Analysis Topic: Summary Financial Market Forecasts
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, November 15, 2021
Best Real Terms Asset Price Growth Countries for the Next 10 Years / Forecasts / Investing 2021
By: Nadeem_Walayat
What one wants to see is what is likely to happen over the next 10 and years, so after much number crunching here are my tables as a rough guide for which are the best nations in terms of relative strength of asset prices in real terms i.e. housing and stocks and which are the worst over the next 10 and 20 years based on the ageing population metric. However, a single metric even though a very important one is just not enough so I have also included a nations climate change risk profile that is expected to increasingly impact on GDP as well as GDP per capita where the lower the GDP the greater the potential for real terms growth i.e. it is much easier for Nigeria to double the size of their economy per capita than Malaysia. Whilst nations with very low GDP Per capita such as Afghanistan have a huge mountain to climb before they become stable enough for sustained growth spurts.
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Thursday, May 27, 2021
Looking Down the Rabbit Hole: The Soon Coming Stock Market Crash! / Forecasts / Stock Market 2021
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The charts below (SPX and GDX) show what I believe will happen into the month of June where I believe an important top will occur before a summer crash. The prognostication is not meant to take the place of the regular 2-3 e-mails I send out to my subs every day, but as generally expected future wave count with close projections for price and time projections as best I can determine based on the cycles of the past.
The first chart of the SPX shows the S&P 500 and its dramatic rising wedge pattern being formed since the Oct 30, 2020 bottom. I believe the orthodox E-Wave top occurred on April 16, 2021, with everything else being the irregular topping patterns that tend to occur right before a crash of note.
The big astrological implications for social-unrest, and a possible civil war and even a major world war, surround the 90-year passages of Saturn square Uranus (1931-32, 1861-62, 1771-72) and the 84-Year Cycle of Uranus in Taurus (1934-42, 1850-58, 1768-76), which are coming together here in the classic “Perfect Storm”.
Friday, March 22, 2019
Fed Acknowledges “Recession Risks”. Run for the Hills! / Forecasts / Financial Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
Today’s biggest news was that the Fed predicts no more rate hikes this year. Given that we are extremely late in this economic expansion cycle, this probably means that the Fed is also done hiking rates for this economic expansion cycle.
Of course, the news outlets and social media took this as “the Fed now acknowledges ‘recession risks’, so it’s time to run for the hills!”
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Tuesday, June 19, 2018
The Fed Screwed Up… and the Markets Know It / Forecasts / Stock Markets 2018
By: Graham_Summers
Last week the Fed announced it intends to hike rates another two times this year, with three more hikes next year. The Fed also announced that it will continue to increase its QT program with the goal of eventually withdrawing $50 billion in liquidity per month, or some $600 billion per year.
The market didn’t like this announcement, with stocks in a sea of red. This has raised the question… “is the Fed going to trigger a market meltdown?”
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Monday, June 11, 2018
Study: What Happens Next to Stocks When the Put/Call Ratio is Very Low / Forecasts / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The Equity-Only Put/Call Ratio was very low last Tuesday, falling below 0.5 for the first time since January 2018. This is commonly seen as a bearish sign. It isn’t. Here’s the data to prove it.
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Thursday, February 16, 2017
SPX Wave Structure Solved. VIX is Positive / Forecasts / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
My earlier estimates of the SPX targets were based on Wave [c] being impulsive, not in a zigzag Diagonal format. Had I stepped back earlier, it may have been more evident. In any event, the natural target for Wave [c] appears to be 2354.36, which is no far from the earlier 2350.00 limit I had put on it.
Wednesday, December 30, 2015
Today's Turn Date May Influence the Markets / Forecasts / Financial Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is down 5 points as I write. That is not enough in itself to declare that the top has been made, but today happens to be a combined Trading Cycle and Primary Cycle Pivot. Confirmation may come with the decline beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 2066.04 and/or the 2-hour mid-Cycle support and trendline at 2061.18.
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Wednesday, April 25, 2012
Stock Market Further down side expected for the rest of this week / Forecasts / Stock Markets 2012
By: Marc_Horn
Further drops are expected in the markets over the next few days to make a tradable pivot.
S&P has nicely followed its cycle channels and appears to be putting in its final wave and is expected to put in a bottom (4H-1) in the next day or so below H-3 and most likely on the piercing the lower lime rail and as far as the lower blue rail as suggested in the April 17th update.
Friday, April 15, 2011
China Stock Market SSEC Trend Forecast 2011 / Forecasts / Chinese Stock Market
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This article is an excerpt form the NEW The Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 70 page ebook that is available for FREE Download. The Chinese fast growing economy with consistent annual growth rates of 10% per annum is on course towards becoming the worlds dominant economy over the next 10 - 15 years, with GDP per capita at just $6,000, China's economy retains the capacity to keep doubling in size several more times before growth rates seriously start to diminish, therefore despite the growth to date the economy still has a long way to go towards even reaching half the per capita income of that of the western economies.
Sunday, November 22, 2009
Range Bound Stock Market Overbought / Forecasts / Stock Index Trading
By: Jack_Steiman
The daily charts were very overbought a few days ago but selling has taken them down off very overbought to a more neutral position, but if you want to be exact, you could say they're still a bit more on the overbought side. The 60-minute or short-term time frame charts are now very oversold. Three days of selling will do that for sure. This should equate to some move higher early next week but don't expect the moon on any move higher. That isn't likely to take place until we get a more intense unwinding of those daily charts. Probably to, or near, oversold so that's not happening any time soon.
Tuesday, January 22, 2008
Five Trillion Wiped off Global Stock Markets - Fed Emergency Interest Rate Cut Rumors / Forecasts / Financial Crash
By: Adrian_Ash
THE GOLD MARKET bounced off a 2.1% slump at the London opening on Tuesday as global stock markets attempted to steady on wild rumors of emergency interest-rate cuts.
Following Monday's torrid action in Asia and Europe , the loss of world equity value for 2008 to date is now put above $5 trillion.
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Wednesday, December 19, 2007
Interbank Market Under Pressure Due to Year End Reporting / Forecasts / Credit Crunch
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
Can financial system be in as big a mess as central banks' actions suggest? Year end is rapidly approaching, and accounting convention calls for all to strike balance sheets. Those financial statements influence the evaluations of firms by investors, regulators, and rating"agencies. Because of credit chaos, those institutions want to show sound, liquid balance sheets. As a consequence of the unusual demand for liquidity, the inter bank market for funds is under serious pressure.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 13, 2007
Tough Time for Investors During the Credit Crisis and Monetary Inflation / Forecasts / Investing
By: Andy_Sutton
As the current credit crises continues to deepen, much of the focus is on illiquid assets, seized markets and how the Fed and other central banks will attempt to bail the world economy out of this storm. Much of the debate has centered around whether or not the United States will be able to avoid a recession, whether consumer spending will fall off a cliff, and how likely it is for the economies of emerging countries will be able to decouple and survive a slowdown in the US. While these are certainly important questions to be asking, an even more important observation must be made.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 30, 2007
Sovereign Wealth Funds – A Controversial New Power in Global Markets / Forecasts / Global Financial System
By: William_R_Thomson
The imbalanced global economy of recent years, where the US ran huge current accounts deficits of USD 800 billion or so and emerging markets built up huge surpluses of foreign exchange, is passing from a benign period to one that could bring the openness of investment markets into question and engender a lapse back into financial protectionism.
Ten years ago Asia, Russia, Latin America were broke and In crisis having to obey the dictates of the International Monetary Fund to pull themselves out of the hole the markets had dug for them. With the oil price hovering in the teens, OPEC had no spare funds either. In the midst of the tech boom the US was top dog and ruled the roost.
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