Category: Commodities Trading
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, August 20, 2009
USD, US Treasuries, Gold, Crude Oil and Copper Charting Perspective / Commodities / Commodities Trading
The change in sentiment occurring at the moment recognises that equities are overpriced. If this is the case then conservative money will certainly go elsewhere - and for now, it looks like the USD and US T-Notes and T-Bonds are it. It may also mean that gold will initially fall along with oil and copper.
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Wednesday, August 19, 2009
Seasonal Demands Analysis for Gold, Crude Oil and Copper / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Over the past 5 months the markets that crashed have staged a significant comeback. While the stock market usually grabs the headlines, there have been some great commodity runs as well.
As the season’s change, the demands for commodities vary according to each respective market. For instance, let’s take a look at copper. Below is the 15 (Red) and 40 (blue) year averages of the Copper seasonal price chart. One of the more prolonged downtrends on the chart shows that from September to the middle of October, copper is usually weak. We can see the demand PHASE of this commodity is the December to April time frame.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2009
Commodities Super-Cycle Strengthened by the Fantastic Crisis! / Commodities / Commodities Trading
In 2007, she claimed the current commodities super-cycle would last another 20 years. But given the economic implosion since that time, could it still be true? "Absolutely," says Carmel Daniele, founder, CEO and CIO of CD Capital. "The crisis that occurred last year after Lehman's collapse just interrupted the cycle," she explains, adding that it "is actually going to seal the next stage of the super-cycle. . .it will make it stronger and last even longer." In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Carmel forecasts significant supply shortages resulting from both the current lack of money flowing into exploration and planned infrastructure spend by emerging countries'. She also shares which companies she's investing in and why she believes long-term investors are "very lucky" to experience this fantastic crisis.
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Monday, August 17, 2009
Speculators Aren’t Wicked, They Keep Commodity Markets Liquid / Commodities / Commodities Trading
This commentary is from our natural resources team
The Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) wrapped up its hearings on whether to install position limits on futures trading this week, and like other hot topics being tossed around Capitol Hill, misinformation seems to be running rampant.
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Monday, August 17, 2009
Commitment to Success in Commodity Trading / Commodities / Commodities Trading
As I have repeatedly stated… commodity trading is the easiest yet the hardest thing one can ever do. Too many aspiring commodity traders or forex traders search for the holy grail. They search for indicators…mechanical trading systems or basically the answers.
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Monday, August 17, 2009
Gold, Silver, Natural Gas and Crude Oil Commodity Trading Update / Commodities / Commodities Trading
I hope everyone had a great weekend and is now ready for another week of trading. I have put together a few simple charts to show you what we could see with prices in the near term. While I do not predict future price movements (because it is impossible to always be correct), I do like to know what could happen and be ready to take action when something significant occurs.
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Saturday, August 15, 2009
The Commodity World Is Growing In Strength, Gold the Special One! / Commodities / Commodities Trading
The commodity market is bubbling. Whether it be sugar reaching a three year high, copper and other base metals reaching almost one year highs, or oil and gold rising further. The markets are looking good.
They’re moving up on signs that the global recession is easing. This is boosting demand, especially in China and Asia, which is pushing prices up.
Tuesday, August 11, 2009
Commodities ETF Trading Update for Gold, Natural Gas and Stocks / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Commodities took a breather last week, while stocks slowly continued their march higher. This week (Monday) commodities moved lower with profit taking and fears of a much larger precious metals and broad market sell off being anticipated in the near future. While it sure looks like we are ready for a pullback in entire market we just may not get one for some time. We could get higher prices for 2-6 weeks still.
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Monday, August 10, 2009
Growing Inflation In Commodity Prices? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
So many economists and government officials are claiming inflation is dead. These are probably the same people that did not see the Great Recession coming. The fact is everyone has an opinion, however everyone is only entitled to the facts. The facts that are evident are multi fold.
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Friday, August 07, 2009
Media’s Confusion with Commodity Futures Trading / Commodities / Commodities Trading
There was an interesting article yesterday in the Wall Street Journal. The article spoke about Bluetrend a trend follower & commodity trading advisor who last year earned 43.4%. The article discussing the struggles that Blue trend is currently going through this year ( down 5.5%). The truth is, in commodity futures trading returns like last year are above the norm.
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Friday, August 07, 2009
Crude Oil, Gas, and Gold Seasonal Trend Update / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Commodity speculators and investors (women excluded) can learn a lot by observing the purchasing habits of the “woman of the house.” Obviously it’s not in all cases, and the statement is a generalization of the observations that some of us have which as you’ll read is very complimentary and helps me make a point. Rather than call this a woman’s job, it’s really a job that men are horrible at and women quite frankly have to execute for the household. (Yes, many men can do it, I’m generalizing) Although sometimes women are accused of being big spenders or not careful. However in most cases and I think you’ll agree, when you look really close, most women are very savvy and educated consumers.
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Thursday, August 06, 2009
Tactical Trading in the Commodity Markets / Commodities / Commodities Trading
In some of my earlier posts I spoke about Tactical trading in Commodity futures. I want to provide you an example that is occurring right now in commodity futures trading. This is not from one of those web sites with commodity tips. This is real trading in a commodity market with a real commodity trade.
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Thursday, August 06, 2009
Commodities Close to Long-term Buy Signals, Gold, Silver, Oil and Natural Gas / Commodities / Commodities Trading
This week commodities have been moving higher which is exciting. Gold, silver, oil and natural gas all have bullish looking daily and intraday price action. Monday we saw commodities spike higher and profit taking Tuesday and Wednesday. I am expecting a sharp move here and it could be in either direction, so this report is to keep you on your toes.
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Wednesday, August 05, 2009
Speculation in the Commodity Markets / InvestorEducation / Commodities Trading
The first thought of some regarding the word, speculation in the commodity markets is of total risk or cowboy mentality. More so, the term speculator is looked down upon by the idea of trying to control the crude markets or selling short last year. All of these are inaccurate.
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Monday, August 03, 2009
Which Commodity ETF to Trade, Gold, Crude Oil or Natural Gas? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
In the markets of today, investors and speculators alike have the ability to participate in a lot more than company stocks. With the advent of ETF’s, market participants can now diversify into the realm of currencies, gold, crude oil, grains, agriculture and a host of other avenues. In the past if one wanted to play the above commodities he/she would pretty much have to purchase a futures contract or an option on the futures. And that is the world of high leverage and high risk/reward.
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Monday, August 03, 2009
Big Bounce in Commodities Gold, Silver, Oil and Nat Gas / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Last week we saw commodities sell down then put in solid bounce, which allowed us to generate new pivot lows for drawing support trend lines. This is the exact type of price action I have been waiting for. Natural Gas did nothing special but crude oil put in a very strong bounce and is now trading at a double resistance level which is explained later in the report.
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Sunday, August 02, 2009
Fat Pitch ETF Advisory Newsletter - Interesting Week For Gold / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Trade Actions:
Buy INP ( India ) @ 50 or better
Buy JJC ( Copper ) @ 33 or Better
Sunday, August 02, 2009
Dealing with Losses in Commodity Trading / InvestorEducation / Commodities Trading
For any of those contemplating investing in the commodity markets, they need to be very aware that losses are part of the game. As Ed Seykota has taught so many commodity and forex traders… losses are like breathing. They can not be avoided. If you are not having losses..either you are not trading.. or you are risking way too little. There is no way around it!
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Thursday, July 30, 2009
Equity-driven Commodities Correction / Commodities / Commodities Trading
KEY POINTS
• Resistance in stocks drives commodity correction
• Risk aversion in equities underpins US$
• Gold low expect in September/October
• Range-bound oil prices under resistance
• Copper prices stall at $2.50
• Natural gas looks to seasonal strength in September
Thursday, July 30, 2009
Gold and Crude Oil Market Meltdown Analysis / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Everything is playing out exactly as we hoped and expected this week. We have been so close to a buy signal in gold and silver but Monday’s intraday observations saved us from a nasty trade.
Those of you in love with oil just had a Kiss Good Bye! Better PUT some love letters together J pardon the pun.
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