Category: Stock Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Saturday, August 15, 2015
U.S. Stock Markets Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Gary_Tanashian
Reviewing the US stock market picture from a few different angles...
NFTRH been using the Equity Put/Call ratio to gauge pressure on the US stock market for all of 2015. Many people think that anxiety indicators like this and the VIX are contrary indicators (i.e. when they spike you buy the fear in the markets, which often does work well) but when smoothing out CPCE using a moving average (weekly EMA 20 in this case) you get a trend.
The market benefited over long stretches from the calm atmosphere and the down trend in put buying vs. call buying. One explanation is that the market felt safe in mommy and daddy's arms (Bernanke and Yellen, amidst 'peak confidence' in the Fed with a side of Goldilocks).
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 13, 2015
Will The Stock Market Return to Earth This Summer? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Clif_Droke
What accounts for the equity bull market's stubborn refusal to bend to the bears' will despite a clear lack of internal strength? That's the question investors are asking right now in what has been a grinding, directionless stock market this summer.
The answer to that question is simple to answer, yet complex when you look below its surface. Corporate funds are driving this bull market much more so than direct participation by small retail investors. The pattern that has been established since the start of this year has been a case of wash, rinse, repeat: the S&P 500 Index (SPX) rallies to either a new high or a previous high, then the sellers enter to force stock prices lower. The sellers rarely succeed in pushing the SPX much below its 200-day moving average before the buyers step back in to regain control. The net result of this continual process has been a lateral trading range for much of this year.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 12, 2015
Dow Death Cross / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The Dow just saw its 50-day Moving Average cross the 200-day Moving Average in the last day or so.
ZeroHedge reports, “Just as we warned yesterday, unless the Dow can miraculously rally over 17,850, The Dow will close in a Death Cross pattern. This is the first time that the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average since August 2011 (which was followed by a 1300 point swing from high to low in The Dow)...
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 12, 2015
Are Stocks the Next Oil (or Uranium, Copper, Silver)? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Gary_Tanashian
See: Oil collapse couldn't come at a worse time for industrySee: 2007, when everyone was convinced of 'Peak Oil' and there were websites named 'Peak Oil', 'Oil Drum', etc. constantly reinforcing the mania.
I remember being away on business one day in 2007, with nothing better to do in my hotel room than watch the congressional debates about 'peak oil' and what to do about the evil speculators that were driving prices up. I enjoy watching a good mania as much as the next guy. I realized that what we were seeing was 'Peak Hysteria' with respect to this phenomenon. I thought, 'Yup, Prechter's right'.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 12, 2015
Will the Malaysian Ringgit and Stock Market goes Terminal Velocity? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Sam_Chee_Kong
It is a known fact that one of the hottest topics of discussion among Malaysians for past few months has been our Ringgit. Thanks to our current economic debacle, it helped raised our awareness of our economic situation. Despite the numerous propaganda engaged by our authorities assuring us of our economy’s resilience, it still failed to alleviate our suspicions. Cliché like high level of international reserves, current account surplus, solid domestic financial system and Ringgit reflecting our economic fundamentals were often used. Is it true that our economy is really that resilient and solid? This article aims to look into the current state of affairs of the Malaysian economy and also how it affects the Ringgit.
Wednesday, August 12, 2015
Dow Stocks Index Makes it Seven / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - SPX may have started an intermediate correction
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 11, 2015
Stock Market Bubbles: What the Media Misunderstands / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com D.R. Barton, Jr writes: Since the last bona fide financial bubble, the real estate and credit bubble of 2007 to 2009, it seems like every time anyone pays a few pennies too much for a stock, there is a flock of analysts ready to start crowing "bubble!" like so many birds on a wire.
I believe that any pundit who calls a sector or market a "bubble" when they really mean "fundamentally or technically overbought" should be banished from pontificating until the real bubble appears.
That's no hollow gripe: These talking heads can do serious damage with their flawed analyses. Regular investors who heed their bad advice can end up prematurely exiting what are in fact strong, lucrative positions, leaving billions in upside on the table.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 10, 2015
Stock Investors Shelter from These Storms in the Distance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: In South Florida, we call the dog days of summer the "mean season", as vicious thunderstorms move over the Everglades every afternoon and attack the east coast with lightning strikes and blinding downpours. We keep our fingers crossed that the storms won't morph hurricanes that can sweep the ocean over the land and cause catastrophic destruction.
After a period of intense hurricane activity in the early 2000s, it's been ten years since we've been hit by any serious storms, and we are being told that strong El Nino conditions will likely protect us again this season. But we know that sooner or later our luck will run out, and we will be back in the eye of dangerous winds and storm surges. And, at least for a moment, we'll wish we lived somewhere other than in paradise.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 09, 2015
Stock Market 4 Year Rest or P4 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2104. It ticked up to SPX 2106 to start the week, then traded down to 2087 on Monday. A rally started Monday afternoon carrying the SPX to 2113 by Wednesday. Then the market pulled back to end the week at SPX 2078. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.55%, the NDX/NAZ were -1.60%, and the DJ World was down 0.9%. On the economic front positive reports outpaced negative ones. On the uptick: personal income/spending, the PCE, construction spending, factory orders, ISM services, and consumer credit. On the downtick: ISM manufacturing, the ADP, monthly Payrolls, plus the trade deficit and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week will be highlighted by Industrial production, Retail sales and the PPI.
Saturday, August 08, 2015
Nasdaq Monthly Not A Pretty Picture... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
One thing that has kept me from getting ridiculously bullish over the past several months, and something I have discussed quite frequently, is the look of the index-monthly charts, from the Nasdaq to just about everyone one else. Extremely elevated both in price and on those momentum oscillators. They have stayed overbought for such a long time that after a while you tend to try or even want to pretend they don't exist. If you looked at them head on every day you'd feel like you would never want to own another stock until they've completely unwound themselves. Scary looking is putting it mildly. So we look at the recent selling and wonder if those monthly charts are finally starting to hit the market. That the news out there is meaningless noise, good or bad. That the only thing that matters is quite likely those monthly charts.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 07, 2015
One of the Most Useful Stock Markets Reports You Will Ever Read / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: EWI
Would foreknowledge of the news put you ahead of the investment crowd?
Editor's note: You'll find the text version of the story below the video.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 06, 2015
Stock Market Swinging Wildly.....No Change....Sentiment Still Unwinding / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
It's a fact we've all gotten used to. At least I hope you have by now. Today is yet another day that makes no sense, thus it does. We had three days of poor action, and then after hours last night the futures were falling hard, mostly due to a very poor earnings report from Dow leader The Walt Disney Company (DIS). An unexpected miss with a bad outlook for the rest of this year in to 2016. The stock crushed, and I mean crushed, after hours. Futures were falling hard. It looked like another huge down day was dead ahead. We wake up this morning to a large gap up, even though DIS actually worsened. Go figure! As we've surely gotten used to, we saw the highs of the day erode over time, but with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq holding on to some gains.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 05, 2015
Stock Market Margin Debt - Don't Let This Nonsense Number Fool You / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: DailyWealth
Dr. David Eifrig writes: Some people just want to see the worst in a stock market...
They like to take every fact or statistic they can find and twist it into an omen of doom.
We don't work that way. In my Retirement Trader newsletter, we look at the facts, talk about them, and draw simple conclusions about what's possible.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 05, 2015
Crisis Meets Opportunity: See the Evidence, make up your Own Mind / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
Over the next few days, we're inviting you to watch a recent live talk given by Elliott Wave International chief market analyst and former Merrill analyst Steve Hochberg to a packed audience of some of San Francisco's top independent investors.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 05, 2015
Another Stock Market Extreme: IPOs' Lack of Accounting Standards - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: EWI
by Steve Hochberg, Elliott Wave International's Chief Market Analyst
Last month at the San Francisco Money Show event for investors and traders, Steve Hochberg, Elliott Wave International's Chief Market Analyst, addressed the audience with a series of eye-opening insights.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 05, 2015
Submerging Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
This week's commentary takes a look at emerging markets but first a review of the most recent Hybrid Lindsay forecast for the Dow Industrials index.
The July 14 commentary mentioned the official forecast for a low in the period July 24-31 but also explained why "a tradable low is very close". Indeed, last week's low was seen that day. The next forecast-high generated by the Hybrid Lindsay model is expected late in the week of August 10 or early during the week of August 17.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 04, 2015
Is This Stocks Bull Market Summit? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Puru_Saxena
The primary uptrend in common stocks began in March 2009, so this bull-market is now over 6 years old. The bull-market on Wall Street was unleashed by the Federal Reserve's unprecedented QE program and it is not a coincidence that its momentum waned around the same time America's central bank stopped buying bonds.
You will recall that over the past several months, we repeatedly stated that the stock market's breadth was getting narrower and that not all sectors were participating in the festivities. Accordingly, we positioned our managed portfolios in the strongest areas and sectors of the market.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 04, 2015
The Troika Loan Shark Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Doug_Wakefield
July has turned out to be a very volatile month for stocks, whether Asia, Europe, US, or worldwide. Every time it appeared that something from the real world of finance and economics might create at least another 10% “correction” from all time high readings in US stocks, “someone” was there to make certain that investors and traders - especially in Europe, Japan, and the US - saw no lasting impact from the events in China and Greece with their own investments.
Monday, August 03, 2015
Stock Market SPX Triggers Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has now crossed below both the 50-day Moving Average and the 2-hour mid-Cycle support at 2097.72. SPX is back on an aggressive sell that becomes a confirmed sell below the 200-day Moving Average at 2069.43.
Monday, August 03, 2015
Stock Market High Risk Area? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Marty_Chenard
I have often commented how important the trending of the Institutional "core holdings" were. If you think about it ... here is a group that has millions of dollars available for research and who pick what they consider to be the best, strongest, and safest stocks to buy.
So the trending of their group of "core holdings" says more about what the market will do then most of the other indexes.
Read full article... Read full article...