Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, July 16, 2009
Can The Economy Recover? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Paul_Craig_Roberts
There is no economy left to recover. The US manufacturing economy was lost to offshoring and free trade ideology. It was replaced by a mythical “New Economy.”
Wednesday, July 15, 2009
UK Unemployment Record Rise, a Jobless Debt Fuelled Economic Recovery? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Nadeem_Walayat
UK headline Unemployment rate (ILO) surged higher by a near unprecedented number of 281,000 in the three months to the end of April 09, taking unemployment to a 13 year high of 2.38 million to officially stand at 7.6% of the workforce. Meanwhile the job seekers benefit claimant count rose by 30,000 to the quarter to the end of June to stand at 1.553 million. The surge in unemployment has been widely carried by the tv news media and mainstream press to imply a very weak jobless recover that suggests unemployment levels to rise significantly about 3 million by early next year.
Wednesday, July 15, 2009
What Really Brought Us out of the Great Depression? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Justice_Litle
Does “stimulus” really work? Does quantitative easing work? The historical record suggests not. So what brought us out of the Great Depression? The answer might surprise, even though it shouldn’t...
A grumpy President Obama says that the $787 billion dollar stimulus package “has worked as intended.”
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Wednesday, July 15, 2009
China Ignites Huge Credit Boom, Will it End in Tears? / Economics / China Economy
By: Money_and_Markets
Claus Vogt writes: China’s economic successes during the past ten years have been very impressive.
It has remodeled its economy along the guidelines of free market principles.
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Wednesday, July 15, 2009
Exposing the Myths of Deflation and Recession / Economics / Deflation
By: EWI
This article is part of a syndicated series about deflation from market analyst Robert Prechter, the world's foremost expert on and proponent of the deflationary scenario. For more on deflation and how you can survive it, download Prechter's FREE 60-page Deflation Survival eBook , part of Prechter's NEW Deflation Survival Guide.
Wednesday, July 15, 2009
The Keynesian Economic Revolution and the Neo-liberal Counter-revolution / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Global_Research
Dr. Eric Toussaint writes: As a result of the depression of the 1920s and 1930s, a new wave of critics tackled the neo-classical creed on a largely pragmatic basis. This new wave was international and involved political leaders and economists from differing belonging to various currents backgrounds: enlightened bourgeois thinkers, socialists and Marxists. In a context of mass unemployment and depression, proposals came forward for major public works, for anti-cyclical injections of public money, and even for bank expropriations.
Wednesday, July 15, 2009
Towards a Solution to the California Debt Crisis / Economics / US Debt
By: Global_Research
Ellen Brown writes: Four Wall Street banks, which received $15-25 billion each from the taxpayers, have rejected California’s IOUs because the State is supposedly a bad credit risk. The bailed out banks would seem to have a duty to lend a helping hand, but they say they don’t want to delay an agreement on further austerity measures. State legislators are not bowing quickly to the pressure, but what is the alternative?
Wednesday, July 15, 2009
Will Obama's Job Retraining Programs Save The Unemployed? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
President Obama is mulling rental options for foreclosed homeowners. Furthermore Obama seeks job training for the unemployed, concedes unemployment is getting worse, says auto jobs are not coming back, yet magically assumes job retraining will save the day.
Tuesday, July 14, 2009
The Great Baby-Boomers Economic Depression of 2007-2017 / Economics / Pensions & Retirement
By: Global_Research
Prof Rodrigue Tremblay writes: "Banking Establishments Are More Dangerous Than Standing Armies." Thomas Jefferson (1743-1826), 3rd US President
"... a serious depression seems improbable; [we expect] recovery of business next spring, with further improvement in the fall." Harvard Economic Society (HES), November 10, 1929
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Tuesday, July 14, 2009
Bernanke Sees Chance of Jobless Economic Recovery / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
Given that the Fed's first mission is to delay, confuse, hope, and otherwise attempt to buy time while engaging in wishful thinking along the way, that Bernanke is willing to admit this may be a jobless recovery is a sign that things will likely be at least that bad. In other words, prepare for a job loss recovery.
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Tuesday, July 14, 2009
Keynes, Monetary Cranks Promoting Fiat Currencies and Deflation / Economics / Economic Theory
By: LewRockwell
Gary North writes: John Maynard Keynes changed his economic views every few years. His 1936 book, The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money, was his last book. He spent the war years in the British Treasury. He died in 1946. So, he did not change his mind again.
Keynes' final book was a defense of government spending. This is why the book was hailed as a masterpiece. It backed up what all Western governments were already doing: spending money on welfare projects and running massive deficits.
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Tuesday, July 14, 2009
What the Fed’s Exit Strategy Will Mean for the Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Michael_Pento
Economics is not an exact science. It pales in comparison to mathematics because it contains a high component of art in its analysis. With that said, there are several principles that still apply. One such principle is: when the condition of an economy becomes overleveraged, it needs to experience consistently expanding GDP with unabated asset price appreciation and a falling currency, or it will become insolvent.
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Tuesday, July 14, 2009
The Shamans Economic Solution: Why Failure is Imminent / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Anthony_Ebin
Lets say that Bernanke, Geithner, Krugman are all correct in saying that government stimulus/intervention is the only way to stimulate the economy out of recession/depression. So they ask Obama to spend enough money to create enough jobs to eventually solve the problem. Now there are 2 main ways that government can raise the amount of money that people like Geithner and others have calculated would be enough to stimulate the economy:
Tuesday, July 14, 2009
What's the Real CPI Inflation Rate? / Economics / Inflation
By: Mike_Shedlock
Inquiring minds are asking "What is the Real CPI?" It's a good question, too. However, you can find many widely differing opinions. For example, you will get one answer from the government, a different answer from sites like Shadowstats, and a third opinion from me.
Tuesday, July 14, 2009
Debt Deflation the Reason Why Government Economic Stimulus is Doomed to Fail / Economics / Deflation
By: John_Mauldin
There is a reason I call this column Outside the Box. I try to get material that forces us to think outside our normal comfort zones and challenges our common assumptions. I have made the comment more than once that is it unusual for two major bubbles to burst and for the conversation to be all about rising inflation and not a serious problem with deflation.
As Niels Jensen pointed out last week, the most important question that an investor can ask is whether we are in for deflation or inflation. And this week we read a well reasoned piece on deflation. This is one of the more important essays I have sent out. You need to set aside some time to absorb this one.
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Monday, July 13, 2009
Mike Shedlock, Mish Should Ditch His Deflation Fears / Economics / Deflation
By: MISES
Robert P. Murphy writes: We who are advocates of sound, free-market money need to get our story straight. Are we predicting hyperinflation or massive deflation? Personally, I am much more worried about the former problem. Using a recent article by Mish, I hope to show that no one has made a convincing case for falling prices.
Monday, July 13, 2009
Baby Boomers Your Financial & Economic Winter is Coming, The Fourth Turning / Economics / Great Depression II
By: James_Quinn
Thus might the next Fourth Turning end in apocalypse – or glory. The nation could be ruined, its democracy destroyed, and millions of people scattered or killed. Or America could enter a new golden age, triumphantly applying shared values to improve the human condition. The rhythms of history do not reveal the outcome of the coming Crisis; all they suggest is the timing and dimension. - Strauss & Howe – The Fourth TurningRead full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 13, 2009
U.S. Economy Recession End, Recovery and Interest Rate Forecast / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
When We Get "There", Will We Know It?- Back in April, our forecast update commentary was entitled, "Are We There Yet?" The "there" referred to a resumption of real growth in the overall economy. Our answer in April was "no," which also happens to be our answer in July. When will we get there? Our answer in April was the fourth quarter of this year, which also happens to be our answer now. Assuming we get there in the fourth quarter, would most households and businesses in America know it if they were not so informed by the media? Probably not. We anticipate another "jobless recovery," which implies a relatively feeble one. We would not be surprised to hear terms early in 2010 such as "double dip."
Sunday, July 12, 2009
Fed Deflation Propaganda to Meet Wealth Destroying Inflation / Economics / Inflation
By: MISES
Howard S. Katz writes: The Federal Reserve is lying about the nation's money supply (M1). The current figure for money supply is being given as $1.6 trillion. The actual number is $2.34 trillion. The reported number is equivalent to an increase of 16% over the past year. The actual number is equivalent to an increase of 70% over the past year. This compares with the nation's high money-supply increase of 16.9% in 1986.
Sunday, July 12, 2009
Housing Market Bottoming, Economy Recovering? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
BCA Research: US economy - it looks like a recovery
“The US economy is transitioning to a recovery path, though it will be bumpy and subdued compared with past cycles.
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