Category: Stock Markets 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, December 09, 2010
Stock Market Handle, Handle...Tiring...Appropriate... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
You have to laugh at how these handles can drive you crazy. They take their sweet time playing themselves out, that's for sure. When those measurements were made on the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq, I warned you an extended period of time was upon us to unwind and cool things off. From that perspective it has not disappointed. It's well in to its fifth week with seemingly no end in sight. It tried to break through 1228 yesterday, the previous top, but failed due to some very overbought short-term charts. It can move down 3% to 4% at any moment in time just to frustrate the masses further, including your truly.
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Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Stock Market 90 Day Cycle Complete, Technical Warnings Signs Brewing! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jim_Curry
In a prior article from back in November, I pointed out that the technical indications favored that the 90-day time cycle was in topping range - and was thus due for a short-term peak in the markets. However, that top was not to be made prior to the April high of 1219.80 SPX CASH being taken out to the upside. Below is the chart from that article:
Tuesday, December 07, 2010
SP500 and Gold In the Last Stages of the Rally From July / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: David_Banister
The Elliott Wave patterns that I use to forecast movements ahead of time in the SP 500 and Gold for my subscribers have been textbook perfect for quite some time. We can go back to the March 2009 lows and clearly identify 5 waves up to the 13 month initial rally high in April of this year. This was followed by a clear ABC wave 2 pattern to the 1010 lows on July 1st. Right now, the SP 500 is in wave 5 up since July 1st, and that means this is a terminal wave underway before a good sized correction ensues.
Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Are Institutional Stock Market Investors in Accumulation or Distribution Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Marty_Chenard
Today will be free member courtesy day, where we show one of the daily charts from our paid subscriber site.
Today, we will answer the question of "whether or not Institutional Investors are in Accumulation or in Distribution". It matters which mode they are in, because you can seldom be successful if you try to invest in the opposite direction.
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Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Stock Market Forecast to Consolidate, Euro Hype Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Graham_Summers
Last week’s explosive rally was due to three factors:
- Stocks came perilously close to breaking down so the PPT stepped in
- A bullish falling wedge pattern in stocks
- Euro options expiration/ ECB intervention
Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Stock Market Keeps Hanging In At An Overbought Level / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
The market has its head down again. It refuses to pull back decently even when the oscillators say it would be best if it did. The daily charts are not quite overbought except for the mid caps, which are flashing a 70 RSI on that daily chart. The other major index charts are flashing 60's on those RSI's. The 60-minute charts, however, are overbought with RSI's again at 70 and thus you can expect a pullback at any moment, but timing it is virtually impossible with this type of overall momentum carrying through day to day. This is why some exposure is essential at all times. You can't time a pullback in this environment. When the market does pull back you'll be under water a bit but that's fine. We can deal with that. Do not be shocked when it does hit. Right about now it feels like it can't hit, but, of course, it will at some point. Catches you when you least expect it.
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Tuesday, December 07, 2010
US Treasury Yield Determines Duration Sweet Spot for US Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: ECR_Research
Over the last quarters, stocks predominantly reacted to monetary policy as is clearly visible in the graph below.
Read the lips of Bernanke and make money. This is nothing new, as an old maxim goes: “Give me the sign of monetary policy (plus for monetary expansion etc.) and I will tell you what the stock markets’ direction will be.”.
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Monday, December 06, 2010
Ben Bernanke's Money Pump to Create New Market Bubbles / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Michael_Swanson
This morning global markets are mixed and US futures are down a few ticks before the open. Overnight US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke announced that he was ready to buy up more bonds and he will undoubtedly formally announce such a decision at the next FOMC meeting next week on December 14th. As soon as he said this Asian markets ticked up a few points in hope that some of the hot money he creates will flow overseas to emerging markets. It probably will.
Monday, December 06, 2010
Stocks Rally Back From the Brink / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Seven_Days_Ahead
As the Irish economy came close to meltdown and the World held its breath to see if the Euro zone would put together a timely rescue big enough to satisfy markets, equity markets sold off. Indeed, even after the rescue deal was announced markets remained nervous.
The fear was that Ireland was just another domino in a line ready to fall with traders switching their attention from one weak peripheral economy to another. The first to require a rescue was of course Greece and although Ireland adopted a severe austerity program earlier in the year, it wasn’t enough.
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Monday, December 06, 2010
Stock Market Heading for Mid to Late December Intermediate Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Andre_Gratian
Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and if they make their lows when expected, the secular bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until about 2014-2015.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, equity markets began an upward corrective move in the form of a mini bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend into 2011.
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Sunday, December 05, 2010
Cashing Out of the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Peter_Navarro
In the last newsletter, I indicated that I was cashing out many of my positions and taking profits “in anticipation of a flat to down US market until the end of December. I have continued with this process and not been particularly disappointed. While Investors Business Daily declared last week that the upward trend of the market has resumed, I still see it in a largely sideways pattern. Since October 25, the S&P 500 index, as measured by the exchange traded fund SPY, has gone from about 118 to 122 back down to 118 and back up to a little more than 122. BFD. It's just not worth the risk to be in the market.
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Saturday, December 04, 2010
Stock Market Starts December With a Strong Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Tony_Caldaro
This week the market started off the month of December with a strong rally. This was very similar to the strong rallies that started in the month of July (Intermediate wave one), and the month of September (Intermediate wave three) of this multi-month uptrend. Economic reports were more mixed this week than what we have been observing in recent weeks.
Saturday, December 04, 2010
Stock Market Holds Up Despite Terrible Jobs Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
You have to scratch your head in disbelief. How can this market hold up with such a terrible Jobs Report? The jobs created were basically 100,000 below expectations, and the unemployment level ran up to 9.8% when 9.6% was expected. The futures reversed only 75 points lower on the Dow, which to me, was a miracle unto itself. I thought a 300-point reversal was imminent. With the market hanging in there very well up to this report, it seemed that a major disappointment was the tonic the bears needed. The market refused to cave in. The gap down was quickly stabilized with the market slowly working its way back in to the green as the day rolled on, especially late in the day as the dollar fell hard late. A real surprise across the board, but the market is focused on other things at this point and thinks it sees good news at the end of the tunnel.
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Saturday, December 04, 2010
An Encouraging Week For Stock Market Investors! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Sy_Harding
After a strong rally in September and October, the stock market topped out short-term four weeks ago, with the Dow then declining 4% in just seven days.
In the process it broke below key short-term support levels that market technicians watch, and entered a very narrow sideways trading range, locked between 11,000 on the downside and 11,200 on the upside that it couldn’t seem to break out of in either direction.
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Friday, December 03, 2010
How to Know if Stock Market Bulls or Bears are in Control / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Marty_Chenard
There are different ways of measuring what is happening in the markets.
Indexes measure the market, but some indexes are price weighted, some are market value-weighted or market share-weighted, and some are float weighted. It is sometimes why, a few stocks can have an over exaggerated impact on the movement of an index.
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Friday, December 03, 2010
Broad Stock Market Reversal - Better Hold On To Your Hat! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Chris_Vermeulen
This had been an exiting week for traders as the equities market was on a verge of a major sell off. Fortunately, we were watching the market very closely and saw the sentiment and market internals shift shortly after a new low was set last week. That was an early warning for us that a trend reversal to the upside could happen at any hour or day this week.
Thursday, December 02, 2010
Stock Market Thursday Thrust, Just Buy the F’ing Dips / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: PhilStockWorld
It's very sad when you can get your best financial advice from cartoon characters.
I apologize for the language but this video pretty much says it all. As the man in green says: "Buy the f'ing dip, you f'ing idiot." That's the entirety of the market strategy we are being trained like Pavlov's dogs to follow. Also as the man says "Now, don't forget this only works if you go out and tell all your friends and family to do the same. That way, when they are buying more expensively than you, you can sell back to them and collect your money."
Thursday, December 02, 2010
U.S. Dollar Full Short-Term...Stock Market Up..Still Nowhere.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
And that's the reality of this stock market, even though today felt really good. I respect and understand the emotions behind a market this good, but you have to keep in mind that all we're doing short-term is trading in a range defined by 1228 on the top and 1171 on the bottom. The dollar had put in a short-term topping candle yesterday and because the stock market is trading inverse to the dollar trade, it's no shock that we had a very nice up day today. This does not mean that we're about to break out above 1228. It's not likely to happen at all.
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Wednesday, December 01, 2010
Stock Market Quarterly Brief / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Christopher_Quigley
My favourite indicator of market breath, the McClennan Summation Index, is finally beginning to get to a level where it is becoming interesting. A move into negative territory, though some ways to go, will herald the probability that stocks will soon begin providing price action that brings solid technical support. This is good news particularly for those who have been out of the market since the early September bull move. In my books patience is a major key to achieving above average investment returns. Those investors who relaxed and held off while the herd chased the trend should now begin to sharpen their attention. At the moment the Dow Transports (DJ-20) are showing more strength than the Dow Industrials (DJ-30). However, Technology, Mid-Caps and Small Caps all remain strong despite pull-backs. This indicates that the March 2009 bull trend is still solidly in place for the moment.
Wednesday, December 01, 2010
Nasdaq Leads on Downside as Stock Market Sell-Off Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices suffered another down day today, and were particularly weak on Nasdaq. The indices opened with a gap down, bounced back sharply, and then hit higher highs midday on the S&P 500, but couldn't on the Nasdaq 100. They pulled back in the afternoon, backed and filled, but in the last 20 minutes sold off to close near the support lows intraday.