Category: Stock Markets 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Sunday, January 12, 2014
Slow Start for Stocks 2014 - An Asset Manager`s Dilemma / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EconMatters
The New Year has started and if you hadn`t noticed nobody is rushing in to buy everything that isn`t nailed down like last year where asset managers couldn`t wait from day 1 of 2013 to buy as much as possible.
Sunday, January 12, 2014
Stock Market Dow Theory Divergence / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Christopher_Quigley
I have told my students and mentoring clients that they are going to get a great lesson in the trading relevance of Dow Theory and technical analysis in the very near future.
For the last 10 trading days (two calendar weeks) the Dow Industrials have been trapped in a tight trading range. In Dow Theory parlance this is called a “line”. The longer this line progresses the more technically significant the breakout trend will be for savvy traders to exploit.
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Sunday, January 12, 2014
Stock Market Report - BRK Vs SPX (Where Buffett goes so does the SPX) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: WavePatternTraders
The title says it all.
I am not sure who leads who but the one thing I want to point out is that BRK is basically the SPX, well it has been from the 2009 lows.
If you overlay both markets you can clearly see that.
Saturday, January 11, 2014
Stock Market Choppy Start to New Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
Quite a choppy week. After Monday’s SPX 1824 low we counted seven small waves between SPX 1830 and 1843. Net progress for the week was mixed in the SPX/DOW, the NDX/NAZ was +0.85%, and the DJ World index gained 0.6%. On the economic front positive reports remained in control. On the uptick: factory orders, the ADP index, wholesale inventories, the WLEI, long term investor Sentiment; plus the unemployment rate, weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit all improved. On the downtick: ISM services, consumer credit, monthly payrolls, and the monetary base. Next week lots of economic data, highlighted by the FED’s beige book, Retail sales, the CPI/PPI and Industrial production. Best to your week!
Saturday, January 11, 2014
Poor Jobs.... Intense Complacency... Stock Market Holding Of Course.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
So naturally the market did well Friday, with the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) actually closing a few pennies above 184.00, although, by no means, far enough to call it a breakout. The Jobs Report was a true disaster, There were 74,000 jobs created versus the 200,000 those geniuses said it would be today. Only a 126,000 miss. So you would think the market would go away. You would think so anyway! It was not to be as there were periods of decent selling today, down near the breakdown level of 182.90 on the SPY. But each attempt was somehow bought up, allowing the SPY to close on the breakout at 184.00 (184.14). You really have to wonder what's going on here.
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Saturday, January 11, 2014
Stock Market Rises After a Confusing U.S. Employment Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: The much anticipated December Employment Report was a bizarre mixed bag — weak job creation but a surprising decline in unemployment. Treasuries rallied in no uncertain terms. The yield on the 10-year note dropped nine bps to close at 2.88%. The S&P 500 was a bit more ambivalent in its reaction. The index hit its 0.27% intraday high a few seconds after the open and sold off to its -0.31% intraday low two hours later. It recovered to the flatline during the noon hour, and, after two hours of uncertainty, got a 3PM buy signal. The index closed with a 0.23% gain for the day and a 0.60% gain for the week.
Saturday, January 11, 2014
Stock Market Diamond is Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The Diamond Formation is back, which is really quite exciting. You can see that the SPX closed right at its hourly Cycle Top as well as the down-slope trendline of the Diamond with all momentum oscillators overbought.
It has been a long time since I have reported on a Diamond Formation. A downside break gives a very high probability 20-21% decline with 95% of those declines meeting or exceeding their targets. That could put the SPX under 1500.00 for this formation.
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Saturday, January 11, 2014
Stock Market Jobs Shock, the Walking Dead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jesse
The Jobs number sucked out loud this morning, as the economy added a meager 74,000 jobs, compared to an expected number of 197,000. That's a swing and a miss. Both hourly earnings and average workweek missed as well. Today's box scores are included below.
The good news was that the unemployment percentage dropped hard from 7.0% to 6.7%. Huzzah! Stocks rally back, and the VIX plummets.
Friday, January 10, 2014
Historic Stock Market Optimism 2014 - What Does it Mean? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: EWI
How do you know when the market is getting ready
for a change? This quote from Bob Prechter's best-selling book, Conquer
the Crash, looks at investor psychology at extremes in the markets:
The engine of high stock market valuation is widely shared optimism. The greater the degree of the advance that is ending, the greater the optimism at its peak. Optimism also tends to remain strong in the early stages of a bear market ...Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 09, 2014
The Great Rotation - Why It's Time to Buy the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: Calling what we're experiencing a bull market is like calling the Grand Canyon a ditch.
First of all, this rally - the one that sprung us from the depths of the Great Recession, and has pushed the S&P 500 170% above its 2009 low - has largely regained lost ground. This historic "rally" has taken the bellwether index just 265 points beyond its October 2007 peak.
In other words, 153 percentage points of the rally since 2009 were necessary just to get us back to 2007.
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Thursday, January 09, 2014
Stock Market Fourth Loss in Five Sessions / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Before the market opened, we were treated to the ADP report claiming a better-than-expected 238K nonfarm private jobs growth in December. Would this be another “good news is bad news” number for the market? Indeed the S&P 500 sold off to its -0.35% intraday low in the first 20 minutes of trading. But it then reconsidered and rallied to its 0.12% intraday high 45 minutes later. In yesterday’s snapshot I speculated that the Fed minutes were unlikely to hold any major surprises since the initial taper plans had already been announced. The inevitable knee-jerk reaction at 2PM was short-lived. The moderate selling over the next 90 minutes reversed in the final 30. At the closing bell, the index posted its fourth loss in the first five sessions of 2014, but it was a mere -0.02%.
Wednesday, January 08, 2014
Is Stock Market Dependence on Easy Money Weakening? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Profit_Confidential
George Leong writes: There’s a significant cold spell out there in the Mid-East and Northeastern parts of the country. At the same time, the stock market has cooled down a little, beginning the year on a cautious note.
I recently discussed my views for the stock market going forward and while it’s early on, the ability to move higher will largely depend on the economic renewal and its impact on what the Federal Reserve does. New Fed Chair Janet Yellen will be the focal point as Ben Bernanke departs.
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Wednesday, January 08, 2014
Stock Market Outlook for 2014 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
Stocks sagged on Monday as the annual “Santa Claus rally” season came to an end last week. As Stock Trader’s Almanac points out, “Santa Claus tends to come to Wall Street nearly every year, bringing a short, sweet respectable rally within the last five days of the year and the first two in January.” Santa Claus did indeed appear on Wall Street this time around but was a bit stingy compared to the previous five years. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 06, 2014
U.S. Stock Market Too Big to Pop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Peter_Schiff
Most economic observers are predicting that 2014 will be the year in which the United States finally shrugs off the persistent malaise of the Great Recession. As we embark on this sunny new chapter, we may ask what wisdom the five-year trauma has delivered. Some big thinkers have declared that the episode has forever tarnished freewheeling American capitalism and the myth of Wall Street invincibility. In contrast, I believe that the episode has, for the moment, established supreme confidence in the powers of monetary policy to keep the economy afloat and to keep a floor under asset prices, even in the worst of circumstances. This represents a dramatic change from where we were in the beginning of 2008, and unfortunately gives us the false confidence needed to sail blindly into the next crisis.
Monday, January 06, 2014
Stock Market Resistance & Cycles Asserting Themselves / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - An important top formation is in the making.
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Sunday, January 05, 2014
US Stock Markets Still Setting Up for a Major Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: WavePatternTraders
Short term
We went into this week looking for a short term top for wave [iii], the late day spike on New Year's eve appeared to give us the small spike from a small triangle, so it set up for a reversal this past week for wave [iv]. My preferred idea is that this is still in wave [iv] and a new high is still to come, although there is an alternative count that suggests the peak is in place for wave [v] of 5, however I would need to see a strong decline under 16200 to suggest a reversal.
Sunday, January 05, 2014
Stock Market Investors Get Out Now! No New Paradigm! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clive_Maund
Welcome to the New Year, and to the "New Paradigm", where stocks go up in perpetuity because, well, because they're going up, and because the Fed stands behind the market likes a towering Father Christmas ready to pump more money whenever the markets shows signs of flagging, and to maintain interest rates at zero forever. It couldn't look better, and therein lies the problem.
Saturday, January 04, 2014
Stock Market Down for 1st Trading Day of January in 6 Years - Getting Tougher... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sy_Harding
The bulls had a rare experience this week. The market was actually down on the first day of the new year. Something that hadn't happened in six years. They also had to deal with a down day of over 100 points on the Dow. You have to laugh, but that's just not very common these days. The problem was the gap down yesterday that is not playing against the bulls on any attempt back higher. Some technical damage for a change. This doesn't mean the market is going to just roll over. Not by any means although the conditions are such that it could. However, turning the Titanic is never easy, and, with buying on weakness the mantra for quite some time, the bears have to be patient in how this market slowly turns from bullish to a bit more bearish for the short-term.
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Friday, January 03, 2014
Will Stock Market’s 2013 Winners Also Be Winners in 2014? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sy_Harding
As the headlines proclaim, the stock market produced unusual gains in 2013.
Be careful how you react.
It’s common knowledge and well documented that one of the most costly mistakes investors make is to chase performance.
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Friday, January 03, 2014
Stock Market SPX Remains on an Aggressive Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I had mentioned earlier that the “traditional” relationship between stocks and bonds no longer applies. The Cycles Model will tell you that these so-called relationships come and go since no two cycles are identical.
I have been stressing that USB is about to cross its 32-year trendline and for a while will actually decline alongside stocks.
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