Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
AI Tech Stocks Earnings Season Opportunities - 28th Apr 24
S&P Stock Market Detailed Trend Forecast Into End 2024 - 25th Apr 24
US Presidential Election Year Equity Performance in the Presence of an Inverted Yield Curve- 25th Apr 24
Stock Market "Bullish Buzz" Reaches Highest Level in 53 Years - 25th Apr 24
Managing Your Public Image When Accused Of Allegations - 25th Apr 24
Friday Stock Market CRASH Following Israel Attack on Iranian Nuclear Facilities - 19th Apr 24
All Measures to Combat Global Warming Are Smoke and Mirrors! - 18th Apr 24
Cisco Then vs. Nvidia Now - 18th Apr 24
Is the Biden Administration Trying To Destroy the Dollar? - 18th Apr 24
S&P Stock Market Trend Forecast to Dec 2024 - 16th Apr 24
No Deposit Bonuses: Boost Your Finances - 16th Apr 24
Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - 8th Apr 24
Gold Is Rallying Again, But Silver Could Get REALLY Interesting - 8th Apr 24
Media Elite Belittle Inflation Struggles of Ordinary Americans - 8th Apr 24
Profit from the Roaring AI 2020's Tech Stocks Economic Boom - 8th Apr 24
Stock Market Election Year Five Nights at Freddy's - 7th Apr 24
It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- 7th Apr 24
AI Revolution and NVDA: Why Tough Going May Be Ahead - 7th Apr 24
Hidden cost of US homeownership just saw its biggest spike in 5 years - 7th Apr 24
What Happens To Gold Price If The Fed Doesn’t Cut Rates? - 7th Apr 24
The Fed is becoming increasingly divided on interest rates - 7th Apr 24
The Evils of Paper Money Have no End - 7th Apr 24
Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - 3rd Apr 24
Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend - 2nd Apr 24
Dow Stock Market Annual Percent Change Analysis 2024 - 2nd Apr 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Agricultural Commodities On the Rise

/ Agricultural Commodities Jun 18, 2011 - 06:55 AM GMT

By: Sara_Nunnally

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe financial markets had a horrible day yesterday. There's no way of sugarcoating it. The Dow closed below 11,900 and both the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 ended about 1.75% lower.

Know what started to climb in after-hours trading?


Grains... Agricultural commodities like corn, wheat and soybeans. This is good news for grains. They had been sliding for a number of days because of lower energy costs. Some stabilization could mean investments in grains are in for a bounce.

I do think corn and wheat will climb from here. Jack Scoville of Price Futures Group is predicting tight corn supplies by September, and that the USDA will need to lower production estimates for wheat.

This news hasn't filtered down yet.

Two Agricultural Commodities Investments
You may remember me talking about two agricultural investments back in January... The iPath Dow Jones UBS Grains ETN (JJG:NYSE) and the PowerShares DB Agriculture ETF (DBA:NYSE). Both invest in agricultural commodity futures. The JJG was focused on grains exclusively, but the DBA can hold lots of different agricultural commodities.

Right now, the majority of DBA is made up of coffee futures. This isn't the same mix as when we first talked about DBA, and the ETF is down almost 5%.

It might be time to take this money off the table.

But JJG is a different story.

As of May 31, 2011, this was JJG's portfolio:

JJG is also down since January -- about 4%. But if grains get a bounce here, and grain prices start climbing, this is the investment you want to be holding, rather than DBA.

But here's the thing to watch. JJG's chart looks a lot like a futures chart for soybeans. Take a look.

Here's JJG:

And here's a chart for soybean futures:

Soybeans have been swinging back and forth for the past six months. One of the reasons for this has been low demand from the investment sector in favor of higher corn investments.

What this means for JJG is that any momentum from a jump in corn has been hampered by waffling soybean prices. On June 30, the USDA will release its Quarterly Stocks and Acreage update. That report could have an impact on where soybeans head from here.

Until then, we're going to keep JJG on our list unless we see its share price drop to $51. At that point we'll reevaluate.

P.S. It's a bit hard to talk about corn and wheat being "down" and ready for a bounce. Wheat is up more than 25% from this time last year. Corn is up an amazing 78% in a year. These kinds of price increases have huge consequences... We've seen food riots and even uprisings that have overthrown governments.

This kind of upheaval isn't over by a long shot. The world is on the edge of a food shortage, and to get ahead of this crisis, you have to have a plan. Safe Haven Investor editor Kent Lucas has one, and everyone should read his letter to get prepared for a food crisis. You can access this letter here.

Editor's Note: I want to issue a correction from Monday's article. Our topic was the OPEC meeting and the in-fighting between some members. Notably, Saudi Arabia and Iran. But Iran wasn't acting against Saudi Arabia alone. Other OPEC countries in the region were also standing against Saudi Arabia's call for increased crude oil production.

But in my article, I lumped Iran in with the Arab countries that voted against higher crude oil quotas. An email from Smart Investing Daily reader M.F. brought this to my attention. Iran is not an Arab nation -- it's Persian. I apologize for the mistake. Thank you to the reader who wrote in.

Don't forget to follow us on Facebook and Twitter for the latest in financial market news, investment commentary and exclusive special promotions.

Source : http://www.taipanpublishinggroup.com/tpg/smart-investing-daily/smart-investing-061611.html

By Sara Nunnally
http://www.taipanpublishinggroup.com/

Sara is Managing Editor of Smart Investing Daily. As Senior Research Director and global correspondent, Sara Nunnally's diverse resume includes studies in art history, computer science and financial research. She has appeared on news media such as Forbes on Fox, Fox News Live, and CNBC's Squawk Box, as well as numerous radio shows around the country. Most recently, Sara co-authored a book with Sandy Franks called, Barbarians of Wealth.

Copyright © 2011, Taipan Publishing Group


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in