Category: Financial Markets 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Tuesday, January 26, 2010
The Chinese Interest Rates Torture Continues For Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Monday brought some respite, as hopes of a reappointment for Bernanke grew and Greece managed to ‘successfully’ launch its 5-year bond. Are risk takers out of the woods then? The jury is still out. Asian equities sold off overnight again, on yet more fears about tighter policy in China (see below). Greece of course managed to raise €8bn, with the book even reaching €25bn. This comes as a relief, suggesting the country is still able to fund itself. However, such success has a price – Greece had to pay mid swap +350bp, or 30bp more than the price of its exiting July 2015 issue. Still, this should help calm fears of a Greek default.
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Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Stock Market Investors Fooled by Talk of Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
What a week we’ve just witnessed. In 3 days the entire gains in equities in 2010 have been wiped out. The Dow, Nasdaq and S&P 500 all fell into the red for the year to date. The gold price dropped to its’ lowest in a month. And this all happened at a time when investor confidence had started the week at a 27 month high according to the VIX index…
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Monday, January 25, 2010
Gold, Dollar, China, Important 2010 Q&A / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Even though it’s very early in the new year, there are some wild market movements and lots of news out of China, which has prompted readers to ask me many questions. So, I’m dedicating today’s issue to those questions — and my answers …
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Sunday, January 24, 2010
China Stocks Continue to Lead Financial Markets and Gold Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Last week's report started with China's announcement to raise reserve requirements for bank deposits. The news sent markets into a tailspin. China continued this week to lead world markets down.
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Sunday, January 24, 2010
Obama Hits the Banks that Hit Stocks and Commodities, UK Inflation Soars / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The big news story of the week was Obama being shocked into action on the Banks AFTER the bruising election result from Massachusetts, which followed a year of dithering on the financial sector reforms issue. Obama has been a huge disappointment during his first year as the U.S. electorate had CHANGE, CHANGE, CHANGE rammed down their throats during the campaign, however we have seen very little actual change where even his flag ship health reforms have now basically been put onto the back burner. Perhaps Obama has now CHANGED and he will actually do something that he has long promised to do i.e. to hold the banks to account and real reforms to prevent them from bankrupting the United States. Obama's announcement immediately triggered sharp falls on the stock market which had been ripe for a correction for several weeks, just waiting for the trigger to begin correcting.
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Sunday, January 24, 2010
Financial Markets Marching Towards Inflation and Interest Rate Hikes During 2010 / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2010
The Market Oracle Newsletter January 16th, 2010 Issue #4 Vol. 4 Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 23, 2010
Obama Banking Reforms Maybe Too Little Too Late, Stock Market Nosedives / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
It may be the right direction, but not nearly enough...
President Barack Obama’s proposal to impose limits on may win him support on Main Street and shake up Wall Stcommercial banksreet without doing much to make the financial system safer overall. The plan, which is still lacking in details and must be approved by Congress, aims to make the banks more secure by forcing them to minimize the trading they do on their own account and give up their stakes in hedge funds and private equity firms. “It’s the right direction,” said Henry Kaufman, president of Henry Kaufman & Co. in New York and a former vice chairman of Salomon Inc.
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Friday, January 22, 2010
Impending Gold and Stock Market Moves and Banking Cartel Interventions / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“What would happen if a country tried to leave (the European) Monetary Union…
Half a century of ever-closer union has created a ‘new legal order’ that transcends a ‘largely obsolete concept of sovereignty’ and imposes a ‘permanent limitation’ on the states' rights…
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Friday, January 22, 2010
Chinese Dragon Rattles Commodities, Gold, Stocks and Brazil / Commodities / Financial Markets 2010
Although the US remains the world’s #1 economy it’s increasingly feeling the heat of a Chinese dragon, breathing down its neck. At the beginning of the twenty-first century, the US-economy was eight-times larger than China’s - a decade later the figure was down to four-times. China’s $4.9-trillion economy has already passed Germany’s to become the world’s third largest, and is on course to overtake #2 Japan this year.
China has emerged to become the world’s largest exporter, shipping $1.2-trillion of goods abroad last year, and overtaking Germany, which held the title of world’s biggest exporter since 2002.
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Friday, January 22, 2010
Doug Casey Says Bet Against Wall Street, Bonds, and after a few months the U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
L: Doug, I saw a Wall Street Journal headline a few days ago that boldly proclaimed, "Car Makers May Hire Soon." Be still, my trembling heart! It’s hard to believe the WSJ would stoop to such a meaningless headline, but I guess they are just trying to give their desperate customers what they want: some hope, whether valid or not. What do you make of the unemployment situation?
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Friday, January 22, 2010
Marc Faber Gold, Stocks and Oil Outlook for 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Here is the summary and my thoughts on a trio of Dr. Marc Faber's latest interview where he discussed his 2010 outlook on China bubble, sovereign default risk, stocks and commodities.
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Thursday, January 21, 2010
Broad Based Declined Across Financial Markets Except the Dollar, The Big One Could Finally Be Here / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
This week, we are witnessing something that should become fairly "as usual" over the coming months: Broad based price declines in virtually every major asset except the USD.
Gold is down about 3% for the week so far, silver is down about 6.5% for the week, and the USD is up (according to our analysis there really isn't much chance of it going anywhere else for the next while).
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Thursday, January 21, 2010
Stock Market, Gold Meltdown and U.S. Dollar Strength / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
For the past few weeks I have been expecting the market to correct. By looking at the price action on the weekly and daily charts we can see that there has not been any real pullback since November and that is important to note. Without regular market corrections stocks start to become over bought meaning everyone has/is buying them and no real sellers have jumped off the trend. So when the price in an over bought market starts to slide lower we generally see everyone rush to hit their sell buttons. This is what causes the high volume breakdowns similar to the GLD (Gold) breakdown last December.
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Tuesday, January 19, 2010
U.S. Treasury Bills and the Budget Deficits, Financial Markets Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The 10-year T-note auction showed a bid to cover of 3 to 1, versus a 10 auction average of 2.67%.
We have been told over and over again a weak dollar would build exports and turn our balance of payments deficit down. Well, it hasn’t happened yet.
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Monday, January 18, 2010
Financial Markets, Economic Forecasts and Investing Strategies for 2010, What to Buy and Sell / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
This week I am really delighted to be able to give you a condensed version of Gary Shilling's latest INSIGHT newsletter for your Outside the Box. Each month I really look forward to getting Gary's latest thoughts on the economy and investing. Last year in his forecast issue he suggested 13 investment ideas, all of which were profitable by the end of the year. It is not unusual for Gary to give us over 75 charts and tables in his monthly letters along with his commentary, which makes his thinking unusually clear and accessible. Gary was among the first to point out the problems with the subprime market and predict the housing and credit crises. His track record in this decade has been quite good. I want to thank Gary and his associate Fred Rossi for allowing us to view this smaller version of his latest letter.
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Sunday, January 17, 2010
Stocks and Gold and Commodity Trends Impacted by China Inflation Worries / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The big news this week was that China’s Central Bank – the People’s Bank of China (BOC), raised the reserve deposit rate on funds held under account by 50 basis points, starting Jan. 18. So, why did the BOC feel the need to raise the rate?
Well, let’s take a look at China’s recent credit reports, and see what’s been going on. In November of 2009, China’s banks lent out 295 billion Yuan in total. Last week, the banks lent about 100 billion Yuan ($14.6 billion) PER DAY – EVERY DAY.
Sunday, January 17, 2010
Stocks Plunge as Investors Hopes of Economic Recovery Might Have Got Ahead of Reality / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“Words from the Wise” this week comes to you in a somewhat shorter format as I do not have access to all my normal research resources while spending a few days with the gnomes in Geneva (also see my post “Blogging gone AWOL - to Switzerland“). Although the commentary is not as comprehensive as usual, a full dose of excerpts from interesting news items and quotes from market commentators is included.
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Saturday, January 16, 2010
Financial Markets Marching Towards Inflation and Interest Rate Hikes During 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
This weeks devastating Haiti earthquake illustrates that no matter how bad our financial and economic problems are they are nothing, a mere inconvenience when compared against how bad things truly could be as we continue to live protected, sheltered and privileged lives some distance from the difficult existence that nature has to offer.
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Saturday, January 16, 2010
Stock Market Crash 2010, History Repeating? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Consumers aren’t that confident. - Confidence among U.S. consumers rose less than forecast in January, signaling a lack of hiring will restrain spending. The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment increased to 72.8 from 72.5 in December. The gauge averaged 66.3 last year after reaching a record 28-year low of 55.3 in November 2008. Unemployment, close to a 26-year high and projected to average 10 percent this year, remains a hurdle for the recovery. Gains in confidence and spending, which makes up 70 percent of the economy, will depend on sustained job growth that hasn’t happened since the recession started two years ago.
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Friday, January 15, 2010
The Most Important Investment Report You'll Read in 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Free 13-page Report: Robert Prechter's firm Elliott Wave International has just released its annual "Most Important Report of 2010." Inside, Prechter delivers hard facts, eye-opening charts and straightforward commentary to help you take advantage of the opportunities – and avoid the dangerous pitfalls – that you will face in 2010. You'll get analysis and forecasts you can act on, and you'll learn what the government's unprecedented involvement in the financial markets will mean for your portfolio in 2010 and beyond. Learn more and download your free report now..Read full article... Read full article...