Category: Gold & Silver
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, July 21, 2008
Gold Turns Bullish on Surging Global Inflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD rose in London on Monday morning, undoing most of last week's 1% loss to trade above $963 per ounce as the New York opening approached.Crude oil bounced from a seven-week low beneath $129 per barrel after US forecasters put a 29% chance on Tropical Storm Dolly reaching hurricane strength as it enters the oil-rich Gulf of Mexico .
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 21, 2008
Both Inflation or Deflation Point to Recession, Gold Outperforms Gold Stocks During Bear Markets / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold finished trading in New York on Friday at $956.40, down $12.70 and silver fell 53 cents to 18.12. Gold traded sideways to slightly up in Asia before rising in early European trading by nearly 1%.
Despite the very sharp fall in oil prices and other commodities last week, gold only fell by 0.2%. Silver was down by 3%. August Crude fell by more than 11% - it fell $16.34 from over $145 to $128.74. And Prudent Bear's Doug Noland points out that August Gasoline sank 11.5% (up 27.8% y-t-d), and August Natural Gas dropped 10.2% (up 42.9% y-t-d). September Copper declined 1.9%. September Wheat fell 3.2% and August Corn sank 11.8%. The CRB index was hit for 7.4% (up 19.1% y-t-d). The Goldman Sachs Commodities Index (GSCI) sank 9.5% (up 30.5% y-t-d and 55% y-o-y).
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, July 19, 2008
Gold Projects Bullish Trend to $1215 / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold has basically been on a roll for over a month, maybe it's time for a little rest. At this point it looks like no more than a rest but let's go through the routine.
GOLD : LONG TERM - I've been away for a few weeks so this week is sort of a “catch-up” week. The long term P&F Chart shows an upside break-out with a projection to the $1215 level. That would put us into new all time high territory and could cause the price to continue towards that long held, very long term, projection to the $1600 mark.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 18, 2008
Gold Slips as US Dollar Bounces, Soros Buying Gold Shorting Crude Oil / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD dropped 1.3% at lunchtime in London on Friday, sliding into the US open – and heading for its first weekly loss in five – as world stock markets ticked higher.The US Dollar rose on the forex market. Crude oil futures jumped 2.1% – "a dead cat bounce," according to one trader – after suffering their worst drop since Dec. 2004 so far this week.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 18, 2008
George Soros Buying Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold finished trading in New York yesterday at $957.00, down $4.00. Gold traded sideways rose in Asia before rising in early European trading and then falling again and is now down 0.15% for the day.Equity markets have bounced on what is likely to be another short term correction on massive short covering. Poor earnings from Google, Microsoft, Merrill and now Citigroup this morning should result in gold remaining well bid and support is at $950.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 17, 2008
Gold More Weakness Ahead? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Let's notice that the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) peaked on Tuesday at 97.50 at the top of its June-July price channel, and in the past 48 hours or so has traversed the channel to test its lower support line just above 93.50, which so far has contained the decline.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 17, 2008
Traders Only– Prepare to SELL GOLD / Commodities / Gold & Silver
As many of you know, I use many different methods to achieve my trading signals but one of the most important is the measurement of TIME. We have always had the quote from W.D. Gann as the banner on this newsletter, “Time is more important than price; when time is up price will reverse.”
As I have pointed out before, TIME can be measured in many ways. Sometimes I measure in trading days and sometimes it is in calendar days whilst other times I am measuring Fibonacci ratios of previous waves in time to give us projections for possible dates for change of direction.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 17, 2008
Gold Follows Crude Oil Lower, ECB Warns Inflation Won't Fall in an Recession / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES fell back at lunchtime in London on Thursday, slipping 0.7% towards this week's low of $955 per ounce as Western stock markets continued to rally on falling oil prices.The price of crude oil has now dropped $12 from Tuesday's high above $146 a barrel.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 17, 2008
Invest in Gold and Silver as Protect from US Economic Catastrophe / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Sean Brodrick writes: Our nation may be on the cusp of economic catastrophe — call it a panic, a meltdown, an implosion; I don't care what you call it. But it's bad. And it's coming straight at you like a runaway bus.
In times of crisis, people naturally gravitate toward gold, because it's the one investment that can hold its value when the fertilizer hits the fan.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 16, 2008
Gold Hedge Against Credit Crisis Risks / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE PRICE OF GOLD BULLION gave back an overnight rally of 0.8% late-morning in London on Wednesday, recording an AM Fix of $974 per ounce as European stock markets tumbled for the seventh time in 11 sessions.The FTSE index of UK blue-chips sank 1.4%, while crude oil held near $136 per barrel, down almost $10 from Tuesday's near-record high.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 16, 2008
Greenspan Backs Gold as World Currency / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold finished trading in New York yesterday at $977.10, up $5.00 and silver was down to $18.92, down 27 cents. Gold fell in Asia before rising in early European trading.Gold rallied strongly in early trading yesterday on higher oil, a lower dollar and increasing macroeconomic and systemic risk prior to the sharp fall in oil prices (some $10 in a short period of time ) which led to a selloff in precious metals. Despite the sharp selloff in oil, gold again remained resilient and finished some 0.5% higher in New York. The sharp fall in the oil price was attributed to margin calls due to equity losses and to fears of demand destruction due to the slowing U.S. and international economies.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 16, 2008
The Messiah & the P.O.W. & Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Well, what's gold doing right now? There are still very few who take the present financial situation serious enough to act on it. I believe gold hit 500 in 2005 and over 700 in 2006. Today it is well above 900. Anyone care out there?
A couple of years ago I was sitting in the barber's chair and chatting away. Yes, a real barber and not a “hair stylist.” Any way, right when a break came in my chatter the barber looked at me and said “too much information!” I guess the point is sometimes we say too much when we ought to keep our mouth shut. Last week I made a sarcastic remark about presidential elect Obama. What amazed me was how many folk do not recognize sarcastic humor when they hear it. And yes I am not afraid to say that I am not a supporter of Obama, but I still enjoy talking about the man because I find his rise to power amazing. Anyway, so much for that.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 15, 2008
Gold Pushes Higher on Fresh US Dollar All Time Low / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD jumped for the fifth session running in London on Tuesday, adding 1.2% against the US Dollar as crude oil broke back above $146 per barrel.European shares meantime slid to a three-year low, losing 2.2% in Frankfurt as the US currency sank 1% to a new all-time low vs. the Euro. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 14, 2008
Inflation and Oil Ratio Bullish for Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Don't tell this to the price fixers though. Apparently it's fine and dandy to let all other ‘commodities' rise in allowing this inflation thingy blow-off, but not gold, and especially not silver since it's so easily controlled. What kind of a message would that send to the investment world? If silver were allowed to rise, well, then it wouldn't make a lot of sense for gold to be odd man out considering its vital role in the economy, that being the ultimate measure of currency. In fact, if other vital commodities are rising sharply, already it makes little sense gold has not risen further, especially with the world's present ‘reserve currency' the fiat dollar in decline. So again, it would be especially troubling if silver were to begin rising impulsively and gold was left behind from this perspective.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 14, 2008
Tokyo Gold Breaks 25-Year High on Fannie-Freddie Bail Out / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD slipped 1% against the US Dollar at the London opening on Monday, giving back one-third of Friday's $23 surge as crude oil dropped and government bond prices fell.Credit spreads – a measure of investor concern over the risk of default – also ticked lower after Sunday's promise of unlimited tax-funded support for Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, the $5 trillion US mortgage companies, from the Treasury in Washington .
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 14, 2008
Silver Breakout Above Resistance- Strong Buy Signal / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Last week both gold and silver staged important breakouts from base areas to commence major uptrends. This is a development that we had been expecting for quite some time. In this update we will concentrate on the differences worth remarking on in the silver chart, and readers are referred, as usual, to the Gold Market update for the general arguments applicable to both metals.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 14, 2008
Gold Major Breakout on Freddie & Fannie Catastrophe / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Last week both gold and silver staged important breakouts from base areas to commence major uptrends. This is a development that we had been expecting for quite some time. On the 1-year chart for gold we can see how it first broke out from the 3-arc Fan Correction that we earlier delineated with the biggest one day rise for many years - itself a very bullish development. After that it reacted back from the clear line of resistance dating back to late March that marked the top of the base area. This reaction served to ease the short-term overbought condition. Then late last week it blasted through the resistance, this move synchronising with a breakdown by the dollar in response to the Fannie - Freddie catastrophe.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 13, 2008
How to Use Gold to Protect Your Portfolio and Profit / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: One of the things people don't understand about buying gold for diversification is that it doesn't work all the time.
It works over time. That means that you can't simply switch from one asset class to another when the going gets tough and expect miracles. Nor can you expect higher returns.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 13, 2008
Gold and the Credit Crisis / Commodities / Gold & Silver
It could not have escaped your attention that the financial sector is undergoing a crisis of confidence just now as the sub-prime loan debacle continues to ripple out to what was once thought as impervious sectors of the banking world.
Having watched the spectacle of bank runs, bank failures (i.e. takeovers), a falling housing market, increased cost of credit, emergency Fed loans and banks trying to boost capital through rights issues, investors are naturally concerned that even their deposit accounts are under threat. Well so far I am not aware of any major loss of funds by depositors as the Federal Reserve steps in to stabilize the cash flow of vulnerable banks and guarantee the deposits of customers via the FDIC scheme.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 11, 2008
Gold Resting Ahead of Next Upleg / Commodities / Gold & Silver
In the event of the world's financial, geopolitical and energy-related problems are NOT solved over the weekend, classic pattern analysis in the streetTRACKS Gold ETF (NYSE: GLD) argues for rest-digestion-pullback into the upside breakout area at 94.00-93.50, followed by a powerful upside pivot reversal that commences a new upleg. Should such a scenario unfold, then we should expect the GLD to head for 96.50 and then 100. Only a break below 92.00 will begin to compromise the upside breakout scenario.Read full article... Read full article...