Category: Stock Markets 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, September 15, 2014
Stock Market Correction Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - In 1932 and 1974, the 40-yr cycle was responsible for protracted market weakness. The current phase is due this year but where is the weakness? Has man (Federal Reserve) finally achieved dominance over universal rhythms or has it simply delayed the inevitable?
Intermediate trend - We are looking for the move from 1905 to end, after which a much more serious correction should start.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Saturday, September 13, 2014
Stock Market Pullback Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
After closing within three points of the all time high last week, the market went into a choppy pullback mode this week. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.0%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.4%, and the DJ World index was -1.4%. On the economic front, reports came in mostly to the positive. On the uptick: consumer credit, retail sales, wholesale/business inventories, import prices, consumer sentiment, and the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: export prices, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims increased. Next week is FOMC week, and we get reports on Industrial production and Housing.
Saturday, September 13, 2014
Stock Market Getting More Violent In The Handle..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
Violent markets can be meaningful, even if we're not necessarily seeing resolution out of a range. We know the range is now down at the 50-day exponential moving average, or the last line in the sand for the bulls. The level being 1971. The 20's didn't do a great job of holding up, so now we focus on the last line in the sand for the bulls, or again, 1971. The top of the range being the old high or 2011. We have been in an increasingly violent and whipsaw range that reminds me of SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) when it was topping out for the very long term. Now listen up. These violent whipsaw handles can also be bullish, if price holds well enough, while the oscillators unwind from overbought. Handles can be violent, since both sides fight at critical junctures. The range can be more than 1% large, and, thus, things whip around to the top and bottom repeatedly.
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Tuesday, September 09, 2014
Stock Market Trendlines Violated, Sell Signal Imminent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has broken below its Broadening Wedge trendline for the second time today. Perhaps this is the charm. There is now enough information to label the Wave Structure as a Micro Wave I and ii. It is apparent that round number resistance held the bounce at 2000.00.
Tuesday, September 09, 2014
Stock Market Broadening Wedge Pattern Being Activated / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX broke through its Broadening Wedge trendline and may have activated it for the downside panic to come. However, it has not broken beneath Friday’s low of 1990.10, leaving it open for another retest at 2007.71. Confirmation of the reversal would be the breakdown beneath 1990.10. So far, it has declined to 1991.88.
Monday, September 08, 2014
Stock Market Final Warning - Will The ECB's QE Make A Difference? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - In 1932 and 1974, the 40-yr cycle was responsible for protracted market weakness. The current phase is due this year but where is the weakness? Has man (Federal Reserve) finally achieved dominance over universal rhythms or has it simply delayed the inevitable?
Intermediate trend - We are looking for the move from 1905 to end, after which a much more serious correction should start.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, September 08, 2014
Why This Stock Market Rally is About to End Badly / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Michael_Pento
The deafening cacophony on Wall Street for the past six years has been since interest rates are at zero percent that there is no place else to put your money except stocks. For most, it just doesn't matter that the ratio of Total Market Cap to GDP is 125 percent, which is 15 percent points higher than in 2007 and the highest at any time outside of the tech bubble at the turn of the century. Sovereign bond yields are at record lows across the globe and the strategy for most investors is to ignore anemic economic growth rates and just continue to plow more money into the market simply because, "there's no place else to put your money."
Sunday, September 07, 2014
Stock Market Primary III or IV Inflection Point Reached / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
Summer holiday traders returned this week in the sell mode. Every new high, tuesday-thursday, was sold within the first hour and a half, or less, of trading. But the market managed to turn the tide on friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.20%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.15%, and the DJ World index was +0.20%. On the economic front, positive and negative reports came in about even. On the uptick: ISM manufacturing/services, construction spending, factory orders, the unemployment rate, and the trade deficit improved. On the downtick: the ADP, payrolls, the WLEI, the monetary base, and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get a look at Consumer credit, Retail sales and Business inventories.
Sunday, September 07, 2014
The Coming Stock Market Trading Range Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
Although you wouldn’t know it by looking at the NASDAQ, this year has been a tough one for many investors. The relative lack of volatility, combined with the underperformance of small cap stocks, has kept many portfolios unchanged for the year to date.To give you an idea of what 2014 has been like for some investors, checkout the following graph of the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index (RUT). Clearly, the lateral trading range action of small cap stocks, which comprise a substantial portion of many portfolios, has been a frustrating experience.
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Saturday, September 06, 2014
World Stock Markets Are Topping - Dow, ASX, BSE, DAX and FTSE Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Austin_Galt
In this analysis, we will examine both the small picture and big picture using the daily and monthly charts.
Dow
What a difference a week makes! In my last report I thought that the Dow would correct before embarking on one final surge higher. Instead, price made a marginal new high before heading down and threatening to break down but managing to climb back into the end of the week. When things don't play out as expected, I always head back to the charts to reanalyse. Let's see what this new analysis suggests beginning with the daily chart.
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Friday, September 05, 2014
U.S. Trade Deficit has NOT Been Bearish for Stocks - Investment Myths / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, terrorist attacks, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market
You may remember that during the 2008-2009 financial crisis, many called into question traditional economic models. Why did the traditional financial models fail?
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Friday, September 05, 2014
Stock Markets Climb as World Faces Crisis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: John_Browne
On August 28th while the geographical area formerly known as Iraq descended further into chaos, President Obama announced to the world "We don't have a strategy, yet." A few days later, another brave American journalist was brutally beheaded by a slickly televised cockney-accented jihadist. Clearly things are not going well outside the bubbly confines of the S&P 500.
Thursday, September 04, 2014
Stock Market Bears At 27 Year Lows... Complacency At Extremes.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
What can you say. I warned this morning that buying the gap up probably didn't make muchsense. Buying any strength in a froth-driven market probably isn't the best idea. After a large gap up to start the day, we saw the key-index charts close with either nasty black candles, or worse, red candles, especially the Nasdaq and small caps. The selling wasn't intense, but the closes were well below the gap up open suggest sustained upside will likely be tough for a while here. In normal times, these types of candle sticks would be the prelude to some very intense short-term selling, but you can't count on that here since the rate driven bull is still very much alive.
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Wednesday, September 03, 2014
Despite Growing Risks it's Still Janet Yellen's Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: John_Browne
The current stock market is earning a deserved reputation as being coated in Teflon. Bad or disappointing news just doesn't appear to stick, and has done nothing to slow the market's upward trajectory. Bad news is good and good news is good news. But where does this all end? A minority of investors have begun to wonder whether negative geo-political risks, embodied in the steely-eyed stare of Vladimir Putin, are exerting more influence on the market than the sunny smiles of Janet Yellen. Just going by the market numbers, Yellen remains firmly in the driver's seat. Thus far this year, the S&P 500 is up more than 8% and there has been little evidence that investors fear a pull back.
Tuesday, September 02, 2014
Stock Market Approaching An Important High? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - In 1932 and 1974, the 40-yr cycle was responsible for protracted market weakness. The current phase is due this year but where is the weakness? Has man (Federal Reserve) finally achieved dominance over universal rhythms or has it simply delayed the inevitable?
Intermediate trend - The correction is over and what is most likely the final phase of the uptrend (before a more serious correction) is underway.
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Saturday, August 30, 2014
Reasons to Be Bullish On Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Investment_U
Alexander Green writes: Just a few weeks ago, the bears started thinking things were finally going their way.
But it didn't work out that way... again.
This week, the S&P 500 closed above 2,000 for the first time. The Nasdaq hit its highest level in 14 1/2 years.
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Saturday, August 30, 2014
Stock Market Inflection Point Approaching / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week with a gap up opening on monday, hit SPX 2005 on tuesday before noon, then traded in a 14 point range for the rest of the week. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.7%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.8%, and the DJ World index gained 0.6%. On the economic front positive reports outpaced negatives ones, led by a Q2 GDP +4.2%. On the uptick: new/pending homes sales, durable goods orders, the FHFA, consumer confidence/sentiment, Q2 GDP, personal income, the PCE, and the Chicago PMI. On the downtick: the WLEI, Case-Shiller, and personal spending. Next week will be highlighted by the FED’s beige book, ISM, and the Payrolls report.
Saturday, August 30, 2014
Stock Market Status Quo.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
This an abbreviated holiday edition.
Folks, to be honest, there's not much to day about this market that we haven't discussed repeatedly for weeks, if not months. There are a number of issues the market is facing that one would think would be the beginning of the end for the bulls. We have overbought conditions on the key-index charts across most of the time frames everyone uses in one way or another. We have some divergences around, and most of all, we have froth at extremely high levels that usually knock the market down in a very large way. Not just your casual 4-5% correction, but levels that can cause bear markets meaning at least a correction of 20% or more. At times, 50%. Yes folks, the froth readings are that bad.
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Friday, August 29, 2014
Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Stock Market Investment Myths / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, terrorist attacks, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market
You may remember that during the 2008-2009 financial crisis, many called into question traditional economic models. Why did the traditional financial models fail?
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 29, 2014
Stock Market in a Quandary? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Yesterday’s decline did not appear impulsive enough to qualify as a Wave 1 down at any degree. In addition, despite Macro Wave I’s uncertain pedigree, Micro Wave iii and v are clearly impulsive. If this morning the SPX does not break down, it may leave us with a probable final Ending Diagonal sub-Minute Wave (v) to go if my earlier wave structure is incomplete. The reason I bring this up is that the futures made a new high, but are now pulling back. The Premarket is up on horrible news, but may only be completing a 5th wave of c of Wave (ii).
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