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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: US Federal Reserve Bank

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 16, 2018

Federal Reserve And The Markets / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Kelsey_Williams

Analysis and opinions of the financial markets vary depending on who is doing the analyzing. The most critical element that affects the song is the singer.

There is nothing wrong with that. But we should be aware that our own prejudice  clouds our perspective. However, there is more that is not so obvious. With that in mind, lets take a look at things.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, October 14, 2018

Fed is Doing More Than Just Raising Rates / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Rodney_Johnson

Over the past month the 10-year Treasury bond yield has jumped from under 3.00% to 3.23%, sending tremors through the equity markets. By now you’ve heard/read/thought about the usual suspects.

As interest rates move higher, equity investors searching for income finally (finally!) have a viable alternative to stocks.

As interest rates move higher, consumers using borrowed funds to purchase homes, cars, and stuff on credit cards will have to pay more, which should curb their economic appetite.
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Interest-Rates

Sunday, October 07, 2018

The Latest Double Standard from the Fed / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Rodney_Johnson

Collectively, we just got screwed again, and I bet most people didn’t even know it. It happens so many times, particularly at the hands of the Federal Reserve, it’s hard to keep track.

A new bank called The Narrow Bank, or TNB, recently applied for an account with the Fed.

This would give the bank recognition by a local reserve bank, in this case New York, and access to its services, like distribution of currency, check processing and other forms of electronic payments.

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Politics

Tuesday, September 18, 2018

Trump’s Backdoor Power Play to Rein In the Fed / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: MoneyMetals

“Just run the presses – print money.”

That’s what President Donald Trump supposedly instructed his former chief economic adviser Gary Cohn to do in response to the budget deficit. The quote appears in Bob Woodward’s controversial book Fear: Trump in the White House.

Trump disputes many of the anecdotes Woodward assembled. But regardless of whether the President used those exact words, they do reflect an “easy money” philosophy that he has expressed many times before.

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Politics

Monday, September 10, 2018

How Trump Could Fire Powell and Rebuild the Fed / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK WATSON : In recent weeks, Trump criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell several times. He doesn’t like that Powell is leading the Fed to raise interest rates.

Past presidents avoided such comments so they wouldn’t appear to be interfering. But Trump doesn’t care about appearances.

The Fed is somewhat insulated from electoral politics. The chair and board members have fixed terms. Its composition changes slowly... but it doesn’t have to.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 14, 2018

The Federal Reserve: Secretly Sticking It to Americans for Over 100 Years / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: MoneyMetals

In the aftermath of the 2008 Financial Crisis, the private Federal Reserve bank cartel was front and center as a target for public outrage.

Former U.S. Congressman Ron Paul’s "End the Fed" message suddenly resonated. Americans hated Fed officials bailing out the banksters – richly rewarding them for crooked and irresponsible behavior which helped create the crisis.

But years have passed. Americans have been enjoying the expansion stage of the next great bubble. The central planners at the Fed and their colleagues at the nation’s largest banks have been busy stimulating the real estate, equity, and bond markets.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 01, 2018

Trump Declares War on the Fed / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Michael_Pento

It appears when it comes to fighting the old Washington establishment---comprised of the deep state and the Federal Reserve--Mr. Trump is getting sucked into the vortex of the D.C. swamp rather than draining it. The hope was for our “Disrupter in Chief” to be more concerned about our children’s future than his own; and for his focus to span beyond the next election cycle. Instead of allowing consumers to finally receive a real return on their savings; and to let asset bubbles seek a level that can be supported by the free market, Trump has chosen to breach a boundary that has been essential to providing hope for the future solvency of our nation.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 25, 2018

Powell is Playing “Chicken” With $10 Trillion in $USD Shorts / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Graham_Summers

Thus far in his tenure as Fed Chair, Jerome Powell has emphasized that he is more concerned with the real economy than the financial markets.

Put another way, the Powell Fed, unlike the Bernanke or Yellen Feds before it, is willing to sacrifice stocks in the name of normalizing monetary policy provided the economy can withstand it.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 17, 2018

Why the Fed is Worse for the Market than Trade Tariffs / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Rodney_Johnson

“Always tell the truth.”

In addition to being number eight on the Top 10 list of things we should always do, being truthful is just a great way to avoid trouble in life.

You never have to remember what lie you told to whom, and you never have to make up more lies to cover those you’ve already put out into the universe.

But we don’t.

I don’t know a single person who is completely honest. And this goes way beyond, “Do these clothes make me look fat?”

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 27, 2018

The Federal Reserve – Purpose And Motivation / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Kelsey_Williams

With each succeeding day, obsession with the Federal Reserve continues. And the obsession is a good indicator of just how misinformed most of us are.

This is true with respect to various policies, statements, and actions; and includes comments made by board members, either in speeches or interviews. But it is also true regarding purpose and motivation.

To a large extent, it is a matter of perception. Some, maybe most, people see the Fed as the lead driver. There is an assumed aura of authority and control. On all matters economic, we look to them for direction. But where are they taking us? 

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 13, 2017

2 Charts That Might Define the Fed’s Jerome Powell Era / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: F_F_Wiley

In September, we proposed a theory of the Fed and suggested that the FOMC will soon worry mostly about financial imbalances without much concern for recession risks. We reached that conclusion by simply weighing the reputational pitfalls faced by the economists on the committee, but now we’ll add more meat to our argument, using financial flows data released last week. We’ve created two charts, beginning with a look at cumulative, inflation-adjusted asset gains during the last seven business cycles:

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, December 09, 2017

Jerome Powell vs. Janet Yellen / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

As expected, Donald Trump nominated Jerome Powell as the next Federal Reserve Chair. He is often perceived as a merely Republican version of Yellen. But is that really the case? Let’s analyze in a more detailed way what impact on gold Powell’s term as the head of the U.S. central bank would mean for the gold market.

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Politics

Friday, December 08, 2017

The US Fed Might Shrink to Two Members in 2018 / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: John_Mauldin

BY JOHN MAULDIN : In talking with some of my Fed-watching friends, it appears the world’s most important central bank is about to experience some potentially profound changes—not just in personnel but more importantly in the kind of people who lead it.

Those changes could, in turn, have some serious economic impacts, so it’s worth taking a deeper look.  

But before we get into the impending changes at the Fed, let’s quickly review how the organization works.

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Politics

Thursday, December 07, 2017

Why Bank Presidents Could Rule the Fed Next Year / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: John_Mauldin

There’s a possibility the Fed will shrink to three—or even two—governors next year. I wrote about this in great length in my latest Thoughts from the Frontline, and I highly suggest you give it a read.

Among other things, the missing governors could have an enormous impact on monetary policy.  But before we delve into the implications again, I must explain the Fed’s Byzantine organizational scheme.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 28, 2017

The Fed Is at the Height of Monetary Policy Lunacy / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: John_Mauldin

How often do central bankers, regulators, corporate leaders, lawyers, politicians, and ordinary investors make the same mistakes over and over again? All the time.

If we stopped erasing our memories and for once learned from our mistakes, we might make better progress. But no, we must always step on the same rake.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 22, 2017

New Fed Chairman, Same Old Story / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Kelsey_Williams

President Trump nominated Jerome H. Powell as the new Chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank. Don’t look for much to change. And Janet Yellen’s announcement that she will resign from the board upon Mr. Powell’s induction as board chair is pretty much a non-event.

Where we are today is the culmination of decades of irresponsible financial/fiscal policies and a complete abdication of fundamental economics. But that should not be a surprise. The self-proclaimed purpose of the Federal Reserve Bank is to manage the economic cycles. This is an impossibly presumptive task and a violation of fundamental economic theory.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 08, 2017

Here’s Why The Market Mispriced Jay Powell / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: John_Mauldin

BY JARED DILLIAN : Jay Powell has been named the next Chairman of the Federal Reserve. Provided he survives the confirmation process, it is a done deal.

This wasn’t the easiest pick for Trump. It’s not easy to find a Republican who is also in favor of low interest rates. Powell isn’t exactly a dove, but he’s significantly more dovish than John Taylor.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 02, 2017

Who Will Be the Next Fed Chief - And Why It Matters / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Dan_Steinbock

Janet Yellen's term is ending at the Federal Reserve. With new appointments, President Trump can indirectly shape US monetary policy for years to come - for better or worse. 

Serving as the “epitome of calm,” Fed chief Ben Bernanke responded to the global financial crisis by cutting the federal funds rate to zero and initiating rounds of quantitative easing (QE) soon thereafter.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 25, 2017

Trump May Reappoint Yellen as Fed Chair after All / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: MoneyMetals

By Clint Siegner: Candidate Donald Trump was none too kind to current Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen during his 2016 campaign. However, the President’s tone with regards to Yellen and Fed policy has been softening since his election.

Trump met one on one with Yellen and other top contenders last week and now appears quite open to the idea of reappointing her to another four-year term.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 17, 2017

What Happens When the Fed FINALLY Reduces Its $4.5 Trillion Balance Sheet? / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: EWI

So, there we have it. Deflation has started.

The Federal Reserve announced last month that they would start to reduce their $4.5 trillion balance sheet in October, thereby starting the process we call Quantitative Tightening (QT). As expected, they are aiming to do it gently and quietly, by not reinvesting bonds as they mature, starting with sums of around $6 billion of Treasuries and $4 billion in Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS). The scale of non-reinvestment will gradually increase. Once in full swing, the Fed's balance sheet could reduce by up to $150 billion each quarter.

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