Category: Stock Markets 2019
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, July 10, 2019
Stock Market SPX 3000 Dream is Pushed Away: Pullback of 5-10% is Coming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: QUANTO
US SPX came in touching distance of 3000 mark. However it again backed off and this time went over 20 handles lower. The lack of conviction at the top is suggestive of a major pullback coming. We think US market could pull back by over 5% in next two months.
The 10-year Treasury note yield TMUBMUSD10Y, -0.68% fell 1.4 basis points to 2.030%, after staging its biggest daily climb in around seven months, while the 30-year bond yield TMUBMUSD30Y, -0.45% slipped by 2.9 basis points to 2.520%. The 2-year note rate TMUBMUSD02Y, -1.26% was up 0.5 basis point to 1.875%, its highest level in around a month. Debt prices move in the opposite direction of yields.
DB Job cut: Tip of iceberg A dark day for Germany’s biggest lender, as Deutsche Bank DB, -6.10% unveiled the biggest restructuring probably of any bank since the aftermath of the 2008 financial crash. The troubled German giant—which once hoped to be Europe’s answer to Wall Street titans like J.P. Morgan or Goldman Sachs—is to reduce head count by 18,000 and call time on a big chunk of its global investment banking ambitions. This earnings season, zero is the number to beat. Expectations couldn’t be much lower, reports Barron’s.
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Tuesday, July 09, 2019
Stock Market and the Global Debt Crisis To Be Reborn 2020 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
This final portion of our multiple part research post regarding the future of a crisis-like price revaluation event will focus on two components that we want to highlight for every trader, investor, and reader. It does not matter if you are invested in anything at this point – you need to read this last portion of our research because you need to plan for and prepare for this next event.
On March 31, 2019, we published this research post regarding our cycle analysis predictions and the belief that a major price cycle top would likely form in July 2019.
On June 11, 2019, we updated our research and published this post regarding our belief that current cycle forecasting suggested the top in the market would now be set up for some time in late August or early September 2019.
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Tuesday, July 09, 2019
Stock Market Cycle Top and Fearless Vix Signal Turning Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Everything in the world goes through cycles including investors level of fear, and stock prices. In this report, I want to show you how you can identify short-term and longer-term market tops and bottoms using technical analysis that focuses on the most active time cycles in the stock market today.
Before we get into the details here I would like to touch on two myths that you as a trader need to know in terms of average profit per trade and the number of trades needed to be highly profitable. It’s not what you may think.
Myth #1: You Must Always Be In A Trade and Trading You don’t need to trade every week, or need to always be in a position. This is a huge misconception and something that most traders struggle with grasping. The reality is, the fewer the trades you make less likely you are to lose money. For example, over the past 17 months, I have placed 53 trades which works out to only 3 trades a month, not many. With those 53 trades, our entire portfolio is up 74.9%. Ya, a whopping 75% with only a few simple trades a month and if you calculate what the average percent return is then you get a taste of trading reality, which brings us to the topic 2.
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Tuesday, July 09, 2019
Stock Market Hype and Hope Ends This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Graham_Summers
The two biggest catalysts for the stock market rally are over.
Those catalysts were:
1) The hope of a Fed rate cut.
2) The hope of a Trade Deal between China and the US.
Regarding #1, the Fed June meeting resulted in no rate cuts. And last week’s jobs numbers greatly reduce the likelihood of a rate cut hitting in July.
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Tuesday, July 09, 2019
Stock Market Preparing for a Backtest / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Submissions
By Ricky Wen : The first week of July went according our plan and expectations as the Emini S&P 500 (ES) fulfilled both the 2975 and 3000 targets. Then, later in the week, the market price hit a high of 3006 with a micro double top and made a temporary top, which is resistance going forward. Price action is likely doing some sort of mean reversion/consolidation setup going forward, until the train can ramp again.
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Tuesday, July 09, 2019
Is the Stock Market About to Crash or Soar? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
I’ve noticed an interesting development recently. Traders and investors are mostly split into 2 camps: those who are extremely bullish and think that December 2018 marked a cyclical bottom, and those who are extremely bearish and think that stocks will crash.
I think a middle ground scenario is more likely – this is just a normal rally towards the end of a bull market. A massive breakaway rally that will last years is unlikely, but neither is an imminent crash.
- Fundamentals (long term): no significant U.S. macro deterioration, but the long term risk:reward doesn’t favor bulls.
- Technicals (medium term): mostly bullish
- Technicals (short term): mixed
Monday, July 08, 2019
Stock Market Minor Cycles Peaking / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way? How much longer, is the question.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate-term correction continues to unfold.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, July 08, 2019
Warning Stock Market May Go Off the Cliff, Stagflation Like Never Before / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: MoneyMetals
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up Michael Pento of Pento Portfolio Strategies joins me for a tremendous interview on what he sees as pending doom in the stock market and why he believes we’re in for a bout of stagflation that will make the 1970s look like a walk in the park. He also makes a compelling case for gold during an interest rate environment that he believes will soon be turning profoundly negative in real terms. So don’t miss a must-hear interview with Michael Pento, coming up after this week’s market update.
Following yesterday’s Independence Day celebrations, perhaps more Americans will wake up to the need to declare their independence from the financial system. One of the best ways to do that is by shifting dollar-denominated wealth from bank and brokerage accounts into physical precious metals.
Although the public isn’t yet clamoring in huge numbers to buy bullion, we have seen some encouraging price action of late in metals markets. The main fireworks have been in gold – rising to a multi-year high – and palladium.
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Sunday, July 07, 2019
Stock Markets Don’t Care About the News, Nasdaq 10,000? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Harry_Dent
Markets popped higher this morning after a weekend of good news: The Donald and Xi Jinping have agreed to a temporary truce in the U.S.-China trade war. The Donald has eased trade restrictions on Huawei. And The Donald made nice with North Korea.On Friday, I explained that markets were at that critical point where they could either roll over and die or zoom to the moon. Today’s market action shows we’re clearly following the Dark Window that I forecast back in January already. I hope you’re taking advantage of it.
I first mentioned the Dark Window opportunity in January. While I’ve updated you on the market’s progress along this scenario many times since then, it’s been a long time since I spelled out my forecast. So, in light of today’s market madness, let’s take a trip down memory lane and re-read an email I sent you on January 9th.
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Saturday, July 06, 2019
Stock Market Surging 25%... or Falling 25%? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Harry_Dent
I sent a market update to Boom & Bust subscribers in our 5 Day Forecast last Monday. I explained that stocks saw their biggest correction since late 2011, which makes that a 4th wave correction leading into a 5th wave final blow-off rally… what I have been calling the Dark Window scenario. My target is around 10,000 on the leading index, the Nasdaq, and around 33,000 on the Dow.It’s likely we saw the first wave up into early May with two more strong surges ahead. We have just made new highs on the Dow and S&P 500, with the Nasdaq coming close to a new high.
Is this a breakout in the next wave up?
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Thursday, July 04, 2019
Stocks Can’t Even Rally on a Trade War “Cease Fire” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Graham_Summers
Yesterday’s market action was a MAJOR wake up call.
Stocks erupted 1.5% higher on announcements that the US/ China reached some form of a trade deal…
However, the rally barely lasted, giving up most of its gains by mid-day. It was only through a desperate end of the session manipulation (red box in the chart below) that stocks didn’t end the day flat.
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Wednesday, July 03, 2019
Transportation Index Warns Of Stock Market Trouble Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Any weakness in the Transportation Index near current levels would indicate investors and traders believe the global economy may continue to contract going forward and may be an ominous sign for the global stock markets.
The Transportation Index is a measure of the current expectations related to shipping, trucking, trains and all measure of forward expectations for goods, products and raw materials to be moved across nations, seas, states, and locations. When the economy is gaining strength, we typically expect to see the Transportation Index moving higher. When the economy is weakening, we typically expect to see the Transportation Index moving lower.
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Wednesday, July 03, 2019
Stock Market Final S/T Push? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way? How much longer, is the question.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate-term correction continues to unfold.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Wednesday, July 03, 2019
Re-examining a Popular Stock Market Long Term Bearish Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
The stock market has been very choppy in the past year. Over the past few months, the yield curve has been extremely hyped-up in the media and social media. I found some interesting data that makes you re-think how useful the yield curve really is for marketing timing. Today’s headlines:
- Long term volatility is high
- VVIX tanked
- Weekend gap up
- Few -1% down days
- ISM PMI
- Gold’s sentiment is retreating
- How useful is the yield curve?
Wednesday, July 03, 2019
Playing the Stocks Bull Market Till the Music Stops / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Submissions
The last week of June completed as an inside week that traded very close to within our expected 2969-2915 high-level consolidation range on the Emini S&P 500 (ES). The actual range for the week was 2961.75-2914.5.
Essentially, the market action started the consolidation late Monday. It backtested against 2915, a major must-hold level, with 2914.5 printed as the "sticksave" to become the low of the week by Wednesday June 26.
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Saturday, June 29, 2019
The Trump Stock Market Trap May Be Triggered / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
From the Christian Bible, John 8:32 - Jesus speaking: “If you abide in My word, you are My disciples indeed. And you shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you free.”
So, we have it on pretty good authority, Jesus Christ, that freedom is spawned from truth. If humans want to be free, they must therefore seek the truth.
The current day media, news - sports - financial, has gone full bore communist state mouth piece. They only report what they want us to believe. Deceivers push falsehoods to enhance their own power with the hope of enslaving the masses. The serpent doesn’t use an apple today. The serpent uses the microphone, politicians, entertainers, complete human ignorance, electronic media, and social media for deceit.
This is a truth we know. Low taxes plus low government regulation results in robust economies. Yet, no government on Earth facilitates this truth. In fact, they are the opposite and therefore in a spiritual sense, evil.
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Friday, June 28, 2019
Is the Market Sending a Crisis Era Signal on the Economy and Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
As the stock market continues to trend higher and Treasury yields continue to collapse, two groups of stocks are about to send crisis-era signals on the economy (according to Bloomberg). Today’s headlines:
- Crisis era signals
- Stocks continue to rally and Treasury yields continue to fall
- Citigroup Economic Surprise Index still deep in negative territory
- Gold’s sentiment extreme and volume
- Bonds sentiment extreme
Wednesday, June 26, 2019
Stocks and XAU Gold Miners Next Bull and Bear Markets are Now Set Up / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Sharing market analysis and my opinions every day is far from easy and sometimes I feel like a song on repeat. My focus and goal has always been to try to alert fellow traders and investors of what is unfolding now in the financial markets around the globe because it appears we are about to experience another financial life-changing event much like the 2000 stock market top, and the late 2007 bull market top which will play out over the next 24+ months
If you lost money during the last bear market then you need a new game plan to take advantage of falling prices and the solution is not just to by gold, silver, and miners. In fact, you could lose a lot buying and holding them over the next year if you are not careful. We all know what the precious metals sector did during the last equities bear market (they crashed 64% with the stock market before starting to rally).
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Tuesday, June 25, 2019
Is the Stock Market About to Drop? This Chart Says “YES” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Graham_Summers
Sometimes it’s good to take a big picture look at the stock market.
By “big picture” I mean a monthly chart that is at least three years long.
Here’s one that caught my eye over the weekend.
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Tuesday, June 25, 2019
Stock Market Bulls In Control, but Don't Get Complacent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Ricky_Wen
The third week of June went according to the game plan as the market’s price action just followed the white line projections as we demonstrated in real-time.
If you recall, we got the eventual breakout above 2911 on the Emini S&P 500 (ES) that pumped into the all time highs target. The bulls fulfilled their goal by the end of the week with the high print close of the week’s range and bears are still considered dead. Who knew?
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