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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, February 11, 2010

Plausible Sovereign Debt Default On A Global Scale / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn a CNBC interview on Feb. 10, Marc Faber of Gloom, Boom & Doom Report went out on a limb by stating that he is not buying any sovereign debt or bonds, because ALL governments will eventually default, including the United States.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, February 10, 2010

California Debt Crisis, Muni Bonds At Real Risk of Default / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Richard_Shaw

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCalifornia’s finances are a mess.  Credit default swap rates put California among the top ten most likely to default among major governments worldwide.

If you are a California resident and think California can solve it’s own budget problems, or if you think the US government will bail them out, then you might want to own California municipal bonds for the best fit tax shelter and the higher nominal yield.  However, if you doubt either of those, you may be better off owning a national or non-California muni fund, and accept a less tax efficient holding with a somewhat lower nominal yield, but with superior credit quality.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, February 09, 2010

What Do Rising Sovereign Debt, Credit Default Swaps Mean? / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Washingtons_Blog

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRolfe Winkler argues that - in the short-run - the PIIGS countries (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain) will slash their budgets and get bailed out by the EU.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, February 09, 2010

Front-Running the Fed in the Treasury Market, There's No Business Like Bond Business / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor some nine years I have been predicting that the economy is going to a recession morphing into a depression, using a purely theoretical argument. The essence of my argument is that the open market operations of the Fed cause a protracted decline in interest rates which is responsible for the hard-to-detect capital destruction affecting the financial sector no less than the productive sector. The immediate cause of the depression is the destruction of capital. The ultimate cause is the monetary policy of open market operations. The chain of causation is as follows.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 08, 2010

ECB in a Fix, Trichet is as Chill as Ever! / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: Vishal_Damor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTrichet is one of the stalwarts of the economic crisis of 2008. He steered the EU economy through one of the most difficult eras after its creation and yet has maintained one of the cleanest balance sheet (Deficit 6% of GDP: one can almost mistake it for China or India Balance sheet).

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, February 06, 2010

E.U. Government Bonds are STILL the Safest Bet / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Vishal_Damor

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWell you will not hear that too often. Will you? At a time when markets are ravaging the hapless Greece government into complete submission, PIGS as a basket is being slaughtered mercilessly in the bond markets, Euro has now tumbled a mind boggling 1500 pips from its peak of 1.524, it is important to step above the markets and take a deep breadth on where exactly are we in the much hyped sovereign bond risk.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, February 04, 2010

Portugal's Debt Costs Rise to 11 Month High / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Trader_Mark

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAnother reason to like the dollar (v the Euro) in the near term is the realization that quite a few member states of the European Union are in a word (BLEEP)'ed!  The irony is the United States is in just as bad of shape; in fact California has the same credit rating as Greece.  But the world still regards the US as the safe haven - even though when you put our unfunded liabilities on the balance sheet we are in horrific shape.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, February 03, 2010

Greece Part of Unfolding Global Sovereign Debt Crisis 2010 / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI wrote about Greece in last week's letter. Then I ran across this column in the Financial Times by my friend Mohammed El-Erian, chief executive of Pimco, and someone who qualifies to be introduced as one of the smartest men on the planet. It is short and to the point. ( www.pimco.com)

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, February 02, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bonds, To Risk Or Not To Risk / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn many respects the current market environment can be broken down into a very simple construct: to risk or not to risk. To start this week, the risk trade is back on. Risk assets, such as stocks and commodities, are moving higher; safe haven assets, such as bonds and the Dollar, are moving lower. Last week, the risk trade was off. Safe haven assets outperformed as the risky assets went into a swoon.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 01, 2010

The Collapse of Sovereign Government Bonds The Next Financial Crisis Contagion / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Martin_D_Weiss

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe next contagion is beginning to spread around the globe.

It is unexpected on Wall Street, misunderstood in Washington — and very dangerous.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 01, 2010

UK Loan Rates At Nine Year High / Interest-Rates / Debt & Loans

By: MoneyFacts

Risk continues to be the focus in all lending activity, but with no guarantees on the debt being repaid, unsecured personal loans have seen some of the sharpest increases.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 29, 2010

Growing Investor Discontent With U.S. Government Economic Solutions ... / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Oakshire_Financial

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNick Thomas writes: When scanning the various investment boards and forums on the Internet these days, it's obvious that most people have very low confidence both in the economy and the government's efforts to fix it.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 29, 2010

India Monetary Policy Tightens, Read Hawkish and Inflation to Rise / Interest-Rates / India

By: Vishal_Damor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOur view for the last six months has been that while US will face deflation over the next decade, India and China will be left to battle with hyper inflation which is now slowly getting out of hand.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, January 28, 2010

The Danger behind the Fed's Exceptional Profits / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2010

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMateusz Machaj writes: A few days ago, the Fed announced that it had "earned" a record-high amount of money in 2009. Then it turned $46 billion over to the Treasury. Here we are in the midst of a serious recession, with the unemployment rate high, the housing market still in a slump, and the stock market making only small steps toward recovery. In this climate, the Fed is making profits.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, January 28, 2010

U.S. Low Interest Rates Corporate and State Bonds Mad Rush / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePension plans everywhere are in serious trouble. Pension plans in Wisconsin are about to get in still deeper trouble using leverage.

Inquiring minds note the State of Wisconsin Investment Board Clears Plan to Borrow to Juice Returns. Other states are considering doing the same. Please consider Pensions Look to Leverage Up.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, January 25, 2010

UK Best and Worst Standard Variable Interest Rate Mortgages / Interest-Rates / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBase rate has been at an all time low of 0.50% for the last ten months and with no incentive to move on to a new deal, increasing numbers of borrowers have moved onto their lenders’ standard variable rate (SVR).

While some borrowers benefit from the cut in base rate being passed on in full, others have not been so fortunate, with a difference of £5,670 between the cheapest and the most expensive lenders.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 22, 2010

UK Government Bonds, Gilts Rebound / Interest-Rates / UK Debt

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe started the New Year bearish of bonds as we judged the global economic recovery looked on track and although a slow recovery was still expected, traders seemed confident enough to turn their attention to the debt build up in the major developed economies.

This had the effect of hitting many major sovereign bond markets hard in the early days of January. Of course, the bear move had begun over the Christmas and New Year Holiday period, but it wasn’t until the New trading year had began that we judged the move was more than Year End activity.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

UK CPI Inflation Begins Spiralling Out of Control Means Headache for Savers / Interest-Rates / Savings Accounts

By: MoneyFacts

The consumer price index again rose sharply to 2.9%, spiralling above the Government’s target of 2% for the first time since May.

Savings rates look to have hit rock bottom, with the average no notice rate hovering at 0.75%, not far above bank base rate.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, January 18, 2010

UK Banks Such as Halifax (HBOS) Underpaying Cash ISA Saving Account Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / ISA's

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe tax payer bailed out bank Halifax (HBOS), which was forced into a shotgun wedding with Lloyds TSB in Sept/Oct 08 to prevent nationalisation, the combined group later going on to become defacto nationalised as the HBOS exploding mortgage book shredded Lloyds TSB's balance sheet to pieces, illustrates the consequences of an artificial banking system as borrowers and savers pay the ultimate price of bailing out the banks.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, January 16, 2010

What Happens When the Fed Stops Quantitative Easing? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen the Fed Stops the Music
Who Wants the Old Maid?
It's the Deleveraging, Stupid!

Last week we delved into the uncertainties that face us and that make forecasting for 2010 problematical. Will the government actually increase taxes as much as they say, with unemployment still likely to be at 10%? Or will cooler heads prevail? Would such an increase cause a recession? Will the markets anticipate the effects of such a major increase in advance? How will the mortgage market react when the Fed stops buying mortgage securities at the end of March? There are so many things in the air, and today we explore more of them, as I continue (perhaps foolishly) to try and peer into what is a very cloudy crystal ball.

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