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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: US Federal Reserve Bank

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Monday, November 23, 2020

Evolution of the Fed / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Michael_Pento

The evolution of humankind supposedly goes something like this: From a void and through a series of serendipitous happenstances arose; galaxies, the Earthly Primordial ooze, Bacteria, Monkeys, and eventually homo sapiens (wise man). The evolution of the Fed is deserving of equal derision, but with a much worse outcome.

Back in 1913, the Federal Reserve Act gave birth to the Federal Reserve System. The law gave power to the central bank to become a lender of last resort to financial institutions. If a bank found itself in trouble, it could approach the discount window and exchange 100% guaranteed government debt for Fed credit at a deep discount. This process defined the majority of the Fed's role for decades to follow.
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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 09, 2020

Is Fed Chairman Powell the Real Election Winner? / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: MoneyMetals

As President Donald Trump continues to insist that he will be the winner of the election after all the legitimate votes are counted and the illegitimate ones thrown out, at least one publication has declared a different winner. Not Joe Biden, but Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell.

The Wall Street periodical Barron’s argued Powell has become a more important figure for markets than whoever occupies the White House. 

Even as the presidential election outcome has been beset by uncertainty all week, Wall Street didn’t panic.  Quite the opposite.  Stocks surged on expectations for divided government and gridlock – and four more years of Fed stimulus.

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Politics

Wednesday, September 16, 2020

Why the Knives Are Out for Trump’s Fed Critic Judy Shelton / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Steve_H_Hanke

Judy Shelton, one of President Trump’s nominees for the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, has faced unprecedented criticism from former Fed employees and academic economists. The denunciations say more about the critics than they do about Shelton, whom I have known for many years.

Shelton is a nominee for one of the two unfilled positions on the twelve-member Fed Board. The other nominee, Christian Waller — an executive vice president and director of research at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — has attracted little attention. On July 21, the Senate Banking Committee approved his nomination by a bipartisan vote of 18-7, whereas Shelton’s nomination saw a party-line vote of 13 Republicans to 12 Democrats. The full Senate has not yet set a date to debate and vote on the nominations.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 03, 2020

Understanding the Fed's True Mandate / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: The_Gold_Report

Michael Ballanger interprets the motives of the Federal Reserve and their impacts on the "haves" and "have nots" in America and beyond.

This week, the financial community around the globe was handed a "new approach" by the Federal Reserve Board of the United States that essentially flipped the middle finger at savers, senior citizens on limited pensions and proponents of sound money principles. Before I expand upon this outrage, let me expound upon the background of the current Fed Chairman, Jerome Powell.

Judging from the accolades and fawning praise showered upon this man (as the S&P and NASDAQ hit record levels fueled exclusively by Fed stimuli), one might think that he hails from the academic world, a scholar with vast experience in macroeconomic theory, or at least extensive dealings in the retail banking sector. His grandfatherly deportment portrays great studiousness and wise counsel as he does his very damnedest to convey that image with perennial gray suits and trademark purple ties. If one could take this carefully crafted persona and make a snap favorable assessment of the man who controls the retirement lifestyles of millions of global citizens, one would be making a fatal error.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 06, 2020

Bananas for All! Keep Dancing… FOMC / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Gary_Tanashian

Keep Dancing (while the music plays)

FOMC came, FOMC delivered what we knew they would, FOMC left and the machines drove the markets down and up for a couple days, leaving the situation largely as it had been. NDX near its highs, SPX holding the support of its EMA 20 and DJIA thus far successfully testing its moving average convergence (SMA 50 & 200).

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Politics

Friday, July 03, 2020

How the Fed Gets Away With Ripping Off Ordinary Americans / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: MoneyMetals

The Federal Reserve has printed trillions of dollars without generating runaway price inflation through the use of a neat trick.

The privately owned bank cartel shovels the bulk of the money to Wall Street banks and not to the public at large. Instead of millions of Americans rushing out to bid up prices on consumer goods, a relative handful of bankers is using the free money to bid up asset prices and then pay themselves huge performance bonuses.

It’s quite the racket. Fed officials have been able to point at stock prices as “proof” of how they successfully engineered an economic recovery.

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Politics

Tuesday, April 07, 2020

Was the Fed Just Nationalized? / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Ellen_Brown

Did Congress just nationalize the Fed? No. But the door to that result has been cracked open.

Mainstream politicians have long insisted that Medicare for all, a universal basic income, student debt relief and a slew of other much-needed public programs are off the table because the federal government cannot afford them. But that was before Wall Street and the stock market were driven onto life-support by a virus. Congress has now suddenly discovered the magic money tree. It took only a few days for Congress to unanimously pass the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act, which will be doling out $2.2 trillion in crisis relief, most of it going to Corporate America with few strings attached. Beyond that, the Federal Reserve is making over $4 trillion available to banks, hedge funds and other financial entities of all stripes; it has dropped the fed funds rate (the rate at which banks borrow from each other) effectively to zero; and it has made $1.5 trillion available to the repo market.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 07, 2019

The Fed Is Chasing Its Own Tail; It Doesn’t Care What You Think / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Kelsey_Williams

Did you ever watch a dog get caught up in the act of chasing its own tail? It continues to run in a circle as the object of its fascination and intention continues to elude it. The action is quite comical, almost hilarious.

The expectations of the animal are both foolish and amusing. You might feel inclined to want to communicate the unrealistic expectations to the engaged participant, but you know your efforts would be in vain.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 30, 2019

Why Nobody Chants “End the Fed” Anymore / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: MoneyMetals

Americans hated it when the Federal Reserve handed trillions of dollars to crooked Wall Street banks following the 2008 Financial Crisis. Politicians were confronted about the merits of central banking and bailouts.

For the first time in history, college students were chanting “End the Fed” at campaign rallies as Ron Paul took the central bank to task during his presidential campaigns.

Virtually everyone in America vehemently opposed the central bank handing piles of cash to the same bankers whose greed and fraud had caused the Financial Crisis.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 15, 2019

“Baghad Jerome” Powell Denies the Fed Is Using Financial Crisis Tools / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: MoneyMetals

Jerome Powell has something in common with Bagdad Bob, Saddam Hussein’s infamous press secretary. They’re both liars, suggests Money Metals podcast guest Craig Hemke of the TF Metals Report.

Telling obvious lies with a straight face is part of Powell’s job description. He hopes to maintain order even though anyone who is paying attention knows something extraordinary is going on.

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Politics

Sunday, September 01, 2019

Fed Insider Proposes Using Fed Policy to Punish Trump / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: MoneyMetals

Everybody knows that President Donald Trump favors larger scale reductions in interest rates.  He wants low-cost money injected to help stimulate the economy and stock market ahead of next year’s election. 

Of course, Federal Reserve policymakers are supposed to stay out of politics and make their decisions based solely on the economic data before them. But it would be naïve to believe they don’t harbor political biases. 

They have been under relentless attack by President Trump.  They see his attacks as posing a threat to the so-called “independence” of the Federal Reserve.  They may even fear that if he is re-elected he will threaten the existence of the Fed as an institution.     

Could the Federal Reserve be deliberately withholding stimulus to try to get Trump defeated? 

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Politics

Thursday, August 15, 2019

US Government Is Beholden To The Fed; And Vice-Versa / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Kelsey_Williams

We hear quite a bit today about the issue of Federal Reserve independence. The crux of the argument usually centers  on monetary policy executed by the Fed versus opinions of politicians and others who want and expect something different, which they believe will provide more favorable results.

President Trump has been ardently vocal in demanding that the Fed be more aggressive in cutting interest rates.  He also wants, and is encouraging, action that would result in a weaker US dollar. He believes that it would be good for American businesses. His reasoning is that a weaker US dollar would make American-made goods more competitive.

Whether or not the President is correct doesn’t matter for purposes of this article. What is important is that there is a wide difference of opinion between the Federal Reserve and its current policies (re: Jerome Powell) as compared to the wishes of the United States government (re: President Trump).

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Politics

Sunday, July 14, 2019

Art Laffer On The Fed, What Would Milton Friedman Say? / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Steve_H_Hanke

Art Laffer, the supply-side guru and recent recipient of the Presidential Medal of Freedom has caused yet another stir among the chattering classes. Last week, he told John Catsimatidis on AM 970 New York that “The Fed shouldn’t be independent of the administration. Never should be. None of those people were elected. They were appointed.” He repeated those sentiments on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” this morning.

What would my good friend Milton Friedman say? Well, unfortunately, we don’t know for certain because Milton is no longer with us. That said, Nobelist Friedman weighed in on the issue of central bank independence on several occasions. Indeed, an essay he penned in 1962 was titled “Should there be an Independent Monetary Authority?” His essay appeared in In Search of a Monetary Constitution, which was published by Harvard University Press and was edited by my collaborator, the late Leland B. Yeager. Friedman was unambiguous. He concluded that “The case against a fully independent central bank is strong indeed.”

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 12, 2019

The Hidden Reason Why Fed and "Systemically Important" Banks Oppose a Gold Standard / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: MoneyMetals

Chairman Powell’s testimony this week was closely scrutinized not just for its economic implications but also for its political overtones. Powell cited “trade tensions” as cause for concern about the strength of the global economy. He clearly seemed to be blaming President Trump’s tariffs.

But if the tariffs are what ultimately move the Fed to cut rates, Trump will have finally gotten what he wants out of Powell. In recent weeks, Trump has stepped up his attacks on the central bank, calling it the biggest problem facing the economy, floating the idea of firing Powell, and suggesting his administration would match China’s and Europe’s "currency manipulation game."

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 25, 2019

Testing the Fed’s Narrative with the Fed’s Data: QT Edition / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: F_F_Wiley

“The fact that financial markets responded in very similar ways … lends credence to the view that these actions had the expected effects on markets and are thereby providing significant support to job creation and the economy.” —Ben Bernanke defends the idea that markets and the economy respond significantly to quantitative easing

“… it will be like watching paint dry, that this will just be something that runs quietly in the background.” —Janet Yellen refutes the idea that markets and the economy respond significantly to quantitative tightening

It doesn’t take much calculation to see that the Fed’s position on quantitative tightening (QT) is blatantly inconsistent with its position on quantitative easing (QE). You only need to notice that the excerpts above, taken together, violate the following pair of postulates:

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, June 02, 2019

Gold Standard, Federal Reserve, Economic Law / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Kelsey_Williams

In a recent opinion by Sebastian Mallaby, published in the Washington Post, the author and columnist says the following:

Money is an abstraction, a political confection, a set of castles built on air. No wonder it makes people feel queasy. Gold is tangible, immutable, somehow reliable and real; there will always be people who believe in it. But the truth is that modern central banking is one of those elite inventions that generally works. The gold standard has given way to the PhD standard, and we are all the better for it.”

In his article, Mr Mallaby presents his arguments as to the reason and logic that a gold standard will not work and that it is an idea which is out of date and inferior to the current system, i.e., “modern central banking”.

The opinions are a response to statements made by Judy Shelton,  currently under consideration for appointment as one of the seven governors on the Federal Reserve Board.

Mr. Mallaby refers to former President Reagan’s “nostalgia” abut the gold standard as being “curious” and says that “survival of this sentiment in 2019 is even more baffling”.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, June 01, 2019

Finding Record Investor Profits Hidden In The Fed Minutes / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Dan_Amerman

Sifting through the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to look for signals of changes in policy is a fixation for the financial media and the investment industry. Because both the stock and bond markets can reverse directions based upon the Fed's intentions for the direction of Fed Funds rates, there is an intense focus on finding signals for those intentions and whether the signals are changing.

However, like generals preparing for the last war - there is a strong case to be made that most analysis of the FOMC minutes is focusing on the details, while missing the big picture for the next recession (which could be growing more imminent).

As explored herein, the Fed itself is as much focused on how to change the "SOMA" to enable the strongest form of "MEP" in the event of another recession, as it is on Fed Funds rates.

When we get past the jargon, what the Fed is debating in plain sight are the specifics for how to give as much money as possible to some investors in the event of another recession, in the shortest time possible.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 07, 2019

US Federal Reserve Bank Vetoes Cain and Moore / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: BATR

If you ever had doubts just who is squarely in charge of the finances for the debt created U.S. Dollar currency, the nixing of Herman Cain and Stephen Moore for the Federal Reserve Board confirms that the Banksters are the real power. The Shadow Government is truly the elitists behind monetary hegemony that rules over government and economic policies. The institutions that shape and direct the financial dynasty of the reserve currency is outside the realm of Presidential compliance. Donald Trump has just experienced the push back from the Jackals of Jekyll Island.    

Clearly the Federal Reserve 100 Years of Failure has been the single most destructive financial factor in history. Over the last century the Merchantry economy has been systematically dismantled in favor of the Corporatocracy. The Wall Street establishment has always opposed entrepreneurs unless they go public with shares that the Masters of the Universe can manipulate. Both Cain and Moore have a long record of media appearances that often vary from the establishment viewpoint.

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Politics

Tuesday, April 16, 2019

Trump May Regret His Fed Takeover Attempt / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Patrick_Watson

Some things are too important to leave to politicians.

One such thing: the money supply. That’s why the Federal Reserve is an independent agency, at least in theory.

Presidents like this arrangement because it lets them disclaim responsibility when the Fed does something unpopular. But that only works if the president doesn’t even try to assert control.

Trying to influence the Fed, as Trump is doing, has three possible outcomes—and two of them are bad for Trump. Either…

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 12, 2019

The Fed Created an Economy of Zombies and Unicorns / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: John_Mauldin

Central bankers have a well-worn playbook for handling recessions.

Cut interest rates, increase liquidity, and otherwise shove capital into the private sector. This helps businesses hire more workers and raise wages. Then gradually remove all the stimulus as growth recovers.

This playbook truly fell apart in 2008. The system had so much debt that adding yet more of it didn’t have the desired effect.

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