Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, May 28, 2009
U.S. Dollar, the Worst Investment of All Time? / Currencies / US Dollar
One investment, more than any other, has proven to be a terrible storehouse of value for well over 80 years.
While some disasters unfold rapidly (Enron, subprime mortgages, etc.), this investment’s decline has occurred in slow motion, losing an average of 3.6% a year. Indeed, you can hardly find a period in the last 89 years in which this investment actually MADE money.
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Thursday, May 28, 2009
Treasury Bond Market Crash Threatens U.S. Dollar Collapse / Currencies / US Dollar
THE PRICE OF GOLD rose $6 early Thursday to record the best AM Gold Fix in London so far this week, hitting $949.75 an ounce as world stock markets fell and US government bonds bounced from their worst sell-off since January.
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Thursday, May 28, 2009
U.S. Dollar Roll Over Accelerates into Mid 2009 / Currencies / US Dollar
In 2008, as the global bear market gather momentum, investors were drawn to the fundamentally weak U.S. dollar as a 'safe haven'. However, as volatility slowly erodes from the equity markets in 2009 and the appetite for risk in commodities and stocks gradually returns, the flight-to-safety mentality for the $USD is also evaporating. In its place is a return to a more rational fundamental review of the American currency.
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Wednesday, May 27, 2009
Forex Trading Briefs for EUR/USD and USD/JPY 27th May 09 / Currencies / Forex Trading
EUR/USD
The pair has pushed below former lows at 1.3950. The daily low is 1.3933 and a break below this would signal a move to 1.3900. Short term trend line support is also just above this level currently. Failure to hold would provide a target of recent swing lows at 1.3850.
Wednesday, May 27, 2009
China Seeks to Replace U.S. Dollar with Yuan as the Dominant Global Currency / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: China has taken yet another step to transform the yuan into the dominant global currency, a long-term initiative that could ultimately dethrone the dollar as the world’s top unit of exchange.
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Wednesday, May 27, 2009
Fading U.S. Dollar Loses Steam Against Japanese Yen / Currencies / Forex Trading
The dollar has become so weak again that it has begun to fade even against the lowly Yen. The greenback and the Japanese currency seem to be effectively fighting for the label of least desirable currency at the moment. One dollar is currently (May 26) netting 95.40 Yen.
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Saturday, May 23, 2009
U.S. Dollar’s Demise Greatly Exaggerated, Still the Worlds Reserve Currency / Currencies / US Dollar
Bryan Rich writes: Many investors are concerned about the future path of the dollar … and with good reason.
The Treasury is increasing the money supply in amounts never seen before or even imagined … all in an effort to avert a meltdown and stimulate a path to recovery. And as expected, there are no shortages of opinions about the trillions of dollars being created out of thin air …
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Saturday, May 23, 2009
Lack of a Credible Alternative Global Currency to the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / Fiat Currency
A crisis is not a good time for seeking alternatives to the US dollar. Most likely, the dreams about new regional currencies will be put aside. The countries, which originally supported those ideas, gradually change their minds. The United Arab Emirates refused to participate in the Arab currency union. The expansion of the euro zone is not likely to happen in the nearest future. The Russian ruble is no longer ambitious either.
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Thursday, May 21, 2009
U.S. Dollar Slashed Due to Fed Quantitative Easing / Currencies / US Dollar
Today's serious case of dollar-damage was once again made courtesy of the nations central bank. The Feds purchase of $7.7 bln in 7 and 10-year treasuries in the morning, followed by purchases of $3.08 bln in Agency securities in the afternoon accelerated the dollar decline and the resulting rally in commodities --as was the case on March 18 when the Fed first announced purchases of long term treasuries. Today's dollar sell-off stood out from previous declines by the fact that EURUSD knifed through the key resistance of $1.3740 (failed 4 times this year) to $1.3830, and even sterling finally managed to break above its 200-day moving average vs USD--something that all majors currencies had achieved in previous weeks surging to a 7-month high of $1.5794.
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Thursday, May 21, 2009
How to Become An INSTANT Billionaire! / Currencies / Fiat Currency
To measure ones wealth, the "price" of ones assets is not very important but the "purchasing power" or "relative value" is very important. Understanding this difference may be one of the most important concepts an investor can learn. To become an "instant billionaire" simply measure the "price" of your investment portfolio in Zimbabwean Dollar's instead of your local currency.
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Thursday, May 21, 2009
The Fiat Currencies Death March, Got Gold? / Currencies / Fiat Currency
The past has condemned us. Only the future can save us- We live in extraordinary times. Poised between the past and the future, never has the present been so uncertain. But, when certainty comes, it will be in the form of a scythe and ducking will be the only option.
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Thursday, May 21, 2009
Austrailian Dollar (AUD) Trend Direction Analysis / Currencies / Forex Trading
Today we are going down under to analyze the Australian dollar. Many traders look at the Australian dollar (AUD) and the Canadian dollar (CAD) as commodity plays. Both countries are rich in natural resources and that seems to be a key element to the recent moves in both of these currencies.
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Thursday, May 21, 2009
Is the U.S. Dollar Heading For a Mighty Crash? / Currencies / US Dollar
Each month, the US Treasury publishes its International Capital account, (TIC) which foreign currency traders and bond dealers use to gauge the flows of money from around the world, into and out-of the US-capital markets. The demand for a nation’s bonds and stocks, combined with international trade flows for goods and services, plus behind the scenes intervention by central banks, all act in concert to influence the foreign exchange market which handles $4-trillion per day.
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Wednesday, May 20, 2009
Is the U.S. Dollar in Trouble? / Currencies / US Dollar
How we analyze the Dollar Index - According to the dollar index (DX), which is a basket of currencies that track the dollar, it would appear as though the dollar is indeed going to be coming under more pressure. The dollar index is much like an index for stocks except in this case it is for currencies.
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Wednesday, May 20, 2009
British Pound (GBP) Upside Trend Break Out Analysis / Currencies / British Pound
Taking another look at the British pound.
On May 8, I produced a video which gave a detailed analysis of the British pound (GBP) versus the US dollar (USD). At that time I expected the British Pound to continue its gains against the US dollar. In today's video I will revisit GBP/USD cross to see just what has happened to this market.
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Wednesday, May 20, 2009
China and Brazil Try to Flee From the US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
Brazil's state visit to China has set the chins wagging. Will an agreement be struck to invoice their bilateral trade in their own currencies rather than the dollar? Brazilian President Lula had made some allusions to this last month around the G20 meeting.
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Tuesday, May 19, 2009
Russia Dumps the U.S. Dollar for Euro as Reserve Currency / Currencies / Global Financial System
The US dollar is not Russia’s basic reserve currency anymore. The euro-based share of reserve assets of Russia’s Central Bank increased to the level of 47.5 percent as of January 1, 2009 and exceeded the investments in dollar assets, which made up 41.5 percent, The Vedomosti newspaper wrote.
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Sunday, May 17, 2009
The Incredible Shrinking Global Economies Bullish for the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
Bryan Rich writes: Germany is the world’s largest exporter. And in the broadest global recession on record, demand for its exports has come to a virtual standstill.
As a result, Germany, the core of the Eurozone, is shrinking at a record pace. And Germany isn’t alone. Many of the world’s largest economies have rested on the export model.
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Friday, May 15, 2009
U.S. Dollar index, EURUSD and Commodities Playing Together / Currencies / Forex Trading
Problems are on the both sides of the ocean but technical picture is giving us some new info about potential break of longterm trendline. When we put it in context of breaking the longterm trendline on dollar index, we can see building bearish setup for US dollar. First the EURUSD technical picture.
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Wednesday, May 13, 2009
Fed Seeks U.S. Dollar Devaluation to Reflate the Economy / Currencies / US Dollar
Commodities are rising, the dollar is falling and the trade deficit is growing. Everything bad is good again, thanks to the Feds.
All of the pernicious factors that brought us to the brink of financial Armageddon are now once again returning and are still—amazingly enough--being embraced as both normal and healthy for the long term viability of the U.S. economy. Factors such as a strengthening U.S. dollar, shrinking trade deficit, a surging savings rate and falling commodity prices were all being viewed as the bane of the U.S. economy. And now, unfortunately, what had been the budding re-emergence of economic sanity is being obliterated by a killing frost thanks to the Fed and the Administration.