The Bond Trade

By: Nadeem_Walayat

As expected the four bond funds have been gravitating towards bear market lows and thus offering an opp to accumulate, I am now approx 55% invested.

Again this is an approx 2 year trade so I won't be adding to the portfolio proper but will update from time to time.

HOW TO STAY INVESTED

One of the hardest things to do as an investor is to STAY invested for the long-run. INVEST AND FOIRGET is easier said then done, we all try and trade in and out of bull and bear markets, even corrections, TRADE being the operative word. What's worse is modern platform's have made trading too easy! FRACTIONAL SHARES! Portfolio death by a thousand cuts!

So what's needed are mechanism's to PREVENT investors from SELLING, it has to be simple else the rules will be first be bent and then broken. Given that everyone should know what their target exposure for each stock is to prevent OVER committing to a single stock then that is a good reference point to build a simple mechanism around which could simply be to NEVER be LESS than 50% invested in any target stock. That's the simple version, one can fine tune this to differing percentages for each stock. For instance Google 50%, Nvidia 25% would keep one no matter what happens 50% invested in Google and 25% invested in Nvidia and so on, tailored for each stocks risk profile.

In addition to this could be a portfolio wide rule of never going below a certain percent invested, say 60%. This way one always remains determined to hold on to positions no matter what outcome understanding that Invest and Forget IS the BEST long-term,strategy, thus these two mechanism will ensure at least one is attempting to Invest and forget for that is where the real profits will be made over the long-run and not what happens over the coming, week, month or even year.

Set a limit for each stock below which you will NO LONGER TRIM.

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S&P

Targeting 4600 Mid Summer 2023 Top followed by correction to below 4150 into October 2023.

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Your trimmed the FOMO to buy the Dip analyst.

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2023 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 30 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.