Category: Gold and Silver 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, October 01, 2015
Gold Cycle Running Out of Steam / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Bob_Loukas
I predicted that gold would rally last week up to the $1,155 area, and was also equally unsurprised when it was rejected the first time by that declining (see green trend-line on chart) resistance line. Those are standard or obvious Cycle pivot points, but how it continued lower yesterday to fall well below the 10 day moving average was not a “typical” development if you’re a supporter of the bull case in gold.
Wednesday, September 30, 2015
China Boosts Gold Reserves 1% in August, Diversifying Assets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
In his article for Bloomberg Business Ranjeetha Pakiam takes a look at China’s recent accumulations in gold and how the country now compares in the world league table on gold holdings. He observes that there is a deliberate policy of increased transparency in China “as the country improves data quality, increases its presence in commodities trading and promotes the international role of the yuan”.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 29, 2015
Gold - Somebody Call Warren Buffett - Quick / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Peter_Degraaf
A few years ago Warren was interviewed on CNBC. The interviewer asked him: “Where do you think gold will be trading five years from now?” His answer showed an ongoing dislike for gold as he replied: “I have no views as to where it will be, but the one thing I can tell you is it won’t do anything between now and then except look at you. Whereas, you know, Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO) will be making money, and I think Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) will be making a lot of money and there will be a lot — and it’s a lot — it’s a lot better to have a goose that keeps laying eggs than a goose that just sits there and eats insurance and storage and a few things like that.”
Tuesday, September 29, 2015
The Difference Between Gold and Debt / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
Simple version: Gold is good. Sovereign debt is bad.
The world has added approximately $60 Trillion in debt since 2007, much of it sovereign debt created from deficit spending on social programs, wars, and much more. In that time the world has mined perhaps 30,000 tons of gold, or about 950 million ounces, worth at September 2015 prices a little more than a $Trillion. It is easy to create debt – central banks “print” currencies by BORROWING those currencies into existence. Debt increases, currency in circulation increases, and until it crashes, life is good for the financial and political elite. But debt increasing 60 times more rapidly than gold indicates that debt is growing too rapidly and due for a reset.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 29, 2015
Not Enough Gold to Pay All Holders of Gold Obligations / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Hubert_Moolman
It is often reported that governments and central banks have for years leased or sold their gold to bullion banks; therefore, they are unlikely to possess the tons of gold, they are said to hold. Also, the bullion banks seem to be under enormous pressure recently. Just look at the recently reported spike in the gold coverage ratio on COMEX, with, there being over 200 ounces of paper gold claims for every ounce of deliverable gold (as reported on zerohedge.com)
Tuesday, September 29, 2015
Silver Prices - Who Was That and When Will it End? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Two events occurred in the silver market recently. On Tuesday, September 22nd, and Monday, September 28th the price got hammered. While it is true - this didn’t happen in a vacuum. These downdrafts occurred across basically all markets. However, it would be a mistake to leave it at that correlation and not investigate further. While most markets share an electronic trading, “character”, there is much more that meets the eye - and more so for silver.
Tuesday, September 29, 2015
7 Bullish Gold Price Indicators / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: SecularInvestor
It is getting very exciting in the gold market! We have shown several bullish gold indicators in the last couple of weeks. Here is the thing: the number of bullish indicators keeps on growing.
First, GLD ETF, the largest exchange-tradable gold ETF, has the lowest put-to-call ratio since 2012, right after the failed attempt of gold to break through its all-time high. Chart courtesy: Bloomberg.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 28, 2015
In Defense of Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Michael_Pento
There has been an unprecedented attack on gold and mining shares over the past three years emanating from financial institutions in order to support the government's supposed success in bringing the economy back to health. And even though gold mining shares are down 85% during this tenure, the case for owning gold-related investments have never been more compelling.
The reason to own gold is the same today as it has been for thousands of years: it is the perfect store of wealth. Gold is portable, divisible without losing its value, beautiful, extremely scarce, and virtually indestructible. It is simply the best form of money known to mankind.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 28, 2015
Buy Gold While You Still Can! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
In part 1 of his 2 part report on the ever-tightening supply of physical gold, Chris Martenson describes the fascinating data that “reveals the extent of the West’s massive dis-hoarding of physical gold”. He points out the enormous and growing disconnect between the cash and physical markets for gold which, as he explains, has major repercussions for physical gold storage.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 28, 2015
Gold and Silver, Precious Metals Complex Getting Interesting / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Rambus_Chartology
In this report I would like to focus on the PM complex as it has rallied for the last several days. During most of the bear market gold has held up better than the PM stocks and silver so we'll start there to see if we can find any clues on what's really going on.
Last week I noticed a potential small H&S consolidation pattern that was forming above the July lows. Last Thursday I seen the breakout and Friday looks like a backtest to the neckline as it held support through out the day. If this little H&S consolidation pattern plays out it will give gold a price objective up to the 1187.30 area. So far gold has produced a higher low but not a higher high off of the July bottom. The brown shaded support and resistance zone shows major resistance between 1215 and 1230 or so.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 28, 2015
Gold Markets Poised For Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Richard_Cox
In 2015, most of the financial media has been focused on stock performance. Several of the world’s most commonly watch stock benchmarks are holding near record levels, even with the slowing momentum that has been seen in most industry sectors -- so this is not entirely surprising. But when we look at recent activity in gold markets, it starts to look as though commodities deserve a second look.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 25, 2015
Gold’s Dead Wrong Psychology / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold has lapsed deeper into pariahdom this year, becoming the most-hated investment class in all the markets. Traders are avoiding it like the plague, utterly convinced gold is doomed to spiral lower perpetually. But this wildly-bearish psychology is dead wrong. Financial markets are forever cyclical, and gold is no exception to history’s ironclad rule. The best time to be heavily long anything is when few others are.
Gold’s universal disdain today is the natural result of dismal price action. This precious metal has not seen a new secular high since August 2011, 4.1 years ago. Between that latest bull-market peak and early August 2015, gold fell 42.8% in a brutal secular bear market. With the flagship S&P 500 stock index up 86.8% over that same span, it’s easy to understand why many consider gold the worst investment.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 25, 2015
Silver: Victim of Motive, Means, and Opportunity / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
Silver gets little respect, but that is sensible in a world dominated by paper assets and pretend values. Similar to a murder investigation, let’s examine the motive, means and opportunity used to “manage” silver prices.
MOTIVE: The price of silver is important to industrial users, since there are thousands of uses for silver, many of which have no alternative except silver. If the price of silver rises too rapidly, people notice. Worse, a price rally in silver probably will spread to the gold market, which is watched globally by banks, institutions, and people. A rapidly rising price of gold informs the world that central banks are “printing” to excess, governments are creating too much debt, and the financial elite are mismanaging by “skimming” too much from the global economies. A rising gold price is worrisome to many.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 25, 2015
Negative Interest Rates and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Alasdair_Macleod
I shall briefly address the impact of negative interest rates, should they occur, at the end of this report, after looking at this week's trading.
The week started with a slow downwards drift for precious metals on Monday and Tuesday before a sharp two-day rally, taking the gold price up $33 (nearly 3%) by yesterday afternoon. There was very little gold-related news to trigger this rally, only the deterioration of other markets. For bulls of precious metals it really has been a case of patience being rewarded.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 23, 2015
Fed, Central Banks Trapped – Gold Bullion Will Protect / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
By David Bryan
The future direction of the planet is between the central bank’s counter-party paper Ponzi currency or the independence of real money.
Foresighted central banker John Exter is famous for his classification of risk assets. Using Exter’s Golden Pyramid the riskiest assets are those at the bottom of the pyramid and situated at the top of the apex is gold bullion – independent from the counter-party risk of central bank’s paper and electronic currency.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 23, 2015
Gold Price No Bottom Yet / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
I'll begin this week's commentary with a follow up on last week's Hybrid Lindsay forecast for a high in equities. Last week's commentary gave the details of the forecast for a high in the Dow on September 11 or very early last week. Equities pushed that forecast to the limit with last week's closing high on Wednesday followed by a decline of over 350 points. Short bounces notwithstanding, it seems reasonable to assume Wednesday was the high I was looking for.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 23, 2015
Gold Prices Are Set To Jump or Maybe Not / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Sol_Palha
Hasten slowly and ye shall soon arrive. ~ Milarepa
We were very bullish on gold starting from 2002 and our bullishness continued until the beginning of 2011. In 2011, we started to voice concern as the Gold camp was chanting "Kumbaya my love", and almost every Tom, Dick and Harry in the Gold market were all busy issuing higher targets. Towards the middle of 2011, there were many signs that all was not well. Key technical indicators were issuing negative divergence signals, the dollar was generating strong signals that a bottom was close at hand, and as we already stated the Gold camp was simply too ecstatic for our liking. We advised our clients to close the bulk of their bullion positions and to embrace the dollar as it was getting ready to break out; the rest as they say is history.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 22, 2015
Gold: The End and The Beginning / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
Gold prices peaked in January 1996 and then fell for 3.5 years into a multi-decade low. It was the age of stocks, debt, leverage, and good times; nobody needed or wanted gold.
Since the gold price peak in 2011 the Federal Reserve has “generously” supplied the world with trillions of dollars of newly created digital and paper debt, all backed by nothing but faith and credit. Bonds have rallied and the S&P is higher by 50% or so. The Japanese Central Bank has similarly produced trillions of yen, bought stocks and bonds, and extended their recession several more years.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 22, 2015
The Massive Debt Bubble Will Push Silver Prices Much Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Hubert_Moolman
Silver had a spectacular rise in price from about August 2010 to April 2011. In fact, it was so impressive that some thought the peak was the end of the bull market for silver. After all, silver had risen about 12.33 times from its bottom in 2001.
However, from the fact that the April 2011 did not surpass the all-time high of 1980, it should have been evident that this was no end of a bull market. Real bull markets form peaks much higher than any previous highs.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 22, 2015
Keynes Would Be "Buying Gold Hand Over Fist" Today / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
- What Keynes would think of today’s “Neo-Keynesians”
- Unlike his acolytes, he understood the value of gold and the dangers of currency debasement
- Keynes did not desire “a world where currencies are backed by nothing more than a governmental promise to pay while the printing presses whirled unchecked”
Read full article... Read full article...