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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Economic Theory

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Economics

Thursday, October 22, 2009

Risk and Uncertainty Implications for Economic Forecasting / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Peter_G_Klein

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn a recent paper, "The Limits of Numerical Probability: Frank H. Knight and Ludwig von Mises and the Frequency Interpretation," Hans-Hermann Hoppe explores Mises's approach to probability and its implications for economic forecasting.[1]

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Economics

Thursday, October 22, 2009

The 1934 Meeting of Roosevelt and Keynes / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Gary_North

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFew historians or economists know that the most influential American President of the twentieth century and the most influential economist of the twentieth century had a meeting in June of 1934. This is recorded in a book by Frances Perkins, who served as Roosevelt's Secretary of Labor: The Roosevelt I Knew (1946).

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Economics

Sunday, October 18, 2009

Death of Mauldin's Muddle Through Economy? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US government is on an unsustainable path. Deficits are soaring and the Obama administration is planning massive tax hikes.

Moreover, businesses have little reason to hire already because of massive overcapacity. Add increasing health care costs to the list of reasons for businesses not to hire.

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Economics

Saturday, October 17, 2009

Karl Marx Predicted Collapse of US Dollar in 1857 / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Pravda

The great October fall of the US dollar is turning into an avalanche. On Tuesday, the American currency lost nine kopeks in Russia and reached a new minimum mark this year - 29.5 rubles per dollar. Within six months (April through September) the dollar lost over 10 percent at the world foreign exchange trading, which marked the sharpest decline since 1991. Some experts believe that the American currency is close to collapse, which may lead to a new financial crisis.

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Economics

Thursday, October 15, 2009

A Theory of Socialism and Capitalism / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mark_Thornton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the wake of the downfall of the Berlin Wall, the breakup of the Soviet Union, and the emergence of capitalism in China, I was asked to teach the comparative-economic-systems class at Auburn University for the summer term in 1989. My only exposure to the topic had been as an undergraduate student, where my teacher was a Cold War–era professor who concentrated almost exclusively on the Soviet Union. His implicit message was to fear the Soviet Union, which would soon come to smother the American dream.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

WSJ Inane Understanding of Economic Theory / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Increase Employment the Same Way You Increase Home Sales - Every month in its survey of economists' forecasts, the WSJ asks various inane questions. In its latest survey, one of the questions had to do with what the government could do to increase employment. Now that health-care "reform" appears to be on its way to being a done deal, the D.C. issue du jour is employment stimulus. Various kinds of employer-tax incentives are in the initial stages of being proposed. Of course, the editorial board of the WSJ, which has never encountered a tax cut it did not encourage, is lobbying for a cut in the Social Security payroll tax. Good idea if the WSJ editorial board also argues for an equal cut in Social Security benefit payments. Fat chance of that occurring - i.e., a cut in Social Security benefit payments.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 12, 2009

Is the Stock Market a Leading Economic Indicator? / Stock-Markets / Economic Theory

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInquiring minds are pondering the question "Is the Stock Market a Leading Indicator?"

Please consider the following two charts.

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Economics

Monday, October 12, 2009

Refuting Keynes, Line-by-Line / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Gary_North

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf I were a young man, I would not share this. I would implement it. It would become the foundation of my academic career.

The Austrian School of economics, more than any other, is built on the idea of the centrality of entrepreneurship. Ludwig von Mises explained the principle profit and loss in terms of some forecasters' ability to foresee consumer demand, and then plan to meet it at a total cost below the sales price. Successful entrepreneurs gain profit as a residual. Unsuccessful entrepreneurs gain losses.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 07, 2009

The Fed's Schizophrenic Monetary Economists / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf monetary theory is accurate, it is a subset of general economic theory, which must also be accurate. Monetary theory is not an independent theory of human action that is divorced analytically from a general theory of human action.

Only the Austrian School of economics believes this and adheres to it in practice. All other systems of economic thought segregate monetary theory from general economic theory.

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Economics

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

Marx and Lenin Revisited / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Paul_Craig_Roberts

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"Capital is dead labor, which, vampire-like, lives only by sucking living labor, and lives the more, the more labor it sucks."  Karl Marx

If Karl Marx and V. I. Lenin were alive today, they would be leading contenders for the Nobel Prize in economics.

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Economics

Tuesday, October 06, 2009

Paul Krugman Would Fail as a Businessman / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Eric_Englund

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRecently, I traveled to Idaho to meet with several customers over a two-day period. As a surety bond underwriter, I predominantly deal with small-to-medium sized public works and commercial contractors. My objectives, for each meeting, were to gain a better understanding of local market conditions, to see if a viable business plan was in place for each contractor, and to determine which clients would survive this vicious economic downturn.

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Economics

Monday, October 05, 2009

Unemployment Economic Theory and the U.S. Dollar / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Howard_Katz

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold made a quick dip to the $990 area on Friday and then whipped around to close above $1,000.  We cannot completely rule out one final pull back to $960.  However, the U.S. dollar is in free fall.  So any dip in gold will be very brief.

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Economics

Sunday, October 04, 2009

An Engineer's Solution for Sustained Economic Growth / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Steve_Morra

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSustained or increased economic chaos is the likely result of the public solutions offered for the worldwide macro-economic decline as of late 2009.  Comparing simple historical economic data with public rhetoric, the solutions offered promise further economic decline past recession into depression and beyond for the vast majority of our micro-economic futures.  It is time to publicly look at the “Golden Goose” in technical history to find a realistic solution with sustained economic growth.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 03, 2009

Financial Markets and World Economy Fingers of Instability / Stock-Markets / Economic Theory

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFingers of Instability
Ubiquity, Complexity Theory, and Sandpiles
Stability Leads to Instability
A Stable Disequilibrium
3 Billion and Counting

"To trace something unknown back to something known is alleviating, soothing, gratifying and gives moreover a feeling of power. Danger, disquiet, anxiety attend the unknown - the first instinct is to eliminate these distressing states. First principle: any explanation is better than none... The cause-creating drive is thus conditioned and excited by the feeling of fear ..." Friedrich Nietzsche

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Economics

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

What Is Money? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis question divides economists even more than it divides voters. Voters do not think much about this question. Economists think about it throughout their careers. They do not agree with each other regarding the answer.

The problem is, about half of American economists who specialize in monetary theory and banking policy are either on the payroll of the Federal Reserve System or sell their services to the FED on a piece-rate basis.

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Economics

Sunday, September 27, 2009

Reflections on the Great Inflation Deflation Debate / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mike_Shedlock

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week I was in an inflation vs. deflation debate on Financial Sense with Daniel Amerman. The debate was moderated by Jim Puplava. It is a credit to Jim that he is willing to entertain both sides of an argument even though he himself is an inflationist.

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Economics

Friday, September 25, 2009

Paul Krugman's Identity Crisis, Lying to the American People / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Benjamin_Lee

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAnyone who reads Paul Krugman, our latest "Nobel Prize-winning economist," knows that Krugman believes inflation is not a threat to the economy at all. He is a regular defender of large fiscal deficits and expansionary monetary policy, claiming that they are the road to salvation from our so-called deflationary spiral. (We'll ignore the fact that this "deflationary spiral" involves six straight months of price increases and regular complaints from Mr. Krugman himself about skyrocketing costs in health care.)

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Economics

Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Government Spending, Money For Nothing / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Charles_Maley

Someone stole all my credit cards, but I won’t be reporting it. The thief spends less than my wife — Henny Youngman

Milton Friedman was a great American economist and statistician among other admirable things. He is best known among scholars for his theoretical and empirical research.

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Economics

Monday, September 21, 2009

The Flawed Theoretical Framework of Modern Economics / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Fred_Buzzeo

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEconomics is often referred to as the “dismal science.”  This expression is traced back to Thomas  Carlyle who claimed that economics “is not a gay science, I should say, like some we have heard of; no a dreary, desolate, and indeed quite an abject and distressing one; what we might call by way of eminence, the dismal science.”

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Economics

Saturday, September 19, 2009

Academic Economists Lead Governments to the Edge of the Abyss / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Nadeem_Walayat

99.9% of academic economists living in ivory towers lost in world of their own formulae's and theories of what should happen and what could not happen not only did not see the crisis coming but far more dangerously led the government and central bank policy makers down a long winding garden path towards the edge of the financial and economic abyss. It was only after all of the economic theory was binned i.e. that which the academics had worked on and spouted for decades was financial armageddon avoided.

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