Category: Stock Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, December 04, 2015
How Stocks Bull Markets End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
By Jared Dillian
Many people think that they ring a bell at the top of a bull market. Ding-a-ling-a-ling.
That is indeed often the case. The bell was rung in 2000 at the top of the dot-com bubble—I like to think it was 3Com spinning off Palm that broke its back.
But sometimes there is no bell, no catalyst, no story to tell. A bull market becomes a bear market, and it happens just like that.
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Thursday, December 03, 2015
Stock Market Trifecta of Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has bounced from its 200-day Moving Average at 2064.97 in an impulsive decline. It made a low of 2067.49. It has retested Intermediate-term resistance at 2073.77, but may go higher.
Despite the probability of a stronger retracement, it is now on an aggressive sell signal with final confirmation of that signal beneath the 200-day Moving Average at 2065.00.
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Thursday, December 03, 2015
Stock Market Positive Expectations Following Yesterday's Move Down, Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140 and profit target at 1,990, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, December 03, 2015
Stock Market SPX Approaching its Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX bounced from its Short-term support at 2076.36, making a low of 2077.51. Chances are good that it may slip through Short-term support and the 2-hour mid-Cycle support at 2073.90. However, there is a likely bounce due at the 200-day Moving Average at 2065.10, where it appears to complete Minute Wave [i]. This decline has a long way to go in only a week’s time or so.
Wednesday, December 02, 2015
Stock Market Blue Skies, Unicorns, and Santa Claus Rallies / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jesse
"Unhappy events abroad have retaught us two simple truths about the liberty of a democratic people.
The first truth is that the liberty of a democracy is not safe if the people tolerate the growth of private power to a point where it becomes stronger than their democratic state itself. That, in its essence, is Fascism—ownership of Government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power.
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Wednesday, December 02, 2015
Stock Market Correction Nearing Its End... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
What appears to be a final fifth wave has appeared, morphing the former double zigzag into an a-b-c Wave 2…
…that is, if it reverses very soon. You see, Wave (iii), which is 18.39 points long, cannot be the smallest wave in the series. That may happen if the SPX peaks above 2105.16. So the issue remains unresolved until morning.
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Tuesday, December 01, 2015
SPX Does a Double Zigzag Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to have formed a double zigzag correction, usually rare for a Wave 2. Crossing the hourly mid-Cycle support at 2078.65 may confirm that observation.
This may be an ideal aggressive short entry if you have any dry powder or if you have been stopped out. Otherwise we wait for the confirmations at lower levels.
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Tuesday, December 01, 2015
Stock Market January Effect / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
In last week’s Hybrid Lindsay forecast, Middle Section forecasts from both the Basic and Multiple cycles pointed to a high for the November run-up in the Dow on Monday, November 23. As of last Friday, both the closing and intra-day highs occurred one trading day early, the previous Friday, November 20.
Moving from the Dow Industrials to small caps… according to Stock Traders’ Almanac, the January Effect (the tendency for small caps to outperform large caps in January) now begins in mid-December. The chart below shows the relative performance of small caps (RUT) versus the broader market (SPX). In October, the ratio tested the low of the last four years set during the previous October.
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Tuesday, December 01, 2015
Stock Market Unwinding... ISM Manufacturing On Deck.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
It's never a bad thing to see a market unwind from overbought conditions, especially in this particular environment, because the market is tougher and tougher these days, thus, the concept of buying at overbought is very tough indeed. Removing some of the risk to our souls is not a bad thing which equates to buying closer to, or at, oversold on those short-term, sixty-minute charts. While there's no guarantee we will ever get to the old highs at S&P 500 2134, but we still have a decent shot, since there's still no evidence of a topping pattern long-term. Understand that there's no particular requirement for that to take place, but it usually does. There is usually some type of hints being thrown our way, such as overbought with negative divergences on multiple time frames, or a massive gap down on higher volume.
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Monday, November 30, 2015
Elliott Wave Analysis of SPX Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: WavePatternTraders
I decided to switch ideas, although I am happy to switch back should we see a solid break under 2019SPX, the lack of downside is supporting the market is most likely in wave 5 and not still in wave 4, initially I was looking for a decline to either 1900SPX for wave [C] of a triangle or even 1850SPX for wave [C] of a flat pattern to end wave 4 on the weekly charts. But the reluctance to break down a few weeks back is strongly suggesting it's most likely in wave 5 and further more it could well be inside in wave [5] of 5 as shown.
Monday, November 30, 2015
Stock Market Mixed Expectations Ahead Of December, New Economic Data Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140 and profit target at 1,990, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, November 30, 2015
Stock Market Internal Bleeding, Cheap Tech, And Falling Angels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Rubino
Think of "market internals" as the blood pressure and insulin levels of the financial world. They operate below the surface, frequently unnoticed, but over time they have a big say in the health of the patient.
And right now they're pointing to a heart attack.
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Sunday, November 29, 2015
Stock Market Consolidation Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - SPX has resumed its uptrend in order to complete the last phase of the bull market.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Saturday, November 28, 2015
Stock Market Quiet Week as Primary 5 Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the holiday shortened week at SPX 2089. The market rallied to one point below the recent rally high at SPX 2097 on Monday. Then declined, helped by a gap down opening, to SPX 2070 on Tuesday. After hitting that low in the morning the market rallied to SPX 2094 late Tuesday, and then traded in a narrow range to end the week at SPX 2090. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, the NDX/NAZ were mixed, and the DJ World lost 0.2%. Economic reports for the week were solidly positive. On the uptick: Q3 GDP, Case-Shiller, personal income/spending, durable goods, the FHFA, new home sales, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: existing home sales, GDPN, and consumer confidence/sentiment. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by monthly Payrolls, the FED’s Beige book, and the ISMs.
Friday, November 27, 2015
Stock Market Top Valuations, at a Critical Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
The prevailing valuations in the lofty US stock markets are increasingly becoming a bone of contention. Wall Street calmly asserts stocks are reasonably valued, since it has a huge vested interest in keeping people fully-invested. But with valuations soaring following a massive rally and weak third-quarter earnings season, they are dangerously high and portend great downside risk. Stock topping valuations abound.
Since investing is all about buying low then selling high, the price paid for any investment is everything. Buy good companies at cheap prices, and you’ll multiply your wealth over time. But buying those very same good companies at expensive prices radically stunts future gains. While cheap investments have great potential to soar as traders recognize their inherent value, expensive ones have already exhausted their upside.
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Tuesday, November 24, 2015
Stock Market Supports Are Being Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has clearly broken through its Short-term support at 2078.86 and is headed for the 200-day Moving Average at 2065.06.
ZeroHedge reports that the the third monthly decline as wages crash the most in 4 years. Consumer Confidence is now at 14-month lows, as well. In the meantime, the Pentagon shrugs over the Russian warplane shoot-down.
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Tuesday, November 24, 2015
Stock Market Fireworks at the Open / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
Stocks are down after a Turkish F-16 downed a Russian warplane. ZeroHedge reports further, “Moments ago a big black geopolitical swan landed when newswires lit up with headlines that a Turkish F-16 shot down what was initially said to be an unidentified warplane near the Syrian border after it violated Turkey's airspace on Tuesday, a Turkish military official said, but the nationality of the downed aircraft was not immediately clear.”
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Tuesday, November 24, 2015
Hybrid Lindsay Forecast for a Stock Market High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
The Hybrid Lindsay forecasts occasionally shared with readers in this space are a combination of the work done by the great twentieth-century technician, George Lindsay, and my own, more traditional, cycle work. In last week's commentary I questioned whether the previous Friday's low fulfilled the Hybrid forecast for a low or if it would wait until that day (Monday). We know now that it was the previous Friday. Even without the benefit of the Lindsay work we knew from other metrics that the market was oversold and primed to bounce. Now we use the Hybrid Lindsay model to forecast the next high in the Dow Jones Industrials index. It begins with Lindsay's Middle Section approach.
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Monday, November 23, 2015
Dr Copper, The Economy and The Stock Market No Longer in Sync / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Sol_Palha
Doctor copper, can no longer be viewed as a leading indicator, in fact, a name change might be in order. A change of name from Dr Copper to deadbeat copper might in order, given its dismal record over the years. After the financial crisis of 2008-2009, the economy, the stock markets and copper parted ways; while the markets and the economy trended higher, copper plunged into an abyss, and it is still trying to find its footing.
Monday, November 23, 2015
Stock Market Negative Expectations Following Last Week's Rally - Correction or Reversal? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140 and profit target at 1,990, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish