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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, October 16, 2020

Why You Should Focus on Growth Stocks Today / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: John_Mauldin

By Justin Spittler : My friend who’s a novice investor asked for advice recently. He was “bargain hunting” for cheap stocks, and trying to decide between buying Kohl’s (KSS) or ExxonMobil (XOM).

I cringed. “Listen,” I told him. “You’re thinking about this all wrong.”

I get where my friend is coming from. From childhood we’re taught to be financially prudent. To seek bargains and avoid spending money on expensive things.

In most areas of life this is smart advice. Drive a reasonable car, live in a reasonable house, book reasonable vacations with your family. But there’s one big problem.

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Commodities

Sunday, October 11, 2020

Gold Stocks Are Cheap, But Not for Long / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: The_Gold_Report

Peter Krauth explains why he believes gold stocks are "churning out some serious profits that are likely to just keep getting better."

It's not too late for you to buy gold and gold stocks on the cheap.

If you haven't already, you may want to seriously consider it.

That move might set you up for a run over the next few years that could turn into your single best investment…ever.

You see, gold stocks are churning out some serious profits that are likely to just keep getting better.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 10, 2020

Gold Miners Ready to Fall Further / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: P_Radomski_CFA

It didn’t take long for the mining stocks to turn south once again. No wonder, given that their breakdown was more than verified.

Additionally, they also got bearish support from gold, the stock market, and the USD Index, which also confirmed their decisive move. For more details, let’s take a closer look at the chart below.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 08, 2020

Gold Stocks in Correction Mode / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks are mired in correction mode, which isn’t surprising after their mighty post-stock-panic upleg.  Huge buying catapulting them higher left this sector extremely overbought.  Corrections are normal and healthy after prices get too stretched technically.  They eradicate upleg toppings’ excessive greed, rebalancing sentiment.  That paves the way for bulls’ next uplegs, and offers great buying opportunities.

The most-popular gold-stock benchmark today is the GDX VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF.  It includes the world’s biggest and best gold miners, dwarfing its peers in size.  Launched way back in May 2006, GDX’s first-mover advantage has grown insurmountable.  This ETF’s $17.9b in net assets this week are running 31.4x larger than its next biggest competitor’s in the 1x-long major-gold-miners-ETF space.  GDX is king.

Gold stocks have a well-deserved reputation for excessive volatility, which is a key reason they are so alluring.  When the stars align right for them, meaning a big and persistent gold upleg, their stock prices skyrocket!  We just witnessed that in this sector’s enormous upleg following March’s COVID-19-lockdown-fueled stock panic.  The subsequent gold-stock gains were among the largest out of all stock-market sectors.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 11, 2020

Gold Miners Junior Stcks Buying Spree / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Richard_Mills

Canadians, at least those fortunate enough to enjoy a long weekend, returned to their desks Tuesday to watch gold prices crack another milestone - $2,000 per ounce - as the spectacular summer rally for the precious metal continues. 

At time of writing, spot gold’s last bid was $2,019.20, marking a $42 gain since Monday’s trading session. Silver prices also experienced a major leg up, with spot silver posting a $1.68 increase to $26.01, as of 17:05 Eastern time - a 7-year high.  

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 05, 2020

Gold Trifecta of Key Signals for Gold Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Nothing lasts forever, and the brightest flame burns itself out the fastest. That could very well apply to the current situation around PMs.

Speaking of indications pointing to the situation being excessive, let’s take a look at the USD Index.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 04, 2020

Gold Stocks Autumn Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks have rocketed higher this summer, smashing out of their usual summer-doldrums sideways grind.  That atypical strength has been driven by gold steadily marching to major new secular highs, fueled by strong investment demand.  This has carried gold stocks and the metal they mine back to their traditional strong season, which begins with robust autumn rallies usually accelerating in late summers.

Seasonality is the tendency for prices to exhibit recurring patterns at certain times during the calendar year.  While seasonality doesn’t drive price action, it quantifies annually-repeating behavior driven by sentiment, technicals, and fundamentals.  We humans are creatures of habit and herd, which naturally colors our trading decisions.  The calendar year’s passage affects the timing and intensity of buying and selling.

Gold stocks exhibit strong seasonality because their price action mirrors that of their dominant primary driver, gold.  Gold’s seasonality generally isn’t driven by supply fluctuations like grown commodities see, as its mined supply remains relatively steady year-round.  Instead gold’s major seasonality is demand-driven, with global investment demand varying considerably depending on the time in the calendar year.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 04, 2020

Gold Miners Still Pushing That Cart of Rocks Up Hill / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Gary_Tanashian

Our hard working miner here (we’ll call him Huey) has been pushing his cart of rocks, first gently downhill from 2016 to 2018 and then uphill to a bull market since May 2019.

As tracked in NFTRH, in 2019 the macro backdrop became positive for the gold stock sector as gold entered a bull market by taking out the 1378 level and its ratios to stock markets began to rise. Gold/SPX is among the most important macro indicators to a bullish gold mining case as a gold price rising in terms of stocks is the key factor in drawing larger investment (e.g. institutions) to the sector.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 15, 2020

Is it Time To Dump Gold Stocks? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Submissions

As a contrarian and long-term holder of Goldcorp. (now Newmont), the latest push higher in the price of gold begs the question: is now the time to sell? The concern, for the uninitiated, is that after the price of gold moves powerfully higher there is an uncanny tendency for forces to mysteriously align and push prices powerfully lower. These “forces” (excuse the conspiratorial flare), have been known to short paper gold contracts in seemingly unlimited quantities, and, according to some, with the implicit backing of the Federal Reserve…

Conspiracy or not, it is obvious that the paper-traded price of gold can have an impact on the physical price of gold and/or the sentiment of those that buy and sell precious metals. After all, just as “$1,800+ gold!” attracts attention, like it did today, so too can headlines like “COMEX gold suffers historic crash!”. In other words, while record inflows into gold ETFs this year are certainly noteworthy, the informed contrarian knows that record inflows can quickly lead to record outflows.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 09, 2020

Following the Gold Stock Leaders as the Fed Prints / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Gary_Tanashian

Gold stocks have led the market for a year, and with economic deceleration and Fed policy response that leadership looks to continue [edit: today’s ‘in the bag’ bounce-back Jobs report does little to alter the economic deceleration theme]

We have been on a bullish gold mining view for over a year now. Over that time there have been three interruptions, the downward-biased consolidation from August to November 2019, the flash crash (and very constructive gap filling mission) in March and most recently the pullback that logically began in May as broad stock market relief started to fan out to more and more momentum chasers who’d finally gotten the hint that the Fed means to devalue the US currency (in competition to a degree with its global counterparts seeking to do the same), making cash a non-viable investment position (other than for risk management to the bullish asset market atmosphere).

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Commodities

Friday, July 03, 2020

Gold Stocks Breakout Not Confirmed Yet / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold has broken out from a two-month-long consolidation (from $1680 to $1770), but the other precious metals markets have not confirmed Gold’s strength.

The gold stocks (GDX, GDXJ) remain below their May highs while Silver remains below significant, multi-year resistance around $18.75. Silver closed Monday at $18.06.

Furthermore, Gold, when priced against foreign currencies, has not broken out. This move has been driven mostly by dollar weakness.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 01, 2020

Gold Stocks Still Undervalued / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold miners’ stocks rocketed out of mid-March’s stock panic, breaking out to major new bull-market highs in mid-May.  Such blisteringly-fast gains, and gold stocks’ upleg stalling out since, have left many traders nervous about this sector.  Calls for a serious selloff are mounting.  But arguing in favor for more near-term gains to come, gold stocks never grew overvalued in this post-panic upleg and are still undervalued today.

The recent gold-stock action is best understood through this sector’s most-popular benchmark, the GDX VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF.  Holding the world’s biggest and best gold miners, it dominates gold-stock-ETF capital flows.  GDX’s world-leading $15.1b in net assets this week are triple the size of its little-brother GDXJ mid-tier gold miners ETF!  No other gold-stock ETFs come remotely close to GDX’s scale.

And the major gold stocks of GDX have been on a wild ride in recent months.  As gold itself got sucked into mid-March’s stock panic, which was fueled by fears of the economic impact of COVID-19 lockdowns, the gold stocks plummeted.  GDX collapsed 38.8% in 0.6 months into mid-March.  And the final couple days of that were technically a full-on crash, a 20%+ cratering in 2 days.  GDX crashed 24.5% in that span!

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 17, 2020

Gold Stocks Investment Strong / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold investment demand remains strong, buoying the yellow metal and its miners’ stocks.  Investors have continued actively diversifying into gold despite soaring stock markets and weaker summer seasonals.  The Fed’s extreme money printing fueling these precarious stock-market heights is perilously inflationary, making upping gold portfolio allocations essential.  This ongoing capital shift is likely to keep pushing gold higher.

The dominant driver of gold’s major price trends is investment demand.  While it isn’t the largest demand category, it varies greatly depending on global-financial-market conditions.  The best global gold supply-and-demand data is only published quarterly by the venerable World Gold Council, in its must-read Gold Demand Trends reports.  They highlight the big volatility inherent in gold investment demand in recent years.

From 2015 to 2019, jewelry demand averaged 51.2% of overall gold demand.  But the biggest jewelry year out of the last 5 was only 1.2x the smallest one in tonnage-demand terms.  Investment demand only averaged 29.0% of overall gold demand in 2015 to 2019, yet the difference between the best and worst years in this span was 1.7x.  The WGC’s latest GDT on Q1’20 again proved how important investment is.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 16, 2020

Gold Stocks Correction and Upcoming Opportunity / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Gary_Tanashian

Before updating the status of the gold miner (HUI) correction, let’s take a quick review of the Macrocosm, because it’s always a good time to be clear on important macro considerations.

The graphic makes the following points that are the foundation of the NFTRH view on the right/wrong times to be fundamentally bullish on the gold stock sector. In order of priority, a bullish view needs:

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Commodities

Monday, June 08, 2020

Gold Stocks Healthy Upleg / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks just rolled over into a correction, raising concerns about the staying power of their massive post-panic upleg.  These higher prevailing gold prices have driven very-strong fundamentals at the gold miners.  But they are entering the seasonally-weak summer doldrums.  And current sentiment and technicals play major roles in governing when uplegs remain healthy or ready to give up their ghosts.

The GDX VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF remains the leading and dominant benchmark for this small contrarian sector.  Its $14.3b in net assets this week were a colossal 33.2x bigger than those of its next-largest 1x-long major-gold-miners-ETF competitor!  GDX’s only real rival is its little-brother GDXJ mid-tier gold-miners ETF, which is only about one-third of GDX’s size.  The GDX gold stocks have sure had a wild ride.

Normally the major gold miners of GDX leverage material gold moves by 2x to 3x.  Gold stocks’ excess gains during gold uplegs are necessary to compensate traders for miners’ big additional risks on top of gold-price fluctuations.  These include operational risks at individual mines, geopolitical risks in countries hosting gold mines, financial risks from hedging and currency fluctuations, along with many other risks.

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Commodities

Friday, June 05, 2020

Tying Gold Miners and USD Signals for What Comes Next / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: P_Radomski_CFA

The precious metals sector was likely to decline, and it did exactly that. And based on what we just saw, it’s likely to decline even more.

Once again, the situation yesterday and so far today developed quite in tune with what we wrote yesterday, so today’s analysis will take form of a broad update. Let’s take a look at the GLD ETF. In yesterday’s and Monday’s analyses, we described it in the following way:

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 26, 2020

The Anatomy of a Gold Stock Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Rambus_Chartology

Before we look at tonights charts I would like to go over some challenges that we’ll face as the current impulse move in the PM complex continues to move higher. It’s not everyday that you will find yourself getting in close to the bottom of a multi month rally. One of the biggest problems I’ve witnessed over the years, especially with PM stock investors, is they grow complacent as the rally phase starts maturing. They believe they are invincible as their profits rise and everything is right with the world. That complacency usually means not getting out close to the end of the impulse move which is extremely hard to do even if you’re looking for a top. They will either sell in panic as the correction takes hold or hang on to their positions during the entire correction which is emotionally hard to do.

I know many here traded in the 2000 to 2011 bull market in the precious metals complex. During that great bull market how many actually made any serious money? By making serious money I mean actually taking it out of the market to payoff debt or take a major vacation or help someone in need or whatever to actually use it. What the markets give us during the impulse rally will usually take it back during the following consolidation phase as investors aren’t aware of what is taking place until it’s too late. It’s just the nature of trading the markets.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 19, 2020

Gold Stocks Fundamental Indicators / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Gary_Tanashian

So here we are, with the sector leading the recovery out of the March crash during still-deflationary times. Inflation? It is not yet anywhere to be found, and that probably has a lot of inflation-centric would-be gold boosters on the sidelines. Someday, when these ladies are in full cheer with inflation signals rising, it will be time for caution.

Meanwhile, for years we have stuck to the real fundamental backdrop that would produce a real bull market in the gold stock sector (ref. the 2001 and Q4 2008 time frames).

Our handy ‘Macrocosm’ generally shows the most important considerations as the larger planets and the least important as the smaller ones. As the gold stock bull market starts to gain attention beyond we gold lunatics and enters the mainstream, I thought I would update each component of the Macrocosm.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 19, 2020

Gold Mining Stocks Flip from Losses to 5x Leveraged Gains! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Jason_Hamlin

The gold price made a new 2020 high today and looks poised to take out the nominal all-time high around $1,920 and then challenge $2,000 in the months ahead. Some are even estimating that gold could climb to $3,000 by year-end on account of the nearly $10 trillion in new money/debt/stimulus that is being created in the US alone to fight the pandemic.

This 2020 gold price target of $3,000 is a little too aggressive in my view, but I would not be surprised if gold reaches this level at some point over the next few years. Indeed, there seems to be no limit to the amount of new money the FED is willing to create and the government is willing to hand out in order to keep things afloat.

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Commodities

Friday, May 15, 2020

Will Stocks Lead the Way Lower for Gold Miners? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: P_Radomski_CFA

The precious metals market did almost nothing yesterday, and consequently we have relatively little to comment on today. There are two subtly bearish signs that we would like to feature, nonetheless.

The first subtly bearish sign is the change in the way the USD Index “topped” this month. In early April, and then in late April, the USDX reversed close to the 101 level and then moved lower in a decisive way, until declining below 99. This time has already proved to be different.

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