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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 22, 2009

Affordable Mortgage Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / Mortgages

By: LiveCharts

Neil Kokemuller writes: While most banks aren’t currently offering rates at the historically low levels seen earlier this year, overall, mortgage rates are still very affordable.  According to bankrate.com, the national average cost for a 30-year fixed rate loan Wednesday (October 21) is 5.23 per cent, compared to 4.99% one week ago.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 21, 2009

U.S. Interest Rates Set to Rocket with Falling Dollar? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

See our comparison chart between Cash Dollar Index (DXY) and the Proshares Ultrashort 20+ Year T-bond, ETF (NYSE: TBT), in which I am trying to show that right now the vulnerable juxtaposition of the dollar is creating nervousness among bond traders and investors. Once the bond vigilantes get their meat hooks into the bond market, the Fed will have one heck of a challenge on its hands.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

If Bernake Doesn’t Raise The Fed Interest Rate Very Soon There Will Be BIG Trouble / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe debate about whether it was Alan Greenspan’s “fault” will continue for generations, the “other side” summed up their position nicely in a quip that came up in the debate about whether to let the Fed have more power, “ That’s like buying your teenager a sports car after he wreaked the family saloon”.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPs) Breakout / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI last mentioned Treasury Inflation Protected Securities or TIPs in an article written on September 10 entitled, "If You Don't Like 'em, Then Don't Trade 'em". In that article, I discussed the fact that there were other places to look for that "fat pitch" besides U.S. equities. If you didn't like the risk in equities, then play in another sandbox.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 19, 2009

Bernanke Gone Berserk! Bank Reserves Explode! Fed Money Printing Gone Wild! / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Martin_D_Weiss

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin here with the most shocking new numbers I’ve seen in my lifetime.

My conclusion: Fed Chairman Bernanke has dumped so much funny money into the U.S. banking system and has done so little to manage how that money is used, the fate of our entire economy has now been cast under a dark shadow of doubt.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, October 17, 2009

The Fed Does Not Care About the Dollar, Easy Money is Here to Stay / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEvery so often, someone decides to pick a fight with me over the Federal Reserve. They say I’ve got it all wrong. They say the Fed is going to prove its mettle. They say that foreign central banks are crying “Uncle” over the dollar, and that this will force the Fed to reverse course and start raising rates.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 12, 2009

CEBR UK Interest Rate Forecasts 0.5% Until 2011, Below 2% until 2014 / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) is forecasting that UK interest rates will stay at 0.5% into 2011 and not reach 2% until 2014.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 12, 2009

Bank of England MPC UK Inflation Forecasting Track Record Analysis / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Lloyds_TSB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEach year, in the August Inflation Report, the Bank of England reviews the accuracy of the inflation forecasts made by the UK Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The reports have become of increased interest, as there has been a suspicion that the policy committee has been unduly conservative about the inflation risks facing the UK economy. If true, this would suggest that over the past decade monetary policy may have been tighter than it should have been given the MPC’s strict inflation remit. By extension, GDP growth may have been commensurately, but unnecessarily, weaker. However, some also argue that the MPC has underestimated inflation. If so, there is a risk that policy has been too loose, potentially leading to higher inflation.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, October 10, 2009

On CNBC: Will Japan Drive Our Interest Rates Higher? / Interest-Rates / Japan Economy

By: Vitaliy_Katsenelson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI was on CNBC a few days ago discussing the Japan debt situation. Here are my talking points and some additional thoughts – a lot of them I did not have a chance to cover in the previous note or the interview.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, October 10, 2009

The Securitization Boondoggle / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe relentless financialization of the economy has resulted in a hybrid-system of credit expansion which depends on pools of loans sliced-and-diced into tranches and sold into the secondary market to yield-seeking investors. The process is called securitization and it lies at the heart of the current financial crisis. Securitization markets have grown exponentially over the last decade as foreign capital has flooded Wall Street due to the ballooning current account deficit.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 09, 2009

What are the Central Banks Up To? / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAt its FOMC meeting last month the Fed said that while it is more confident that the economic recovery is underway, it expects to keep interest rates low for some time to come. Analysts took that to mean until sometime late in 2010.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 08, 2009

The Fed's Financial Crisis Balance Sheet Exit Strategy Dilemma / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Philipp_Bagus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Federal Reserve (Fed) and other central banks currently face a dilemma. A strong central-bank balance sheet is essential for the quality of a currency and the stability of a financial system. Unfortunately, the financial crisis has seen substantial changes in the balance sheets of the world's major central banks.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 08, 2009

Bank of England Keeps UK Real Interest Rate at Minus 1.1% / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Bank of England as expected has kept the UK base interest rate on hold at 0.5% which translates into a real interest rate of -1.1% adjusted for CPI inflation of 1.6% which continues to seek to punish savers for the crimes of the bankers.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 02, 2009

UK Treasury Bond Market, Surging Gilts Sleep Walking Toward Edge of a Cliff / Interest-Rates / UK Debt

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Gilt has remained well-supported over recent months despite some of the worst public sector borrowing data ever seen, and certainly in peace time. In recent days it has begun to surge  -in line with or even better than other bond markets What then, as we have asked before, keeps this market up?

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 01, 2009

U.S. Treasuries TLT on the Move / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

As we discussed with subscribers last evening, the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE: TLT) looked like they were in a high-level consolidation ahead of a thrust to the upside, which is exactly what has transpired so far here today, likely in reaction to disappointing data on initial Jobless Claims ahead of tomorrow’s monthly Employment Report.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

Are U.S. Treasuries A Bubble Ready To Pop? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Andrew_Butter

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe standard theory is that the price/cost of risk-free long-term debt is a function of (a) the cost of short-term debt plus (b) some function of the market's anticipation of the likely course of inflation or deflation over the term of the debt.

Governments (the Fed) can control short-term rate but they are at the mercy of markets to fix long-term rates. And of course markets are "efficient", unless of course there is a "bubble", when...Err...they are not.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

What the Fed Doesn’t Want You To Know About U.S. Debt / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Fed’s FOMC announcement came out…

We got exactly what I expected, a kind of wishy-washy, “hedging our bets” statement from the Fed. You have to remember that Bernanke was Greenspan’s right hand man for much of the bubble days of the ‘90s and early ‘00s, so the guy is an expert at walking both sides of the line when it comes to policy and public statements.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

PIMCO's Bill Gross Bets On Deflation and U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

PIMCO's Bill Gross has a switch of heart. He has gone from hating treasuries to liking them. Please consider Pimco’s Gross Buys Treasuries Amid Deflation Concern.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 26, 2009

The Federal Reserve Has Attempted to Corner the Credit Market / Interest-Rates / Market Manipulation

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDaniel Aaronson and Lee Markowitz write: During a market corner, a buyer accumulates an asset with the intention of driving the price higher without any regard for its true value.  Additionally, the buyer amasses such a large holding that market prices cannot remain elevated without continuous buying.  For example, when the Hunt Brothers cornered the silver market, silver rose from $11 per ounce in September 1979 to nearly $50 an ounce in January 1980.  Eventually, the Hunt Brothers stopped buying silver as they ran out of capital and the market for silver dried up.  As happens with all market corners, when the buyer disappeared from the market, the price of silver spiraled downward.  The Federal Reserve, knowingly or not, has cornered the credit market.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Impact of LIBOR Interest Rate Trends on Currencies / Interest-Rates / Forex Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile FX trading seems to become increasingly bifurcated (broad USD weakness & broad JPY strength or vice versa), the unfolding trend remains a concerted move away from the QE currencies (USD, GBP) and into the commodity/high yielders as well as the EUR. Emerging talk on whether the US dollar has become the new low-yielding vehicle for carry trades financing equities, commodities and currencies vehicle highlights the difference between the USD and JPY carry trades.

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