Category: Stock Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, July 20, 2015
Stock Market in Danger of Bear Slide / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last week I was looking for a short term low Monday and a rally into Wednesday, then down into week's end. The short term low occurred on Sunday in the futures market then sky rocketed all the way into Friday, July 17. In the past, whenever I've seen the 8 TD top go 10 TD's on a 16 TD top area, the market got over extended and lead to hard selling the following week.
Clearly, my forecast was a miss, but I don't think the next one will be too far off. We have the 16 TD low due July 22-24 (July 24 if we go 18 TD's like the last top). The next top is the 8 TD top due right on the FED meeting date July 29. The following week sees the 5/40 wk low due around the 5th of August.
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Monday, July 20, 2015
Stock Market Relief Rally and More / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - SPX may have started an intermediate correction
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, July 19, 2015
The Historical DOW Stock Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
Some are concerned that the stock market is overvalued, and the bull market may end soon with a resounding crash. They have some valid points. US GDP, to date, has underperformed most modern recoveries. Corporate revenues have been soft lately due to the USD’s bull market. Interest rates are at historical lows and can only go higher, eventually. Record corporate stock buy backs have been helping to drive the stock market higher. Nearly everywhere you look Central Bankers are increasing their balance sheets by buying debt, and stocks in some cases. And, there are bubbles forming in the Bond market, Biotech, and Social media sectors.
Saturday, July 18, 2015
Stock Market Technical Weakness Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Christopher_Quigley
The expected “oversold technical bounce” due to recent market weakness materialized this week. With the good news from Greece spurring sentiment on, the NASDAQ has just jumped to new highs with the Dow 30 and S & P 500 not too far behind. Nothing unusual here. However, just like a clay mound in the Australian desert that is being burrowed out by termites the American stock market’s apparent strength is actually being hollowed out by technical failure.
Saturday, July 18, 2015
Stock Market Room For Further Upside....Transports Bottoming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The short-term charts were overbought on the Nasdaq, Dow, S&P 500, etc. It would be good if we could unwind them. That's exactly what we saw on everything other than the Nasdaq, but that was because Google Inc. (GOOG) was up so much on their earnings. Also, Apple Inc. (AAPL) did well, and it's heavily weighted, but, for the most part, things did unwind. A little more wouldn't be a bad thing, but that doesn't have to happen since the trend overall is still higher and weakness is being bought up. I say higher overall since the long-term trend is up and since 2040 S&P 500 has held on a closing basis. The bears came close, but no cigar. 2044 two times the best they could muster up. Today saw a small gap down on the S&P 500 and Dow, while the Nasdaq gapped up on Google Inc. (GOOG). The rest of the day was spent in a very narrow range as the bulls were trying very hard not to allow too much in terms of price erosion. They're doing their best to keep the S&P 500 close to 2134.
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Saturday, July 18, 2015
Are Institutional Stock Market Investors Starting to Worry? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Marty_Chenard
There is an old adage about when the VIX is too low. During the past 5 days, it dropped almost 40% and it is now at a historically low level.
Since the VIX (Volatility Index) moves opposite to the stock market, it is saying: don't worry, everything is wonderful.
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Friday, July 17, 2015
Stock Market Investors Take the Low Risk Road / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
The S&P 500 Index has hit numerous new highs in the past three years. Note the log-scale graph below and the broken support lines from 2000 and 2007. The current support line, depending on where it is drawn, is on the verge of breaking.
Friday, July 17, 2015
Beware of Stocks vs Crude Oil Price / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ashraf_Laidi
How high can stocks go following the dissipation of Grexit, reiterated ECB calls to stick with its asset purchases and the stabilisation in Chinese stocks? Can equity bulls ignore the relationship between oil and stocks?
The 22% decline in oil from the May high raises the old question from early Q1: Will cutbacks from oil companies weigh on overall spending? Remember how in January, economists raised the red flag over oil prices' tumble below $50s, owing to the implications of severe cuts in capital expenditure by big oil/gas companies could, falling by as 20%, as low revenues no longer justify project finance.
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Friday, July 17, 2015
8 Unprecedented Extremes Indicate a Stock Market Bubble in Trouble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: EWI
This article was adapted from Robert Prechter's June 2015 Elliott Wave Theorist. For more charts and detailed commentary, analysis and forecasts from Prechter's latest issues, click here for the extended subscriber version of this report -- it's free.
It is amazing to read assertions from the Fed and others that the stock market is nowhere near being in a bubble. Several aspects of the financial environment are actually so extreme as to be unprecedented. Some indicate a bubble, and others a bubble in trouble.
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Thursday, July 16, 2015
Stock Market Fed Follies and Assorted Shenanigans / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jesse
Stocks managed to hold their own today in honor of Janet Yellen's testimony before the House. And it was painful to watch.
The Greek situation continues to remain highly unstable, but the rinse cycle is not quite due yet. but the markets are ignoring these things because of 'technical conditions.'
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Thursday, July 16, 2015
Stock Market Volatility Likely to Slow / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Richard_Cox
When we look at the historical trends of the market, some interesting trends start to emerge. It can be said that historical averages are not always applicable to what is likely to happen in any given market situation but the fundamentals and technicals are currently aligning in ways that suggests the historical trends in stocks are likely to continue for the next few months. For stocks, this ultimately means a period of prolonged sideways trading that is likely to persist either until the summer months have finished or until the Federal Reserve actually makes it clear that interest rates will be rising according to a specific timetable.
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Thursday, July 16, 2015
Stock Market Positive Expectations Following Greece Debt Deal - New All-time Highs Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, July 16, 2015
Stock Market Holding Ahead Of Parliament Vote In Greece... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The market started the day overbought on the short-term sixty-minute charts. It seemed likely we would sell early in order to unwind those overbought conditions, but that wasn't the case at all. The market didn't blast up as 70 RSI stopped things a bit, but it did move up some. As the day wore on we finally started to see the oscillators unwind some as the market fell a bit. Nothing dramatic, but it fell a little bit off the highs. The reason for the fall was really more than just being overbought. There was some anxiety ahead of the Parliament vote tonight out of Greece. The wrong vote would send Greece out of the Euro zone, out of the Euro, and send the global market reeling lower.
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Wednesday, July 15, 2015
Stocks Bull Market Not Over Till the Fat Lady Goes on a P/E Diet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
For the vast majority of investors, portfolio returns are generated by the equity markets or at a minimum heavily influenced by the equity markets. We have enjoyed an almost six-year bull market run in the stock market, which has helped heal portfolios after the devastating market crash of the Great Recession. So much so that many prominent market analysts have proclaimed the beginning of a new secular bull market. If we have indeed entered such a new phase, we need to recognize it for what it is, because – as I’ve written for 17 years – the style of investing that is appropriate for a secular bull market is almost the exact opposite of what is appropriate for a secular bear market. I think that most analysts would agree with that last statement. The disagreements would revolve around whether we are in a secular bull or a secular bear market.
Wednesday, July 15, 2015
Stock Market Cycles - A Long Hot July / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
With the intra-day low on Tuesday and the closing low on Wednesday, the forecast for a low in the Dow early last week worked out well. Last week's commentary also laid out the case for that low to be followed by a very short rally into a high (approximately) this Wednesday.
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Tuesday, July 14, 2015
China Crash, Greece Crisis Harbingers of Stocks Bear Market? Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Whilst all eyes in the West were on Greece as its marxist Syriza government played game of thrones with the Greek peoples lives as they black mailed the Eurozone, the chinese stock market crashed, collapsing by over $2 trillion into a BEAR MARKET sending over 200 million chinese retail investors into a panic as they got a bitter taste of the dark side of capitalism, of what happens when investors believe the hype that stocks can only go up. We have all seen this play out many times before!
Tuesday, July 14, 2015
Greece Settled....Mostly Anyway.... Stock Market Off The Bottom Of Its Range / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The weekend was full of fast-moving news regarding Greece. Some of the news was good and some was not so hopeful. As the weekend went on and the euro zone continued to play hard ball, it was clear Greece recognized they had to blink first or completely go belly up. The Euro-zone leaders knew they had somewhat of the upper hand and refused to blink. Good for them. Bad behavior should never be rewarded. The people of Greece were held hostage to that bad behavior. It's not hard to feel bad for them, but in the end, they were also without much of a good choice. It's not etched in stone yet, but it appears Greece sees no alternative but to accept what the Euro zone is offering. If that is the case, then we can close the books on a wild few weeks of volatility based on every piece of news that comes our way.
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Monday, July 13, 2015
Stock Market Critical Support Holding / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - SPX may have started an intermediate correction
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, July 13, 2015
China Crash, Greece Collapse, Harbingers of Stock Market Apocalypse Forecast 2015? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Whilst all eyes in the West were on Greece as its marxist Syriza government played game of thrones with the Greek peoples lives as they black mailed the Eurozone, the chinese stock market crashed, collapsing by over $2 trillion into a BEAR MARKET sending over 200 million chinese retail investors into a panic as they got a bitter taste of the dark side of capitalism, of what happens when investors believe the hype that stocks can only go up. We have all seen this play out many times before!
Sunday, July 12, 2015
Greece and China: Heralding a New Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Clif_Droke
What started out as typically sluggish summer week quickly morphed into an extremely eventful one. In just the last five days we witnessed the intensification of the Greek debt roller coaster, the bursting of a mini-bubble in Chinese equities, a temporary shutdown of trading on the NYSE, and a brief but meaningful pullback in U.S. equities. And to think the summer is still young!
Investors are clearly disquieted over the impact the overseas crises might have on the U.S. stock market. But are they right to be concerned?
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