Category: Commodities Trading
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Wednesday, May 09, 2018
Supercycle May Be Setting Up for Higher Commodity Demand / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Conditions may be in place for increased demand and increased prices for a number of commodities. In this interview with Streetwise Reports, Frank Holmes, CEO of U.S. Global Investors, discusses the commodity supercycle and the factors behind it, why some commodities may get more of a boost than others, and ways investors can profit.
The Gold Report: Frank, thank you for joining us today. Let's talk about the commodity supercycle. Would you explain what the supercycle is?
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 04, 2018
US Dollar Cycle Rotation To Boost Oil & Other Commodities / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Our recent analysis of the US Dollar has presented a very unique and interesting setup for traders – an opportunity for a general commodity rally with Oil leading the way.
Taking a look at this Daily chart of the UUP (US Dollar Index Bullish Fund) with our Advanced Dynamic Learning Cycles price modeling system applied to it, we can see that the cycle analysis is predicting a rotational top in the US Dollar over the next 2~5+ trading days before a new bearish price trend pushes this US Dollar fund back to below the $24 level. We have highlighted the Resistance Zone in red and we believe this rotating top will play out fairly quickly as an excellent opportunity for traders.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 14, 2018
Sugar Commodity Buying Levels Analysis / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Pattern – price is clearly in a downtrend…which I think is finished, for the time being anyway. Price made a little inside candle the day before last and the last day’s trading saw price breach the high of the previous day which is often a sign of a change in trend. Price will, obviously, need to trade further up to confirm this suspicion of mine.
PSAR – this has indicator has now turned bullish with the dots now underneath price. A good sign for the bulls but nothing to get too excited about.
Thursday, April 12, 2018
Rise Of The New Commodities Bull Market? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
New massive breakout patterns have been setting up in the markets for months and our research team at the Wealth Building Newsletter has been quietly watching these setups – waiting for the right time to alert our followers of these exceptional opportunities. Today, we are announcing our research and triggers to all of our followers so you can attempt for profit from our hard work and see just how critical our “Adaptive Learning Tools” are for success.
We believe the following charts clearly show just how important these breakout patterns are for traders. This first chart shows the Stage 1 Basing formation that we’ve been following for quite a while with our Adaptive Dynamic Learning Cycles. These cycle projections help us to determine the future potential of any markets as well as help us to understand historical and current price cycle rotations.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 03, 2018
Orange Juice Commodity Price Analysis / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Latest Price – $139.20
Patterm – price looks to be generally in an uptrend with a secondary low in place with a recent test of that higher low turning price back up.
Fibonacci – the higher low was just above the 88.6% retracement level which is normal for the first correction in a new bull market as first corrections often make deep retracements while the most recent low looks to have found support at the 76.4% level. The higher low was at support from the 88.6% angle and price looks to have once again found support at that angle.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 03, 2018
Review of Gold, Silver and Copper Charts and Implications of the Latest COTs / Commodities / Commodities Trading
We've certainly got plenty to look at in coming days, but perhaps a good place to start is with a review of some of the latest COTs, because of their implications for the immediate future. The following charts make very clear why those in control of publishing COT data hold up its release for three days (the data is always for Tuesday's close) so that those at the top of the food chain can position themselves comfortably to benefit from early knowledge of what's going on before the ordinary shmuck does—observe how the uptrends in both copper and the broad market S&P 500 index presaged by the COTs have already started by the end of the week. In looking at the charts, keep in mind that markets were closed on Friday.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 19, 2018
Inflationary Pressures Building / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Inflationary pressures have been on the rise since 2016. The U.S. Inflation Rate currently sits at 2.20 percent up from 1 percent in early 2016.
Increasing economic growth both globally and domestically have aided the rise of inflationary pressures.
The rise or fall in commodity prices are a good reliable gauge on inflation.
But the biggest driver of natural resource prices appears to be the U.S. dollar.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 08, 2018
U.S. Dollar Appears to be Bottoming. Is this the End of the Commodities Rally? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
The U.S. dollar appears to be finding a floor at $0.885 after six weeks of sharp declines. What does that mean to commodity prices?
The "Big dollar" slid almost six percent since mid-December aiding many commodity prices to stage a strong rally.
Gold bounced up 8.4 percent, silver soared 10 percent and WTI roar upward by 15 percent.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 05, 2018
Best Commodity Trading Opportunities to See Now / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Special 5-day event (free): "Best Commodity Opportunities to See Now"
Dear reader,
Volatility is picking up steam -- and it's more than just Bitcoin and U.S. stocks that deserve your attention.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 25, 2018
A New Commodities Bull Market is Emerging / Commodities / Commodities Trading
We’ve all watched in amazement, while the equities markets around the world have risen to new highs. On Wall Street hardly a week goes by without a new record. There comes a time however when a sector becomes so overbought, that smart money begins to leave and search for a sector that has been overlooked. That moment is now at hand, as can be seen in our first chart – courtesy sources listed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 07, 2018
Commodities the Return To Inflation? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
The headline in this Thursday’s Financial Times reads: “Commodities prices hit highest point since 2014”.
The FT article begins: “The Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index, which tracks price of 22 raw materials, has hit its highest level since 2014 when the oil market price crash started.”
A small problem might be that the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index does not include Energy or Precious Metals, which are in other Bloomberg indexes. In fact, in the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index is a grouping of Raw Industrials and Food Stuffs. The Raw Industrials includes burlap, copper scrap, cotton, hides, lead scrap, print cloth, rosin, rubber, steel scrap, tallow, tin, wool tops, and zinc. Foodstuffs include butter, cocoa beans, corn, cottonseed oil, hogs, lard, steers, sugar, and wheat.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 06, 2018
Four Commodity Charts For the “There is No Inflation” Crowd / Commodities / Commodities Trading
I keep reading articles claiming that inflation is nowhere to be found.
If that is true, explain the following four charts.
Copper has broken out of a 10-year downtrend.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 31, 2017
Commodities, CRB, Oil & Gas, Gold, Silver... Markets Big Picture Update / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Some monthly charts of interest in the commodity sector, including precious metals.
CRB Index dwells below key resistance. A break of 200 would target around 250 in 2018.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 21, 2017
Some Commodity Charts are Breaking Out / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Today I would like to update some charts for the commodities complex as we are starting to see some action in this sector. Back in the summer months when we first started to get long some of the different commodities sectors, we got many breakouts from some very nice H&S bases. After the initial move up came the first consolidation phase that has been going on for nearly four months or so. We are now starting to see some of these consolidation patterns breaking out which should lead to the next impulse move higher in most cases.
Lets start with BHP, one of the biggest miners on the planet, that shows a good example of where we are at in the bull market. Today the price action broke out with a gap above the top rail of an almost 5 month triangle consolidation pattern. A backtest to the top rail would come in around the 43.50 area.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 21, 2017
GOLD AND CRUDE SETUP IS VERY BULLISH! / Commodities / Commodities Trading
My Bias: Long to a new all time high above 1827.
Wave Structure: Impulse structure to a new high.
Long term wave count: wave (3) above 1666.
Thursday, December 14, 2017
A Pivotal Week For Gold And Crude Oil / Commodities / Commodities Trading
My Bias: Long to a new all time high above 1827.
Wave Structure: Impulse structure to a new high.
Long term wave count: wave (3) above 1666.
Sunday, October 01, 2017
DBA, SOYB, JJG MOO Soft Commodites ETF's Update / Commodities / Commodities Trading
My last update on Soft’s was back in mid-April here: https://surfcity.co/2017/04/12/soft-commodities/
Are Soft commodities finding a major low here? Could be but it will vary by commodity and could take another few months to a year for some.
Here is update with charts on DBA, SOYB, JJG MOO and I may add Sugar and Coffee later if I find time. The first three charts are DBA which covers a broad mix of various softs. Also charts on SOYB for Soybeans and JJG, an ETF that buys Futures in Soybeans, Corn and Wheat.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 28, 2017
Copper, Oil, Commodities Bottom as Emerging Markets Breakout / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Tonight I would like to update some of the different commodities and emerging markets we took some positions in back in late July of this year. First, let me say that as investors we like everything to line up in perfect harmony so we can make some sense out of what is actually happening in the markets. It’s just human nature. For example, if the US dollar is doing this then the PM complex or the commodities should be doing that. There is a general rule that there is an inverse correlation between the US dollar and the PM complex or commodities, but it’s not always accurate.
Many times we can get bogged down trying to make everything fit perfectly before we make a trade. This can sometimes lead to missed opportunities as what we were expecting didn’t take place. For the most part this is one of the reasons why I prefer Chartology. When a pattern is building out the bears and bulls are making their side known by the battle they’re having with each other, which eventually creates a consolidation or reversal pattern. All the fundamentals that a stock has is also priced into the chart pattern.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 04, 2017
When and how to invest in the commodity market – Taking a balanced step forward / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Commodity prices usually soar higher during inflationary periods. There are times when the economy goes through soaring levels of inflation, just like it happened in 1970s. During that period, interest rates surged up to 18% to fight against the levels of inflation and the prices of commodities reached their record high levels. However, it is not that all periods of inflation have to be so extreme but at the same time it is true that commodities usually perform well when there is mild inflation in the country.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 28, 2017
Sugar Commodity Investors: "Desperately Seeking..." Clarity and Objectivity / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Congratulations, Elliott wave analysis is your ideal match
Over the last two years, sugar futures have crashed and spiked and crashed again -- much like a diabetic without insulin.
After plummeting to an 8-year low in September 2015, sugar prices then doubled in a stunning rally to a 4-year high in September 2016, only to turn back down in a 40% sell-off to19-month lows in late June 2017, where they linger to this day.
Read full article... Read full article...