Category: Gold and Silver 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, April 13, 2015
Stacking Silver = Simple Solution / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
Look at our financial world over 30 years from 30 miles high – the BIG PERSPECTIVE.
- Global debt exceeds $200 Trillion and is increasing rapidly. It will not be repaid at current value, and in the unlikely chance it is repaid, those future dollars, euros, yen, whatever will have been deeply devalued. Debt created to fund current consumption, instead of productive investment, is dangerous. Excessive debt is deadly.
Monday, April 13, 2015
Gold Trading Week Ahead - 13 April 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Harley_Salt
Gold had a roller coaster week last week however it managed to finish the week above the key US$1,200 level.After a slow week on the data front last week, this week is full economic reports that will drive the price of gold.
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Monday, April 13, 2015
Western Interest in Gold Continues to Decline / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dan_Norcini
Gold has managed to avoid a complete chart breakdown thus far but that is due more to buying in the physical market out of the far East rather than any wholesale interest among the high-powered, deep-pocketed, Western-investment crowd. As noted many times here at this site, it is my firm opinion that while buying out of China and India can hold the price and form a floor in the gold market, it CANNOT drive the price sharply higher as so many rabid gold bugs have their hearts set on happening. That requires the momentum-based crowd which chases prices higher due to chart signals and could care less about what any perceived "value" area might be for gold, or for that matter, any other market that they ply their computers in.
Monday, April 13, 2015
Silver Price set up to get Whacked Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Clive_Maund
There are a lot of fine words being written about how attractive silver is at current prices and how it is about to enter a new bullmarket etc, but the plain truth is that it remains in a major downtrend and is a bearmarket until it breaks out of it.
We can see the long persistent downtrend in silver on the 8-year chart below, and how, as yet, there is no sign of an end to it. If the dollar broke down from its parabolic uptrend, shown on a chart in the parallel Gold Market update, that might change things of course, but last week the dollar looked to be getting ready for a breakout to new highs, so that appears to be off the table for now.
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Monday, April 13, 2015
Gold Price Dome Cap, Fall Below $1000 Likely / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Clive_Maund
Although gold has rallied as expected in the last update, the advance has been modest and now it appears to be weakening again, and with its latest COTs showing a marked deterioration and the dollar maintaining its parabolic acceleration, it looks set to drop back along with silver. The long-term uptrend remains down.
On the 6-month chart we can see how gold's advance following its breakout from a rather steep downtrend has already run into trouble at a resistance level, and it appears to be rounding over within a Dome pattern that looks set to force it into decline. If the dollar accelerates to the upside, looking likely at this point, then gold can be expected to drop back initially to the support shown in the $1130 - $1140 area, and then break lower. Moving averages are in bearish alignment.
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Sunday, April 12, 2015
Gold and Silver Policy Will Continue until Pitchforks and Torches Appear / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jesse
Gold led the way as it popped back over 1200 on news that India showed record gold imports in March of 125 tonnes.
Gold is flowing from West to East. The data shows this without much room for error, unless you are an economist or analyst whose paycheck has willfully obscured their vision. How this ends I do not know and no one can really say. But it will end. I would like to think that at some point the central planners will go so far off into the weeds of their own obfuscation that the people will generally rise up and tell them to take them models and use them to pound sand.
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Sunday, April 12, 2015
What is Next for Gold and Silver Markets? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Richard_Cox
Over the last year, precious metals markets have have been one of the most closely watched asset classes in the financial environment as price volatility has reached heightened levels on several occasions. For those looking for evidence that the declines have finished (and that the long-term uptrend has resumed), it will be critical to turn the attention back to the underlying economic data that will determine where sentiment moves in the broader market. It is always a good idea to keep in mind that gold and silver tend to perform well when the rest of the market looks negative, as investors have historically used precious metals as a way of gaining safe haven exposure and to safeguard against potential rises in inflation.
Saturday, April 11, 2015
Gold And Silver Nothing Of Substance Going On. Fiat “Dollar” Controlling? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Michael_Noonan
There is little going on in the precious metals markets that indicates directional movement to the upside, and not even much to the downside. The news is as disjointed but permeated with sameness as ever before. To try to make sense of nonsense remains in the theater of the absurd. All we have to offer are the current read of charts, and they are an extension of what they have been like for the last several weeks.
A look at the fiat faux “dollar” chart, the antithesis of gold, may offer the best clue as to why PMs remain mired in the trading range reaches within their protracted down trends.
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Saturday, April 11, 2015
Gold-Futures Short Covering Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold’s bottoming consolidation grind continues, with investment demand still garroted by sky-high world stock markets and the parabolic US dollar. With investors missing in action, gold prices remain totally at the mercy of American futures speculators. These perpetually-bearish traders are once again heavily short gold, which has led to sharp short-covering rallies in recent years. The latest one has just started.
In normal markets, gold prices are determined by global investment demand. This certainly isn’t the biggest source, running at just under a quarter of world gold demand last year according to the World Gold Council. But it’s the most volatile by far, changing dramatically with the shifting winds of investors’ favor for gold. When they want to diversify into gold, their extra buying inexorably pushes gold prices higher.
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Friday, April 10, 2015
Gold Price “Going Higher” and “A Big Buy Here” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
- Negative Interest Rates and Rising Interest Rates Positive For Gold
- HSBC suggests negative rates may drive customers out of digital and into holding paper cash
- ZIRP and NIRP very positive for gold
- Rising U.S. rates not negative for gold due to emergence of China, India, Middle East and EMs
- When rates do rise will be positive for gold
- Costly in terms of wealth preservation and returns not to have an allocation to gold
- Gold “going higher” and “a big buy here”
- Gold up 3.1% in euros and 2.2% in pounds this week
Friday, April 10, 2015
Strong U.S. Dollar Nips Gold and Silver Rally in The Bud / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Alasdair_Macleod
This week started well for gold and silver, but it turned out that the peak for both was on Easter Monday, since when prices have drifted lower. The news event that initially drove prices higher was the US unemployment statistics for March announced last Friday, which came in 120,000 less than expected with downward revisions for the two previous months totalling a further 69,000.
Friday, April 10, 2015
Greece, Gold, The Death Of Paper Money And The Modern State / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Darryl_R_Schoon
The size and existence of the modern state is limited only by the ability to borrow money; an ability dependent on the continuing value of fiat paper money. That limit has now been reached. Greece is not just a country that overindulged on the bankers’ poisoned candy of cheap credit. Greece is the canary in the coal mine of the modern state.
When gold was removed from the international monetary system in 1971, US interest rates were 6%. By 1980, however, US rates rapidly rose to 21.5% in order to contain virulent inflationary forces unleashed when ties between paper money and gold were cut. The separation of gold and money was unprecedented. So, too, would be the consequences.
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Friday, April 10, 2015
Gold and Silver Expect Lower Prices Once Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Briefly: In our opinion, a speculative short position (half) in gold, silver and mining stocks is justified from the risk/reward point of view.
Precious metals declined once again yesterday. The move was particularly visible in silver. Is the white metal telling us something? We think that it is, but the message is not that straightforward.
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Thursday, April 09, 2015
Buy Gold and Silver Stocks Before the Bear Goes into Hibernation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: The_Gold_Report
Eric Muschinski, editor of the Chicago-based Gold Investment Letter, says that investing in a bear market is not about picking the absolute bottom—it's about accumulating your favorite companies regularly and averaging in at massive discounts. In this interview with The Gold Report, Muschinski lists some highly undervalued equities and tells investors to get more aggressive, especially this summer, when he believes the bear could go into hibernation.
Wednesday, April 08, 2015
Should We Really Put Gold in an IRA? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jeff_Clark
“Gold is one of the dumbest things to put in your IRA,” said the slick TV commentator, with his $200 haircut, perfect white teeth, and superior attitude. “Everyone knows income-producing vehicles are best for an IRA.”
It was a prepackaged message from someone that sounded like he hadn’t given any more thought to the topic than what he’d read somewhere. His advice was misleading and incomplete, and I wondered how many viewers might weaken their portfolios by acting on his sound bite.
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Tuesday, April 07, 2015
Silver Price Projection From Crude Oil and T-Bonds / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
Crude Oil is the world’s most important commodity as measured by dollar volume and wars fought to control it.
T-bonds are debt in the world’s reserve currency – the US dollar. The market is huge and important.
What do crude oil and T-bonds say about the silver market?
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Tuesday, April 07, 2015
Gold Trading Week Ahead - 7 April 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Harley_Salt
Gold has started the new week on a positive note after disappointing U.S. March Non-Farm Payroll data showed a rise of only 126,000 versus an expected gain of 245,000. We have now seen two months of disappointing jobs data out of the U.S, the latest setback adds further weight to the view that the Fed will be hesitant to raise rates any time soon. The uncertainty and low interest rate environment is good for safe-haven assets such as gold.
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Monday, April 06, 2015
Gold and Silver Will Likely Rally While the Stock Market Whipsaws! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Some interesting things have come to my attention: 1) it looks like precious metals are going to rally strongly over the next week and a half; 2) at the same time the stock market is going to go through some wild swings both up and down.
Below are daily charts of silver and GDX (the Gold Miners ETF):
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Friday, April 03, 2015
Silver Fortunes / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
The Spaniards of centuries past controlled the world’s elite maritime fleet. And this fleet’s colonization of the Americas is well-documented. The Spanish Crown would have told you their primary mission was to convert the indigenous people to Catholicism. But in reality it was trade and a craving for all things exotic that ultimately supported this campaign.
And perhaps the one thing that the Spaniards couldn’t get enough of was silver. In Mexico and Peru in particular they found hoards of this shiny-white metal. And via both conquest and discovery they quickly gained control of the world’s silver trade.
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Thursday, April 02, 2015
Valuing Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldMoney
There is only one way to value gold, and that is to quantify the expansion of the fiat currency in which it is priced. That is the sole purpose of the Fiat Money Quantity (FMQ), which since I last wrote about it five months ago has increased by $375bn to $13.7 trillion. This is despite the end of quantitative easing, which had been tapered down before being abandoned altogether. The long-term chart of FMQ is shown below.