Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Breaking Bad on Donald Trump Pump - 21st Nov 24
Gold Price To Re-Test $2,700 - 21st Nov 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: This Is My Strong Warning To You - 21st Nov 24
Financial Crisis 2025 - This is Going to Shock People! - 21st Nov 24
Dubai Deluge - AI Tech Stocks Earnings Correction Opportunities - 18th Nov 24
Why President Trump Has NO Real Power - Deep State Military Industrial Complex - 8th Nov 24
Social Grant Increases and Serge Belamant Amid South Africa's New Political Landscape - 8th Nov 24
Is Forex Worth It? - 8th Nov 24
Nvidia Numero Uno in Count Down to President Donald Pump Election Victory - 5th Nov 24
Trump or Harris - Who Wins US Presidential Election 2024 Forecast Prediction - 5th Nov 24
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24
At These Levels, Buying Silver Is Like Getting It At $5 In 2003 - 28th Oct 24
Nvidia Numero Uno Selling Shovels in the AI Gold Rush - 28th Oct 24
The Future of Online Casinos - 28th Oct 24
Panic in the Air As Stock Market Correction Delivers Deep Opps in AI Tech Stocks - 27th Oct 24
Stocks, Bitcoin, Crypto's Counting Down to President Donald Pump! - 27th Oct 24
UK Budget 2024 - What to do Before 30th Oct - Pensions and ISA's - 27th Oct 24
7 Days of Crypto Opportunities Starts NOW - 27th Oct 24
The Power Law in Venture Capital: How Visionary Investors Like Yuri Milner Have Shaped the Future - 27th Oct 24
This Points To Significantly Higher Silver Prices - 27th Oct 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Stock Market Unwinding....Still Nowhere Big Picture...

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016 Sep 24, 2016 - 07:01 AM GMT

By: Jack_Steiman

Stock-Markets

70 RSI is as 70 RSI does. Sure, you can go well above. I understand that, but yesterday most of the key index charts hit 70 RSI on the short-term, sixty-minute charts. Normally you pull back from there and today was no different. The market gapped down a little bit and spent the day below the flat line. Nothing dramatic, but it did succeed in allowing the overbought oscillators to begin and unwinding process, which, of course, many will question as to whether we've seen the ultimate top. Probably not, but you never know. Markets sell when they get too overbought to allow for more energy on the next attempted move higher. This seems to be no different.


You never know for sure, but the oscillators behaved appropriately with price, so, for now, we take it as a proper way to get more energy for another attempt higher in time. Volume was low with most traders allowing the pullback. It doesn't mean we won't fall further early next week, but a lot of the dirty deed was done today. No damage from a technical perspective. The bulls still own the playing field. I'm a big believer that it's best not to get too overbought for it almost guarantees a negative divergence on the next move up. Pulling back appropriately at the first signs of overbought can help prevent that. Although the bulls would rather things get out of control on the up side, in the end it serves them better when we pull back immediately from short-term, overbought conditions. That's what took place today. Still bullish behavior, bigger picture for now. So, the market got its medicine from the mouth that roared. Another excuse not to raise rates took place with the market rallying for two days on the news before pausing to refresh today. More drugs for the bullish players.

That said, we are still decently below the breakout on the S&P 500, which we all know by now is 2194. A double top the bulls are begging to see go away so as to get the next leg up under way. The realities of the world seem to be holding back the breakout to some degree, but you have to wonder how long the bears can hold this market from taking out 2194 without some unexpected bad news. It is interesting that the extra spark the fed Yellen gave still hasn't provided the big move the market is craving. The charts just aren't bearish enough for the bears to get excited or too hopeful. The daily charts have unwound quite a bit, yet there is no break down or anything close to it. Since the 2120 double bottom tap, we've moved decently higher and are now headed towards the upper end of the channel. All of this, however, can't hide the fact that we're still nowhere overall as we trade below the 2194 breakout and key support at 2120 down to 2093.

Who knows what will occur to get us above 2194 on a closing basis but you have to give the benefit of the doubt to the bulls since the trend is higher, even though it's in a grinding fashion. An annoying one at that. For now, you stay long with plenty of fear about what could happen should the real world happen to take over one of these unexpected days. The onus is on the bears to make that a real event.

Peace,

Jack

Jack Steiman is author of SwingTradeOnline.com ( www.swingtradeonline.com ). Former columnist for TheStreet.com, Jack is renowned for calling major shifts in the market, including the market bottom in mid-2002 and the market top in October 2007.

Sign up for a Free 15-Day Trial to SwingTradeOnline.com!

© 2016 SwingTradeOnline.com

Mr. Steiman's commentaries and index analysis represent his own opinions and should not be relied upon for purposes of effecting securities transactions or other investing strategies, nor should they be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy any security. You should not interpret Mr. Steiman's opinions as constituting investment advice. Trades mentioned on the site are hypothetical, not actual, positions.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in