Category: Gold and Silver 2017
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, May 11, 2017
Gold’s Big Move / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Gold is currently trading near a critical level, from where a massive move up or down is imminent. One of the measures that illustrate we are a close to a big move, is the following resistance line on the gold chart that I have previously highlighted. Below, is a gold chart (from tradingview.net) with the resistance line indicated:
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Wednesday, May 10, 2017
Arizona Legislature Ends Income Taxation on Gold & Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By Jp Cortez : Phoenix, Arizona (May 10th, 2017) – Sound money advocates scored a major victory today when the Arizona state senate voted 16-13 to remove all income taxation of precious metals at the state level. The measure heads to Governor Doug Ducey, who is expected to sign it into law.
Under House Bill 2014, introduced by Representative Mark Finchem (R-Tucson), Arizona taxpayers will simply back out all precious metals “gains” and “losses” reported on their federal tax returns from the calculation of their Arizona adjusted gross income (AGI).
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Wednesday, May 10, 2017
Gold False Reversal? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Gold likes to print false reversals to sucker in longs too early. I'm not convinced the daily cycle has bottomed yet.
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Wednesday, May 10, 2017
Precious Metals Bottoming In The Upcoming Week? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By Avi Gilburt : First published on Saturday May 6 for members of ElliottWaveTrader.net: Last week, I noted that we still likely have lower levels to strike in this complex, but that I expect the market to set up a bottom very soon. I still maintain that expectation as I write this.
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Tuesday, May 09, 2017
How Much Is Gold Really Worth? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
How much is gold really worth? The answer we get depends on who we ask and what their opinion is.
Everyone has an opinion as to what something is worth, whether the object of consideration is their home, a late grandfather’s pocket watch, or a specific stock. In that respect, gold is no different.
The price of a specific item or asset at any given time is a reflection of all those varying opinions. Some are based on fundamentals, some are based on technical factors. But the combination of all the opinions, and the resulting expectations (some expect the price to go up, others expect it to go down or remain the same), plus all of the other known factors at the time that might possibly impact the price, provide us with the clearest possible indication of current value for the item in question: its market price.
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Tuesday, May 09, 2017
Bull Run for Gold Sheer Fantasy or is it Forming the Base for the Next Up Leg? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
A complex system that works is invariably found to have evolved from a simple system that works. John Gall
The Gold bugs and Gold experts must be going through hell; almost seven years later and the Gold Markets refuse to follow the path these individuals have laid out for it. Proclamation after proclamation has failed, and the detested dollar much to their angst and surprise has continued to trend higher. Inflation has not taken off as they expected; well at least based on the distorted figures the government issues. The masses believe this data is real and that is all that matters in the end. Truth or a lie is based on a perception and perceptions are driven by emotions, which means that everything is up for debate. What holds true today might not hold true tomorrow or what is deemed valid today might be deemed as rubbish tomorrow.
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Tuesday, May 09, 2017
Gold Will Soar to $8000 as We Return to the 1970's Style Inflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By Peter Ginelli : In 1977 I started my first year in college. Our newly elected president Jimmy Carter, had been sworn into office just a short time earlier and things were pretty normal. America was still trying to put President Nixon and Ford's Watergate era behind and start fresh with a newly elected president who had no connection with that national scandal. Much like today with the election of president Donald Trump, the American people were filled with hope that Jimmy Carter will bring in the much needed change after a long period of uncertainty and national crisis.
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Tuesday, May 09, 2017
USD’s Likely Bottom Implications for Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
The medium-term trends in gold are reflected by the medium-term trends in the USD Index and that’s been the case for many years. Naturally, there are deviations from this rule, but generally, it has to be the case simply because gold is priced in the US dollar. Consequently, it is very important for precious metals investors and traders to monitor the USD Index as signs of bottoms likely indicate lower prices for PMs in the following weeks.
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Monday, May 08, 2017
Gold and Silver Proprietary Cycle Indicator is Down / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the precious metals markets.
Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.
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Sunday, May 07, 2017
Sell Gold in May and Go Away / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By Jack Huyn: Recently I have read some commentaries state that the old saying "Sell in May and Go Away" might work great for stocks, but it's not the wisest choice when it comes to gold this year. According to these commentaries, gold maintained its upward momentum in April following a very positive first quarter. Despite last week’s retreat to $1,225/ounce, gold's fundamental case remains solidly intact, and additional gains are anticipated as 2017's second half approaches.
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Saturday, May 06, 2017
Gold And Silver – Asylum Globalists Still Prevail / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Usually, we endeavor to tie in our commentaries to gold and silver, sometimes straining the association, but in reality, there is much more affecting the price of PMs than meets the obvious. There can be no question that the globalists running the federal government of the United States have been actively suppressing the price of gold directly since 1933, when the moneychangers shut down the US banking system and reopened it five days later, totally under the control of the Federal Reserve, owned specifically by foreign banking interests. [The Federal Reserve has never been a part of the US government. The globalists have let the world think that it is. Deception is one of their main ruses.]
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Friday, May 05, 2017
French Elections, Brexit And Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
The first round of the French presidential elections is behind us. Now, the main developments in Europe which may affect the gold market – except the turmoil in the still fragile banking sector – are a run-off in France and Brexit. Let’s analyze them and their potential impact on the gold prices.
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Friday, May 05, 2017
Gold Price Cycle Low Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Seems everyone (me included) is trying to spot when the next Intermediate Low in Gold and PMs will be. Again, one of the things I am looking for is a failed short term Trading Cycle to confirm the move into the next Intermediate Low.
Well we now have Failed Trading Cycles in Silver and two Failed Cycles in GDX and GDXJ. Silver and the GDXJ are very oversold here so could we be nearing an Intermediate Bottom (RSI, MACD and Slow Sto are all at or approaching ICL levels)? But Gold is the Cycle driver and the Gold chart is giving me some issues (see my next section).
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Friday, May 05, 2017
Nervous Breakdowns in the Gold and Silver Precious Metals Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
The internet is slower than molasses in January and hard to annotate charts, but I got a few updated. Below is the combo chart for the PM complex we’ve been following which shows the dominate pattern being the triangle consolidation pattern. Just before I left the price action was breaking out below the bottom rail and I was looking for a possible backtest to the underside to take one last position. Some had a complete backtest but others didn’t. If you were lucky enough to get that last position great job.
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Thursday, May 04, 2017
Silver Bullion On Sale After 10.6% Fall In Two Weeks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
– Silver down for eleven consecutive days to $16.80/oz
– Further weakness possible and support at $15.73/oz
– Never catch a falling knife – dollar cost average
– Silver buyers love manipulative futures selling
– Thank you ‘Gold and Silver Cartel’ !
Tuesday, May 02, 2017
Hi Yo Silver! Sort Of… / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
In January, 1980 silver peaked at close to $50.00 per ounce and gold hit its high point of approximately $850.00 per ounce. Thirty-one years later, in 2011, both metals again reached lofty levels.
For gold, the new high point was $1900.00 per ounce. For silver, the number was $50.00 per ounce; again.
Six years later, as of this writing, gold is priced at $1260.00 per ounce. Silver is at $17.00 per ounce and change.
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Saturday, April 29, 2017
Gold Hostage to Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Gold has had a wild ride since Trump's surprise election win in early November. This metal first plunged then surged, ultimately making little headway. It wasn't until mid-April that gold regained its pre-election levels. This overall lackluster gold action was confounding given all the mounting uncertainties. But it once again highlights that gold investment demand is often hostage to the US stock markets' fortunes.
Before the election, gold surged every time Trump appeared to advance in the polls. Trump had a well-earned reputation as a loose cannon, implying far greater unpredictability. Increasing prospects of a Trump victory drove gold to $1305 the Friday before the election. But that weekend the FBI cleared Clinton again on her classified-e-mail front. So gold sold off sharply on rising odds Clinton would indeed win.
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Saturday, April 29, 2017
Warren Buffett Hates Gold… But Here’s Five Reasons You Need To Own It / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Stephen McBride : In a 1998 speech at Harvard, legendary investor Warren Buffett shared his thoughts on gold:
“[Gold] gets dug out of the ground in Africa, or someplace. Then we melt it down, dig another hole, bury it again, and pay people to stand around guarding it. It has no utility.”
Buffett is correct—gold doesn’t produce earnings or pay dividends. There are, however, some good reasons gold should be an essential part of every investor’s portfolio.
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Friday, April 28, 2017
Fed's Third Inetrest Rate Hike and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
This time, the U.S. central bank did not make us wait too long for the next hike. Just three months after the hike in December, the Fed moved interest rates up again. Although the pace of the current tightening cycle is extremely gradual, the U.S. central bank is consistently moving away from the zero interest rate policy. The chart below shows the current level of the effective federal funds rate after all three hikes.
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Friday, April 28, 2017
Looking for Epic Signs? Enter Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
In yesterday's alert we wrote that the reversal in the precious metals market should once again not be taken at its face value and that one should not overreact based on it as the size of the potential rally was limited. Well, it turned out that "limited rally" was an euphemism for a decline. Gold, silver and mining stocks declined once again despite the previous day's reversal and gold stocks confirmed the breakdown below the key support line. The implications are strongly bearish. However, there's something ever more bearish and much more profound.
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