Category: Stock Markets 2014
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, February 06, 2014
Stock Market Sentiment Playing Out perfectly....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
Just a few weeks ago we were at 46% on the bull-bear spread. We had spent numerous weeks trading with a number above 40%, which is extremely rare and unusual. You know it can't last, but you never know when it's going to snap. We finally snapped, and look where we are now. 28.5%. How sweet is that! The market is doing its dirty deed to get folks extremely pessimistic. It had to come, and now it's here. We're happy about that to be sure. Now we need to get it lower. Teens would be a thing of beauty. I think it'll happen, and it won't take too much longer. Another 2-4 weeks of poor action, and we'll be looking at a spread below 20%. That would be music to the ears of all the bulls out there. The only problem, of course, would be that the bulls will be too afraid to do any buying when the right time is here. They'll be fearful of the market that has allowed the spread to get under 20%.
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Thursday, February 06, 2014
Stock Market Decline an 'Old-Fashioned Correction' / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Bloomberg
Larry Fink, Co-Founder, Chairman and CEO of BlackRock, joined Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle today to discuss volatility in global financial markets, the economies of the U.S. and China, and shareholder activism.
Fink called the stock market decline a "good old-fashioned correction." He also shared thoughts on China: "I'm surprised the market is upset the Chinese economy has slowed down in the short run... I don't think it's as problematic as some people believe."
Wednesday, February 05, 2014
Stock Market Forecast Unfolding As We Projected, What Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: David_Banister
Back on January 15th we wrote an article and also a elliott wave forecast for both the public and our subscribers showing a likely top at a maximum of 1868 on the SP 500. We said that Elliott Wave Major 3 of Primary Wave 3 would top no higher than that level. In fact, we can go back to September 4th 2013 and we projected a Major 3 high as 1822-1829.
Wednesday, February 05, 2014
Stock Market Disaster Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Ronald_Rosen
This is not a correction. It is an absolute and total disaster. The stock averages will be losing 66 % of their maximum value.
Wednesday, February 05, 2014
The Super Bowl Indicator; Did the Right Team Win? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: DailyGainsLetter
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: This past Sunday, the Seattle Seahawks won their first Super Bowl with a final score of 43 to 8 against the Denver Broncos. My favorite team, the Dallas Cowboys, wasn’t playing, but I still watched the game, because the ads and half-time show are always fun—plus, it can predict where the stock market is going to go for the year.
Yes, you read that correctly; the Super Bowl is supposedly an indicator of the stock market. The indicator is very simple: whenever a team from the NFC division wins, the stock market increases. If the team from the AFC division wins, then key stock indices decline.
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Tuesday, February 04, 2014
Stock Market Dead Cat Bounce / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Yesterday I had suggested that we may see a pop to (falling) Cycle Bottom resistance at 1757.86. However, the bounce already seems to be failing. There is still a possibility of another probe higher, but a move below 1748.00 (the Broadening Top trendline) may signal the end of the dead cat bounce.
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Tuesday, February 04, 2014
Stock Market Last Great Buying Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Toby_Connor
It's been my opinion now for the last year that the bull market that started in March of 2009 at 666 on the S&P would come to an end either in late 2013, or early 2014. I'm confident that will be the case, but based on the cyclical pattern of the current decline I believe we still have one last leg up before this bull comes to an end. I think the intermediate decline now in progress is going to create the conditions for a final manic melt up phase over the next 2-3 months to complete this huge parabolic structure that the Fed has constructed with 5 years of QE and 0% interest rates.
Tuesday, February 04, 2014
Stock Trading Alert: Indexes Sold Off Sharply Following ISM Report Release / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is now bearish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Tuesday, February 04, 2014
The Federal Reserve Transition Is Creating Bargains / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: People are viewing the end of stimulus as a sunset. "My, what a wonderful day we've had," they say.
What they should be doing is investing for tomorrow's dawn - the turmoil we're seeing now as part of Yellen's arrival is actually par for the course.
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Tuesday, February 04, 2014
Stock Market Bears Get It Done...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
Finally!! The bears took the Nasdaq and S&P 500 below their key-support levels of 4084 and 1770, respectively. Losing 4084 allowed the bears to say they finally took out the 50-day exponential moving average with some real force. It's what you need to see. The only ingredient missing is the follow-through. That would mean a large gap down in the very near future. It would be best if it was tomorrow morning, but if the market has a small-inside up day, that would be acceptable. However, very shortly from here, the follow-through gap down will be necessary in order to put the final nail in the coffins of those pesky bulls.
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Tuesday, February 04, 2014
Stock Market Biggest Selloff in Over Seven Months / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Pre-market futures gave little clue as to the direction of today’s action. The S&P 500 opened fractionally lower and hit its 0.13% intraday high seven minutes later. The 10 AM weak ISM Manufacturing Report triggered the most aggressive selling during the day, but the general direction was fairly steadily downward to the index’s -2.41% intraday low about 10 minutes before the closing bell. At the final tally the index trimmed its loss to 2.28%, its biggest one-day drop since June 20th of last year. As a volatility metric, today’s intraday percent range was the largest since November of 2012.
Tuesday, February 04, 2014
Stock Markets Say Tapering Is Tightening / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Michael_Pento
Wall Street Cheerleaders like to claim that the tapering of Fed asset purchases is not equivalent to the tightening of monetary policy. But the markets are clearly telling investors something different. Year to date the S&P 500 is down about 5%--not horrific for one month but certainly not following last year's performance. But the economic data such as; durable goods, initial jobless claims, personal income, and housing sales have all shown a distinctive weakening trend.
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Monday, February 03, 2014
Stock Market Necklines Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The Head & Shoulders neckline has been broken. We should see the SPX continue its course to or below the H&S minimum target of 1694.92. This will not only give the initial break of the Orthodox Broadening Top but also break the massive Ending Diagonal. These declines are taking the form of a Leading Diagonal, which is comprised of 3-wave moves instead of 5 wave moves. This may still considered impulsive in the fact that ultimately they will form a 5-wave decline. In the meantime, it has analysts flummoxed, since they see the a-b-c decline and consider it corrective instead of impulsive.
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Monday, February 03, 2014
Stock Market More Weakness Ahead! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - The anticipated decline into late February has started.
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Monday, February 03, 2014
Stocks Bull Market Over? Are the Bears About to Break...even? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Bearish rhetoric is once more reaching extremes FOLLOWING the tumbling of stocks to new recent lows, a decline that many market commentators have once more latched onto as a consequence of Fed Tapering of QE or more accurately money printing, this despite the fact that the stocks soared in response to the last December Taper decision which was a surprise for the markets whilst the January Taper move was expected.
Sunday, February 02, 2014
Stock Market Dow Divergence Continues. Market Risk Is Rising / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Christopher_Quigley
Despite the recent market pullback Dow Theory divergence continues as can be readily observed from the Dow indices comparison chart below. Divergence is an indication of market instability and investor uncertainty.
Clearly the Dow Industrials are in a short term bear trend. This is signified by lower highs and lower lows on the index. Will this trend become more pronounced and become a medium bear trend? It is difficult to say at this juncture. The key technical position on the Dow Transports is 6940. If this price point is violated then in all probability the market is heading significantly lower.
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Sunday, February 02, 2014
Stock Market Elliott Wave Primary III or Just a Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another volatile week. While the range for the week was not that wide, (SPX 1770-1799), the wild swings every day, and sometimes intraday, were. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.75%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.60%, and the DJ World index was down 1.20%. Economic reports for the week were about two to one on the positive side. On the uptick: Q4 GDP, Case-Shiller, consumer confidence/sentiment, personal spending, PCE prices, Chicago PMI, monetary base, and the WLEI. On the downtick: new/pending home sales, durable goods orders, the M1-multiplier, and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week will be highlighted by Payrolls, ISM and Auto sales.
Saturday, February 01, 2014
Why The 40-Year Kress Cycle is Bad News for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
Lost among all the bullish predictions for the 2014 market outlook is a salient fact that few Wall Street analysts are aware of. What they fail to realize is that the powerful 40-year cycle bottoms later this year.
Just how powerful is the 40-year cycle? Well consider that in the previous 120 years the 40-year cycle bottom has never failed to produce a major market decline. From the decline in late 1894 to the corrective pullback of 1934 to the devastating decline of 1974, the 40-year cycle has always made its presence felt in the stock market.
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Friday, January 31, 2014
Stock Market SPX May Gap Beneath its Head & Shoulders Neckline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The overnight markets took back all the gains from yesterday and then some. There are numerous items influencing investor sentiment, which are listed below.
· The Nikkei started off on a ramp, but gave up over 400 points, closing at a loss.
· The deflation monster is raging in Europe.
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Friday, January 31, 2014
Stock Market Thursday Rebound / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Before the market opened, the weekly initial jobless claims missed the mark, but the Advance Estimate for Q4 GDP was a solid 3.2% — in line with expectations. The S&P 500 surged at the open, consolidated for an hour or so and then rallied to its 1.38% intraday high during the lunch hour. The index traded in a relatively narrow range and closed with a trimmed gain of 1.13%. With one day to go, to the index is up 0.22% for the week.