Category: Stock Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Sunday, June 21, 2015
Stock Market Monday Big Drop? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
It looks as though the US stock market could plunge Monday. We have Saturn Semi-Sq. Pluto while Saturn is in Scorpio and while Jupiter is trine Uranus. On the cycle front we have a Gann cycle low due Monday while we also have a Bradley turn date. The Armstrong Pi Cycle suggests a panic week for the Dow Industrials (which by my reckoning should occur on Monday).Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 21, 2015
Global Stock Markets in Self-Perpetuating Denial / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: The central bank circus was on full display this week as the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee held a two-day meeting only to emerge with another mind-numbing series of excuses for keeping interest rates at zero when the economy is not in crisis.
One such claim was that inflation (as measured by economists) is insufficiently high, despite the fact that the price of real-world goods and services (including gasoline again) are steadily rising. The Fed stated that it's afraid raising interest rates – for the first time in nine years and by all of 25 basis points – could send the economy into a tailspin. That isn't only bad policy, it is pathetic.
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Saturday, June 20, 2015
Stock Market Important Week Ahead Medium-term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
Very interesting week. The week started off at SPX 2094. On Monday the market gapped down, hit the low for the week at SPX 2072, which was last week’s low, and then started to rally. By Wednesday, after a gap up opening, the SPX hit 2104. It then pulled back to SPX 2089, rallied to a higher high before the close, then gapped up again on Thursday. By Thursday noon the SPX had hit 2127. It then pulled back for the rest of the week ending at SPX 2110. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.7%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.3%, and the DJ World index was +0.3%. On the economic front reports again came in with a positive bias. On the uptick: the NAHB, building permits, the CPI, the Philly FED, leading indicators, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the NY FED, industrial production, capacity utilization and housing starts. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Q1 GDP, the PCE, and more reports on housing.
Friday, June 19, 2015
Stock Market SPX is Losing Its Grip / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is going through with the reversal as mentioned yesterday. It is difficult to say whether there will be a bounce at the 50-day Moving Average at 2106.02. The deterioration of the situation in Greece may not be able to give us the “good news” needed to spark a bounce this time.
Friday, June 19, 2015
Fed Shift Is Major Stock Market Risk / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
The US stock markets were quick to rally after the Federal Reserve did nothing at its policy meeting this week. Traders love the endless dovishness gushing forth from this Yellen Fed. But their complacency is very misplaced. It was epic Fed easing that fueled the stock-market levitation of recent years. So the Fed shifting away from these extraordinary policies is a major downside risk for these Fed-inflated stock markets.
Thursday, June 18, 2015
Fed Dovish Again... Stock Market Froth Coming In..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The market waited patiently for four and a half hours to hear the words of wisdom from our Fed leader, Janet Yellen. What would she say regarding rates in the moment, and for the future was all anyone cared about. She said no rate hikes for now. When grilled in her conference she said she would raise rates soon, but that she had no intentions of raising too quickly under any circumstances, and that a rate-hike cycle was not in the cards. The market always likes hearing that rates will remain low, and although the market knows a rate will likely come this year, it knows it's safe for the foreseeable future.
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Wednesday, June 17, 2015
Discover a New Way of Thinking About Society and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: EWI
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Wednesday, June 17, 2015
George Lindsay's Stock Market Dow Right Shoulder / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
As explained in previous commentaries, the Dow is sketching out a Right Shoulder (following the end of the Basic Advance last July) which is higher than the high of the Basic Advance. The preserved written work of Lindsay reveals no attempt on his part to forecast the high of a Right Shoulder - only his warning to expect one following an extended Basic Advance (929-968 days)and that it can rise to a level higher than the end of the Basic Advance. This happened in 1966 and 1973, and has occurred again in the current bull market.
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Tuesday, June 16, 2015
Stock Markets 2015 - Don't Fight The Fed! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Puru_Saxena
BIG PICTURE - At the beginning of the year, market participants were expecting the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates during the summer months. This widely anticipated monetary tightening prompted investors to become cautious which halted the primary advance and brought about a multi-month consolidation on Wall Street.
It is no secret that since mid-December, the environment on Wall Street has been quite volatile; nonetheless, despite the wild swings, the major US indices have essentially gone nowhere.
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Monday, June 15, 2015
Stock Market Sell Signals Changing from Aggressive to Confirmed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX touched the head & Shoulders neckline and has bounced back to the Ending diagonal trendline. It is probable that this trendline may stop the bounce, and if so, may propel SPX back to new lows beneath the neckline. The sell signal is confirmed beneath the Head & Shoulders neckline.
Monday, June 15, 2015
Stock Market Failed Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Waiting for confirmation that the ending triangle is complete.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, June 14, 2015
Stock Market Caution as Greek Crisis Reaches Endgame / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Christopher_Quigley
European markets were on a roller coaster ride last week as rumor and counter rumor
about a Greek deal with the European Central Bank circulated and affected sentiment. When news hit Friday that the IMF team had left for Washington the DAX (Germany’s main stock index) dived only to recover later in the day when it was announced that a new proposal was to be presented by Prime Minister Tsipras.
Sunday, June 14, 2015
The Forgotten Constitutional Freedom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Stephen_Merrill
A Dearth of RationalityIn the United States the steady passage of new federal laws and official regulations for eighty years has created a crazy quilt of often contradictory prohibitions, subsidies and legal rights. The United States Code now fills two long bookshelves with the Code of Federal Regulations occupying twice that shelf space in the law library.
At once, for instance, the United States subsidizes tobacco farmers for producing their harvest and then plunders and terrorizes the cigarette industry who process the product for consumer use.
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Sunday, June 14, 2015
The Stock Market Meets the FED This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last weekend, I was looking for bottom late Monday near 2067/70 and then a strong rally to perhaps as high SPX 2101/13 by Wednesday. The SPX bottomed early Tuesday at 2072 and rallied to 2115 by Thursday. I give myself an A- for that forecast, not perfect by any means, but close enough to make money on.
Sunday, June 14, 2015
Stock Market Unwinding Sentiment - Lateral To Nowhere - Fed On Deck Next Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
If the market is going to move laterally, it's really nice to see the worst day of the week occurring on a Friday. Leaving a nasty taste in the mouth of those relentless bulls. This is important, because it's before a weekend, and, thus, there's too much time to think, or, in other words, get emotional. Traders thinking we just can't break out no matter how close we get, and now they have to go in to the weekend on a down note. Turns bulls in to bears, or at least agnostic. We're begging for this, and somehow the market knows how to make things happen when it needs it to. There's nothing worse than a bad feeling late in the week, and, if this played out as I think it did, we may get our first reading below 30% on the bull-bear spread since last October, and only the third reading below 30% in roughly seventy weeks. That's unreal. It's hard to make sense of that when you normally would equate this type of behavior in terms of too much bullishness with a major market correction, if not a bear market.
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Saturday, June 13, 2015
Stock Market Correction Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another day traders week. After starting the week at SPX 2093 the market traded down to 2072 by Tuesday morning. After that a sharp rebound occurred, helped by two gap up openings, to SPX 2115 by Thursday morning. Then the market started to retreat again, ending the week right about where it began. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.15%, the NDX/NAZ lost 0.40%, and the DJ World index gained 0.40%. On the economic front reports came in with a strong positive bias. On the uptick: retail sales, business/wholesale inventories, export prices, the PPI, consumer sentiment, plus the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: investor bullishness, the WLEI and weekly jobless were higher. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting, Industrial production and reports on Housing.
Saturday, June 13, 2015
SPX Back on a Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is now beneath its 50-day Moving Average and declining. It is now back on a sell signal, so we may see another several days of decline ahead.
Saturday, June 13, 2015
Silver Price Lows and Bond Market Bubbles / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
T bonds have been levitated higher as central banks aggressively pushed their “Inflate or Die” QE process.
Examine this log scale chart of monthly T bonds since 1985. I have drawn a red line that more or less connects the most significant tops in the past 30 years.
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Friday, June 12, 2015
Stock Market Cycle Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Gary_Tanashian
In the previous post Tom McClellan highlights Peter Eliades' work on the cyclical top due in the S&P 500 this year. To add some color to it, here is the chart I produced for NFTRH subscribers several weeks ago after purchasing and reading an Eliades report myself. His work came to my attention by way of Robert Prechter.
Friday, June 12, 2015
They Need a Stock Market Correction to Justify the Next QE Intervention / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Here we go again. It’s about time for a good intervention. All we need is a little false flag. A 10-20% ‘correction’ in the stock market. A little political cover or capital for ramping up the printers.
Oh how far we’ve come:
The Fed had to stop QE, mainly because it was competing for collateral; buying up Treasuries which otherwise would provide collateral to the main financial engine, the REPO market.
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