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U.S. Dollar DownTrend Confirmed

Currencies / US Dollar Apr 17, 2013 - 09:40 PM GMT

By: Toby_Connor

Currencies

Just another quick post tonight. As I have been saying for over a year now, the dollar will not make new highs, and it will collapse as the consequences of QE infinity ultimately take their toll.

Today the dollar confirmed that an intermediate degree decline has begun by closing strongly below the previous daily cycle low. A new pattern of lower lows and lower highs has now begun. (Although the dollar is due for a bounce sometime soon, but it should fail to make new highs and quickly continue the pattern of lower lows and lower highs.)


As I've been saying for months, the dollar rally was a mirage. The only reason the dollar index was strong was because the yen, euro, pound and Canadian dollar were all moving down into intermediate or yearly cycle lows together. That gave the illusion that the dollar was rising. The dollar was simply benefiting from people selling everything else.

But now it's the dollar's turn. Let's face it, in the real world you can't print unlimited amounts of money and not have something bad happen. The real world just doesn't work that way. Maybe in fairy tale land were magic works, but not here in the real world.

Over the next 2-3 months we will see the dollar drop down to, and I fully expect it to crash through support at 78.60, and maybe even test the 2011 lows. Of course that is only the beginning. Before this is done we will have a full blown currency crisis in the US dollar at the next three year cycle low that is due in late 2014. Who knows how much damage will be done during that catastrophe. I expect we will see something similar to what is happening to the yen right now.

As a matter of fact the yen is only the first of what will almost certainly be a rolling crisis as the cancer works it's way up the food chain from the yen, to the pound, and finally the dollar.

Brace yourself folks, it's time the lipstick comes off this pig, and it ain't going to be a pretty sight.

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    Toby Connor

    Gold Scents  

    GoldScents is a financial blog focused on the analysis of the stock market and the secular gold bull market.   Subscriptions to the premium service includes a daily and weekend market update emailed to subscribers.  If you would like to be added to the email list that receives notice of new posts to GoldScents, or have questions,email Toby.

    © 2013 Copyright Toby Connor - All Rights Reserved
    Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

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