Category: Financial Markets 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, March 22, 2010
Wall Street Redux / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
There has been no shortage of mainstream media coverage regarding the public’s growing outrage with Wall Street and its now unparalleled lust for money and power (greed), with everything from Matt Taibbi’s comprehensive accounting of the growing scandal entitled Wall Street’s Bailout Hustle, to the hollow calls from politicians to rein in these apparently misguided people, heavy on the sarcasm here. And with the growing Tea Party Movement and the success of independent candidates like Ron Paul aiming at the next Presidency, you had better believe the bureaucracy (the bureaucracy behind the two party system that really runs the country) is concerned about this growing outrage, where in the balance the final straw that ultimately breaks the camel’s back might have been thrown with this past year’s record bonus packages – this while main street suffers and Washington’s disregard for this suffering is evident.
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Sunday, March 21, 2010
Fed Orchestrated Money Printing Lifts Stock Market Higher / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Technology is usually a wonderful thing. Advances in production allow us to manufacture and ship countless items, to every corner of the world, on a daily bases. Improvements in communication allow an individual to call the other side of the world in seconds whereas four decades ago you would wait hours, sometimes a day, for an international operator to place your call. You can now surf a thousand channels on your TV instead of the three channels that existed when I was a kid, and world events are brought into your living room as they happen.
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Sunday, March 21, 2010
Stock Market Indices Hit 18 Month Highs on Fed Policy Statement / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The major stock market indices added to their gains this week - obtaining comfort from the Fed’s policy statement that the “juice” was not about to be removed anytime soon - and hit 18-month highs before closing down on Friday as “quadruple witching day” in the US weighed on sentiment. A day earlier on Thursday, the S&P 500 tracking ETF (SPY) broke a 14-day winning streak - its longest since the launch of the ETF in 1993.
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Sunday, March 21, 2010
Stock and Gold Market Trading Range Madness / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
One of the most salient observations that can be made in the financial market is the tendency of market averages to enter lengthy trading range after a prolonged uptrend or downtrend. This temporarily directionless trend of prices, or consolidation, within a range creates a psychological discomfort among investors that at times is quite palpable. Taken to an extreme, a trading range tends to manifest itself emotionally among market participants and in ways that can be sometimes be observed even in non-participants. The longer the market continues in a lateral or directionless range, the more discomfited the crowd tends to be.
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Saturday, March 20, 2010
Has the Stock Market Broadening Top Crested? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The finger-pointing has already begun - Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said the central bank and other U.S. regulators “failed” during the financial crisis because they became too complacent about risks.
“Even with the breakdown of private risk-management, the financial system would have held together had the second bulwark against crisis -- our regulatory system -- functioned effectively,” Greenspan said in the text of a speech at a Brookings Institution conference today. “But, under crisis pressure, it too failed.”
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Friday, March 19, 2010
China Joins Inflation Mega-Trend, Stock Market Drifts Higher Into Resistance, Delaying Correction? / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2010
The Market Oracle NewsletterMarch 14th, 2010 Issue #15 Vol. 4
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Thursday, March 18, 2010
Stock Market Sentiment Remains Positive / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
We have seen some more negative commentary on China over the past 24 hours, including from the likes of the World Bank (which in its latest quarterly report called for a tighter monetary policy stance to combat the risk of large asset prices increases and bad debts from the financing of local government projects). Yet the overall tone of markets has remained distinctly positive, with key European bourses approaching new highs for the year, US markets making new cyclical highs and commodity prices and commodity currencies generally strengthening.
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Thursday, March 18, 2010
Stock and Commodity ETF Trading Sector Rotation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Earlier this week I noticed a pattern in the market throughout an entire trading session that has inspired me to write a short piece on sector rotation.
On Tuesday March 16th, my quote screen was flashing green as sectors reached new intraday highs or 52 week highs. The interesting part was that every sector that was flashing green happened to be in sectors that strengthen at the end of a bull market cycle or strong rally. This would include basic materials, staples, services, utilities and financial.
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Thursday, March 18, 2010
Gold, Stocks and Falling Inflation Producer Price Index / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell a large 0.6% in the month of February, twice the projected decline. The poor performance was blamed on declining oil prices, but if the crude oil futures pit is to be believed, the April contract opened the month of February at 74.91 and closed out the month of February at 79.66. That’s a gain in my book! Of course there is nothing to worry about since the “core” number, excluding food and energy, still rose by 0.1%.
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Wednesday, March 17, 2010
Fed Keeps The Cheap Money Tap Running / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Leading into the release of the US Federal Reserve minutes yesterday evening, the unknown was what the wording of the statement would be like. Some traders were afraid that the Fed would ease back on its promise to keep rates low for an “extended period”. But in the end, the market bulls got what they wanted as the statement included the sentence “are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period.” (For a second consecutive meeting, Kansas City Fed Pres Hoenig dissented, saying that the “extended period” is no longer warranted).
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Tuesday, March 16, 2010
Financial Market Investors & Traders Beware The Ides of March / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“Beware the Ides of March”, Soothsayer to Julius Caesar
Last night the Chinese market treaded water with little change and I would like to continue the discussion started over the weekend with respect to the US’s largest creditor. China’s recent stimulus package was instrumental in preventing a major slowdown in their export sector as the world economy cooled. Now they are busy reigning in an economy that is growing at more
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Sunday, March 14, 2010
China Joins Inflation Mega-Trend, Stock Market Drifts Higher Into Resistance, Delaying Correction? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The stock market drifted higher all week with the Dow closing up at 10625, meanwhile the FTSE raced ahead to a new bull market high of 5625, which is not surprising given the fact that the FTSE is mostly populated with international companies with a large % of overseas earnings, therefore a 10% drop in sterling makes these stocks 10% cheaper hence the out performance of the nominal indices.
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Sunday, March 14, 2010
Riding the Stocks Stealth Bull Market Without Falling Off / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2010
The Market Oracle NewsletterMarch 7th, 2010 Issue #14 Vol. 4
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Sunday, March 14, 2010
U.S. Financial System is On the Edge of Default / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The dramatic and costly undertow of deflation continues unabated, as government via fiscal policy and the Federal Reserve, by creating money and credit out of thin air, proceed to overpower this deflation with massive inflation.
Unbeknownst to most the Fed and the Treasury have been maintaining this program for the past several years, accompanied by most major countries, all of which have taken the path of least resistance rather than address the underlying problems.
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Sunday, March 14, 2010
Stock Markets Push to New Highs Despite Lingering Credit Crisis and Recession Reminders / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Shrugging off some lingering reminders of the credit crisis and recession, investors last week marked the one-year anniversary of the bear market low by pushing many benchmark equity indices to cycle highs.
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Saturday, March 13, 2010
Stock Market Broadening Top, Time to Look for the Exit? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Confidence among U.S. consumers unexpectedly declined for a second month in March, a sign Americans are discouraged about the labor market.
The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary consumer sentiment index fell to 72.5 from February’s final reading of 73.6. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News projected the gauge would increase to 74, according to the median estimate.
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Friday, March 12, 2010
The Unfolding Economic Depression and Continuing BOOM Commodities and Natural Resources / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
As the commencement of the next leg down in the developed world’s economies continues to unfold like the sunset at the end of the day, the emerging world is HEALTHIER than ever and economic sunrise is still on their horizons. Economic trains traveling in completely different directions. In the emerging world, growth, capitalism, creative destruction and competition are embraced; they know the recipe for an expanding economy which means more food on everyone’s plates.
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Thursday, March 11, 2010
Financial Markets Biggest Question For the Next Two Months / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The biggest question for the next several months for markets is what?
Now that the S and P rallied over 60 pct since last March 2009, and pretty much all other markets except housing and real estate have also rallied (anything connected to financial markets that received the half of the several $trillion of US and other central bank emergency money infusions beginning big around March 2009) it begs the question when there will be a correction. Or a crash.
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Thursday, March 11, 2010
Gold, Silver, Crude Oil and Natural Gas Mid-Week Technical Trading Charts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
So far this week has been pretty slow. Large cap stocks continue to lag the market which can be observed by looking at the Dow Jones Industrial Average which still has room to move higher before breaking the January high.
One important thing to note is that volume has picked up this week considerably – particularly on the SP500 and OEX. It’s difficult to say if this volume is a good sign or not.
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Thursday, March 11, 2010
Stock Market Softer on Fears Tighter Chinese Policy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
A pretty moribund Wednesday but market sentiment has remained tilted towards the positive. In the US, the S&P500 took another stride towards eclipsing the 19 January high with a further 0.5% gain, helped by solid increases in the financials and the IT sector (of course the Nasdaq has already made new highs). US Treasury bonds were a bit weaker after the $21 billion 10 year auction. The auction itself was quite strong, with the bid-to-cover ratio of 3.45 comparing with the average of 2.77 over the last ten 10 year auctions.
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