SPX Below 2100, but is it Enough?
Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016 Jul 07, 2016 - 11:16 PM GMTSPX is beneath the 4.5 year trendline. The formation is irregular, so to be safe, we should use the lower trendline of the Broadening Diagonal as a trigger to go short. That appears to be at or just beneath 2090.00. There is always the possibility of using the trendline as a support to launch another algo orgy. Of course, the ultimate safety for the shorts appears to be beneath the 50-day Moving Average.
VIX is rising again. No signal until above the 50-day Moving Average.
TNX has also resumed its decline in a probable Wave [iii]. It remains on a sell signal.
EUFN is subdividing down in a third wave. This can get very ugly.
European Bank Default risk is growing.
The extended Wave [b] during the Brexit vote makes this Wave 2 formation foreshortened and dangerous, IMO. The probability of a Wave [iii] of 3 of (3) about to happen is very high.
Is this why Ben Bernanke is going to see Kuroda? Even a concerted effort of all the central banks may not be able to stop this decline.
This is a dangerous game they are playing. Unfortunately, too many investors are giving them too much credibility.
Regards,
Tony
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