SPX Rolling Over
Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016 Feb 16, 2016 - 03:01 PM GMT
SPX went on a low volume ramp over the extended weekend, topping out near 1895.00, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at midnight. Since then it has eased down near Short-term resistance at 1884.20. Today is a double Pivot Day in the Cycles Model, suggesting a strong reversal may be happening.
ZeroHedge reports, “One day after markets saw a violent return of optimism, which sent stocks around the globe and US equity futures soaring (the US was closed for President's Day) driven by terrible Japanese and Chinese economic data which in turn hinted at more central bank easing, animal spirits have cooled off despite some truly unprecedented Chinese credit numbers.”
The Nikkei challenged the neckline of its Head & Shoulders formation. It closed above it in its Tuesday session, but the futures show a solid decline beneath it in after hours.
The Shanghai Index had a solid advance in overnight trading. The index appears to be on a delayed fuse as it returns from a week-long holiday. Wednesday appears to be a strong Pivot day for the Shanghai.
ZeroHedge comments, “The world let out a collective gasp of shock last night when the PBOC announced that in January, China had created an absolutely gargantuan CNY3.4 trillion in new total debt (Total Social Financing) - or about $520 billion - more than 50% higher than expected, of which CNY2.1 trillion was in the form of new loans.”
The EuroStoxx 50 Index had its Pivot in the overnight markets. It ramped up to 2858.00 near its open, then reversed back down. It is now back beneath its Head & Shoulders neckline. The reversal back beneath it is the trigger for this formation.
TNX appears to have capped off its Minor Wave 4 this morning. Wave 5 of (C) of [5] of V of (V) has begun. The minimum target is well within reach. In fact, it may extend all the way to 10.81! No guarantees on that one, but should it happen, this will bring in the most money ever into the long bond at the precise top in price and bottom in yields..
Regards,
Tony
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