U.S. Treasury Bond Weakness in Synch With Stocks
Interest-Rates / US Bonds Oct 31, 2011 - 05:10 PM GMTThe ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury ETF (TBT) remains directly related to the direction of the stock indices. The correction off of last Thursday's high in the emini S&P 500 has been accompanied by a correction in the TBT.
This reflects a flight out of risk into the relative safety of the bond market, which in turn compromises the price structure of the TBT, as it represents longer-term rates.
As we speak, the TBT hovers just above the October up-trendline, now at 21.10, which much contain the weakness to avert downside continuation to 20.50-20.30.
Under the circumstances, we could expect such weakness to coincide with additional weakness in the equity indices.
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By Mike Paulenoff
Mike Paulenoff is author of MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com), a real-time diary of his technical analysis and trading alerts on ETFs covering metals, energy, equity indices, currencies, Treasuries, and specific industries and international regions.
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