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Soybean Commodity Bulls Retreating After Price Surge

Commodities / Agricultural Commodities Nov 19, 2010 - 05:33 AM GMT

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Commodities

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis year’s recovery in Soybeans finally managed to exceed the 2009 high, but has found resistance from a Fibonacci level not much above. The chart is now in pullback mode, turning focus on likely supports.


The Commodity Specialist view

SOYBEANS – WEEKLY CONTINUATION CHART:

The 1291.25 Jun-09 high was eroded, but slightly higher 61.8% recovery level has proved to be an effective barrier so far, prompting a slip back.

On the continuation chart note potential support offered by the 1078.50 Dec-09 high.

SOYBEANS  - DAILY CHART  JAN-11:

The bull run finally came to a halt near the higher of our two Fibo projections at 1340, with 12-Nov producing a Key Reversal Day. This ties in with the 61.8% level on the Weekly chart and a pullback phase is not surprising now.

The 38.2% pullback level at 1176 now offers first support, often an effective level s/term, with the 1153.25 27-Sep high support not far beneath.

However, a potentially much stronger area lies at 1170/1160, 61.8% and the Dec-09 high (not much below the 1078.50 on the Weekly chart). We would look for a decent rebound around here, if tested.

Mark Sturdy
John Lewis

Seven Days Ahead
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Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

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