Category: Stock Markets 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, August 19, 2014
Stock Market Strong Start to Jackson Hole Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
The S&P 500 rallied at the open and drifted higher to its 0.87% intraday high during the lunch hour. It then traded in a narrow range to its 0.85% close. The popular press attributes the gain to reduced tensions in Ukraine. It also comes in advance of potential Fed signals in Wednesday’s release of the FOMC minutes for their July meeting and more significantly, from the Fed’s Jackson Hole summit that starts on Thursday. The index is up 6.67% year-to-date and only 0.82% off its record close.
Monday, August 18, 2014
Why Short Stock Traders Are Losing Money This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Chris_Vermeulen
One thing I have talked about several times which cannot be understated is that is the tendency for investors to believe that complex trading ideas and automated trading systems are better than simple, logical ones.
At first thought this notion is completely understandable. After all, if an idea is fairly simple, how could it possibly be "a secret" and investors not using it yet?
Monday, August 18, 2014
Stock Market Rally May be Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Minute Wave [c] now appears to be complete at the top of its trend channel. In Cycle measure, the Minor Wave 1 decline took 60 hours to its 1911.45 low, while Minor Wave 2 has taken 56 (55.9) hours. We’ll have a better indication of the completeness of the retracement after SPX declines beneath its 50-day Moving Average at 1958.72 and the bottom trendline of its trading channel at 1948.00.
Monday, August 18, 2014
Stock Market New Highs Less Certain / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Correction appears to be over.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, August 18, 2014
Stay on Board - Stock Market Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Puru_Saxena
BIG PICTURE - Over the past few weeks, geo-political tensions have increased in various parts of the world and we have also experienced a sovereign debt default. Despite these developments, the majority of the stock markets have held up relatively well and so far, we have not witnessed any panic-fueled liquidation of assets.
Although this can change, we are inclined to believe that these 'events' will not derail the primary uptrend in equities; and if anything, changes in the monetary landscape will bring about the next prolonged bear market.
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Sunday, August 17, 2014
Stock Market Uptrend Looks Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market opened the week with a gap up to SPX 1945, pulled back to 1928 by tuesday, then gapped up twice more during the week to hit 1964 on friday. Then some geopolitical news spooked the market and it sold off to SPX 1942 before rebounding in the afternoon. For the week the SPX/DOW 0.95%, the NDX/NAZ were +2.40%, and the DJ World index rose 1.65%. On the economic front positive reports were slightly more than negative ones. On the uptick: business inventories, export prices, the PPI, industrial production, capacity utilization and the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: the NY FED, consumer sentiment, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get the FOMC minutes, reports on Housing, Jackson Hole, Wy., and Leading indicators.
Saturday, August 16, 2014
Stock Market Ukraine-Triggered Volatility, But a Flat Finish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Today was a busy one for economic updates: the Producer Price Index, Industrial Production and Consumer Sentiment. But the market was primarily focused on the international scene — most notably the conflict in Ukraine. The S&P 500 rose at the open, hitting its 0.45% intraday high an hour later. The breaking news from Europe then sent the index into a sharp nosedive to its -0.70% intraday low shortly before noon. It slowly slogged its way back to an essentially flat finish, down -0.01% for the day. On a brighter note, the index was up 1.22% for the week.
Saturday, August 16, 2014
Stock Market Gap To Gap...Hit The Top...Reversal....Nothing For Either Side / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
The market came off the bottom with a series of gap ups as it back tested lost 20- and 50-day exponential moving averages. The big question was would those moving averages get taken back out or would those levels act as a wall of resistance, cascading the market back down once hit. We got through the moving averages, and hit the 197.00 SPY gap. That is where the market rejected the move higher with Ukraine/Russia the catalyst to get things moving back down intraday. At the same time that news came out, we also saw the short-term sixty-minute RSI's hit extreme levels of overbought with some readings as high as 80.
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Saturday, August 16, 2014
Stock Market Investors Conditioned To Catch The Falling Knife / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Raul_I_Meijer
That’s not a bad metaphor to work with. “Conditioned to catch the falling knife”. The expression comes from the investment world, but it describes a much larger world today pretty accurately.
Investors use it to describe people who see a stock fall, rapidly, from for instance $50 to $20, call the low, and decide it’s a good buy, only to be stuck with huge losses (the knife that cuts their hand) as it goes down all the way to 25 cents.
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Friday, August 15, 2014
The Most Hated Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Puru_Saxena
BIG PICTURE – The ongoing bull market is over 5 years old and both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P500 Index have climbed to record highs. Yet, the vast majority of retail investors are still not convinced and many are waiting for the elusive stock market crash!
Despite the fact that this primary uptrend has tacked on impressive gains, it remains one of the most hated bull markets in recorded history. If you follow the mainstream financial print media, you may have seen that many prominent publications have recently called this stock market a ‘bubble’! In fact, the very same magazines have doubted the durability of this bull market since its very inception.
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Thursday, August 14, 2014
Russian Bear Rattles Stock Markets, but Plunge Protection Team Rides to the Rescue / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Gary_Dorsch
Investing is an inherently risky business with lots of uncertainties. At any given moment, the bullets can fly from any direction, and at a bare minimum, the investor hopes to emerge unscathed from the battlefield. But of course, the goal of investing is not just to break-even, but to earn a sizeable profit in the marketplace. And for the past 5-½ years, there has been no better way to maximize gains, than sticking with the traditional “Buy-and-Hold” strategy. It requires a lot of patience, a lack of emotion, and a firmly held belief that the Federal Reserve and its central bank allies will always bail you out of a difficult position.
Thursday, August 14, 2014
More Bad News is Good News for the Stocks Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Europe is not growing.
Italy, Romania and Cyprus are in Recession (2 consecutive negative quarters) and Belgium dropped 75%, Czech 100% (to zero), Germany down 130%, Latvia down 85%, Hungary down 30%, Poland down 45%… These are NOT GOOD numbers!
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Wednesday, August 13, 2014
Low and Expanding Risk Premiums Are the Root of Abrupt Stock Market Losses / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: John_Mauldin
Risk premiums. I don’t know anyone who seriously maintains that risk premiums are anywhere close to normal. They more closely resemble what we see just before a major bear market kicks in. Which doesn’t mean that they can’t become further compressed. My good friend John Hussman certainly wouldn’t argue for such a state of affairs, and this week for our Outside the Box we let John talk about risk premiums.
Wednesday, August 13, 2014
Stock Market at the Precipice / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Afternoon!
SPX appears to be wrapping up its retracement at the 50% Fibonacci level. This is an irregular Wave 2 in the form of an expanding diagonal. Normally we see prices go to the mid-Cycle resistance, but the SPX does not appear as if it will go any higher.
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Wednesday, August 13, 2014
Stock Market Pop and Drop May be in Progress / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Pre-market is up 6.50 this morning, challenging Short-term resistance at 1940.77. This appears to be a retracement probe that may not go much higher. The SPX futures are up 4.95 as I write.
ZeroHedge reports on the effect of the dismal retail sales number.
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Wednesday, August 13, 2014
Stock Market Two-Day Rally Ends with a Small Loss / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
A two-day rally in the S&P 500 was snapped today by a small decline. The index opened fractionally lower and spent the next hour struggling at the level of yesterday’s close. It then slowly zigzagged to its -0.45% mid-afternoon intraday low. A late rally trimmed to loss to a modest -0.16.
The big economic news this week will be tomorrow’s Retail Sales, although we won’t have an official deflator for Real Retail Sales until the CPI data is released a week from today.
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Tuesday, August 12, 2014
Is the Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Correction could be over.
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Monday, August 11, 2014
Stock Market Rebound Change Of Trend Or Just A Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 1,970 and a profit target at 1,850, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish, following a breakout below recent consolidation:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, August 11, 2014
Stock Markets Keep Calm and Carry On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Alasdair_Macleod
At the end of July global equity bull markets had a moment of doubt, falling three or four per cent. In the seven trading days up to 1st August the S&P500 fell 3.8%, and we are not out of the woods yet. At the same time the Russell 2000, an index of small-cap US companies fell an exceptional 9%, and more worryingly it looks like it has lost bullish momentum as shown in the chart below. This indicates a possible double-top formation in the making.
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Sunday, August 10, 2014
Are Stocks Finally Starting the Topping Process? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Toby_Connor
With all the uncertainty in the world, and everything that could happen over the weekend, I think it's safe to say that the market didn't rally 22 points naturally to complete a swing low as we go into the weekend. When I saw the index futures turn from deeply oversold to positive as if by magic in the pre-market Friday morning I had a pretty good idea that the Fed was ready to put an end to this correction. By the end of the day it looks like they probably succeeded (at least for now).