Category: Stock Markets 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, January 03, 2014
Stock Market Opens 2014 in a Minor Key / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: On Tuesday the S&P 500 closed out 2013 with a major bang, setting another all-time high. Today, the first market day of 2014, the index opened in a minor key with selling pressure from the opening bell. It hit its -0.14% intraday high in the opening minutes and sold off to its -1.12% mid-afternoon intraday low. By the closing bell it had trimmed the loss to 0.89%.
Thursday, January 02, 2014
Stock Market Historic Optimism - What Does it Mean? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
How do you know when the market is getting ready
for a change? This quote from Bob Prechter's best-selling book, Conquer
the Crash, looks at investor psychology at extremes in the markets:
The engine of high stock market valuation is widely shared optimism. The greater the degree of the advance that is ending, the greater the optimism at its peak. Optimism also tends to remain strong in the early stages of a bear market ...
Today, how optimistic are market participants? Bob dedicated an entire issue of his Elliott Wave Theorist market letter to looking at the level of optimism in the markets today. These two charts, excerpted from that letter, show just a piece of the story. Learn how you can get the entire issue, with 15 eye-opening charts, for free.
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Thursday, January 02, 2014
Secular Stocks Bull and Bear Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Was the March 2009 low the end of a secular bear market and the beginning of a secular bull? Without crystal ball, we simply don’t know.
One thing we can do is examine the past to broaden our understanding of the range of possibilities. An obvious feature of this inflation-adjusted is the pattern of long-term alternations between up-and down-trends. Market historians call these “secular” bull and bear markets from the Latin word saeculum “long period of time” (in contrast to aeternus “eternal” — the type of bull market we fantasize about).
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Tuesday, December 31, 2013
Stock Market Holiday Bulge – Prepare for Selling! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Chris_Vermeulen
I would like to start by wishing you a Happy Holidays & New Year!
So far this year (2013) has been a great year for trading and my 2014 forecast looks to be as good if not even better. I do have something exciting to share with you that is going to make 2014 really amazing, but first let me talk about the stock market and what is likely to unfold in the next week or two so you can protect your investments.
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Monday, December 30, 2013
Stock Market 2014 Contrarian Trade of the Decade / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Michael_Pento
Mr. Bernanke, in a move made mostly to bolster his legacy, stated in his final press conference as Chairman of the Fed that he would start to reduce asset purchases in January of 2014. Nearly every advisor on Wall Street took the news as evidence the Fed can now remove its manipulation of interest rates with complete economic immunity. However, what these pundits fail to realize is that the Fed’s economic recovery strategy was based on artificially boosting bond, equity and real estate prices. Now our central bank is promising to remove its support of asset price. Therefore, the lesson we are all about to learn is that bubble-based economies always fail.
Saturday, December 28, 2013
Stock Market Investor Expectations Also Need Tapering As We Enter 2014 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sy_Harding
Psychologists say much of the reason investors have such a dismal record of buying high and selling low, of being excited and buying enthusiastically at market tops and then bailing out in disgust at market bottoms, can be explained by the ‘recency bias’ of the human brain.
Thursday, December 26, 2013
Another Stock Market Bubble Looking for a Pin - Crash Forecast 2014 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Toby_Connor
Well the Fed in its infinite wisdom has gone and done it again. They've created another bubble. And this bubble is arguably the 6th in the last 13 years (tech, real estate, credit, bond, oil, and now stocks - again). And let's footnote the Fed's creation of the present echo bubble in housing, for good measure.
If one steps back far enough they can see what's really happening. The Fed has now manufactured a parabolic move in the stock market. This parabola is much more aggressive (and thus even more unsustainable) than witnessed at either the 2000 or 2007 stock market tops.
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Tuesday, December 24, 2013
Stock Market 2014 Party On! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Puru_Saxena
BIG PICTURE - Interest rates are near historic lows, credit is cheap and the prominent central banks are not planning to pursue tough monetary policies anytime soon. Consequently, the stock markets of the developed world are rallying and their property markets are recovering.
There can be no doubt that the world's business activity is mediocre, but the financial markets are primarily driven by monetary policy. Remember, the risk free rate of return determines the value of every asset and with near zero interest rates, it is hardly surprising that prices are appreciating.
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Tuesday, December 24, 2013
Stock Market Melt-up, Then Down in 2014 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
Market events such as crashes and panics are thought by economists to be random, unpredictable events. To the contrary, such events are nothing if not predictable and often arrive with recognizable regularity. A cursory examination of the last few decades will prove this to be conclusive.Writing in Barron’s, Randall Forsyth pointed out that each cycle of 40-years plus “has been marked by blowups.” He cited the following debacles: Penn Central (1970), Herstatt Bank (1974), the Hunt Brothers (1980), the October 1987 crash, the S&L crash (1990), the mortgage securities and Mexican crises of 1994, the emerging-market debt crises of 1997-98, the dot-com crash of 2000, and the housing crash of 2007-08.
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Monday, December 23, 2013
Stock Market Day of Reckoning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Fred_Sheehan
Thomson Reuters (This Week in Earnings, December 6, 2013) notes another New World Record. We are breaking plenty these days. This often foretells a Grand Finale. For the fourth quarter of 2013, 103 companies in the S&P 500 have announced negative earnings revisions. Only nine have disclosed positive profit assessments. The ratio of negative-to-positive, 11.4:1, exceeds the previous high (negative-to-positive ratio) of 6.8:1.
Sunday, December 22, 2013
Stock Market E-Mini SP 500 Looking For 1825 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Gregor_Horvat
S&P 500 spiked down to 1753 on Monday from where we have seen a very strong reversal in the past few days. We see the current move up as part of a five wave rally in blue wave (v) that will be targeting new highs and possibly 1825 in days ahead. Trend is clearly in bullish mode as long as 1753 holds.
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Sunday, December 22, 2013
What Does QE Tapering Really Mean? What Will the Stock Market Do? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: John_Mauldin
Now that we have begun tapering, we will soon see lots of analysis about whether QE has been effective. What will the stock market do? The US economy seems to be moving in the right direction, but the Fed has forecast Nirvana (seriously) – do we dare hope they can finally get a forecast right? Or have they jinxed us? This and a few other dark thoughts crossed my path on a beautiful day in San Diego; so in a very different Thoughts from the Frontline, I offer a number of small gifts rather than an overarching theme, and we will see if we can keep it short.
Monday, December 16, 2013
Stock Market 1987 in 2014 If Fed QE Taper / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Michael_Pento
On Monday, October 18th 1987, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 508 points (22%). There are many theories as to why the crash occurred, but the simple truth is that the panic stemmed from a sharp rise in interest rates. Likewise, another stock market crash awaits investors on the other side of tapering.
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Monday, December 16, 2013
Stock Market Melt-up 2014 - Is It 1929 All Over Again? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
A growing number of market technicians, some of them highly respected, are forecasting a sharp correction in the January-February time frame. In light of a number of recent inquiries I've had regarding this possibility, let's examine this topic.
Tom DeMark is one of Wall Street's most esteemed technical analysts. He recently uncovered an analog between the current stock market and the run-up to the 1929 top. Tom McClellan published a chart comparing the two markets in a recent article. The theory behind price pattern analogs is that "similar market conditions can produce similar patterns" as McClellan put it.
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Monday, December 16, 2013
Stock Market 2014 - Saving You From a Dangerously Popular Delusion / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: There's a very dangerous meme making the rounds.
It goes something like this:
The economy is improving, therefore the Fed's going to taper... and, when it does, the economy is strong enough to endure the withdrawals that will come with it.
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Monday, December 09, 2013
Stock Market Forecast For 2014 / Companies / Stock Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Michael A. Robinson writes: If you’ve been following our twice weekly conversations here at Strategic Tech Investor, you know that I’m very bullish about technology stocks.
But I want to let you in on a little secret …
I’m also bullish about the overall stock market.
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Monday, November 18, 2013
Stock Market Bubble Melt-Up Scenario for 2014 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
Market mavens have increasingly turned their talk to a possible “melt-up” scenario in the stock market. The big fear entering 2014 is that another runaway freight train-type stock market, like the one preceding the 2008 crash, is gathering momentum. The latest comment by incoming Fed president Janet Yellen only added to that speculation.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 14, 2013
Stock Market Forecast 2014 - Crash or Rally? Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock markets continue to close at a series of new all time highs, all the whilst met with a continuation of bearish commentary not only that for an imminent bear market but even a stock market crash as illustrated by John P Hussman's highly regurgitated article warning of a 40-55% crash.
Monday, November 11, 2013
Stock Market Forecast 2014 Crash or Rally? Drone Wars and the Nuclear Apocalypse / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Dow stocks index last closed at a new all time high of 15,762. Many in the press and blogosfear immediately explained away the rise on the U.S. Non farm payrolls data, apparently blind to the fact that the stock market has been in a powerful upswing since the Mid October correction low, since which probability strongly favours stocks rising on any given day, and especially more so after a down closing day as was the case for last Thursday, and THAT Is why stocks rose Friday! MOMENTUMN and Upswing Probability.
Thursday, November 07, 2013
Can The Fed Prevent A Stock Market Crash In 2014? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
Two questions that I'm commonly asked are: "Do you still expect the market to correct next year, even with all this liquidity?" And, "Can the Fed mute the effects of the cycles bottoming in October 2014?"
The first question can only be answered provisionally. If the stock market melts up heading into 2014, the odds of a crash will increase dramatically at some point before the Kress cycle bottoms toward the end of the year. The market has certainly shown signs that investor optimism is increasing on Wall Street, even if small retail traders haven't quite yet joined in on the exuberance.
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