Category: Gold and Silver 2018
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, November 27, 2018
Silver Trading and the Hands of a Broken Clock / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Sector expert Michael Ballanger muses on lessons learned and profits to be gained in silver trades. "Even a broken clock is right twice a day." ― Stephen Hunt, The Court of the Air
There are times when every investor has to look long and deep into a mirror and determine whether a well-thought-out strategy is actionable or whether it is simply an ad hoc "hunch," barely worth chasing. With regard to silver, this is just one of those times.
In 2003-2004, I was stopped out four times under $5 per ounce trying to establish a 10-lot futures position in silver (50,000 ounces), which, at the time, demanded US$18,000 in maintenance margin. When I finally threw in the towel, my $18 grand worth of "dead presidents" was worth slightly less than $6,000.
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Tuesday, November 27, 2018
Will DOJ Finally Hold Bullion Banks Accountable for Gold and Silver Market Rigging / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: MoneyMetals
Clint Siegner : It is hard to cheer for the Department of Justice these days, but federal prosecutions have begun to offer hope for precious metals investors hurt by rigged markets and crooked traders.
The DOJ looks poised to do what regulators at the CFTC have not. They will use evidence of blatant cheating and fraud to hold a few bankers accountable.
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Sunday, November 25, 2018
Precious Metals Moving In Unison For A Massive Price Advance: Part II / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
As we continue to explore our custom research into the metals markets and our presumption that the metals markets are poised for a massive price rally over the next few months/years, we pick up this second part of our multi-part article illustrating our research work and conclusions. If you missed the first part of this article, please take a minute to review it by before continuing further (Link to Part I).
We left off in Part I showing a number of supply and demand components and briefly highlighting our newest research using a custom Gold/Silver/US Dollar ratio index. Our attempt at finding anything new that could help us determine the future outcome of the metals markets and to either support or deny our future expectations that the metals markets are poised for a massive price advance was at stake. This new research would either help to confirm our analysis or completely blow it out of the water with new data. Let’s continue where we left off and start by showing even more data related to our new custom metals ratio.
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Friday, November 23, 2018
Silver Mining Stocks Q3’18 Fundamentals / / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Zeal_LLC
The major silver miners’ stocks have been largely abandoned this year, spiraling to brutal multi-year lows. Such miserable technicals have exacerbated the extreme bearishness plaguing this tiny contrarian sector. While profitable silver mining is challenging at today’s exceedingly-low silver prices, these miners are chugging along. Their recently-reported Q3’18 results show their earnings are ready to soar as silver recovers.
Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports. Companies trading in the States are required to file 10-Qs with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by 40 calendar days after quarter-ends. Canadian companies have similar requirements at 45 days. In other countries with half-year reporting, many companies still partially report quarterly.
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Friday, November 23, 2018
How Will the Rollback of Dodd-Frank Affect Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
This reform will make US financial system more vulnerable, just adding fuel to the fire of easy money. This is what some people worry about. Are they right? We invite you to read our today’s article about the rollback of Dodd-Frank Act and its potential implications for the price of gold.
In May, President Trump signed the rewrite of the 2010 Dodd-Frank law passed earlier by Congress with rare bipartisan support. The bill is the biggest rollback of bank rules since the financial crisis. According to the new law, lenders with less than $10 billion in assets will be exempted from the Volcker rule that bans proprietary trading. Moreover, the bill eases rules on all but the largest institutions, raising the threshold by which banks are considered systematically important and, thus, subject to tighter oversight from $50 to $250 billion in assets. The smallest banks between $50 and $100 billion were immediately freed of stricter regulations, while depositary institutions between $100 and $250 billion in assets will be exempt from them beginning in November 2019, although they could still be subjected to the Fed’s enhanced supervision in times of need. Last month, the Fed just unveiled a proposal for the implementation of several major provisions of the new bill.
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Wednesday, November 21, 2018
Did We Just Witness The Bottom in the Gold Market? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Plunger
Markets are deceptive…but we all know that. Beyond deceptive, markets are actually down right diabolical. Mr. Market operates through his two most trustworthy lieutenants Mr. Bull and Mr. Bear. He has tasked Mr. Bull to climb and reach the top of the mountain using investors buying power to fuel the rise. But he has also instructed Mr. Bull to not allow those same investors to complete the journey themselves, he wants to reach the top without them. It’s a hard job to pull off and Mr Bull needs to use every trick in the book to throw off these investors after they use their money to power the trend upward. It’s a process that takes time and Mr. Bull’s prime tools are greed and fear in the minds of investors.
Mr. Bear however, has been assigned a totally different mission. When it’s his turn he has been tasked to use those very same investors to power the trend to un-dreamed of lows. This is a mission even more difficult than Mr. Bull’s because counter to Mr. Bull it’s Mr. Bear’s duty to actually keep those investors in the market despite it falling over time, which is no easy task. This is because if these investors just gave up and left the market it would simply stop going down. His mission requires a particularly high level of deviance to pull off. It’s why Mr. Market retains a particularly fond place in his heart for Mr. Bear, since Mr. Market has a diabolical nature and like the Grand Inquisitor, he has no problem drawing blood.
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Wednesday, November 21, 2018
Powell and Gold between Inflation and Global Slowdown / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Powell is apparently between a rock and a hard place. Inflation surged, while the global economy slowed down. What will he do? And how will gold react?
Inflation Jumps in October
The consumer price index climbed 0.3 percent last month, after rising 0.1 percent in September, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. It was the biggest rise since January, and it was mainly caused by an impressive surge in the fuel oil (+3.7 percent) and gasoline indices (+3 percent). However, the core CPI, which excludes food and energy, also rose, advancing 0.2 percent in October, following a 0.1-percent increase in September.
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Tuesday, November 20, 2018
Precious Metals Moving In Unison For A Massive Price Advance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Are the metals markets ending a price correction in unison and preparing for a massive price advance? This is the question we asked our research team to investigate and their findings may help skilled traders identify great opportunities in the future. This multi-part research article will share our most recent opinion about the metals markets as well as share some critical new data that can shed some light into what we believe will become a massive upside price rally in the metals markets. Let’s get into the data.
Tuesday, November 20, 2018
Handicapping the Precious Metals Through Year-End / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the recent rise in precious metals prices and what he sees ahead for the metals. As many of us have grown to appreciate over the years, forecasts tend to be nothing more than "educated guesses" and no matter what methods one uses, predicting directional and amplitudinal movements in economics or finance or asset prices is analogous to standing in the paddock at Woodbine racetrack with a copy of the racing forum and a cup of black coffee, trying to determine whether Stormy's Revenge or Gluewagon is going to take the fifth in the mud. I spend literally hours upon hours drawing lines on charts and reading other people's forecasts in a desperate attempt to handicap the next $50 move in gold and I must confess that even without the nausea brought about by countless interventions and manipulations, it is an extremely difficult exercise.
Monday, November 19, 2018
Gold & Silver Corrective Rally is Almost Over / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Strong words, aren’t they? And yet, we are not afraid to put them right in the title. The number of factors (and their importance) that point to a nearby reversal and continuation of the major decline is too significant to believe in the bullish case, even though gold, silver, and mining stocks moved higher in the last few days.
We emphasized it many times and we will continue to do so, as it’s very easy to forget about it when things get volatile on a day-to-day basis. The long-term signals are far more important than the short-term ones. In a fight, it’s not always the bigger guy (or gal) that has the advantage, but in certain circumstances it’s obvious that weight matters (please keep this picture in mind while reading about the possible counter-trend upswing in the short run – that’s the little guy while the big guy are the powerful long-term factors). That’s exactly the case with the weight and importance of long-term signals when comparing them to the short-term ones. Surely, we could get a 1-2% upswing, but so what, if a 15% decline is just around the corner? And in particular, if it could take place right away?
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Saturday, November 17, 2018
Gold vs Several Key Investments / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
Let’s take an in-day snapshot of gold vs. several key competitors (for your investment dollars/euros/yen, etc.) and check the progress in turning the macro from risk ‘on’ to risk ‘off’, cyclical to counter-cyclical.
Gold/Commodities motors along above the SMA 200. The move has been hysterical, and thus looks impulsive. That could mean something as we look back in hindsight one day.
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Saturday, November 17, 2018
Is Gold Under or Overpriced? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Have you heard about the Everything Bubble? Some analysts believe that after the dot-com bubble of the 1990s and the housing bubble of the 2000s, we are in the middle of a price bubble in virtually all asset classes simultaneously caused by the Fed’s unusually easy monetary policy with ultra low interest rates. Although we agree that the US central bank maintained federal funds rate too low for too long, the narrative about a dangerous bubble inflating in a wide variety of countries, industries, and assets does not make sense. The bubble means that the price of an asset deviates from the fundamental value, increasing excessively, to a much greater extent than on other markets. It should be now clear that the existence of overvalued assets necessarily means that other assets are undervalued, so there can’t be the ‘everything bubble’. Sorry, but those who wait for the total asset apocalypse might be disappointed.
Friday, November 16, 2018
Pound Falls 2.5% Against Gold as UK Government in Turmoil Over Brexit / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: GoldCore
The pound plunged against the euro, the dollar, gold and all leading currencies today as Theresa May’s UK government appeared vulnerable to collapsing and political turmoil risked creating a hard Brexit.
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Friday, November 16, 2018
The New China and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
China has developed tremendously in recent years. But what’s next? Is the country entering the growth recession? And how it will affect the world and the gold market?
A New Chapter in China
We have not analyzed the publications of the World Gold Council for a while. Let’s make it up, starting with the newest edition of Gold Investor. The report is about China and its remarkable transformation in the context of the gold market.
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Friday, November 16, 2018
Investors And Analysts Know Nothing About Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
There were several developments in the gold market last week. First, we heard of another trader who has pleaded guilty to “manipulating” the metals market. And, everyone is up in arms again about how gold was manipulated to drop from $1,921 to $1,040 during 2011-2015.
And, yes, they are all again saying “ah ha – you see, we were right.”
But, as I have said so many times before, what this trader did was akin to a paper cut in the market. And, to claim that these types of actions caused the market to drop from 2011 to 2016 is akin to claiming that a paper cut caused the market to bleed to death.
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Thursday, November 15, 2018
Is Gold Silence Golden? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
People say that speech is silver, silence is golden. Well, not always. The recent FOMC monetary policy statement is the best example. Lets’ read out today’s article and find out why.
Nothing Changes in November
On Thursday, the FOMC published the monetary policy statement from its latest meeting that took place on November 7-8. In line with the expectations, the US central bank kept the federal funds rate unchanged at the target range of 2 to 2.25 percent:
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Wednesday, November 14, 2018
Investors Set To Move and Store Gold In Dublin Due To Brexit Risks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: GoldCore
– Investors in Ireland, the UK and internationally can for the first-time own gold in a secure and liquid way in accredited, professionally managed, fully insured, institutional grade vaults – Secure gold investment in Ireland for first time as global risks intensify and Dublin will compete with London as a favoured gold storage location
– Brexit will likely impact the 300bn London gold market as investors move gold to other jurisdictions including Dublin
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Wednesday, November 14, 2018
Gold Stocks vs. Gold – Cryin’ Time Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Kelsey_Williams
When will people wake up to the fact that investing in gold mining shares is not a good idea?
What are the experts seeing and thinking when they talk about the “positive outlook for mining shares”? For the life of me, I just don’t get it.
And, as far as gold stocks outperforming gold, well, just forget about it.
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Tuesday, November 13, 2018
Warning: Precious Metals’ Gold and Silver Prices are about to Collapse! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Silver just moved to its 2018 bottom. Not somewhat above it, not relatively close to it – silver’s Friday’s close of $14.14 equals the previous lowest closing price of 2018 that was formed on September 14th. That’s not yet a breakdown, but the implications are severe.
Monday, November 12, 2018
5 Things That Precede Gold Price Major Bottoms / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The recent weakness in Gold and gold mining stocks is not over. In fact, we are worried about another leg down getting underway.
If that comes to pass, we are positioned to profit from it. But I digress.
Long-term oriented investors and speculators should be aware of the near term trends but they should also be aware of the conditions that will lead to a shift from a bear market to a bull market.
Here, we focus on five factors that precede major bottoms in precious metals.
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