Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, January 03, 2014
Help to Buy Scheme Prompts Panic Buying UK House Prices Boom / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Coalition government's March 2013 help to buy scheme, the extension of which to all properties rather than just new builds that itself was brought forward to the 1st of October 2013 from 1st of January 2014 has sparked panic buying amongst many thousands of prospective home buyers who had been finding it near impossible to build deposits of 20%-25% that mortgage lenders typically sought in terms of managing risk, however now the same mortgages can be secured with just 5% deposits which on the £600k valuation limit amounts to a huge difference between a previous deposit requirement of £120-£150k against £30k today under the help to buy guarantee scheme.
Wednesday, January 01, 2014
UK Housing Market House Prices Forecast 2014 to 2018 - Video / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This video is based on the in-depth analysis and detailed concluding trend forecast for UK house prices into the end of 2018, (thus a full 5 year forecast) from the content within the NEW UK Housing Market ebook (FREE DOWNLOAD).
Monday, December 30, 2013
UK House Prices Forecast 2014 to 2018, Inflation, Trend Trajectory and General Election 2015 / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Introduction: This analysis is part 2 of 2 that seeks to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for UK house prices that extends my existing forecast into Mid 2014 to the end of 2018, thus a 5 year forecast for UK house prices 2014-2018. This analysis is focused on the impact of the Inflation mega-trend on the prospects for UK house prices that concludes in a detailed trend forecast and its implications for outcome of the next general election.
Monday, December 30, 2013
UK House Prices Forecast 2014 to 2018, The Debt Fuelled Election Boom / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Introduction: This analysis is part 1 of 2 that seeks to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for UK house prices that extends my existing forecast into Mid 2014 to the end of 2018, thus a 5 year forecast for UK house prices 2014-2018. This analysis is focused on the outlook for the UK economy, debt and QE money printing dynamics and their implications for UK house prices and on the outcome of the next general election.
Friday, December 20, 2013
Real UK House Prices and the Inflation Mega-trend / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The latest inflation data shows CPI falling to 2.1% for November 2013 (RPI 2.6%, Real inflation 3.6%) which was received as good news as inflation was finally starting to home in on the Bank of England's 2% CPI target rate. This prompted the usual mantra amongst the academics of the risks of dis-inflation and in some cases even deflation which were coupled with benign inflation forecasts by government institutions such as the Bank of England and the OBR that repeated their forecast that UK inflation would resolve to 2% in 2years time that is always the case and I mean ALWAYS, for more than a decade now the Bank of England has been spouting the same mantra of what amounts to nothing more than economic propaganda aimed at keeping the wage slaves sedated as the actual inflation graph below illustrates that in reality there is an over 90% probability for UK Inflation being significantly above 2% in 2 years time.
Wednesday, December 18, 2013
A Property Bubble in the U.S. Housing Market? / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: I love it...
Many so-called "experts" are now worrying about a property bubble here in the U.S.
History says our opportunity in housing is still great. And all this bubble talk is way overblown. Let me explain...
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 18, 2013
Will the U.S. Housing Market Tank Again? / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Marty_Chenard
We discussed long term interest rates last week, but it is too important to ignore given the critical juncture the Federal Reserve is at now. (FYI ... there are 4 important charts posted below today that show long term interest rates, median income, and employment. Please be sure to see them.)
Tuesday, December 17, 2013
U.S. Housing Market Setting Up for Another Crash / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: EconMatters
All that Glitters, is not Gold
The housing market appears to be in better shape than it really is and investors should be wary regarding investing in Housing stocks, investing in property not as a primary residence, and should conduct a thorough analysis of their own financial obligations with regards to their primary residence.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 16, 2013
Best Days for Gains in U.S. Housing Market Stocks Behind Us? / Housing-Market / Housing Stocks
By: DailyGainsLetter
George Leong writes: Mortgage rates are on the rise. In November, the 30-year fixed rate mortgage stood at 4.26% compared to 3.35% a year earlier in November 2012. The average rate for the 30-year fixed rate mortgage in 2007 prior to the subprime meltdown was 6.34%, according to data from Freddie Mac. (Source: “30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Since 1971,” Freddie Mac web site, last accessed December 13, 2013.)
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 29, 2013
Bank of England UK Housing Market Bubble Panic is Mark Carney Playing Game of Thrones / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Bank of England's relentless, monotonous statements of a stable UK housing market for the whole of 2013 that have been dutifully regurgitated by the mainstream media was punctured yesterday as the broadcast news was full of the image of money printing Mark Carney issuing a warning of the risks of an unfolding UK housing market bubble that the Bank of England would seek to take measures to counter starting with withdrawal of the funding for lending scheme for mortgages from the end of Jan 2014.
Thursday, November 28, 2013
U.S. Housing Market Losing Ground? / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Carl_R_Tannenbaum
The Federal Reserve in its October policy statement viewed the housing sector as having "slowed somewhat." A quick run through the latest data confirms this diagnosis and offers some reasons for it.
The partial federal government shutdown had a very pronounced impact on the publication of home sales and housing starts reports, which have been delayed for quite some time. Home sales data for September and October will be published on December 4, while housing starts numbers for September through November are scheduled for December 18.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 27, 2013
Raging U.S. Housing Bull Market, House Price Inflation Breaks Above 13%, 2014 Outlook / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The latest U.S. house price data released yesterday for September shows U.S. house price inflation momentum has continued to soar to an annualised rate of more than 13% well beyond the expectations of even the few bullish market commentators at the start of the year, whilst the bears are left to wallow in a state of perma-tripe that continues to go completely contrary to what has actually been transpiring during 2013.
Sunday, November 24, 2013
U.S. Housing Mortgage Bubble About to Burst Again? / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Pravda
A new mortgage crisis is brewing on the real estate market, foreign experts believe. Judging by how briskly housing prices have been rising in the largest economies of the world - China and the U.S. - the mortgage "bubble" may burst very soon. The number of foreclosures in the United States has been growing steadily. Why do the authorities take no efforts to prevent another collapse of the housing market?
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 23, 2013
Home Investing Tips - Insurance, Cost of Owning and Market Value / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Submissions
Boris Dzhingarov writes: Home buyers often overlook or do not understand the details and ramifications of three critical aspects when buying a home:
- Insurance
- Cost to Own a Home
- Market Value
Friday, November 22, 2013
More Evidence U.S. Housing Market Is Turning Cold / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: DailyGainsLetter
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: The U.S. housing market is in trouble, and it’s foolish to believe that it’s going to show gains like it did earlier this year and in 2012. More and more evidence is lining up in favor of the housing market in the U.S. economy seeing stagnant growth, or maybe even heading for a downturn.
It is not stressed enough that the housing market depends on home buyers; if they don’t buy, robust growth doesn’t occur.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 18, 2013
UK House Prices Boom Propelling GDP Economic Growth to Above 3%, Interest Rates Pressure Cooker / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Britain's house prices bull market momentum as a consequence of 5 years of ZIRP and rampant money printing is finally and rapidly starting to translate into positive economic data as illustrated by the unemployment rate tumbling to 7.6% and GDP growth rate of 0.8% for Q3, which prompted many academic economists from the Bank of England downwards to busily revise doom and gloom forecasts of in some cases just 1% GDP growth to now a high 2.5% as illustrated by Money Printing Mark Carneys latest quarterly Inflation report forecast for 2014, that in my opinion could easily exceed 3% with Inflation consequences for in excess of CPI 3% that will result in far more than mere hints of interest rate hikes that the mainstream press has been busy scrambling over these past few days to commentate on the risks of.
Tuesday, November 12, 2013
Why the U.S. Housing Market Recovery Won’t End Well / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes:
The news headlines are saying the U.S. housing market is witnessing robust growth and flipping homes for profit is back.
While many are now saying there is growth in the U.S. housing market and that it will continue, I disagree with them, based on many different factors…all of which I want my readers to know about.
Friday, November 01, 2013
How to Profit from a Potential U.S. Housing Market Downdraft / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: InvestmentContrarian
George Leong writes: The housing market has had a nice run up over the past several years, but the party is beginning to fade.
Home prices continue to edge higher with a 12.8% jump in August, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index. While this seems positive, you also have to wonder if the housing market is headed for a bubble down the road as mortgage rates rise—and they will.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 31, 2013
Sheffield Best and Worst Areas to Live, House Buying Analysis Map / Housing-Market / Sheffield
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Sheffield is Britain's fifth largest city with a population of 552,000 people that occupy's the south west quadrant of the county of South Yorkshire, which given its central UK position, prominent rail and motorway links is a favourable destination for national and international migrants from nearby towns and further afield given its relatively low favourable house prices.
Wednesday, October 30, 2013
New Rental Securitization Deal Likely Heralds U.S. Housing Market Double Dip / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: Today, in New York, investors will be pitched the first-ever REO-to-rental securitization deal. The $500 million deal bundles foreclosed single-family homes, "real-estate-owned" by Blackstone Group L.P. (NYSE: BX) , into securities that pass-through rental payments to investors.
The new securitization of rental properties comes at a time when home prices have rebounded dramatically across the country. But rather than confirming a bull market in housing, the "trade," as Reuters calls the transaction, likely heralds a coming double dip.
Read full article... Read full article...