Category: Gold and Silver 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, January 19, 2015
Bottom Line Thoughts on the Gold Sector / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Gary_Tanashian
Improving Macro Backdrop
In light of a shifting global macro backdrop that we can finally sink our teeth into with respect to a bullish orientation on the gold stock sector, I thought it might be a good idea to publicly post some bottom line thoughts from this week's NFTRH report.
The report went into great detail to explain why more fundamentals that matter are starting to come in line, after the chart below refused to make a signal against our big picture view of global economic contraction, which has been the biggest key for the counter-cyclical gold mining sector.
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Monday, January 19, 2015
Silver Price Breaks Out on Swiss France Euro Decoupling / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Clive_Maund
Silver broke out from a Head-and-Shoulders bottom on Friday, a day after gold did the same following the news that the Swiss Franc is to be decoupled from the euro. In the face of the impending QE tsunami in Europe, the Swiss have decided to call it a day and give up supporting the euro peg and retreat to the relative safety of the mountains, where at least they will have a plentiful supply of their high quality cheese and chocolate, as foreigners are less able to buy it. The reason that gold and silver broke higher is that the Swiss move is an unwelcome reminder of the ongoing and intensifying global currency war, characterized by competitive devaluation and bouts of QE. When there is more and more money and it buys less and less, gold and silver must go up in price - that's not too difficult to understand, is it??
Monday, January 19, 2015
Gold, Flights to Quality / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Alasdair_Macleod
It is pleasing to see precious metals in favour as 2015 gets underway in earnest. Whilst ‘quality’ might be a subjective term, it seems to have been applied, in my opinion quite rightly, to gold, silver, platinum and palladium by investors looking to protect themselves from a start-of-the-year volatility storm in other asset classes. In the wider commodity world, oil and copper prices are still languishing whilst precious metals have shown their value to investors as a stand-alone and increasingly non-correlated asset class.
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Sunday, January 18, 2015
Gold Sheep Sheared / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Austin_Galt
Baa, baa. That's the sound of the sheep that follow the crowd spouting bunkum that gold can't go up if the US dollar goes up as well. This fallacy has been shown over the past couple of months for what it is - complete nonsense.
Both gold and the US dollar have surged in tandem the past couple of months. This is why I like to analyse each instrument on its own merits and not let my judgement of one be clouded by my view of another. This is often easier said than done mind you.
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Saturday, January 17, 2015
Gold And Silver – Swiss National Bank Rally. Enough For A Change? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Michael_Noonan
It would seem that last week’s rally in gold was Swiss National Bank-driven, plain and
simple. It is difficult to get a handle on the ramifications of what just happened with the
Swiss “unpegging” from the Euro. It was becoming prohibitively expensive for the SNB
to keep buying Euros and trashing their own economy in the process. Ostensibly, this is
a tale of a central bank telling the US and the rest of the EU, enough! We have had it,
and we are now going to be more fiscally responsible.
Right. Just after opting not to have the Swiss franc backed proportionately by gold, a move that would have been an act of fiscal responsibility. If there is one constant about world-wide central bankers, it is that they lie on an ongoing basis. The truth, if it ever comes out, may not become apparent for the next several months. It makes no sense for one part of the central banking cabal to pull a “surprise attack” on the rest of the group.
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Saturday, January 17, 2015
China’s Global Gold Supply "Game of Stones" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: MoneyMetals
China has a 4-way global gold supply domination strategy. And it’s starting to corner the market.
First, China buys physical gold in world markets, fabricates it where necessary into “good delivery” bars – in Switzerland or the Middle East – then ships the bullion, transparently through Hong Kong or Shanghai (or quietly through Beijing and other ports of entry).
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Saturday, January 17, 2015
Gold Price Rally Has Technical and Fundamental Support / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Sy_Harding
Gold plunged 48% from its record high above $1,900 an ounce in 2011, to its low late last year. That was a sizable bear market move.
Shorter-term, it was one of last year’s worst performers, down 15% for the year.
In a recent column, I noted how at year-end, investors looking for the next year’s winners tend to look for them on lists of last year’s ‘Top 25 stocks’ or ‘Top 25 mutual funds’. However, studies show they would be better off shopping among the previous year’s losers. (The previous year’s winners are more liable to already be overbought and over-valued, while the losers are more likely to be oversold and on the bargain table).
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Friday, January 16, 2015
Silver Price Ready to Run / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
Silver looks to be on the verge of a major new upleg, finally emerging from the past couple years’ ugly sentiment wasteland. This beleaguered precious metal recently bottomed as futures speculators threw in the towel on their extreme shorting. And while investors’ ongoing silver stealth buying continues, it’s been modest. So there is vast room for capital inflows to accelerate dramatically as gold mean reverts higher.
Silver has always had a special allure for hardened contrarian investors. Its price action is exceptionally volatile, with massive rallies erupting from time to time that multiply capital deployed in it. With silver’s relatively-small market size, it doesn’t take a lot of new investment buying to catapult prices higher. And shifting sentiment, a powerful self-feeding motivator, fuels the big swings in capital flows that really move silver.
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Friday, January 16, 2015
From Gold Bear to Gold Bull? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Bear markets end with extreme bearish sentiment but positive price action is needed before a trend change can be confirmed. That can include (among other things) breaking downtrends, breaking resistance and breaking the pattern of lower lows and lower highs. There have been positive developments for precious metals beneath the surface but Thursday's breakout in Gold is more significant. If Gold holds this breakout then it will be all but impossible to argue that it remains in a bear market.
Thursday, January 15, 2015
Gold Trend Change? Price Breaks Above 200 Day Moving Average / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jeb_Handwerger
For weeks I have been predicting that precious metals and the junior gold miners would bottom and outperform in January. Now gold is breathtakingly breaking above the key 200 day moving average and breaking four month highs as the World looks to gold as a safe haven. The intermediate to long term trend may be turning positive and unfortunately the amateur investor has already panicked out or may be covering their shorts.
Thursday, January 15, 2015
Market Chaos as Swiss Franc Surges 30% In 13 Minutes, Gold Rises Sharply / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
Chaos was seen in financial markets today as participants were thrown a curveball when Switzerland surprised the world by removing its three-year cap on the Swiss franc, unpegging it from the euro. This sent the undervalued currency soaring and Europe’s shares and bond yields tumbling.
Wednesday, January 14, 2015
Another 15% Drop in Copper Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Ashraf_Laidi
Today's 4.3% slump in copper is the ninth consecutive daily decline in the metal, a pattern last seen 11 months ago during the peak of China's financing shenanigans -- when Chinese companies used the metal as collateral to access cheap-USD financing and invest the proceeds in higher yielding Chinese yuan.
Since the start of 2014, copper is down 20, outperforming energy commodities (Brent -56%, WTI -49%, NatGas -29%) and underperforming metals (gold +2.0%, silver -14%). The striking difference between now and Q1 2104 is that copper is now joined by the much feared converging decline along the rest of metals, energy and agricultural commodities. The extent of copper's damage is highlighted by more than just unwinding in Chinese trade financing.
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Tuesday, January 13, 2015
Alarming Gold Market Manipulations Underway / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Submissions
Mike Gleason writes: Well, the first full week of the New Year has brought a number of important headlines worthy of precious metals investors’ attention, so let’s get right to the latest developments.
On Monday, John Boehner took hold of the gavel as Speaker of the House for another two years. Boehner overcame opposition from a small minority of dissenting conservative lawmakers. But this small minority represents a majority of actual Republican voters who say they are dissatisfied with Speaker Boehner over his spending deals that have fully funded President Obama’s agenda and keep jacking up the national debt.
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Monday, January 12, 2015
Gold and Commodity Cycles / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
We have so far analyzed the current situation in the oil market, suggesting that falling oil prices can indicate another recession in the not so distant future. So the obvious question arises: would it be positive or negative for the gold market? The answer depends on whether gold is pro-cyclical or not. Some economists believe that gold, as oil, rises in a boom and falls during the bust. We consider that opinion too simplified. However, there are indeed strong arguments that commodity prices are strongly affected by the monetary policy responsible for the business cycle. Let’s analyze some data.
Monday, January 12, 2015
Gold Prices Rise on Unexpected Fall in US Hourly Earnings / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,222.00, EUR 1,035.77 and GBP 808.09 per ounce.
Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,211.25, EUR 1.025.09 and GBP 799.61 per ounce.
Spot gold climbed $13.20 or 1.09% to $1,220.50 per ounce Friday and silver rose $0.15 or 0.92% to $16.46 per ounce. Gold and silver both performed strong last week up 2.78% and 4.24% respectively.
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Sunday, January 11, 2015
Gold and Silver Postcards From the Great Emptiness / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jesse
“We who are born into this age of freedom and independence and the self must undergo this loneliness. It is the price we pay for these times of ours.” - Natsume Sôseki
"The issue isn't just jobs. Even slaves had jobs. The issue is wages. - Jim Hightower
The headline 'Jobs Number' came in better than expected at an adjusted +252,000.
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Sunday, January 11, 2015
Large Speculators Returning to Gold - But / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dan_Norcini
Here is the latest chart detailing the relationship between the Hedge funds NET POSITIONING in the Comex gold market and the price of the actual metal.
I have presented this chart for some time now over at my former website to rebut the silliness from the gold perma-bull camp that any moves lower in the price of gold are ALWAYS the result of "evil bullion banks working to suppress the price of the metal to discredit it". That mindset had a place at one time - back when the US Dollar was sinking - but is now passé and an extreme waste of precious mental effort and time. The camp that has this as a central tenet of their "faith" has long ago lost any credibility on this issue among serious-minded investors/traders.
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Sunday, January 11, 2015
What’s In Store For Gold Price in 2015? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jason_Hamlin
The following article is from Gold Stock Bull contributor, Ben Kramer-Miller. While I agree with his overall assessment and reasoning, I am a bit more bullish in the short term and think precious metals have likely already found a bottom. Of course, short-term pricing is driven by paper derivative contracts and the emotions of investors that either panic or buy the dip when the sharp price movements occur, so anything is possible in the short term. In the medium to long-term, we both agree that prices for both gold and silver are moving substantially higher and that 2015 will prove to be an excellent year to accumulate metals and undervalued miners. Cheers – Jason Hamlin
Saturday, January 10, 2015
Very Strong Indirect Reasons To Buy Gold And Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Michael_Noonan
Got gold? Got silver? If not, you may not survive very well under the current and future regime[s] established in this country. Does price matter? Sure, everyone wants to buy reasonably near the lows, and there are many of us who paid substantially higher prices than currently exist. However, if there is no intent to sell but only hold as a form of wealth protection and/or a form of insurance against a worthless fiat paper currency, then price paid is really immaterial and focus should remain on purpose, not price. Owning and controlling either or both gold and silver are far more important.
In a market that is forming a bottom, price usually moves sideways along the RHS of the chart [Right Hand Side]. What is known for certain is that the farther price moves along the RHS, the closer it gets to a final resolution: a final bottom and eventual reversal of trend. The same applies to the ownership of gold and silver.
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Friday, January 09, 2015
Gold and Silver Steady Start for 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Alasdair_Macleod
Gold and silver started the year at a muted point, with gold at $1168 and silver at $15.50, from which modest rallies have developed, with gold up 4% and silver 6%. These rises were against a background of high volatility in equity markets, a strong US dollar and very weak oil prices.
The firmly entrenched bearish opinions in recent months for the outlook for gold and silver have backed off from recent extremes. There is confusion in dealers’ minds, brought about by the threat of deflation and the collapse in oil prices.
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