Category: Financial Markets 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, March 11, 2010
Stock Market Rally Optical Illusions, “Oil Shocks,” and China’s Headache / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
March 9th, marked the one-year anniversary of the elusive bottom of the most brutal bear market since the 1930’s. At the time, job losses were running in excess of 700,000 /month, and fear was rife that the US-banking system was on the verge of being nationalized. American factories and miners were using 68% of industrial capacity, the lowest level since records began in 1948. Corporate profits fell sharply for the seventh consecutive quarter, the longest losing streak since the 1930’s. The second coming of the “Great Depression” looked imminent.
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Wednesday, March 10, 2010
What’s Really Going On In The Financial and Commodity Markets This Year / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Most of the articles and media reporting are centered around the stock market, because most investors and traders look to the stock market for returns. A few newspapers and magazines occasionally talk about commodities, but are mostly reporting on Gold, Copper and Oil.
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Wednesday, March 10, 2010
Structural Weakness of the US Dollar Means Rally Will Not Last / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Every important factor we see is working against the dollar and we believe that trend is irreversible. That means the present dollar rally probably cannot endure and it could well be the time to short the USDX.
Most observers discuss Europe’s problems and the plight of the euro, pound, and the Danish and Swedish koronas. They believe these European currencies will plunge lower versus the dollar and that the dollar will maintain, even after a dollar rally from 74 to 81 on the USDX. As we have said before the euro was unnatural creation born of a desire to usher in a world currency. As we shall see in the future the euro will fail.
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Tuesday, March 09, 2010
Entropy, Why the World as We Know It Is Dying / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By David Galland, Managing Editor, The Casey Report
The concept of entropy is one of the most useful terms for understanding just about everything. While it has its origins in natural law – thermodynamics, specifically – the concept holds true pretty much across all closed systems.
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Monday, March 08, 2010
Stock Commodity and Financial Markets Chart Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The Chinese market, as represented by the Shanghai Composite has a very vulnerable aspect to it and needs to do some serious work on the upside to take off and extend its bull move.
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Monday, March 08, 2010
Battle of the Titans, Stocks Bulls vs Bears, Inflation vs Deflation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
It’s a battle between the bull and the bear – fear and greed – inflation and deflation – in the stock market. Of course when it comes to this sentiment the same can be said about all markets, which is what makes them markets in the end, however stocks are close to people’s hearts because of widespread participation these days. Today however, because so much of the money in the market is being handled by ‘other people’, being brokers or hedge funds, the concepts of fear and greed are not what they were, with the public now largely oblivious or numbed to the awareness they should have when it comes to their financial futures. What’s more, because of this an unscrupulous financial services industry has become completely corrupted beyond repair, which will be their (and our) undoing in the end.
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Monday, March 08, 2010
A Cyclical Peak into the Future for Stocks, Dollar and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Readers love my cycles approach to the markets because it lets them peek into the future paths of market action in various assets.
So in this issue, I’ll give you an updated glimpse into the future of some key markets using cycle analysis — the historical study of the internal rhythms and hidden forces that truly drive the markets. It’s the best forecasting method I know of.
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Monday, March 08, 2010
Gravest Financial Dangers and Greatest Investor Profits / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
We now face the gravest financial dangers — and the greatest profit opportunities — in two generations.
But before I tell you about what the future could bring, let me tell you how my family and I have come to this place and time.
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Monday, March 08, 2010
Stocks Look To Consolidate Gains From Friday / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
On Friday a combination of better-than-expected data and easing sovereign concerns combined to deliver some very constructive price action in equity markets, with key bourses across Europe and the US making seven-week highs. Commodity prices strengthened and the Baltic Dry Freight Index posted a strong increase for a third consecutive session (and the seventh consecutive increase in total) to make a six-week high.
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Sunday, March 07, 2010
Riding the Stocks Stealth Bull Market Without Falling Off / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Whilst the mainstream press and financial blogosphere obsesses over doom and gloom as a consequence of the sovereign debt default scenario, the stock market continues to show underlying strength with a strong late week rally that pushed the Dow to a close of 10,562, far above the preceding swing high of 10,438. Clearly where the stock market is concerned the sovereign debt crisis talk is just background noise that continues to keep the scared money away from investing, just as has been the case for the past 12 months where every correction breeds panic Sell commentary.
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Sunday, March 07, 2010
The Stock Market Energizer Bunny Rally, Bearish Head and Shoulders Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
FDIC Friday is a quiet one.The FDIC Failed Bank List announced four new bank closures for the week. 26 banks havefailed in 2010. Are things picking up?
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Friday, March 05, 2010
Protecting Profits from The Apparent Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“Senators Outline Plan to Create New Consumer-Protection Unit Within The Fed.”
“Deal Near on Banking Rules”
Wall Street Journal, 3/2/10
Friday, March 05, 2010
Financial Markets Weathering U.S. Payrolls Report / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Markets have really struggled for direction overnight, perhaps not surprising with the US non-farm payrolls report looming large. US equities closed modestly in the black but the commodity complex was generally a touch weaker, credit spreads a touch wider and the Dollar stronger. Walt Disney climbed 2.9% after Bank of America recommended the shares, while Coca-Cola and Boeing rose at least 1% as UBS lifted its ratings on the stocks. Abercrombie & Fitch surged 15% to lead gains in retailers on higher than estimated monthly sales.
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Thursday, March 04, 2010
Trends In Gold, 10 Year Treasury Yields, And Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the S&P500 and the indicator is shown in the lower panel. This week's value isn't reflected in the indicator until Friday's close, but if the markets closed right now the indicator would be at the extreme zone. If you had been so smart to only "buy" the S&P500 during those times when the indicator was extreme, then you would get those trades seen in figure 1. Winning trades are in green; the losing trades are noted by the red trend line.
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Wednesday, March 03, 2010
Stock Market Improving Risk Sentiment Despite Continuing Greek Debt Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Risk sentiment has improved further over the past 24 hours. In part this reflects a further easing of concerns about the situation in Greece, with newswires reporting that the Greek government will today announce as much as EUR4.8bn of additional deficit cuts. New measures that will include higher tobacco, alcohol and sales taxes and deeper cuts in public workers’ bonus payments.
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Tuesday, March 02, 2010
The Dollar Nears it's Cyclical Ides of March / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The indexes closed near the high of their monthly range. The S&P and the Nasdaq have been out performing the Dow.The transports were very strong Friday making new highs for the recent rally. The long term interest rates fell hitting levels last see two months ago, as bond prices also closed near monthly highs. You know a rising tide is lifting all boats when bonds rally, indicating a slowing economy and transports rally suggesting more products being moved and sold. Clearly the market smells a change in money flow.
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Monday, March 01, 2010
Nine Shocking Forecasts for Stocks, Gold, Economy and Financial Markets for 2010-2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
We have just ended an online video conference to brief investors on major events that could forever change your future.
We made nine new predictions to pinpoint, as accurately as possible, how and when that future is likely to unfold.
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Monday, March 01, 2010
The Author of "A Gift To My Children", Jim Rogers, Is Taking Your Questions Online / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Cofounder of the Quantum Fund which returned 4200 percent in ten years, Jim Rogers retired by age thirty-seven to embark on a motocycle trip across six continents to break another world record. A regular on business channels known for his candor and insight, Jim is now taking YOUR questions on DearCEO !
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Monday, March 01, 2010
Stock Market Rallying into Key Reversal Date 2nd March / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
All eyes on 3/2 as we approach our key reversal date.
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Sunday, February 28, 2010
Gold, Silver, Oil and Stock Index Trading Charts / Commodities / Financial Markets 2010
Three weeks ago on February 5th, we saw an extremely high level of fear in the market with selling vs. buying volume at a 9:1 ratio. We note that in 2009 this extreme level of fear occurred at the bottom of each significant pullback.
Since this panic selling low in February 2010 we have seen stocks and commodities work their way higher, which we expected. Overall the broad market looks as though it’s trying to make a move higher.
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