
Gold And Silver Current Decline Not Over / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
We often make a distinction between buyers of physical precious metals, [PMs] and buyers of futures, exhorting the former to buy with impunity, and some may see that as cavalier, given how the price for both gold and silver have been in recent decline.
The point for buyers of PMs is for both protection and creation of wealth. Protection against insidious central bankers destroying currency-purchasing power, over time, and wealth creation as evidenced by those buying PMs over the past decade and seeing the intrinsic value grow dramatically.
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Saturday, February 16, 2013
Gold Cycles, Where is he Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Gold has been moving essentially sideways for more than a year since printing a high in August/September 2011. With last week's drop to below the lows of last December/ January many investors must be asking 'where is the bottom in gold?'
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Saturday, February 16, 2013
Gold Long-term Trading Cycles Implications for Future Price Moves / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
This week price moves in the gold market could certainly give investors the creeps. The yellow metal opened at around $1,668 on Monday, closed $1,634 on Thursday and is currently (at the moment of writing these words) at $1,606.
We have stressed it many times that in order to make long-term investment decision one should put more weight on long-term charts rather than focusing on short-term noise. Today we will focus on the long-term gold chart - it gives the most insight into what may happen in the long run. Let us jump straight into it (charts courtesy by http://stockcharts.com)
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Friday, February 15, 2013
Gold’s Young Upleg / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Gold has suffered a tough slog lately, unable to advance despite central banks aggressively inflating their money supplies all over the world. Seeing gold stuck in the mire despite very bullish fundamentals has certainly exacted a psychological toll on traders. They are irritated and discouraged after watching the yellow metal inexplicably languish for months. But technically gold still remains in a young upleg.
The mortal enemy of successful speculation and investment is emotion. Greed seduces traders into buying high, while fear frightens them into selling low. This of course is the exact opposite of the buying low and selling high necessary to multiply your wealth in the markets. After decades of trading, I believe the greatest antidote to succumbing to popular greed and fear is perspective. Context is everything.
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Friday, February 15, 2013
Gold and the Universal Truth / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Fascism is a totalitarian system of government that bases its economy on a later, more mature stage of capitalism, it's a marriage of government authority and military/police power managed by corporate influence.
"The liberty of a democracy is not safe if the people tolerate the growth of private power to a point where it comes stronger than their democratic state itself. That, in its essence, is fascism - ownership of government by an individual, by a group." Franklin D. Roosevelt
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Friday, February 15, 2013
Why the U.S. Mint Keeps Running Out of Silver Coins / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Tony Daltorio writes: So far in 2013, buying silver coins has been one of investors' favorite ways to profit from a climb in the white metal's price.
The demand for physical silver from small investors in the form of coins is really remarkable. A record 7.5 million ounces of silver coins were sold in January.
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Friday, February 15, 2013
Hedge Funds Move From Gold GLD To Other ETFs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,629.25, EUR 1,221.42 and GBP 1,052.01 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,644.00, EUR 1,233.22 and GBP 1,060.37 per ounce.
Silver is trading at $30.26/oz, €22.80/oz and £19.61/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,692.50/oz, palladium at $759.00/oz and rhodium at $1,225/oz.
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Friday, February 15, 2013
Is Gold Becoming a Risk-off Asset? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Lately we’ve been writing about the negative correlation between the equity market and the precious metals market. This phenomenon has been in place since summer 2011 and has re emerged in the past few months. Since November 23, the S&P 500 is up 8% while the gold shares are down 14%, Silver has lost 11% and Gold 7%. For those who have studied history this should not come as a total surprise.
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Friday, February 15, 2013
Which Uranium Stocks Will Rise on a Supply Shortfall? / Commodities / Uranium
With energy demand looking up in China and Japan, both coal and uranium are likely to experience an uptick. But which producers will move with prices? Colin Healey of Haywood Securities weighs in on some names that are leveraged to spot prices in this interview with The Energy Report, explaining why it's time for investors to get excited again.
The Energy Report: Colin, the Japanese government is predicting higher-than-expected GDP growth of 2.5% for 2013. As the world's second-largest importer of thermal coal, that should be good news for investors in that space. Are you buying Japan's optimism?
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Thursday, February 14, 2013
Gold Volatility – Are You Worried? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Does this sound familiar? “Gold is going nowhere – up one day and down the next! I’m scared! Maybe I should bail out.”
Unlike buying stocks, which Wall Street and the media are constantly touting, gold is difficult to buy and hold. Proof: The S&P500 Index has made essentially no gain in 13 years, while gold has increased in price about 15% per year for the past 13 years. Yet few people own gold, and many people still listen to the siren song of Wall Street – “buy and hold stocks forever.” Going against the herd is difficult, and buying gold is a contrarian investment. Few people buy gold, fewer still hold on through bull and bear markets, and most still believe the nonsense that “gold is in a bubble.”
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Thursday, February 14, 2013
Why Russia is Investing in Gold More Than Anyone / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Jeff Uscher writes: Now we know what Russia has been doing all these years with all its oil mega-profits: investing in gold.
A Bloomberg News article Monday reported that Russia's central bank added 570 metric tons of gold in the past decade, making the country the world's biggest gold buyer. That amount is a quarter more than the world's second-biggest buyer, China.
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Thursday, February 14, 2013
Silver Stalls as Gold Rallies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The PRICE of wholesale gold rallied from fresh 6-week lows at $1641 per ounce on Thursday morning, rising as European stock markets fell after much-worse than forecast economic data.
Silver meantime stalled below $31 per ounce as industrial and energy resources cut earlier gains.
Economic output across the 17-member state Euozone contracted by 0.6% in the fourth quarter of 2012, the worst drop since the depths of the global recession four years ago.
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Thursday, February 14, 2013
Record Dollar Value Gold Demand In 2012 - India, China and Central Banks Buy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,644.00, EUR 1,233.22 and GBP 1,060.37 per ounce. Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,648.00, EUR 1,223.55 and GBP 1,054.59 per ounce.
Silver is trading at $30.85/oz, €23.24/oz and £19.98/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,730.84/oz, palladium at $765.00/oz and rhodium at $1,200/oz.
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Thursday, February 14, 2013
Gold Cross, The End of Honest Money / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
You shall not crucify mankind upon a cross of gold. ~ William Jennings Bryan
The season of fasting is upon us. No more high living. It's time to cinch up our belts... to put on a gaunt face and a smug look. Alone among friends and associates, we will keep Lent.
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Thursday, February 14, 2013
Time to lift our sight beyond Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
A “Head and Shoulders” chart formation is one of the easiest for a technical analyst (chartist) to spot, but many make the basic error of not checking for “confirmation” of the pattern by examining volumes.
As a bull trend approaches an end, it can culminate in a bang (an explosion of hysterical buying pressure) or a whimper (a contraction of buying pressure). The Head and Shoulders is more reflective of a whimper.
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Thursday, February 14, 2013
The Price Of Gold In The Cold-Gold War / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The collapse of the USSR in 1991 was seen as the triumph of capitalism over communism. The 40-year cold war was over and the West had won. That perception, however, was as premature as it was misleading. The struggle of world powers wasn’t over. Today, the struggle continues in a far more fundamental venue; on capitalism’s home court in the arena of paper money.
The West, as Mao Tse-Tung once claimed, is not a paper tiger; unless, of course, you’re referring to its paper money.
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