Category: Financial Markets 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, August 26, 2010
The Hindenburg Stock Market Omen Doomed to Crash and Burn? / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2010
The Market Oracle NewsletterAugust 22nd, 2010 Issue #48 Vol. 4
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Monday, August 23, 2010
Investors Going All in on Bonds Dot Com Bubble Style! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Bond funds are attracting cash like stocks during the dot-com boom.
That’s the headline this morning on Bloomberg, who says: "The amount of money flowing into bond funds is poised to exceed the cash that went into stock funds during the Internet bubble, stoking concern fixed-income markets are headed for a fall. Investors poured $480.2 billion into mutual funds that focus on debt in the two years ending June, compared with the $496.9 billion received by equity funds from 1999 to 2000, according to data compiled by Bloomberg and the Washington-based Investment Company Institute." $480Bn?!? Whuck!?!
Monday, August 23, 2010
Fear Of God, the Fed's Primary Tool / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The fear of God – or the perception of power – this is the primary tool of the Fed these days. It’s not credibility anymore, as this has been damaged to the same extent as its balance sheet. This is widely understood as a primary fundamental within the larger scheme of things in that the dollar ($) is the world’s primary reserve currency, where expectations associated with renewed Quantitative Easing (QE) is common place, and now talk of hyperinflation is growing amongst the more plugged in market observers. And it’s this that accounts for the growing and extreme bearishness amongst speculators concerning the $.
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Monday, August 23, 2010
Financial and Economic Forecasts 2010, Investment Implications / / Financial Markets 2010
Exactly one year ago, in the first Weiss global forum, we forecast a massive shift in wealth from Western countries bogged down in debt and recession … to Asia and emerging markets enjoying rapid growth.
Now, that shift is in full swing!
So, last week, I again gathered my team of international experts to tell you what we think is coming next.
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Monday, August 23, 2010
Are Gold and SP500 Topping Out Here? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Prices continue to churn as traders and investors try to figure if they want their hard earned dollar in cash or investments. The market is very jittery simply because no one wants to get caught on the wrong side of the market if it makes another 30-40% move, which is why we are seeing money rotate in and out each with very little commitment and follow through. Until a major trend looks to be in place most investors will not me holding many positions over night or through the weekend.
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Sunday, August 22, 2010
Third Hinderburg Omen Signals Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
FDIC Friday back on the job.- The FDIC Failed Bank List announced eight new bank closures this week. My count suggests 118 on August 20th. ShoreBank Corp., the Chicago lender operating under a Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. cease-and- desist order for 13 months, will be shut and most of its assets will be bought by Urban Partnership Bank, two people with direct knowledge of the matter said.
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Sunday, August 22, 2010
America's Financial System Based on Debt Deception, Stock Markets Headed a Lot Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“When power leads man toward arrogance, poetry reminds him of his limitations. When power narrows the areas of man's concern, poetry reminds him of the richness and diversity of his experience. When power corrupts, poetry cleanses. For art establishes the basic human truths which must serve as the touchstones of our judgment. The artist. . . faithful to his personal vision of reality, becomes the last champion of the individual mind and sensibility against an intrusive society and an offensive state.” - John F. Kennedy
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Sunday, August 22, 2010
Central Bankers Stoking the Inflation Fires, Whilst Academic Economists Worry about Deflation / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2010
The Market Oracle NewsletterAugust 15th, 2010 Issue #47 Vol. 4
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Saturday, August 21, 2010
Clear Signals That Market Risk Is Elevating / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
It’s no secret the economic data in the U.S. and other major economies have rolled over. That’s why bond yields have taken another nose dive — hitting record lows in Germany and nearing record lows in the U.K., the U.S. and Japan, as shown in the chart below.
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Saturday, August 21, 2010
PRESERVE and PROTECT Mapping the Financial Markets Tipping Points / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The economic news has turned decidedly negative globally and a sense of 'quiet before the storm' permeates the financial headlines. Arcane subjects such as a Hindenburg Omen now make mainline news. The retail investor continues to flee the equity markets and in concert with the institutional players relentlessly pile into the perceived safety of yield instruments, though they are outrageously expensive by any proven measure. Like trying to buy a pump during a storm flood, people are apparently willing to pay any price. As a sailor, it feels like the ominous period where the crew is fastening down the hatches and preparing for the squall that is clearly on the horizon. Few crew mates are talking as everyone is checking preparations for any eventuality. Are you prepared?
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Saturday, August 21, 2010
U.S. Treasuries Go Parabolic as Hedge Funds Exit From Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Jobless Claims in U.S. Rose to Highest Since November - Claims for U.S. jobless benefits jumped to the highest level since November and Philadelphia-area manufacturing shrank for the first time in a year, indicating the economy may be slowing faster than forecast.
The number of unemployment claims unexpectedly shot up by 12,000 to 500,000 in the week ended Aug. 14, Labor Department figures showed today in Washington. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s general economic index turned negative in August, signaling contraction.
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Friday, August 20, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Warning, What About the Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
MarketWatch columnist Bill Farrell writes Warning, bear market 2010: 11 ’sells.’ Only 6 ‘buys’, detailing the current buy and sell recommendations of well known economist and Forbes writer Gary Schilling. We’ve summarized Schilling’s 17 strategies below:
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Friday, August 20, 2010
U.S. Markets and Economic Contraction... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The Philly Fed report really shook up a lot of investors who had counted on a continued modest expansion.
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Thursday, August 19, 2010
SP500 and Gold Forecast Follow-Up / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
In my last article a few weeks ago for Kitco.com, I was concerned that the market could have a hangover after the recent rally. Apparently, my concern was not un-founded as we dropped from a rising bearish wedge near 1130, to the 1070 Fibonacci pivot earlier this week. Although my subscribers were prepared for this drop by shorting the SP 500 in advance of that move, we covered our short near 1070 on the SP this week.
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Thursday, August 19, 2010
Efficient Market Hypothesis: R.I.P. / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Of all the belief systems of Wall Street, few can claim the devoted following of the Efficient Market Hypothesis, the idea that stock prices adhere to the same laws of supply-and-demand that govern retail products. Once coined the theoretical "Parthenon" of economics, this notion has consistently endured the test of time ----- until now. Academics and advisors across the globe are currently exposing crack after crack in the "Efficient" model so deep as to bring the entire theory crashing to the ground.
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Thursday, August 19, 2010
Gold, Silver, Crude Oil and SP500 ETF Trend Trading and Reversal Levels / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Trading commodities and indexes through the use of exchange traded funds sure keeps things simple for an average trader. These funds allow individual investors to buy and sell things like gold, silver, oil, the sp500 and other investments which where not available only few months ago like “wheat” for example.
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Wednesday, August 18, 2010
Financial Markets Which Way Wednesday - Will Connecticut Last A Week? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
According to its Comptroller, CT will be down to a week’s worth of cash unless it issues $520M in debt by Fall.
If the planned offering of general bond obligations is delayed until 2011, "This coming fall the state would likely have just over a week’s worth of expenses in the bank — a level lower than advisable," Napier wrote in an August 13 letter that is posted on her website. "Conceivably, the State may run out of funds for capital expenses that have already been authorized, allocated and incurred, such as school construction projects," she added. So before the end of the year, Connecticut expects to offer the $520 million of general obligations and as much as $600 million of special tax obligations, which would raise money for transportation. Both issues likely would be offered via negotiation.
Monday, August 16, 2010
Stocks Distributing Into Weak Hands, Politicians With the Worst of Intentions / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Ancient Rome declined because it had a Senate, now what's going to happen to us with both a House and a Senate? - by Will Rogers, humorist
Housing foreclosures hit new highs last month as the hangover from the housing bubble continues. It is estimated that 32% of all mortgages now have negative equity, meaning the debt on the house exceeds the value of the house. So here’s a question: if you bought a house for US $400,000, you have a mortgage on it for $350,000, and it’s worth US$ 225,000, what is the proper business decision to make? I’m not talking about the moral dilemma here; I am simply looking at it as a business decision.
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Sunday, August 15, 2010
Gold, Crude Oil, SP500 and U.S. Dollar Trading At Key Pivot Points / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Last week was exciting as investments rocketed higher or tank… We saw Gold and the US Dollar pop while oil and equities dropped sharply with heavy volume.
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Sunday, August 15, 2010
Central Bankers Stoking the Inflation Fires, Whilst Academic Economists Worry about Deflation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
This week the Bank of England Governor Mervyn King realised that his attempts at talking inflation down have failed and that now 8 months on he is looking rather foolish by continually stating that high inflation is just temporary, where even the mainstream press that had been lapping up the mantra are now no longer taking him seriously, so now the Governor is suggesting that inflation will remain above the 2% target level for the whole of 2011 (current CPI 3.2%, RPI 5%) which translates into watch for UK CPI to go above 4% and and RPI above 6% during 2011, in line with my expectations since early May.
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