Category: Stock Markets 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Sunday, October 05, 2014
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Quite a volatile week. The market started at SPX 1983 on Monday, gapped down to open the week, rallied back to slightly above 1983 on Tuesday, then declined, without any gap downs, to 1926 by midday Thursday. Then the market rallied, with a gap up opening on Friday, and still ended the week lower. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.7%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.7%, and the DJ World index lost 2.0% again. On the economic front there was good news and not so good news. On the uptick: personal income/spending, the PCE, the ADP, monthly payrolls; plus the unemployment rate, weekly jobless claims and trade deficit all improved. On the downtick: pending home sales, construction spending, Case-Shiller, the Chicago PMI, ISM manufacturing/services, factory orders, the WLEI and the monetary base. Next week we get the FOMC minutes, export/import prices and consumer credit.
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Saturday, October 04, 2014
Dow Stock Market Broadening Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The final move into top on the Dow now looks to be underway. Let’s investigate using the daily, weekly and monthly charts.
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Saturday, October 04, 2014
“Money Bubble” Predictions Coming True - Stock Market Volatility Surges / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
In The Money Bubble: What To Do Before It Pops, James Turk and I climb out on some long, skinny limbs with a series of extreme predictions. Now it’s time to start tracking the ones that are (or seem to be) working out, beginning with increasingly wild swings in US equities:
Read full article... Read full article...Chapter 26, page 294:
For a sense of how an over-indebted financial system enters a catastrophic collapse, imagine a spinning top. For a while after being set in motion, the top stays in one place, spinning smoothly. But then a slight wobble creeps into its rotation, gradually becoming more pronounced until it turns violent. The unstable top then shoots off in a random direction to crash against whatever is nearby. That’s how the financial markets will behave when the Money Bubble bursts.
Saturday, October 04, 2014
Stock Market Dow Trend Forecast Summer 2014 / News_Letter / Stock Markets 2014
The Market Oracle NewsletterJune 5th , 2014 Issue # 13 Vol. 8
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Friday, October 03, 2014
Stock Market Crash, Collapse Imminent.... Again? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Wednesdays 228 point (1.4%) drop on the Dow triggered a hyperbolic wave of bearishness across the mainstream broadcast channels and the BlogosFear that in near unison proclaimed that the 5.5 year old stocks bull market had finally, DEFINITELY come to an end! The media's after the fact consensus coalesced around the reason that expectations for the U.S. Fed to bring QE to an end this month and signal that interest rate hikes are around the corner. So the market apparently panicked, that's if you call a 1.4% drop a panic, and despite the FACT that stocks actually do quite nicely during the early years of a RATE hiking cycle! In fact its rate CUTS that stocks bulls need to worry about for they signal WEAKNESS ahead. The complete opposite to what is being taken as granted by journalists who just tend to regurgitate what dribbles out of the mouths of clueless academics or salesmen.
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Thursday, October 02, 2014
Stock Market Down Move Worst May Not Be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,030 and profit target at 1,900, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, October 02, 2014
Stock Market Falling....Bears Making Progress... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The market has actually been struggling since early July. We were S&P 500 985 a few days into July, only to see us top out a bit ago at 2019. Only 2% higher before that gave way, and now we're actually below where we were at that early July reading. The froth has been catching up slowly, but surely. It has not allowed the market to make the next journey higher. Too many bulls. Not enough bears. The market getting full. Today we cracked 1950 on the S&P 500, or, basically, the two-year up trendline. Not good for the bulls. A long trend line, such as that, needs to hold, or things can get very nasty quite quickly. The market also started becoming more violent over the past three months, since that July top.
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Wednesday, October 01, 2014
Dow Stocks Index And The No Mercy Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The Dow hit an all time high at 17350 on the 19th September and there now seem to be many saying that is it - the bull market is done and the next great bear market is upon us. I disagree. For now, anyway. Let's investigate taking a bottom up approach beginning with the daily chart.
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Wednesday, October 01, 2014
Stock Market Getting Edgy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
SPX Premarket is drifting lower as I write. It seems to be held momentarily at Cycle Bottom support at 1967.22. Once it breaks, the selling floodgates are opened, IMO.
ZeroHedge reports that equity futures are failing despite an onslaught of bad news from Europe.
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Wednesday, October 01, 2014
Stock Market Wil-e-Coyote Moment May Have Arrived / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
SPX is doing a final retest of the 50-day Moving Average before dropping off its ledge. The decline may begin yet this afternoon, so I hope y’all are short, or doubly so. This is bear country for SPX.
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Wednesday, October 01, 2014
Stock Market Battle Important Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
This will be an important day because a formidable battle is going on.
Institutional Investors have been in Distribution, and the Fed will step up to the plate today and try to avert any negative consequences.
Tuesday, September 30, 2014
Everything You Need to Know About the Stock Market S&P Index Until Christmas / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By Andrey Dashkov
When I need to clear my mind, I put on my beat-up Saucony sneakers and drive to nearby Deer Lake Park in Burnaby, British Columbia. After a couple of miles, though, as my body gets into a rhythm, my mind wanders back to the thought that occupy it for hours each day: where will this market go next?
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Tuesday, September 30, 2014
Stock Market SPX has a New Broadening Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Nothing is as simple as it first appears. However, the new Orthodox Broadening Top is giving us a clear crash signal at the lower trendline of the Larger Orthodox Broadening Top. This is reminiscent of the 1987 crash which had a larger Broadening Wedge and an Orthodox Broadening Top in the Wave 2 position.
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Tuesday, September 30, 2014
Stock Market Breakdown And Save By The Bulls For Now...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The futures were rocking lower after protests in Hong Kong annihilated their market. Europe was down and we were sinking by the click with the Dow futures down nearly two points at their lows pre market. The S&P 500 1966 key-support double-low level was in jeopardy, and, sure enough, once the market opened, the S&P 500 made its way two points lower at 1964. It looked over, but strong positive divergences on the short-term sixty-minute charts saved the day as the S&P 500 came back from the lows to finish at 1977.
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Monday, September 29, 2014
Here's What Rising Interest Rates Really Do to Your Shares / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Sid Riggs writes: There is a lot of lip service being paid to the upcoming stock market crash that we're supposed to expect once the Federal Reserve starts raising rates.
Every time we get close to a regularly scheduled Federal Reserve statement, financial pundits pontificate about the nuances of what the Fed Chair might say, not say, or imply.
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Monday, September 29, 2014
Yo - Stock Market is Set For a Major Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Wall Street came to a halt recently, as Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba made its Initial Public Offering debut. The media became myopically focused over this so-called "historic event" and by its celebrity founder Jack Ma. By the time the closing bell had rung, the hype and fanfare propelled Alibaba up 36 percent on its first day of trading and caused the world's largest IPO to display a market cap worth $231 billion. The investing public seems to have forgotten the dangers associated with disregarding valuation metrics -- Alibaba is trading at a Price to Book value ratio north of 27!
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Monday, September 29, 2014
Is a Credible Stock Market Top Forming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - In 1932 and 1974, the 40-yr cycle was responsible for protracted market weakness. The current phase is due this year but where is the weakness? Has man (Federal Reserve) finally achieved dominance over universal rhythms or has it simply delayed the inevitable?
Intermediate trend - We are looking for the move from 1905 to end, after which a much more serious correction should start.
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Monday, September 29, 2014
Stock Market S&P, NAS Change In Trend? None Apparent, But A Caveat / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
There have been no articles here on the stock market since last February, Fat Lady Has Yet To Sing. Some Questions About YOUR Stocks? A half-year later, there has still been no singing, but the questions about how profitable any of your stock holdings are is still very much pertinent ones to address. If any of your stock holdings have not increased at a rate proportionate to the averages of the indices, that could be a huge warning that should not go unheeded.
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Saturday, September 27, 2014
Stock Market Primary IV Underway? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
After establishing an all time high on OPEX Friday a week ago the market went into volatility mode this week. Every day we observed the DOW moving triple digits: three down and two up. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.2%, the NDX/NAZ were -1.3%, and the DJ World index lost 2.0%. Economic reports for the week were skewed to the downside. On the uptick: the FHFA, new home sales and Q2 GDP. On the downtick: existing home sales, durable goods, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week, end of month/quarter, will be highlighted by Friday’s Payrolls report and the PCE and ISM during the week.
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Saturday, September 27, 2014
Debt and Inflation Consquences of American Fear / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Fear is defined by the ‘online dictionary’ as ‘a distressing emotion aroused by impending danger, evil, pain, etc., whether the threat is real or imagined’. America is in a permanent state of distress. America is in a permanent state of fear. Americans are, or must be, very fearful people. Why else would they surrender all their assets and all their liberties in exchange for some perceived protection?
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