Category: Financial Markets 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, December 13, 2010
Just Another Manic Market Monday – Stagflation Now Official in China / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Wheeee, everything must be great!
We are crushing our levels as the market flies ever higher. Our 11,500 target on the Dow looks sure to be tested and we’re already flipping bullish with our "Breakout Defense" trades, in which our goal is to make 5,000% in 5 trades or less. We are not ashamed to jump on the bullish bandwagon – if they are giving away money, we’ll stand in line with everyone else, only we’ll take a larger share – thank you very much. We certainly know how to use leverage just like a Bankster – we have a spread and we’re not afraid to use it!
Sunday, December 12, 2010
Quantitative Easing Financial Markets Train Smash Coming / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
In this analyst’s view, it is only a matter of time before the folly of Quantitative Easing becomes transparent to everyone. That time may be closer than most people think.
Here is a quote from an article entitled “Investors Hold Biggest Commodity Positions On Record; Viral Nonsense About Silver” written by Mike Shedlock.
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Sunday, December 12, 2010
SPX Stock Market Rally Near Completion, Is the FDIC Out of Cash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
November Budget Deficit $150.4 Billion, Worse Than $138 Billion Consensus, Biggest November Deficit On Record(ZeroHedge) The Treasury has released the November deficit, which at $150.4 billion was about $12 billion worse than expected. Total receipts were $148 billion, of which individual income taxes were $64.3 billion, while the government actually refunded $3.1 billion for corporate taxes in the month. While cumulative receipts since the start of the new fiscal year are better than in the prior year period ($135.7 billion compared to $109.1 billion), it is the expense side that is far more important: in November the government spent $299.4 billion, the bulk of which going to the Department of Health and Human Services ($72 billion), social security ($64 billion), and Defense ($57 billion).
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Saturday, December 11, 2010
Stocks Risking Taking, Bonds Take a Beating and Gold Volatility / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
A&P May File for Bankruptcy as Soon as Weekend After 151 Years in Business
(Bloomberg) Great Atlantic & Pacific Tea Co., the once-dominant grocery-store chain founded in 1859, may file for bankruptcy in the coming days to restructure debt, two people with knowledge of the matter said. A filing to reorganize under court protection may come as soon as this weekend, said the people, who declined to be identified because the matter is private. A&P hired law firm Kirkland & Ellis LLP to represent it in negotiations with creditors and in any Chapter 11 proceeding, the people said.
Saturday, December 11, 2010
Exiting Fixed Income Bonds and Moving into Equities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
A very quiet day, but the sellers are MIA -- at least for the time being. The enclosed comparison chart perhaps sheds some light on what is going on - bond prices continue to press lower concurrent with bouyant (grinding higher) equity prices, which suggests that money is exiting fixed income into equities.
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Friday, December 10, 2010
Stock Markets End Week with a Whimper / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
I thought some uplifting music might help today as the markets have not been turning in a super performance this week despite a $1Tn tax cut/stimulus package pumped into it just 3 days ago. That morning, I posted Chris Kimble's charts from our Chart School and we were looking at key resistance at S&P 1,224, Nasdaq 2,600 (NDX 2,191), NYSE 7,751 and Russell 756. We're above all those this morning but what we're not above is my 11,500 level on the Dow. In fact, if you look at the Dow over the past 6 sessions, you'll notice we hit quite a wall at about 11,375.
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Thursday, December 09, 2010
Is The Herd Trading Gold and SP500? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Over the past 2 weeks we have seen the market sentiment change three times from extreme bullish to bearish and back to bullish as of today. Normally we don’t see the herd (average Joe) switch trading directions this quickly. Over the past 10 years I found that the average time for the herd to reach an extreme bullish or bearish bias takes between 4-6 weeks in length. It is this herd mentality which makes for some excellent trend trading opportunities. But with the quantitative easing, thinner traded market, and lack of trading participants (smaller herd) I find everyone is ready to change directions at the drop of a hat.
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Wednesday, December 08, 2010
The Dollar, Failing Euro and Volatile Gold and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
First we look at the Dollar index. The streets are cheering as the treasury yields have jumped in the past two days therefore giving the green back the boost it needed to snap out from last week’s losing streak but whenever you have extra hype which to us looks like a stampede we shy away from it for one reason, we aren’t strong enough to run with the stampede and more than often it serves us well. The hype is such that as if Green back is going to blow straight off the roof however, that hasn’t happened thus far. The Dollar index as we write is only marginally up 0.21% which hardly depicts anything but the hype.
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Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Inflation Expectations, What’s Doctor Copper Predicting For the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Copper is often called Dr Copper as the metal is considered a bell-weather for the world economy due to its close correlation to economic growth (used by many industries, copper typically rallies when the world economy is growing).
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Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Goldman Sachs Delusional World View, Pulling on Global Threads and the SEP / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
"We think the global (and overall European) outlook remains robust."
That’s the word from Goldman Sachs’ Erik Nielson this weekend, who also observes that he was "Possibly deluded by the wonderful vibrancy of California." Deluded indeed seems to be an excellent choice of words with a new report out showing that California leads the nation in a local government pension crisis that has a $3.5Tn hole to fill and will not be sufficient to pay benefits through 2020 along with 5 other states while another 20 states will run out of funding by 2025. Is Nielson just saying anything to herd more suckers into the market by telling the sidelined cash that it’s safe to go back in the water or is he cleverly employing an SEP Field to bamboozle the public?
Sunday, December 05, 2010
The Next Market Disaster, EWT Overview of the Markets and Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
An exclusive only for Market Oracle readers, FREE access to Robert Prechter's recent 10 Page The Elliott Wave Theorist Letter:
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Saturday, December 04, 2010
Stocks, Gold, and Oil Crude Remain Range Bound / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Pre-Market trading on Friday morning was wild as the S&P 500 did not react well to the latest jobs report. Sellers stepped in and pushed down the e-mini contract by over 10 points in less than 15 minutes which is a pretty drastic move. It is critical to note that before the jobs announcement, the S&P 500 had put in a new high in the pre-market drawing in bulls and leaving many of them trapped. Today's price action will be interesting as Fridays are usually pretty quiet.
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Saturday, December 04, 2010
Unemployment Hits 9.8%, America’s Love Affair With Stocks May be Over… / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The unemployment rate edged up to 9.8 percent in November, and nonfarm payroll employment was little changed (+39,000), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Temporary help services and health care continued to add jobs over the month, while employment fell in retail trade. Employment in most major industries changed little in November.
U-6 Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force remained at 17% in November.
Saturday, December 04, 2010
Investor Profit Lessons from The Ongoing Europe, USA Debt Crises / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“The money struggle is the struggle against totalitarianism”
“It may be a bit hypocritical for an American to wonder why Europeans are giving up their democracy, their countries, their money, and their very lives to an unelected, overweening, bank-controlled bureaucracy. After all, that already has happened in the United States. But at least there are powerful stirrings against the new European totalitarianism, perhaps best articulated today by Nigel Farage, a member of the European Parliament from southeast England and leader of the United Kingdom Independence Party.
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Wednesday, December 01, 2010
Euro, USD, Gold and Stock Index Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The Good Days: From the get go, today seemed like a good day. A day, when most things fall in place almost perfectly and should I emphasis without much effort. Same could be said about the investment world. Regardless of the media’s hype about EU debt crisis or the Wiki Leaks which surely aren’t investment world’s secret “cables”, even the global markets are breathing a sigh of relief and optimism as even the BEARs amongst us know, a Bull market is just more fun!
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Wednesday, December 01, 2010
Stocks S&P 500, Gold, Crude Oil and the Banks Trend Trading Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Sellers were in control most of the trading session on Tuesday, however an overnight buying surge pushed the S&P 500 back up to overhead resistance as the directional battle raged on between the bulls and the bears. For over a week we have had relatively choppy trading as the S&P 500 has remained in a tight range between the 20 and 50 period moving averages. By the open Wednesday, the U.S. financial markets demonstrated their resiliency yet again. It is critical to note that we received our first and second official tests of the 50 period moving average on the S&P 500 daily chart.
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Wednesday, December 01, 2010
Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist Newsletter Exclusive Free Access / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
An exclusive only for Market Oracle readers, FREE access to Robert Prechter's recent 10 Page The Elliott Wave Theorist Letter:
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Tuesday, November 30, 2010
Gold, Dollar and Stock Markets Decoupling! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
I’ve received a number of e-mails over the last week asking me, better yet warning me about decoupling. The principal culprits are gold and the Dow as well as gold and the dollar. Bloomberg and CNBC go on and on about gold moving inversely to the dollar and everybody listens to them as if it were gospel. What they don’t know is that these TV experts are years behind the curve. There is no doubt that gold is rising in terms of every major currency in the world, but what is less known is that it rallies with or against the dollar. With respect to the supposed link between gold and the US dollar I want you to focus your attention on these two charts. First let’s look at an eleven month daily chart for gold:
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Monday, November 29, 2010
Safeguard Your Financial Future with Robert Prechter's Exclusive 10 Page Letter / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2010
The Market Oracle NewsletterNov 20th, 2010 Issue #61 Vol. 4
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Monday, November 29, 2010
Investors Drawn to China Like Moths to a Flame / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
"Investors are drawn to China like moths to a flame." – Neil Woodford
That’s a great quote. Neil is the head of investments at Invesco, running the UK’s largest investment fund with a decade of 15% average returns under his belt so let’s take the man seriously for starters. Mr Woodford’s concerns coincide with figures showing that food prices in China were 10.1pc higher in October than in the same month last year – a level of inflation not seen since mid-2007. This is deepening concern that China’s economy is now starting to overheat.