The Time to Prepare For the Next Financial Crisis is NOW
Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018 Nov 18, 2018 - 03:34 PM GMTGlobal growth is officially dead.
The markets picked up on this first, with Copper, Lumber, Industrial Metals and other economically sensitive asset classes collapsing starting in May.
Looking at those charts, it was easy to single out the Fed as the culprit, since the Fed’s hawkishness had ignited the $USD which in turn put pressure on commodities.
However, what’s happening now is much bigger than just the Fed. Between June and August, two of the stock markets that are most closely aligned with global trade (South Korean and Germany) topped.
And when I say, “topped” I mean they TOPPED and then proceeded to collapse.
Looking at those charts going into October, you could have argued that this was due to the Fed and the Trump trade war. Indeed, had the Fed STOPPED its hawkishness and the Trump administration managed to cut a deal with China last summer, it’s quite possible that the financial markets would have corrected, but we wouldn’t have had a full blown meltdown.
However, neither of those things happened. The Fed made it clear it’s going to hike until something breaks. And China, for whatever reason, has decided it would rather risk economic collapse, than appear weak against the US.
Which is when October hit… at which point it became clear that what’s now unfolding is no longer due to just trade tariffs and rate hikes. By the time October ended, an astonishing 89% of global assets were in the red for the year.
There is only one way to interpret that kind of bloodbath: we’re officially at the end of a credit cycle that began in 2009. The good times are officially over, and the bad times (the next crisis) is about to begin.
If you are not already preparing for this, NOW is the time to do so.
On that note, we are putting together an Executive Summary outlining all of these issues as well as what’s coming down the pike when the Everything Bubble bursts.
It will be available exclusively to our clients. If you’d like to have a copy delivered to your inbox when it’s completed, you can join the wait-list here.
https://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/TEB.html
Best Regards
Graham Summers
Phoenix Capital Research
http://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com
Graham also writes Private Wealth Advisory, a monthly investment advisory focusing on the most lucrative investment opportunities the financial markets have to offer. Graham understands the big picture from both a macro-economic and capital in/outflow perspective. He translates his understanding into finding trends and unde74rvalued investment opportunities months before the markets catch on: the Private Wealth Advisory portfolio has outperformed the S&P 500 three of the last five years, including a 7% return in 2008 vs. a 37% loss for the S&P 500.
Previously, Graham worked as a Senior Financial Analyst covering global markets for several investment firms in the Mid-Atlantic region. He’s lived and performed research in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and the United States.
© 2018 Copyright Graham Summers - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.
Graham Summers Archive |
© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.